{"call_id":"call_321f6cb7","run_id":"20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c2.tool/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"tool","name":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","code_version":"62cdbe0860ad","inputs":{"dataset":"castle","y":"l_homicide","x":["cdl"],"controls":["r20001","r20002","r20003","r20004","r20011","r20012","r20013","r20014","r20021","r20022","r20023","r20024","r20031","r20032","r20033","r20034","r20041","r20042","r20043","r20044","r20051","r20052","r20053","r20054","r20061","r20062","r20063","r20064","r20071","r20072","r20073","r20074","r20081","r20082","r20083","r20084","r20091","r20092","r20093","r20094","r20101","r20102","r20103","r20104"],"fe":["sid","year"],"cluster":"sid","se":"HC1","weights":null,"subset":null,"intercept":true,"level":0.95},"input_digest":"7b99d1601841b33a91dec8967f72498893480c7666b8f91ebb2b5c036072be3d","dataset_digests":{"castle":"6a9af2b4a14b985d82e0f3aea93c535c24cfc2497c4d9f07242bac5f84ae11c1"},"result":{"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","call_id":"call_321f6cb7","status":"ok","reason":"","figures":[{"key":"coef.cdl","value":0.08109024141548848,"unit":"","label":"Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide","se":0.080870173496671,"ci_low":-0.08142445666576686,"ci_high":0.24360493949674383,"ci_level":0.95,"derivation":{"steps":[{"text_pt":"Coeficiente de cdl na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de l_homicide, efeitos fixos de sid, year.","formula":"","terms":[{"symbol":"n","value":550.0,"unit":"observações","note":""},{"symbol":"k","value":91.0,"unit":"parâmetros","note":""}],"result":0.08109024141548848,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.","formula":"ep = √V_jj","terms":[{"symbol":"V_jj","value":0.006539984961381668,"unit":"","note":"diagonal da matriz de covariância"}],"result":0.080870173496671,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 49 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.","formula":"IC = β ± c · ep","terms":[{"symbol":"β","value":0.08109024141548848,"unit":"","note":""},{"symbol":"c","value":2.0095752371292392,"unit":"","note":"quantil 0.975"},{"symbol":"ep","value":0.080870173496671,"unit":"","note":""}],"result":null,"unit":""}],"note_pt":""}}],"diagnostics":[{"name":"n_obs","value":550,"flag":false,"note":"observations used"},{"name":"k","value":91,"flag":false,"note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included"},{"name":"r2","value":0.9152744967959459,"flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"df_resid","value":459,"flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"se_type","value":"cluster","flag":false,"note":"cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'sid'"},{"name":"n_clusters","value":50,"flag":false,"note":"50 clusters of 'sid'"},{"name":"fixed_effects","value":"sid (50 levels), year (11 levels)","flag":false,"note":"absorbed as dummies; their coefficients are not tabulated"}],"tables":{"coefficients":[{"term":"Intercept","coef":0.6769507970258271,"se":0.04838285303894466,"t":13.99154358427212,"p":9.694977976155178e-19,"ci_low":0.5797218136571007,"ci_high":0.7741797803945534},{"term":"cdl","coef":0.08109024141548848,"se":0.080870173496671,"t":1.00272124949536,"p":0.32092157860812803,"ci_low":-0.08142445666576686,"ci_high":0.24360493949674383},{"term":"r20001","coef":-0.09527341386585303,"se":0.10613414962263408,"t":-0.8976697340545243,"p":0.3737513155994151,"ci_low":-0.30855797276126806,"ci_high":0.118011145029562},{"term":"r20002","coef":0.4340581162453521,"se":0.11595663153604907,"t":3.743279797761376,"p":0.0004775421302794401,"ci_low":0.2010345409295885,"ci_high":0.6670816915611157},{"term":"r20003","coef":1.3057521220149173,"se":0.05750845397239334,"t":22.705394282408243,"p":1.1665835632193587