{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"ds_0042":{"description_shown":"| Variable Name                      | Description                                                                                                 |\n|------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|\n| id_no                              | Unique respondent identifier for each row in the dataset.                                                   |\n| PSU                                | Primary sampling unit identifier from the survey design (cluster id used in analysis).                      |\n| political_interest73               | Self-reported interest in politics measured in the 1973 wave (coded scale).                                 |\n| govt_provide_jobs73                | Agreement/disagreement in 1973 with government providing jobs (coded response).                             |\n| protect_accused73                  | Attitude in 1973 toward protecting the rights of the accused (coded response).                              |\n| minority_rights_view73             | Respondent\u2019s 1973 view on minority rights (scale-coded).                                                    |\n| legalize_mj73                      | Position in 1973 on legalizing marijuana (coded response).                                                  |\n| busing_view73                      | Attitude in 1973 toward school busing/desegregation (coded response).                                       |\n| womens_rights73                    | Response to a 1973 question about women\u2019s role (gender-role item, scale from egalitarian to traditional).    |\n| othmen_womens_rights73             | Respondent\u2019s estimate of where other men stand on the 1973 women\u2019s-role question (perceived norm).          |\n| ideology73                         | Self-placement on an ideological scale in 1973 (coded).                                                     |\n| people_can_be_trusted73            | 1973 response to item on whether people can generally be trusted (trust scale).                              |\n| detailed_party_id73                | Expanded/more detailed party identification variable recorded in 1973 (multi-category).                     |\n| voted73                            | Self-reported voting behavior/participation around the 1973 wave (coded).                                    |\n| congvote73                         | Congressional vote preference or behavior reported in 1973 (coded).                                         |\n| mother_party_id73                  | Mother\u2019s party identification as recorded in 1973 (coded).                                                   |\n| spouse_college73                   | Indicator or coding for whether the respondent\u2019s spouse had a college education as of 1973.                 |\n| work_status73                      | Respondent employment/work status in 1973 (coded).                                                          |\n| married73                          | Marital status indicator in 1973 (coded).                                                                    |\n| nonwhite73                         | Race indicator for respondent in 1973 (nonwhite flag).                                                      |\n| num_bro                            | Count of the respondent\u2019s brothers.                                                                          |\n| num_sis                            | Count of the respondent\u2019s sisters.                                                                           |\n| age                                | Respondent age in years (at the recorded wave).                                                              |\n| closest_brother                    | Age (in years) of the nearest younger brother, or a missing flag (-1) if not applicable.                     |\n| closest_sister                     | Age (in years) of the nearest younger sister, or a missing flag (-1) if not applicable.                      |\n| closest                            | Indicator for the gender of the next-youngest/nearest younger sibling (coded to denote sister vs brother).   |\n| democrat65                         | Respondent indicator/coding for Democratic identification in the 1965 wave.                                  |\n| johnson                            | Indicator/response showing support for Lyndon B. Johnson (1964/65 context).                                  |\n| goldwater                          | Indicator/response showing support for Barry Goldwater (1964 context).                                       |\n| spouse_chore                       | Respondent\u2019s report on distribution of household chores with spouse (coded response).                        |\n| num_son                            | Number of sons the respondent has (count).                                                                   |\n| num_daughter                       | Number of daughters the respondent has (count).                                                              |\n| age_son1                           | Age of first son (years), if applicable.                                                                      |\n| age_daughter1                      | Age of first daughter (years), if applicable.                                                                 |\n| age_son2                           | Age of second son (years), if applicable.                                                                     |\n| age_daughter2                      | Age of second daughter (years), if applicable.                                                                |\n| age_son3                           | Age of third son (years), if applicable.                                                                      |\n| age_daughter3                      | Age of third daughter (years), if applicable.                                                                 |\n| age_son4                           | Age of fourth son (years), if applicable.                                                                     |\n| age_daughter4                      | Age of fourth daughter (years), if applicable.                                                                |\n| age_son5                           | Age of fifth son (years), if applicable.                                                                      |\n| age_daughter5                      | Age of fifth daughter (years), if applicable.                                                                 |\n| son_ct                             | Count/summary field recording number of sons (secondary count variable).                                     |\n| daughter_ct                        | Count/summary field recording number of daughters (secondary count variable).                                |\n| oldest_son                         | -                                                                                                           |\n| oldest_daughter                    | -                                                                                                           |\n| oldest_gender                      | -                                                                                                           |\n| dem65                              | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1965 (alternate coding).                             |\n| dem73                              | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1973.                                                |\n| attend_college73                   | Indicator or coding for whether the respondent attended college by 1973.                                     |\n| income73                           | Respondent or household income measure recorded in 1973 (coded/scale).                                       |\n| father_college                     | Indicator whether respondent\u2019s father had a college education.                                               |\n| mother_college                     | Indicator whether respondent\u2019s mother had a college education.                                               |\n| democrat_dad                       | Indicator whether the respondent\u2019s father identified as a Democrat (parent report).                          |\n| democrat_mom                       | Indicator whether the respondent\u2019s mother identified as a Democrat (parent report).                          |\n| party_mom                          | Mother\u2019s party identification (multi-category coding).                                                       |\n| party_dad                          | Father\u2019s party identification (multi-category coding).                                                       |\n| parent_dem                         | Summary indicator capturing parental Democratic identification (aggregated/derived).                         |\n| parent_johnson                     | Parent-level indicator of support for Johnson (historical/candidate response).                               |\n| parent_ed_father                   | Father\u2019s educational attainment (coded level).                                                               |\n| parent_ed_mother                   | Mother\u2019s educational attainment (coded level).                                                               |\n| parent_div_sep65                   | Indicator indicating whether parents were divorced/separated as of 1965.                                     |\n| parent_close_to_child              | Measure of parent\u2019s reported closeness to the child (coded scale).                                           |\n| parent_hoh_ed                      | Education level of the household head (parental education variable).                                         |\n| parent_age                         | Parent\u2019s age (years) as recorded.                                                                             |\n| parent_first_gen                   | Indicator whether a parent was first-generation (e.g., immigrant) (coded).                                   |\n| parent_grew_up_farm                | Indicator whether a parent grew up on a farm.                                                                 |\n| parent_rel_attend                  | Parent\u2019s religious attendance/frequency (coded).                                                              |\n| parent_fam_inc                     | Parent/family income (coded/scale).                                                                           |\n| parent_own_home                    | Indicator for whether the respondent\u2019s parents owned their home.                                              |\n| parent_polq_correct                | -                                                                                                           |\n| parent_sex                         | -                                                                                                           |\n| parent_white                       | Indicator for parent(s) being white (race coding).                                                            |\n| parent_education                   | Summary parent education variable (coded level or index).                                                     |\n| party_id65                         | Respondent\u2019s party identification measure in 1965 (multi-category).                                           |\n| party_id73                         | Respondent\u2019s party identification measure in 1973 (multi-category).                                           |\n| share_sis                          | Proportion/share of the respondent\u2019s siblings who are female (computed share of sisters).                     |\n| birth_order                        | Respondent\u2019s birth order among siblings (e.g., 1st, 2nd).                                                     |\n| age_gap                            | Age gap to nearest sibling or age difference measure (coded).                                                 |\n| new_party73                        | Recoded or alternative party identification variable for 1973.                                                |\n| nixon72                            | Indicator of support/vote for Richard Nixon in 1972.                                                          |\n| nixon68                            | Indicator of support/vote for Richard Nixon in 1968.                                                          |\n| humphrey                           | Indicator of support/vote for Hubert Humphrey (1968).                                                         |\n| var1                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| var2                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| var3                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| var4                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| var5                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| var6                               | -                                                                                                           |\n| index73                            | Composite index or summary political/ideological score constructed for the 1973 wave.                         |\n| num_sib                            | Total number of siblings (count).                                                                             |\n| ideology82                         | Self-placement on an ideological scale in 1982.                                                               |\n| womens_rights82                    | Response to a 1982 question about women\u2019s role (gender-role item).                                            |\n| past_womens_rights82               | Respondent\u2019s recollection/perception in 1982 about earlier women\u2019s-role attitudes (coded).                     |\n| accused_rights82                   | Attitude toward rights of the accused as measured in 1982.                                                    |\n| index82                            | Composite index or summary political/ideological score for 1982.                                              |\n| party_id82                         | Respondent party identification in 1982 (multi-category).                                                      |\n| dem82                              | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1982.                                                 |\n| womens_rights97                    | Measure of gender-role attitudes in 1997 (e.g., items on mothers working/remaining at home).                   |\n| trad_fam97                         | Indicator or scale capturing traditional family attitudes in 1997.                                             |\n| raise_kid97                        | Attitudes in 1997 concerning child-rearing or who should raise kids (coded).                                  |\n| index97                            | Composite index or summary political/ideological score for 1997.                                              |\n| party_id97                         | Respondent party identification in 1997 (multi-category).                                                      |\n| nonwhite                           | Race indicator (nonwhite) \u2014 later or alternate coding for respondent race.                                     |\n| parent_type                        | -                                                                                                           |\n| parent_party                       | Summary/combined parental party identification (derived variable).                                            |\n| spouse_more                        | Indicator reporting whether spouse does more housework/chores (respondent\u2019s report).                          |\n| newindex73                         | Alternative or newly constructed index for the 1973 wave.                                                     |\n| female                             | Binary indicator for respondent\u2019s sex (female = 1).                                                            |\n| numsib_1                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 1 sibling (dummy).                                     |\n| numsib_2                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 2 siblings (dummy).                                    |\n| numsib_3                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 3 siblings (dummy).                                    |\n| numsib_4                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 4 siblings (dummy).                                    |\n| numsib_5                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 5 siblings (dummy).                                    |\n| numsib_6                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 6 siblings (dummy).                                    |\n| numsib_7                           | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 7 or more siblings (dummy).                            |\n\nData Description: This file is a harmonized respondent-level extract that primarily draws on the University of Michigan Political Socialization Panel (PSP) instrument across multiple waves (beginning with a cohort interviewed as high\u2011school seniors in 1965 and reinterviewed in 1973, 1982 and 1997). The table contains repeated measures of political attitudes and party identification, demographic and household composition variables (including detailed sibling counts and ages), parental background measures, respondent family/child variables, and a set of derived indexes and recodings used for analysis. The data were collected via longitudinal panel interviews and coded into survey\u2011scale and indicator variables; PSU captures the original sampling clusters and several fields are constructed summaries (e.g., indexes and share variables).\n","file_sha256":"0ba55061af1b3a2039d9e9672b3f5b03dac200d04adf6427c58a4488383f06fa","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]},"ref_iv":{"description_shown":"","file_sha256":"0ba55061af1b3a2039d9e9672b3f5b03dac200d04adf6427c58a4488383f06fa","frame_sha256":null,"role":"reference","transforms":[{"args":{"query":"female == 0"},"op":"filter"},{"args":{"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]},"op":"select"},{"args":{"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]},"op":"dropna"}]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the causal effect of increasing the share of a respondent's siblings who are female (share_sis) on a male respondent's 1973 gender-role attitude (womens_rights73) in the PSP sample of men with at least one younger sibling?","question_sha256":"cf408bfbcdd61562cb0baa291156084eba594ce71b5c211843142c8923e0745d","run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","task_sha256":"2acedd996aab2b150b5ee01dd53d9d49b4bf81b88294b9a1b193c43d645c11a5","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.897857Z"}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_b46af883","dataset_id":"ref_iv","epoch":1,"event":"transform","frame_sha256_after":"07632edb81f577aa07e2dd7b3eb5872ada21f5589a64dfcc2fb9140dd5e2efd6","frame_sha256_before":"07632edb81f577aa07e2dd7b3eb5872ada21f5589a64dfcc2fb9140dd5e2efd6","index":0,"rows_after":459,"rows_before":459,"run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":1,"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.897857Z","transform":{"args":{"query":"female == 