{"args":{},"checks":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_backed","min_lre":null,"note":"every number of the answer is stated by a tool call","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":null,"value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":true,"key":null,"kind":"answer_figure_close","min_lre":null,"note":"QRData eval.py: strictly inside gold \u00b1 3% (a '%' gold divided by 100), on the answer figure after meta.answer_format","open_interval":true,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":"qrdata.gold.402","table":null,"tool":null,"value":[247399.47,262702.53],"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"datasets":{"MPs":{"columns":null,"description":"We consider how much politicians can increase their personal wealth due to holding office. Scholars investigated this question by analyzing members of Parliament (MPs) in the United Kingdom.6 The authors of the original study collected information about personal wealth at the time of death for several hundred competitive candidates who ran for office in general elections between 1950 and 1970.\n\nThe data are contained in the CSV file MPs.csv.\nVariable Description\nsurname: surname of the candidate\nfirstname: first name of the candidate\nparty: party of the candidate (labour or tory)\nln.gross: log gross wealth at the time of death\nln.net: log net wealth at the time of death\nyob: year of birth of the candidate\nyod: year of death of the candidate\nmargin.pre: margin of the candidate\u2019s party in the previous election\nregion: electoral region\nmargin: margin of victory (vote share)","file_sha256":"3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970","format":"csv","frame_sha256":null,"generator":null,"kind":"file","licence":"CC BY-NC 4.0","member":"data/MPs.csv","object":null,"params":{},"path":null,"read_kw":{},"records":null,"role":"agent","sha256":"3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970","transforms":[],"url":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/data.zip"}},"difficulty":"M","id":"qrdata_socsci.402","level":"T2","meta":{"agent_reach":{"blocked_by":["no_reference_path","no_tool:predicted_level_difference"],"dtypes":{},"named":{},"reachable":false,"rule":"magi_bench.reach/1"},"answer_format":{"figure_transform":"identity","round_to":0,"unit_scale":1.0},"answer_format_from":{"figure_transform":null,"round_to":"nearest integer","unit_scale":"1.0: an estimator's figure is on the gold's own scale"},"cluster":"MPs.csv","family":"numerical","gold_defect":"scale: the question asks the effect on log net wealth; the gold is a level difference in pounds","gold_deviation":{"evidence":"The question asks the effect on log net wealth (0.650); the gold 255051 is the difference of exp(predicted ln.net) at a zero margin (255050.9), a level in pounds. Found by an independent statsmodels fit at the B-join review.","kind":"unverified"},"headline_keys":{},"native":{"answer":"255051","keywords":["Social science","Causality","Average treatment effect","Discontinuity"],"multiple_choices":null,"question_type":"numerical","reference":"Quantitative Social Science 4.3.4"},"native_id":402,"reference":{"cite":1,"note":"Sem caminho de refer\u00eancia com as ferramentas registradas: no_tool:predicted_level_difference. A resposta n\u00e3o cita estimativa de efeito.","steps":[{"args":{"dataset":"MPs"},"tool":"data.describe","why":"Sem caminho de refer\u00eancia com as ferramentas registradas: no_tool:predicted_level_difference."}]},"reference_path":{"calls":[],"needs":["no_tool:predicted_level_difference"],"provenance":"none","quotes":{},"reference_datasets":[],"source_id":null},"reference_why":null},"question":"What is the average causal effect of becoming members of Parliament on the log net wealth for Tory candidates? The difference in predicted values at the point of discontinuity, i.e., a zero margin of victory, between the two regressions represents the average causal effect on personal wealth of serving as an MP. Please round the result to the nearest integer.","requires":[],"runner":null,"sources":["qrdata.gold.402","qrdata.eval_py"],"split":"public","suite":"qrdata_socsci","tags":["econ-bench","external","qrdata","qss","numerical","no_reference_path"],"target":"agent","tool":null,"truth":"QRData gold: benchmark/QRData.json item 402 at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed"}