{"call_id":"call_9b6e0315","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_td","index":0,"op":"select","args":{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"a5a16e216dcdad72f0250b5ec46bf9ee69061bfc3afb800a71a5d2cd7027847b","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.546695Z","duration_ms":0.38350000977516174,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_b2b33d9a","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_td","index":1,"op":"dropna","args":{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.559652Z","duration_ms":0.5961661227047443,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_96e31635","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_td","index":2,"op":"filter","args":{"query":"upp_post == 1"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":2127,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"4d2583acd8a222a8ac6361ea9d020797128a4e6ed60f00f4e2024d37a67a3f3b"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.571353Z","duration_ms":1.3313330709934235,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_e2df08be","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_td","index":3,"op":"collapse","args":{"by":["complexo_id"],"aggs":[{"name":"td","column":"date","fn":"min"}]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":2127,"rows_after":37,"frame_sha256_before":"4d2583acd8a222a8ac6361ea9d020797128a4e6ed60f00f4e2024d37a67a3f3b","frame_sha256_after":"1ccb5551ea291e4af95d21fcb5503e9c4f31d4200790ca9f81a090547887916e"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.583930Z","duration_ms":9.56866703927517,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_04e9171c","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_pre","index":0,"op":"select","args":{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"a5a16e216dcdad72f0250b5ec46bf9ee69061bfc3afb800a71a5d2cd7027847b","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.604285Z","duration_ms":0.5162910092622042,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_c8d3692a","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_pre","index":1,"op":"dropna","args":{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.621813Z","duration_ms":0.316249905154109,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_baa2a664","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_pre","index":2,"op":"filter","args":{"query":"date >= 594 and date <= 605"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":3420,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"3d8402cee8e45d2c10f1adde7d6be4f566666c0ae69d17d7bdf8913c00e697b2"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.631991Z","duration_ms":1.6409161034971476,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_6ef576ae","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_pre","index":3,"op":"collapse","args":{"by":["complexo_id"],"aggs":[{"name":"y0","column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean"},{"name":"bope0","column":"bope","fn":"mean"}]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":3420,"rows_after":285,"frame_sha256_before":"3d8402cee8e45d2c10f1adde7d6be4f566666c0ae69d17d7bdf8913c00e697b2","frame_sha256_after":"b31636c80119dac6b2bedc60eb27ba63820cf9e049fd723ad5b774d1a7667b27"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.641225Z","duration_ms":4.33654198423028,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_16ad5d5b","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_post","index":0,"op":"select","args":{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"a5a16e216dcdad72f0250b5ec46bf9ee69061bfc3afb800a71a5d2cd7027847b","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.692396Z","duration_ms":0.732499873265624,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_763816b7","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_post","index":1,"op":"dropna","args":{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.738537Z","duration_ms":0.4092501476407051,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_ea7e5ff5","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_post","index":2,"op":"filter","args":{"query":"date >= 606 and date <= 