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{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"controls":[],"dataset":"billboard_impact","fe":[],"intercept":true,"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"weights":null,"x":["poa"],"y":"deposits"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_561f6866","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"62cdbe0860ad","dataset_digests":{"billboard_impact":"792b69535b51d49fb3a24cb88f6f8f511fc33fa7dae136c5200fa6ea9e44f52a"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":2.501207869499922,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"d1391d72e7be971a8742126bfb1ed8e65b3638f4b053f514b3b9b8a18605da64","llm_name":"infer__ols","output_digest":"d8847b707b002b0bc4e04d67dc42fff35c1b93bd026e17cf698626467ffba0fb","rationale":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across observations; their variance may differ"],"call_id":"call_561f6866","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"observations used","value":4600},{"flag":false,"name":"k","note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included","value":2},{"flag":false,"name":"r2","note":"","value":0.2825856354578766},{"flag":false,"name":"df_resid","note":"","value":4598},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":-116.8952540229489,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":-125.68334737565249,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"","result":-121.2893006993007,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"observa\u00e7\u00f5es","value":4600.0},{"note":"","symbol":"k","unit":"par\u00e2metros","value":2.0}],"text_pt":"Coeficiente de poa na regress\u00e3o por m\u00ednimos quadrados ordin\u00e1rios de deposits.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":2.2413115953132663,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":5.0234776672856984}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":-121.2893006993007},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.960480053527604},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":2.2413115953132663}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 4598 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.poa","label":"Coefficient on poa in the regression of deposits","se":2.2413115953132663,"unit":"","value":-121.2893006993007}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":195.88372028589347,"ci_low":189.2471888050156,"coef":192.56545454545454,"p":0.0,"se":1.6925781695499431,"t":113.77049403671427,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":-116.8952540229489,"ci_low":-125.68334737565249,"coef":-121.2893006993007,"p":0.0,"se":2.2413115953132663,"t":-54.11532289973639,"term":"poa"}]},"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"16c3e04be6ec0ca8588473718346ffd5e0242b5149bdd74f7761418b0fbc5a73","result_sha256":"521a325126f64430d0c5fa65afeec8773e3b5bb66c09fd4634a1c9edd318f3c6","run_id":"20261015T170037Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-naive-761cb5","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"qrdata_socsci.368","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:37.876710Z","tool_id":"infer.ols","turn_id":"call_82d16761"}
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