{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"ds_0040":{"description_shown":"| Variable Name | Description |\n|---------------|-------------|\n| (Unnamed) | Leading CSV observation index / row identifier imported with the file (simple sequential identifier for each row). |\n| statea | Numeric country identifier used to label each country observation in the panel (author/internal country code). |\n| log_HRVOTE | Natural logarithm of HRVOTE, a constructed measure of foreign-policy voting similarity/convergence (higher values indicate greater alignment as operationalized in the study). |\n| log_tot_trade | Natural logarithm of total bilateral trade (exports + imports) between China and the country in a given year (trade volume). |\n| statea_trade_gdp100 | Bilateral trade with China expressed as a percentage of the country\u2019s GDP (scaled by 100). |\n| Joint_Dem_Dum | Binary indicator (0/1) denoting whether the dyad is jointly classified as democracies in that year (1 = both democracies, 0 = otherwise). |\n| log_cinc | Natural logarithm of the country\u2019s Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) \u2014 a standard measure of material national capabilities. |\n| log_tot_ustrade | Natural logarithm of total bilateral trade between the country and the United States for the given year. |\n| us_aid100 | Amount of U.S. bilateral aid received by the country in that year, scaled by a factor of 100 (as provided in the replication dataset). |\n| dummy2004 | Indicator variable equal to 1 for observations from the year 2004 and 0 otherwise (year-specific flag). |\n| pts_score | Numeric PTS score included by the authors to capture a policy/preference-related index (operationalization and scale are described in the paper). |\n| lag_log_energ_prod | One-period lag of the natural logarithm of the country\u2019s energy production (e.g., national oil/energy output in the prior year). |\n\nData Description: This is a country-year panel assembled for the study period referenced in the paper (1992\u20132006) that combines bilateral economic statistics and country-level indicators for countries in Africa and Latin America. The dataset merges logged trade flows with measures derived from diplomatic behavior, state capability indices, trade shares relative to GDP, regime-type indicators, U.S. trade and aid flows, and lagged energy-production figures; many variables are log-transformed or scaled for comparability. Source material derives from standard international datasets and author-constructed series (trade statistics, capability indexes, voting/preference measures, aid records and national energy statistics), and the provided file has been pre-processed to a country-year format with the identifiers and derived variables noted above.\n","file_sha256":"d34afa1c24ebcac28cef02b19848bdd6ce412bbdd7c128a423c1699b072c789c","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]},"ref_iv":{"description_shown":"","file_sha256":"d34afa1c24ebcac28cef02b19848bdd6ce412bbdd7c128a423c1699b072c789c","frame_sha256":null,"role":"reference","transforms":[{"args":{"columns":["log_HRVOTE","log_tot_trade","lag_log_energ_prod","log_cinc","us_aid100","log_tot_ustrade","Joint_Dem_Dum","pts_score","dummy2004","statea"]},"op":"select"},{"args":{"columns":["log_HRVOTE","log_tot_trade","lag_log_energ_prod","log_cinc","us_aid100","log_tot_ustrade","Joint_Dem_Dum","pts_score","dummy2004","statea"]},"op":"dropna"},{"args":{"column":"statea","drop_first":true,"prefix":"statea"},"op":"dummies"}]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the causal effect of changes in bilateral trade volume with China (log_tot_trade) on a country's foreign-policy voting alignment (log_HRVOTE) at the country-year level?","question_sha256":"e3f94bcc13e8d81cd94228d4b092b8ab605eab00dc3180b51c1b3644d7ed231e","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"crb_papers.q070","task_sha256":"5130a3eaf9676f50a592a15c61ecd02b7eb8826ebe64ea79f3dfc9e07662dd4e","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:29.284114Z"}
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