{"kind":"assistant","text":"Table I, column (3): the difference in the probability of a Democratic win at t+1 between districts the Democrat won and lost at t, among elections with the Democratic share at t strictly between 48 and 52 percent (915 observations), as the coefficient of a regression on the win indicator; heteroskedasticity-robust errors.","tool_calls":[{"args":{"controls":[],"dataset":"lmb","fe":[],"se":"HC1","subset":"lagdemvoteshare > 0.48 and lagdemvoteshare < 0.52","x":["lagdemocrat"],"y":"democrat"},"id":"script_1","name":"infer__ols"}]}