617"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":3420,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"e510be771875f43b2e83c6df63f6f8461bd53ada01b1365b1ebb6438e119b86e"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.742536Z","duration_ms":1.739166909828782,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_1ac5ef11","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_post","index":3,"op":"collapse","args":{"by":["complexo_id"],"aggs":[{"name":"y1","column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean"},{"name":"bope1","column":"bope","fn":"mean"}]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":3420,"rows_after":285,"frame_sha256_before":"e510be771875f43b2e83c6df63f6f8461bd53ada01b1365b1ebb6438e119b86e","frame_sha256_after":"90a230e2dc74003f91c9e57f45290224c4c4277396400b6279a21115e2601ad8"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.750833Z","duration_ms":3.917875001206994,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_188030c2","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":0,"op":"select","args":{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"a5a16e216dcdad72f0250b5ec46bf9ee69061bfc3afb800a71a5d2cd7027847b","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.767740Z","duration_ms":0.36604213528335094,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_45bd6f0f","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":1,"op":"dropna","args":{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":36956,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.780778Z","duration_ms":0.8505000732839108,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_58c927dc","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":2,"op":"collapse","args":{"by":["complexo_id"],"aggs":[{"name":"n","column":"autos_rate2","fn":"count"}]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":36956,"rows_after":286,"frame_sha256_before":"3b1627f1ee66af16bff94cd630281c663b2cbf3c79903945489ee9ececed4ae0","frame_sha256_after":"301a2801ada7f1927e40c3a26aa60977d10d3a5b5b031ba1c0c6219ff67446c7"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.812809Z","duration_ms":5.665166070684791,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_dceab227","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":3,"op":"select","args":{"columns":["complexo_id"]}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":286,"rows_after":286,"frame_sha256_before":"301a2801ada7f1927e40c3a26aa60977d10d3a5b5b031ba1c0c6219ff67446c7","frame_sha256_after":"137accc08167a07d0d7b0371a0ac11dce745e6da8261cd3441b2785abefc8fe8"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.832055Z","duration_ms":0.4127922002226114,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_d6958232","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":4,"op":"merge","args":{"with":"ref_td","on":["complexo_id"],"how":"left"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":286,"rows_after":286,"frame_sha256_before":"137accc08167a07d0d7b0371a0ac11dce745e6da8261cd3441b2785abefc8fe8","frame_sha256_after":"2cd0217c33eb5e43704c523e68d5b43c1c8a66b6be585923324710fa969ced72"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.832942Z","duration_ms":1.5152499545365572,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_891ad73f","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":5,"op":"filter","args":{"query":"td == 606 or td != td or td > 617"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":286,"rows_after":272,"frame_sha256_before":"2cd0217c33eb5e43704c523e68d5b43c1c8a66b6be585923324710fa969ced72","frame_sha256_after":"1859c4d25359647b425a2c23c1c06b5c2e5589ac86b84cc8dab0e254c92b4d22"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.834653Z","duration_ms":0.43708295561373234,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_c4e86efb","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":6,"op":"merge","args":{"with":"ref_pre","on":["complexo_id"],"how":"inner"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":272,"rows_after":271,"frame_sha256_before":"1859c4d25359647b425a2c23c1c06b5c2e5589ac86b84cc8dab0e254c92b4d22","frame_sha256_after":"b0c994396d24c5e76fcc3757b2fae6bf41b7deb5419b41ed4a341435c6806761"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.835300Z","duration_ms":1.2411251664161682,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_03f3b6de","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":7,"op":"merge","args":{"with":"ref_post","on":["complexo_id"],"how":"inner"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":271,"rows_after":271,"frame_sha256_before":"b0c994396d24c5e76fcc3757b2fae6bf41b7deb5419b41ed4a341435c6806761","frame_sha256_after":"74f3e1da70aa7113f8f0cca78ffd3fbd4b4f2ce787cc440d0c4a586f2aebedca"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.836798Z","duration_ms":1.036499859765172,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_b5f31eff","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":8,"op":"derive","args":{"name":"treated","op":"indicator","args":{"column":"td","cmp":"eq","value":606}}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":271,"rows_after":271,"frame_sha256_before":"74f3e1da70aa7113f8f0cca78ffd3fbd4b4f2ce787cc440d