{"call_id":"call_79b97984","run_id":"20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df/paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pa_valid98_c2.tool/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"tool","name":"infer.rdd","version":"0.1.0","code_version":"62cdbe0860ad","inputs":{"dataset":"munic","y":"r_util98","running":"voters96","cutoff":40500.0,"bandwidth":10000.0,"kernel":"uniform","polynomial":1,"cluster":null,"subset":null,"level":0.95},"input_digest":"6678649b24f7b1f44f4da3884552730971498d0e283db8b97a88eb129a7101d9","dataset_digests":{"munic":"4849fb53b02d5e1e529b6e802d6e90e871843cf5f89da8ad229cd022bbd01f2e"},"result":{"tool":"infer.rdd","version":"0.1.0","call_id":"call_79b97984","status":"ok","reason":"","figures":[{"key":"effect","value":0.12128157455040935,"unit":"","label":"Jump in r_util98 at the cutoff of voters96","se":0.015972820289750132,"ci_low":0.08997542205096845,"ci_high":0.15258772704985024,"ci_level":0.95,"derivation":{"steps":[{"text_pt":"Ajuste linear ponderado (kernel uniforme) de cada lado do limiar, com janela h (informada); o efeito é a diferença entre os dois ajustes no limiar.","formula":"","terms":[{"symbol":"h","value":10000.0,"unit":"","note":"janela (informada)"},{"symbol":"n_esq","value":151.0,"unit":"observações abaixo do limiar","note":""},{"symbol":"n_dir","value":78.0,"unit":"observações acima do limiar","note":""}],"result":0.12128157455040935,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Erro-padrão robusto à heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.","formula":"ep = √V_jj","terms":[{"symbol":"V_jj","value":0.0002551309880086535,"unit":"","note":"diagonal da matriz de covariância"}],"result":0.015972820289750132,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição normal vezes o erro-padrão.","formula":"IC = τ ± c · ep","terms":[{"symbol":"τ","value":0.12128157455040935,"unit":"","note":""},{"symbol":"c","value":1.959963984540054,"unit":"","note":"quantil 0.975"},{"symbol":"ep","value":0.015972820289750132,"unit":"","note":""}],"result":null,"unit":""}],"note_pt":""}}],"diagnostics":[{"name":"bandwidth","value":10000.0,"flag":false,"note":"half-width of the window around the cutoff (informada)"},{"name":"bandwidth_method","value":"user","flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"n_left","value":151,"flag":false,"note":"observations with positive weight below the cutoff"},{"name":"n_right","value":78,"flag":false,"note":"observations with positive weight at or above the cutoff"},{"name":"kernel","value":"uniform","flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"polynomial","value":1,"flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"bandwidth_sensitive","value":false,"flag":false,"note":"the estimates at half and double the bandwidth fall inside the main interval"},{"name":"n_obs","value":5281,"flag":false,"note":"rows used to choose the bandwidth"},{"name":"se_type","value":"HC1","flag":false,"note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)"}],"tables":{"sensitivity":[{"multiplier":0.5,"bandwidth":5000.0,"estimate":0.123594259807128,"se":0.02524280249504361,"ci_low":0.07411927604798471,"ci_high":0.1730692435662713,"n_left":75,"n_right":41},{"multiplier":1.0,"bandwidth":10000.0,"estimate":0.12128157455040935,"se":0.015972820289750132,"ci_low":0.08997542205096845,"ci_high":0.15258772704985024,"n_left":151,"n_right":78},{"multiplier":2.0,"bandwidth":20000.0,"estimate":0.12802140370553614,"se":0.011215284951707961,"ci_low":0.10603984912383449,"ci_high":0.15000295828723778,"n_left":428,"n_right":130}]},"datasets":{},"warnings":[],"assumptions":["units cannot precisely control the running variable around the cutoff","every other determinant of the outcome is continuous at the cutoff"],"notes":""},"outputs":null,"output_digest":"dac799d5efd7598a5c39a738cb1829937448e23c5bf0080826afe5640927e3fb","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T16:57:55.879818Z","duration_ms":15.548374969512224,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}