{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"ds_0062":{"description_shown":"| Variable Name | Description                                                                                                       |\n|---------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|\n| voted         | Binary indicator (1/0) that the parent cast a ballot in the 2013 Danish municipal election, validated from official polling-place records. |\n| days          | Child\u2019s age in days relative to the legal voting-age threshold on the election day (0 = eligibility birthday falls on election day; negative = days before reaching eligibility; positive = days after). Values may appear at half-day increments due to preprocessing. |\n\nData Description: \nThis file is a de-identified extract of Danish administrative data centered on parents whose child was near the legal voting-age threshold at the time of the 2013 municipal election. Each row corresponds to one parent linked to one child whose birthday placed them within a specified window around the eligibility age on election day, recording whether the parent voted and the child\u2019s relative age in days.\n\nThe dataset was constructed by linking national population registers (which include exact dates of birth and parent\u2013child links via the Civil Registration System) with validated turnout from official polling-place voter lists compiled by municipalities for the 2013 election. For 2013, the turnout linkage covered virtually the entire electorate nationwide. The resulting file contains de-identified records that provide a clean snapshot of parent voting behavior and precise child age timing relative to the legal voting-age threshold.","file_sha256":"06dff6b0accab2e782a7472db15c53c011f38238a7452377d4752d939be017e4","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Among Danish parents whose child's age is near the voting eligibility threshold in 2013, what is the average causal effect of the child becoming eligible to vote on the parent's probability of voting in that election?","question_sha256":"efec5af69a7f4092a7e8488a1bdbd83878cee5f777fa014feda38c7c129dc513","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"crb_papers.q094","task_sha256":"442af0dbcc37758d287dcafcec1f8c0a8a470c9dd738bca40a88924975abfb1d","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.073530Z"}
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{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"controls":[],"dataset":"ds_0062","fe":[],"intercept":true,"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"weights":null,"x":["days"],"y":"voted"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_87982fea","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"ds_0062":"7930fae5158b7b2b09214dc5a8af5e75ad09a7488e3b3a99c585a0f36df352f9"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":26.09079098328948,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"5427791be8bd97f5007e737c32616bbc75bda5362e6f3a38d97da62a442c8f00","llm_name":"infer__ols","output_digest":"4787234a6e61ea5c5750c708dfa90488dfa7a221f200679e457c97a5ebe13bff","rationale":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across observations; their variance may differ"],"call_id":"call_87982fea","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"observations used","value":132003},{"flag":false,"name":"k","note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included","value":2},{"flag":false,"name":"r2","note":"","value":0.000792683701642094},{"flag":false,"name":"df_resid","note":"","value":132001},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":0.00013212907879425824,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":8.982643417571223e-05,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"","result":0.00011097775648498524,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"observa\u00e7\u00f5es","value":132003.0},{"note":"","symbol":"k","unit":"par\u00e2metros","value":2.0}],"text_pt":"Coeficiente de days na regress\u00e3o por m\u00ednimos quadrados ordin\u00e1rios de voted.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":1.0791590321071909e-05,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":1.164584216578529e-10}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":0.00011097775648498524},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.959981956317638},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":1.0791590321071909e-05}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 132001 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.days","label":"Coefficient on days in the regression of voted","se":1.0791590321071909e-05,"unit":"","value":0.00011097775648498524}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":0.7744197583945617,"ci_low":0.7698908625327093,"coef":0.7721553104636355,"p":0.0,"se":0.0011553412130286057,"t":668.335295024672,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":0.00013212907879425824,"ci_low":8.982643417571223e-05,"coef":0.00011097775648498524,"p":8.525756136463398e-25,"se":1.0791590321071909e-05,"t":10.283725862747728,"term":"days"}]},"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"65a70c1caa3f05fe1ac353bcb82f14c0aabb95b1bbc121e41e3a86f0999c9b34","result_sha256":"fc965f563225b1b0090ed9dceb7f20671befc15baea937042b5b0f86913c4f7d","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"crb_papers.q094","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.077139Z","tool_id":"infer.ols","turn_id":"call_2697a709"}
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