0c4a586f2aebedca","frame_sha256_after":"cee8b2e1635df8f68d541231fb63c6d900172810e83b2c93c4e9c5071698b5dd"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.838127Z","duration_ms":0.3290001768618822,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_499027af","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":9,"op":"derive","args":{"name":"treated","op":"map","args":{"column":"treated","mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}],"default":0,"keep_unmapped":false}}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":271,"rows_after":271,"frame_sha256_before":"cee8b2e1635df8f68d541231fb63c6d900172810e83b2c93c4e9c5071698b5dd","frame_sha256_after":"3c27cd326a9ad422bd579b6fe386c546bb21136c0f76551e94e816efd93ab838"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.838778Z","duration_ms":0.29745791107416153,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_bc405610","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":10,"op":"reshape_long","args":{"id":["complexo_id"],"stubs":["y","bope"],"j":"post"}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":271,"rows_after":542,"frame_sha256_before":"3c27cd326a9ad422bd579b6fe386c546bb21136c0f76551e94e816efd93ab838","frame_sha256_after":"a05d629f2aefc76583807901e4b741356509fe2867c3edc2f23a3a943026f294"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.839392Z","duration_ms":9.685584111139178,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_caed4ef7","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"data","kind":"note","name":"data.transform","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","index":11,"op":"derive","args":{"name":"interaction","op":"interaction","args":{"columns":["treated","post"]}}},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":{"rows_before":542,"rows_after":542,"frame_sha256_before":"a05d629f2aefc76583807901e4b741356509fe2867c3edc2f23a3a943026f294","frame_sha256_after":"08a9abb05cbf0e6ac722e2f9623361707b093718d3946fa0affd09deadbafbfb"},"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.849888Z","duration_ms":0.35620806738734245,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{}}
{"call_id":"call_79383644","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"llm","name":"llm.analyst.scripted","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"tools":["calc__annuity","calc__breakeven","calc__combine","calc__discount","calc__fiscal_impact","core__atkinson","core__equivalent_variation","core__fgt","core__gini","core__indirect_incidence","core__kakwani","core__mvpf","core__palma","core__quantile_shares","core__reynolds_smolensky","core__scale_effect","core__theil","core__welfare_change","data__cite","data__describe","data__siconfi","data__sidra","evidence__pool_dl","infer__ate","infer__density_test","infer__did_2x2","infer__did_staggered","infer__event_study","infer__fe","infer__fisher_exact","infer__iv_2sls","infer__linear_hypothesis","infer__mde","infer__neyman","infer__ols","infer__power","infer__randomization_inference","infer__rdd","infer__sample_size","infer__twfe","infer__wald_late","submit_answer"],"exemplars":[]},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":null,"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.881747Z","duration_ms":0.0,"error":null,"decided_by":"model","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":"reference","prompt":"# Role\nYou are MAGI's economist. A municipal analyst in Brazil asks a question; you answer it by choosing registered tools and their arguments. The tools compute every number. Your job is to recognise how the data were generated, pick the tool whose design matches, read what it reports, and say what the result means for the analyst.\n\n# Rules\n1. You never compute a number. Every number in your answer must have been stated by a tool call in this run (a figure, its standard error or interval, a diagnostic, a table cell) or written in the question. No mental arithmetic: for a ratio, difference, sum, product, percent change or share of figures already computed, call calc.combine; to restate a log-point coefficient as a percent or an effect in standard deviations, call core.scale_effect.\n2. Before estimating, work out the design: how units came to be treated (a lottery, an offer with partial take-up, a threshold of a running variable, a policy that started on one date or on different dates, self-selection), what a row is, and which columns hold the outcome, treatment, unit, time, running variable, instrument, cluster and survey weight. Call data.describe when the columns are unclear. Then choose the tool whose \"Use when\" matches and heed its \"Avoid when\".