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Board positions held **before the candidate\u2019s first gubernatorial election** are excluded from this measure (i.e., pre-election directorships are not counted). |\n| margin | Vote-share margin relative to the 50% threshold in the candidate\u2019s **first** gubernatorial election (proportion). Constructed so that 0 corresponds to exactly 50% of the vote; negative values indicate the candidate received less than 50% (lost), positive values indicate more than 50% (won). Example: 0.02 = 2 percentage points above 50%. |\n| everwon | Binary indicator equal to 1 if the candidate **ever served as governor** at any point in their career (i.e., won a gubernatorial election at some point and entered/held the office). This is not necessarily the same as winning the first gubernatorial election reflected in `margin`, because some candidates who lose their first race later win a subsequent gubernatorial election and serve. |\n\nDataset Context:\nThis dataset contains candidate-level records for U.S. state gubernatorial candidates drawn from elections spanning the period used in the source study (candidates who ran for or served in office during 1992\u20132012, with each candidate linked to their first gubernatorial election margin). The unit of observation is an individual candidate (not an election-year); candidates are characterized by their first-election vote margin (measured around the 50% threshold) and indicators for later outcomes such as whether they ever served as governor and whether they later held corporate board directorships.\n\nCorporate board membership information comes from BoardEx, which compiles board rosters for publicly traded firms using SEC filings (e.g., proxy statements) and related public disclosures. BoardEx coverage used for these data is 2000\u20132013; board service outside this window is not captured. Candidates were matched to BoardEx records (including manual name matching in the source study) to determine whether they ever served on a board within the observation window. Consistent with the source study\u2019s construction of board outcomes, board positions held prior to a candidate\u2019s first gubernatorial election are excluded from the binary board-service outcome so that it reflects post-election/post-office board participation rather than pre-existing directorships.\n","file_sha256":"983d42557ed7a23b71fa08c5127e692170672a144d93fa3bf6ee7ec53f9bb2a7","format":"csv","frame_sha256":null,"generator":null,"kind":"file","licence":"redistributed by CausalReasoningBenchmark (MIT) under the original replication data's terms","member":null,"object":null,"params":{},"path":null,"read_kw":{},"records":null,"role":"agent","sha256":"983d42557ed7a23b71fa08c5127e692170672a144d93fa3bf6ee7ec53f9bb2a7","transforms":[],"url":"https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/data/ds_0080/data/data.csv"}},"difficulty":"M","id":"crb_papers.q115","level":"T2","meta":{"agent_reach":{"blocked_by":["no_reference_path","no_tool:rdrobust_robust_bias_corrected","no_tool:fuzzy_rd"],"dtypes":{"ds_0080":{"d_board0":"int64","everwon":"int64"}},"named":{"outcome":["d_board0"],"treatment":["everwon"]},"reachable":false,"rule":"magi_bench.reach/1"},"answer_format":{"figure_transform":"identity","round_to":null,"unit_scale":1.0},"cluster":"ds_0080","crb":{"data_path":"data/ds_0080/data/data.csv","dataset_id":"ds_0080","gold":{"ci95":[0.05104947994846676,0.703853863821637],"ci_rule":"effect \u00b1 1.96\u00b7|standard_error| (evaluate_result.ci_bounds)","effect":0.37745167188505185,"standard_error":0.16653173057989035},"identification":{"causal_quantity":"CLATE","cutoff":0,"outcomes":["d_board0"],"running_variable":"margin","strategy":"Regression Discontinuity","treatments":["everwon"],"variant":"fuzzy"},"identification_strategy":"Regression Discontinuity"},"naive":{"dataset":"ds_0080","treatment":"everwon","y":"d_board0"},"native_id":"115","reference_path":{"calls":[],"needs":["no_tool:rdrobust_robust_bias_corrected","no_tool:fuzzy_rd"],"provenance":"none","quotes":{},"reference_datasets":[],"source_id":"crb_papers.q115.script"}},"question":"Among candidates whose electoral outcomes are marginal enough that winning changes their probability of ever holding office, what is the effect of having served as governor on the probability of ever serving on a corporate board?","requires":[],"runner":null,"sources":["crb_papers.q115.gold","crb_papers.q115.script"],"split":"public","suite":"crb_papers","tags":["econ-bench","external","crb","rd","ref_none"],"target":"agent","tool":null,"truth":"CausalReasoningBenchmark gold at the pinned revision: causal_queries.json effect and standard_error (the value the item's estimation.py prints), scored as evaluate_result.py scores estimate_within_solution_ci"}