0"},"op":"filter"}}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_6df6f63d","dataset_id":"ref_iv","epoch":1,"event":"transform","frame_sha256_after":"63203a78d391c974ddc164d76e4a501b6d48c254fbbe2af371f5c67a4ecc077a","frame_sha256_before":"07632edb81f577aa07e2dd7b3eb5872ada21f5589a64dfcc2fb9140dd5e2efd6","index":1,"rows_after":459,"rows_before":459,"run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":2,"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.902343Z","transform":{"args":{"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]},"op":"select"}}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_39cb0705","dataset_id":"ref_iv","epoch":1,"event":"transform","frame_sha256_after":"eda0b6ee80a16e398634e1d105e9091b8f191b3963cd3ded1cd42bf049000a33","frame_sha256_before":"63203a78d391c974ddc164d76e4a501b6d48c254fbbe2af371f5c67a4ecc077a","index":2,"rows_after":279,"rows_before":459,"run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":3,"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.904511Z","transform":{"args":{"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]},"op":"dropna"}}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_02231d3d","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"reference","model_requested":"reference","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["ec207023463276f29bd19054abbfac8325414686c610d43d2bd76d19ad99faaf"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"17eb90dd1766d01edcab600ce3f2d9771dc126f71f822719f4b62cad89ca785d","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"IV2SLS.from_formula('womens_rights73 ~ 1 + num_sib + [share_sis ~ closest]').fit(cov_type='clustered', clusters=PSU)","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"cluster":"PSU","dataset":"ref_iv","endog":["share_sis"],"exog":["num_sib"],"instruments":["closest"],"y":"womens_rights73"},"llm_name":"infer__iv_2sls","tool_id":"infer.iv_2sls","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":4,"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.919310Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":"PSU","dataset":"ref_iv","endog":["share_sis"],"exog":["num_sib"],"instruments":["closest"],"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"y":"womens_rights73"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_a0108874","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"62cdbe0860ad","dataset_digests":{"ref_iv":"eda0b6ee80a16e398634e1d105e9091b8f191b3963cd3ded1cd42bf049000a33"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":4.155625123530626,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"e29f0c84b76e9c0544df42b3a381e38890731bac43aec98712a0b58fadf7395c","llm_name":"infer__iv_2sls","output_digest":"76822b61fad04a7a4d54e9e25dcebc58ed098d145e0da8d309f4505ff42a475a","rationale":"IV2SLS.from_formula('womens_rights73 ~ 1 + num_sib + [share_sis ~ closest]').fit(cov_type='clustered', clusters=PSU)","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the instruments affect the outcome only through the endogenous regressors (exclusion restriction)","the instruments are as good as randomly assigned given the controls","errors are independent across clusters of 'PSU' and may be correlated within them"],"call_id":"call_a0108874","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"first_stage_F.share_sis","note":"Wald F of the excluded instruments in the first stage for share_sis (cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'PSU')","value":244.4704355339129},{"flag":false,"name":"partial_r2.share_sis","note":"share of the variation the instruments explain beyond the controls","value":0.4805515994665952},{"flag":false,"name":"weak_instrument","note":"every first-stage F is at least 10","value":false},{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"","value":279},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'PSU'","value":"cluster"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"89 clusters of 'PSU'","value":89}],"figures":[{"ci_high":0.33834478741789964,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.002785737294003998,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"\u03b2 = \u03c1 / \u03c0","result":0.17056526235595182,"terms":[{"note":"forma reduzida","symbol":"\u03c1","unit":"","value":0.08316594165404914},{"note":"primeiro est\u00e1gio","symbol":"\u03c0","unit":"","value":0.4875901488105504}],"text_pt":"Com um instrumento e um regressor end\u00f3geno, o MQ2E \u00e9 a raz\u00e3o entre o coeficiente de closest na forma reduzida (womens_rights73 sobre closest e os controles) e no primeiro est\u00e1gio (share_sis sobre closest e os controles).","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.0844262973565769,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.007127799685341145}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":0.17056526235595182},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9872898648311692},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.0844262973565769}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 88 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.share_sis","label":"2SLS effect of share_sis on womens_rights73","se":0.0844262973565769,"unit":"","value":0.17056526235595182}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":0.24389111973731287,"ci_low":0.05535819663726277,"coef":0.14962465818728782,"p":0.0022014699336607964,"se":0.04743468138103421,"t":3.1543304146048756,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":0.06767665573681866,"ci_low":0.014106570603448755,"coef":0.040891613170133706,"p":0.003173059665483026,"se":0.013478176002754626,"t":3.033912983609682,"term":"num_sib"},{"ci_high":0.33834478741789964,"ci_low":0.002785737294003998,"coef":0.17056526235595182,"p":0.046394543048745664,"se":0.0844262973565769,"t":2.0202859499518793,"term":"share_sis"}],"first_stage":[{"ci_high":0.5495632126089723,"ci_low":0.4256170850121285,"coef":0.4875901488105504,"endog":"share_sis","instrument":"closest","p":3.922943631779382e-27,"se":0.031184712857017884,"t":15.635550375151904}],"reduced_form":[{"ci_high":0.16449590565453123,"ci_low":0.0018359776535670502,"coef":0.08316594165404914,"instrument":"closest","p":0.04515354568951129,"se":0.0409250635449658,"t":2.0321518025908945}]},"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"f5a35cdeecd5fa8422fa904998511c7f6eeca7492dad9c3d1adff25411f560c3","result_sha256":"dc6671e2ba6e1b2d113fa989c5c634fab06d96ebad8704cc80a66db4f954d1a1","run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":5,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.921846Z","tool_id":"infer.iv_2sls","turn_id":"call_02231d3d"}
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{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.share_sis = 0,1706. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.","answer_figure":{"call_id":"call_a0108874","ci_high":0.33834478741789964,"ci_low":0.002785737294003998,"formatted":0.17056526235595182,"key":"coef.share_sis","ref":"call_a0108874:coef.share_sis","se":0.0844262973565769,"tool_id":"infer.iv_2sls","unit":"","value":0.17056526235595182},"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_a0108874:coef.share_sis"],"run_id":"20261015T170050Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-8b13b2","seq":8,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"crb_papers.q072","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:00:54.927822Z"}
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