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It is built by merging district-level general election returns with donation data maintained by the National Institute on Money in State Politics (FollowTheMoney) for 1990\u20132010. The merge uses state, chamber (upper/lower), year, and district number. Races in which a third-party candidate placed first or second were removed, and observations where the next cycle occurred under new district lines were excluded to maintain consistent district boundaries.\n\nContributions are compiled at the district\u2013election level and classified from individual and organizational donors as reported to state disclosure agencies. Candidate self-financing and party-committee funds are excluded, and monetary aggregates in the source study were adjusted to constant 1990 dollars using the CPI (the variable here is a percentage share). The column dv_money records the Democratic share of total contributions received in the next election cycle within the same district, while rv records the Democratic two-party vote-share margin from the referenced election, providing a measure of the party\u2019s prior electoral standing in that district.\n","file_sha256":"9a673ada692580e12e745a742f61b8906d181a8534796a640daf8eef4aafa504","format":"csv","frame_sha256":null,"generator":null,"kind":"file","licence":"redistributed by CausalReasoningBenchmark (MIT) under the original replication data's terms","member":null,"object":null,"params":{},"path":null,"read_kw":{},"records":null,"role":"agent","sha256":"9a673ada692580e12e745a742f61b8906d181a8534796a640daf8eef4aafa504","transforms":[],"url":"https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/data/ds_0072/data/data.csv"}},"difficulty":"M","id":"crb_papers.q106","level":"T2","meta":{"agent_reach":{"blocked_by":["no_reference_path","no_tool:rdrobust_robust_bias_corrected"],"dtypes":{"ds_0072":{"dv_money":"float64","rv":"float64"}},"named":{"outcome":["dv_money"],"treatment":["rv"]},"reachable":false,"rule":"magi_bench.reach/1"},"answer_format":{"figure_transform":"identity","round_to":null,"unit_scale":1.0},"cluster":"ds_0072","crb":{"data_path":"data/ds_0072/data/data.csv","dataset_id":"ds_0072","gold":{"ci95":[17.182584179417805,22.759586779777703],"ci_rule":"effect \u00b1 1.96\u00b7|standard_error| (evaluate_result.ci_bounds)","effect":19.971085479597754,"standard_error":1.42270474498977},"identification":{"causal_quantity":"CATE","cutoff":0.0,"outcomes":["dv_money"],"running_variable":"rv","strategy":"Regression Discontinuity","treatments":["rv"],"variant":"sharp"},"identification_strategy":"Regression Discontinuity"},"naive":{"dataset":"ds_0072","treatment":"rv","y":"dv_money"},"native_id":"106","reference_path":{"calls":[],"needs":["no_tool:rdrobust_robust_bias_corrected"],"provenance":"none","quotes":{},"reference_datasets":[],"source_id":"crb_papers.q106.script"}},"question":"What is the average effect of party incumbency on the Democratic Party's share of total campaign contributions in the subsequent election cycle among state legislative districts with very close prior elections?","requires":[],"runner":null,"sources":["crb_papers.q106.gold","crb_papers.q106.script"],"split":"public","suite":"crb_papers","tags":["econ-bench","external","crb","rd","ref_none"],"target":"agent","tool":null,"truth":"CausalReasoningBenchmark gold at the pinned revision: causal_queries.json effect and standard_error (the value the item's estimation.py prints), scored as evaluate_result.py scores estimate_within_solution_ci"}