\n3. Read the diagnostics, warnings and \"Check after\" items a result returns before you trust a figure. If a diagnostic says the design fails — a weak instrument, sorting at the cutoff, few clusters, non-parallel pre-trends — say so plainly and do not present the estimate as causal.\n4. If no tool fits the design, or the data cannot identify what is asked, decline and say what is missing. Never invent a design, a column or a number.\n5. A tool that errors or declines returns its reason; fix the arguments and call again, or choose another tool.\n6. Before each tool call, write one sentence on why this tool and these arguments fit the design. It is recorded as your rationale.\n7. Finish with submit_answer. Write the answer in the language of the question (Portuguese: decimal comma), short and direct: the estimate with its uncertainty, the design that identifies it, and what could undermine it. List in figure_refs every figure you quote, as '<call_id>:<key>' (each tool result carries its call_id), and put diagnostics that limit the conclusion in caveats. Write numbers as the tools stated them; do not quote rule-of-thumb thresholds as numbers.\n\n# Datasets\nPass a dataset's id as the `dataset` argument.\n{\n \"id\": \"ds_0023\",\n \"rows\": 36956,\n \"description\": \"| Variable Name | Description |\\n| --- | --- |\\n| complexo_id | Stable numeric identifier for each favela complex (a cluster of adjacent favelas) used as the unit of observation across months. |\\n| upp_post | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when a Pacifying Police Unit is formally active in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. Reflects the period of permanent community-policing presence established by the state. |\\n| bope | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when the Special Police Operations Battalion (BOPE) or the armed forces maintained an occupation/stabilization presence in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. In the administrative records used here, these occupation periods are coded separately from the permanent posts. |\\n| date | Integer month index running from 540 through 677 in this extract; an increase of 1 denotes one month. Use these recorded indices to select periods; no calendar-date conversion is specified here. |\\n| autos_rate2 | Monthly rate per 100,000 residents of deaths officially registered as “Autos de Resistência” (fatalities during police operations) within the complexo. Incidents were geocoded to complexo boundaries and aggregated by month; rates use population estimates as denominators. |\\n| complexo2 | Auxiliary numeric field carried over from the source export related to the complexo dimension; no substantive documentation provided in the materials. |\\n\\nDataset Context:\\nThis panel assembles monthly records for favela complexes in Rio de Janeiro during a period when the state created permanent policing posts in selected territories. It integrates two administrative sources: (1) public security records on deaths registered during police operations (locally termed “Autos de Resistência” in the period covered) and (2) program logs detailing when permanent posts were active and when occupation/stabilization forces (BOPE or the armed forces) were present. Security incidents were geocoded to mapped complex boundaries, aggregated to the complex–month level, and converted to rates per 100,000 using census-based population estimates for each complex.\\n\\nThe spatial unit—a complexo—groups adjacent favelas that share borders and, in practice, correspond to the operational footprint of policing deployments. The temporal resolution is monthly, spanning indices 540–677, a phase that includes the roll‑out and consolidation of permanent posts and earlier occupation phases. In the coding scheme used here, occupation/stabilization months and permanent‑post months are tracked with nonoverlapping indicators.\\n\\nFor the comparison centered on first UPP activation at index 589, the earlier window is 577–588 and the later window is 589–600; comparison complexes remain without an active UPP through 600. For first activation at 606, the windows are 594–605 and 606–617, with comparison complexes remaining without an active UPP through 617. Each window contains 12 months. The outcome for each complex and window is its mean monthly fatal-shooting rate, not a cumulative count; the occupation indicator is likewise averaged within each window.