e-27,"ci_low":1.190184556986409,"ci_high":1.4213196870434257},{"term":"r20004","coef":0.16931769704433308,"se":0.06820226066950578,"t":2.482581887788325,"p":0.016517066877957055,"ci_low":0.0322601228866608,"ci_high":0.30637527120200536},{"term":"r20011","coef":-0.10010016323038805,"se":0.08347548111949575,"t":-1.1991564695158083,"p":0.2362339851075746,"ci_low":-0.26785042299557604,"ci_high":0.06765009653479996},{"term":"r20012","coef":0.4264992464265057,"se":0.08982863187937816,"t":4.747920985807829,"p":0.00001825722150722625,"ci_low":0.2459818522165092,"ci_high":0.6070166406365023},{"term":"r20013","coef":1.2745640661420001,"se":0.065924051084442,"t":19.33382498762725,"p":1.412026122565892e-24,"ci_low":1.1420847255514626,"ci_high":1.4070434067325377},{"term":"r20014","coef":0.30805327565467994,"se":0.06515066141164881,"t":4.7283215393359095,"p":0.00001950725156523586,"ci_low":0.177128119799239,"ci_high":0.43897843151012084},{"term":"r20021","coef":-0.12036582689393428,"se":0.08564330281752326,"t":-1.405431866054873,"p":0.1662018533972377,"ci_low":-0.29247248746198984,"ci_high":0.05174083367412126},{"term":"r20022","coef":0.3818005125900933,"se":0.07557824266216871,"t":5.051725194203365,"p":6.476895685771953e-6,"ci_low":0.2299203476704544,"ci_high":0.5336806775097321},{"term":"r20023","coef":1.2914714004696979,"se":0.053898980419960864,"t":23.960961606453996,"p":1.0336015332715826e-28,"ci_low":1.1831573441112309,"ci_high":1.399785456828165},{"term":"r20024","coef":0.2611226645211045,"se":0.0904834033512999,"t":2.8858625432920695,"p":0.005789786344785666,"ci_low":0.07928945777515542,"ci_high":0.4429558712670536},{"term":"r20031","coef":-0.07551447081144189,"se":0.07910242592462316,"t":-0.9546416551547958,"p":0.3444450108689908,"ci_low":-0.23447674714641456,"ci_high":0.08344780552353079},{"term":"r20032","coef":0.4750844998837341,"se":0.06770719315677748,"t":7.016750772457302,"p":6.2490647208954965e-9,"ci_low":0.33902180114034774,"ci_high":0.6111471986271204},{"term":"r20033","coef":1.3193920563758983,"se":0.059616450020580816,"t":22.13134220371084,"p":3.667616970144512e-27,"ci_low":1.199588314688986,"ci_high":1.4391957980628105},{"term":"r20034","coef":0.28417093243580316,"se":0.07643367087243766,"t":3.7178762866180293,"p":0.0005164807718057423,"ci_low":0.13057172016766602,"ci_high":0.43777014470394027},{"term":"r20041","coef":-0.05376798273035753,"se":0.07457423109479173,"t":-0.7209994919292261,"p":0.4743359025099274,"ci_low":-0.20363051086640432,"ci_high":0.09609454540568925},{"term":"r20042","coef":0.44011409468261686,"se":0.06392772428971019,"t":6.884557515110195,"p":1.0013897728966103e-8,"ci_low":0.31164652298398987,"ci_high":0.5685816663812439},{"term":"r20043","coef":1.2927067514361514,"se":0.05372641612615587,"t":24.060915367977007,"p":8.561891917912833e-29,"ci_low":1.1847394760093275,"ci_high":1.4006740268629754},{"term":"r20044","coef":0.31485674696316807,"se":0.053119467876249236,"t":5.927332474351588,"p":3.0280344429585853e-7,"ci_low":0.2081091797095755,"ci_high":0.42160431421676065},{"term":"r20051","coef":-0.05255831639874844,"se":0.0731088190738169,"t":-0.7189052848149698,"p":0.47561379983950036,"ci_low":-0.1994759888252527,"ci_high":0.0943593560277558},{"term":"r20052","coef":0.5149447608670422,"se":0.07814715835040213,"t":6.589424001293739,"p":2.8707492363980505e-8,"ci_low":0.3579021665940566,"ci_high":0.6719873551400278},{"term":"r20053","coef":1.3352075677860353,"se":0.054666062865141446,"t":24.424798454571867,"p":4.3376033829343133e-29,"ci_low":1.2253520015408967,"ci_high":1.445063134031174},{"term":"r20054","coef":0.2618391123513047,"se":0.07740502362346723,"t":3.382714714034681,"p":0.0014186564682126712,"ci_low":0.10628789364818117,"ci_high":0.41739033105442824},{"term":"r20061","coef":-0.02666237408577271,"se":0.06808620089074931,"t":