\\n\\nMeasurement follows local administrative definitions in effect at the time. “Autos de Resistência” reflects fatalities recorded as resulting from confrontations with police; these events were manually geocoded and then aggregated to complex–month cells. Rates normalize counts by resident population to facilitate comparisons across differently sized complexes and over time. As with any administrative system, users should be mindful of potential changes in reporting practices, geocoding precision, and population denominators when interpreting temporal or cross‑sectional variation.\\n\",\n \"columns\": {\n  \"complexo_id\": \"int64\",\n  \"upp_post\": \"int64\",\n  \"bope\": \"int64\",\n  \"date\": \"int64\",\n  \"autos_rate2\": \"float64\",\n  \"complexo2\": \"float64\"\n }\n}\n{\n \"id\": \"ref_panel\",\n \"rows\": 542,\n \"description\": \"Two rows per unit (window means before and from date 606): units first treated at 606 and units not treated by 617, each with rows in both windows\",\n \"columns\": {\n  \"complexo_id\": \"int64\",\n  \"post\": \"int64\",\n  \"td\": \"float64\",\n  \"treated\": \"float64\",\n  \"y\": \"float64\",\n  \"bope\": \"float64\",\n  \"interaction\": \"float64\"\n }\n}\n{\n \"id\": \"ref_post\",\n \"rows\": 285,\n \"description\": \"Each unit's mean autos_rate2 (y1) and bope (bope1) over dates 606-617\",\n \"columns\": {\n  \"complexo_id\": \"int64\",\n  \"y1\": \"float64\",\n  \"bope1\": \"float64\"\n }\n}\n{\n \"id\": \"ref_pre\",\n \"rows\": 285,\n \"description\": \"Each unit's mean autos_rate2 (y0) and bope (bope0) over dates 594-605\",\n \"columns\": {\n  \"complexo_id\": \"int64\",\n  \"y0\": \"float64\",\n  \"bope0\": \"float64\"\n }\n}\n{\n \"id\": \"ref_td\",\n \"rows\": 37,\n \"description\": \"Each unit's first date with upp_post == 1 (td)\",\n \"columns\": {\n  \"complexo_id\": \"int64\",\n  \"td\": \"int64\"\n }\n}\n\n# Question\nAmong favela complexes where a UPP first became active at month index 606, how did the average monthly rate of fatal police shootings (Autos de Resistencia) per 100,000 residents change from month indices 594–605 to 606–617, relative to complexes that remained without an active UPP through 617, accounting for BOPE or armed-forces occupation?","response":"sm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)\ninfer__ols({\"dataset\": \"ref_panel\", \"y\": \"y\", \"x\": [\"interaction\"], \"controls\": [\"treated\", \"post\", \"bope\"], \"cluster\": \"complexo_id\"})","tokens_in":0,"tokens_out":0,"meta":{"turn_call_id":"call_79383644","text":"sm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)","tool_calls":[{"vendor_id":"script_1","llm_name":"infer__ols","tool_id":"infer.ols","args":{"dataset":"ref_panel","y":"y","x":["interaction"],"controls":["treated","post","bope"],"cluster":"complexo_id"}}],"request":{"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"f8293cbed10633a906a4a12e9b8ad10c3b3ac93caad1289b8d2485f5d7614d45","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b","contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["63753e943d89899b80517869b33914f28eac1155d5ed0edcd9c4308a4b3c88a3"],"config":{}},"attempts":[],"response_id":null,"finish_reason":"tool_use","model_reported":"reference","usage":{"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0,"cached":0},"thoughts":null,"vendor":false,"wall_ms":0.7950419094413519}}
{"call_id":"call_526ed370","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"tool","name":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{"dataset":"ref_panel","y":"y","x":["interaction"],"controls":["treated","post","bope"],"fe":[],"cluster":"complexo_id","se":"HC1","weights":null,"subset":null,"intercept":true,"level":0.95},"input_digest":"ea1dbae09407a79de8b8ddf4170b8653c359ad9444f62faf42c4cbc6dde5e685","dataset_digests":{"ref_panel":"08a9abb05cbf0e6ac722e2f9623361707b093718d3946fa0affd09deadbafbfb"},"result":{"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","call_id":"call_526ed370","status":"ok","reason":"","figures":[{"key":"coef.interaction","value":-2.1740686776929077,"unit":"","label":"Coefficient on interaction in the regression of y","se":0.41717801834785523,"ci_low":-2.995404180366738,"ci_high":-1.352733175019077,"ci_level":0.95,"derivation":{"steps":[{"text_pt":"Coeficiente de interaction na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de y.","formula":"","terms":[{"symbol":"n","value":542.0,"unit":"observações","note":""},{"symbol":"k","value":5.0,"unit":"parâmetros","note":""}],"result":-2.1740686776929077,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.","formula":"ep = √V_jj","terms":[{"symbol":"V_jj","value":0.17403749899264342,"unit":"","note":"diagonal da matriz de covariância"}],"result":0.41717801834785523,"unit":""},{"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 270 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.","formula":"IC = β ± c · ep","terms":[{"symbol":"β","value":-2.1740686776929077,"unit":"","note":""},{"symbol":"c","value":1.9687890218342643,"unit":"","note":"quantil 