-0.3915973242295453,"p":0.6970536297865801,"ci_low":-0.16348671738602927,"ci_high":0.11016196921448385},{"term":"r20062","coef":0.5264826189243902,"se":0.07259745989827546,"t":7.252080440033367,"p":2.701823593770301e-9,"ci_low":0.3805925612343328,"ci_high":0.6723726766144476},{"term":"r20063","coef":1.3271307900848979,"se":0.05724370122667967,"t":23.183874586124066,"p":4.572780476052481e-28,"ci_low":1.2120952656181379,"ci_high":1.442166314551658},{"term":"r20064","coef":0.2628412023944172,"se":0.06295141353523231,"t":4.175302628388347,"p":0.00012165412145594965,"ci_low":0.13633560061173194,"ci_high":0.3893468041771025},{"term":"r20071","coef":-0.1463373902199222,"se":0.08545511072870804,"t":-1.7124474940357335,"p":0.0931366221847929,"ci_low":-0.318065864626471,"ci_high":0.02539108418662664},{"term":"r20072","coef":0.5275581442191782,"se":0.08467140995151429,"t":6.230652643215412,"p":1.0312323954978334e-7,"ci_low":0.3574045754877969,"ci_high":0.6977117129505596},{"term":"r20073","coef":1.3246956614823893,"se":0.06643603677046342,"t":19.939414297984303,"p":3.68202137559694e-25,"ci_low":1.1911874471354584,"ci_high":1.45820387582932},{"term":"r20074","coef":0.3084032695830776,"se":0.09874183652024117,"t":3.1233292842376676,"p":0.0030000175608350184,"ci_low":0.1099741200433374,"ci_high":0.5068324191228178},{"term":"r20081","coef":0.005578605391162621,"se":0.08438973470614711,"t":0.06610526043941059,"p":0.9475630053589809,"ci_low":-0.16400891574221654,"ci_high":0.17516612652454178},{"term":"r20082","coef":0.4766394296911472,"se":0.10441730313719032,"t":4.564755221315254,"p":0.000033789231276185795,"ci_low":0.2668050029788323,"ci_high":0.686473856403462},{"term":"r20083","coef":1.2692000948857034,"se":0.09033317072474421,"t":14.050210843955707,"p":8.220998543060823e-19,"ci_low":1.0876687919058896,"ci_high":1.4507313978655172},{"term":"r20084","coef":0.13008707759802066,"se":0.05840573800859709,"t":2.2272996118784145,"p":0.030552816693657614,"ci_low":0.012716352789685942,"ci_high":0.24745780240635537},{"term":"r20091","coef":-0.1763724124521898,"se":0.07945330754629536,"t":-2.2198246731191427,"p":0.03108937005329756,"ci_low":-0.3360398118052387,"ci_high":-0.016705013099140936},{"term":"r20092","coef":0.3886223636745314,"se":0.085362324199026,"t":4.55262163162804,"p":0.00003518596641328553,"ci_low":0.21708035078037075,"ci_high":0.5601643765686921},{"term":"r20093","coef":1.2134547563013591,"se":0.08133713413928571,"t":14.918828517161417,"p":7.50967920295755e-20,"ci_low":1.0500016656759912,"ci_high":1.376907846926727},{"term":"r20094","coef":0.09332260803275613,"se":0.0672444428325905,"t":1.3878114547709013,"p":0.17147324863244395,"ci_low":-0.04181015911817049,"ci_high":0.22845537518368275},{"term":"r20101","coef":-0.1268970735213048,"se":0.0855807246744691,"t":-1.4827763378260037,"p":0.144537443780071,"ci_low":-0.29887797860269316,"ci_high":0.04508383156008358},{"term":"r20102","coef":0.34853940359541774,"se":0.060031105483262716,"t":5.805980096311804,"p":4.651664789532676e-7,"ci_low":0.2279023805587597,"ci_high":0.4691764266320758},{"term":"r20103","coef":1.1124759124335803,"se":0.08861851937597674,"t":12.553537570558387,"p":6.314878573873831e-17,"ci_low":0.9343903303445598,"ci_high":1.290561494522601}]},"datasets":{},"warnings":["dropped as collinear with the other regressors: ['r20104', 'sid[46]', 'sid[50]', 'sid[51]', 'year[2001]', 'year[2002]', 'year[2003]', 'year[2004]', '…']"],"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across clusters of 'sid' and may be correlated within them"],"notes":""},"outputs":null,"output_digest":"ef296b29d5f3ce2487d599f7057095073c5003c27bf8c4f0c2ceee3da81295e2","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T16:57:55.662267Z","duration_ms":23.834292078390718,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}