0.975"},{"symbol":"ep","value":0.41717801834785523,"unit":"","note":""}],"result":null,"unit":""}],"note_pt":""}}],"diagnostics":[{"name":"n_obs","value":542,"flag":false,"note":"observations used"},{"name":"k","value":5,"flag":false,"note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included"},{"name":"r2","value":0.0015502966885545533,"flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"df_resid","value":537,"flag":false,"note":""},{"name":"se_type","value":"cluster","flag":false,"note":"cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'complexo_id'"},{"name":"n_clusters","value":271,"flag":false,"note":"271 clusters of 'complexo_id'"}],"tables":{"coefficients":[{"term":"Intercept","coef":1.4500658548675949,"se":0.27220586622005927,"t":5.3270925972451995,"p":2.1052321435964518e-7,"ci_low":0.9141499337746558,"ci_high":1.9859817759605338},{"term":"interaction","coef":-2.1740686776929077,"se":0.41717801834785523,"t":-5.211369204693105,"p":3.728118372407259e-7,"ci_low":-2.995404180366738,"ci_high":-1.352733175019077},{"term":"treated","coef":0.8214397462346159,"se":0.26794110843499375,"t":3.065747361547206,"p":0.0023914060858454622,"ci_low":0.293920233449696,"ci_high":1.3489592590195358},{"term":"post","coef":0.10059855518261604,"se":0.30191163313181324,"t":0.333205296328198,"p":0.7392379172187712,"ci_low":-0.4938017536913518,"ci_high":0.694998864056584},{"term":"bope","coef":-1.988014739120589,"se":0.44658385288438934,"t":-4.451604611945613,"p":0.000012481984273276874,"ci_low":-2.8672441260078227,"ci_high":-1.108785352233355}]},"datasets":{},"warnings":[],"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across clusters of 'complexo_id' and may be correlated within them"],"notes":""},"outputs":null,"output_digest":"06a0eff9f0f6bb87f5f17db36b1fbf43cf3f9db543f32acc2c95da8990e8da51","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.884852Z","duration_ms":4.116542171686888,"error":null,"decided_by":"model","rationale":"sm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{"turn_id":"call_79383644","llm_name":"infer__ols","vendor_id":"script_1","result_for_model_ref":"c8fe1cbe40db7d8b65cb0b8a515e1bfd2bf31b2e4ee086935af794b02bc9208c"}}
{"call_id":"call_bb79b943","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"llm","name":"llm.analyst.scripted","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":null,"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.889166Z","duration_ms":0.0,"error":null,"decided_by":"model","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":"reference","prompt":null,"response":"submit_answer({\"answer\": \"Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -2,174. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.\", \"figure_refs\": [\"call_526ed370:coef.interaction\"], \"caveats\": []})","tokens_in":0,"tokens_out":0,"meta":{"turn_call_id":"call_bb79b943","text":"","tool_calls":[{"vendor_id":"script_2","llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"args":{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -2,174. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.","figure_refs":["call_526ed370:coef.interaction"],"caveats":[]}}],"request":{"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"f8293cbed10633a906a4a12e9b8ad10c3b3ac93caad1289b8d2485f5d7614d45","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b","contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["63753e943d89899b80517869b33914f28eac1155d5ed0edcd9c4308a4b3c88a3","4da8e707a2826389435390b52c0ab0d532febaa27e73a6f2d609a690d2e7c763","61333fba7b9f18107417c493796bcdd75ed12279bc6185fa30653c52769cee47"],"config":{}},"attempts":[],"response_id":null,"finish_reason":"tool_use","model_reported":"reference","usage":{"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0,"cached":0},"thoughts":null,"vendor":false,"wall_ms":0.3062498290091753}}
{"call_id":"call_34bc6ed6","run_id":"20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5/crb_papers.q045/e1a1","step":"analysis","kind":"note","name":"analyst.guard","version":"","code_version":"2925aeab2262","inputs":{},"input_digest":"","dataset_digests":{},"result":null,"outputs":null,"output_digest":"","params_versions":[],"sources":[],"started_at":"2026-10-15T17:09:28.890927Z","duration_ms":0.0,"error":null,"decided_by":"code","rationale":"","cached":false,"informed_by":[],"model":null,"prompt":null,"response":null,"tokens_in":null,"tokens_out":null,"meta":{"turn_id":"call_bb79b943","numbers_found":["-2,174"],"unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"invalid_refs":[],"empty":false,"verdict":"accepted","retries_left":1,"vendor_id":"script_2"}}