{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"ds_0063":{"description_shown":"| Variable Name | Description                                                                                                                                                |\n|---------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|\n| voted         | Validated indicator that the parent voted in the 2014 European Parliament election (1 = voted, 0 = did not vote), sourced from official polling records.  |\n| days          | Child\u2019s age in days relative to the legal voting-age threshold on the election date (0 = threshold date; negative = days before, positive = days after).  |\n\nData Description: \nThis dataset is a de-identified extract from Danish administrative records compiled for a study on intergenerational links in civic participation. Each observation corresponds to a parent in Denmark who is linked in the civil registry to a focal child whose age around the time of the 2014 European Parliament election is used to compute a centered age measure in days. The file includes a validated indicator of whether the parent cast a ballot in that election and a measure of the child\u2019s age in days relative to the legal voting-age threshold (zero at the threshold, negative values indicating days before, positive values indicating days after).\n\nThe data were assembled by securely linking official voter lists from participating municipalities to the national civil registration system, which provides exact birthdates and parent\u2013child links; individual identifiers were removed prior to analysis. The subset used here focuses on parents whose child\u2019s age fell within a defined window around the eligibility threshold near the 2014 election date, providing a compact file suitable for reproducing results that rely on the timing of children\u2019s entry into the electorate.","file_sha256":"10a83a61858695b4ab76f7cb013d4db75879dd726cf06da85dac07c2c4c5b55d","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the average effect on a parent's probability of voting when their child becomes newly eligible to vote in the 2014 election?","question_sha256":"3d75a8a2d77e04df69c38fa56cea64b032cb951f9674bb860674a525dd2ad583","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"crb_papers.q095","task_sha256":"68f8af9818e8f568ff18cbca21d4dcc14074fe1026e8330a79f03b97b2de9029","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.086291Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_2e73917a","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"naive-ols","model_requested":"naive-ols","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["0dac8e79414b682708e079736e7341ac8c158c1ba800d1e7417efcf78739cb5a"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"a4cec5442a5aa5ab3a3ee6cf3a992e47e7e2b55aa75fba666c992ec439289f34","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"dataset":"ds_0063","x":["days"],"y":"voted"},"llm_name":"infer__ols","tool_id":"infer.ols","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":1,"task_id":"crb_papers.q095","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.086291Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"controls":[],"dataset":"ds_0063","fe":[],"intercept":true,"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"weights":null,"x":["days"],"y":"voted"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_e57e6616","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"ds_0063":"8537e37736b8a5e2446899cc91ad2e0c5f677b88867ac3c3a0cba832083d422b"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":9.054542053490877,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"4c05191638223036a24d83cb089f8e086abcf9cc5be430bbfa066f63f597227c","llm_name":"infer__ols","output_digest":"6d44f8d03a101c1d2510742699df99d3a77a886387819a915c95357d127e3c3c","rationale":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across observations; their variance may differ"],"call_id":"call_e57e6616","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"observations used","value":65314},{"flag":false,"name":"k","note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included","value":2},{"flag":false,"name":"r2","note":"","value":0.0011304739221533744},{"flag":false,"name":"df_resid","note":"","value":65312},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":0.00019367897894448052,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.00012164600019789915,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"","result":0.00015766248957118983,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"observa\u00e7\u00f5es","value":65314.0},{"note":"","symbol":"k","unit":"par\u00e2metros","value":2.0}],"text_pt":"Coeficiente de days na regress\u00e3o por m\u00ednimos quadrados ordin\u00e1rios de voted.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":1.8375757002938615e-05,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":3.376684454310476e-10}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":0.00015766248957118983},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9600003073359646},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":1.8375757002938615e-05}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 65312 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.days","label":"Coefficient on days in the regression of voted","se":1.8375757002938615e-05,"unit":"","value":0.00015766248957118983}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":0.6098042792469576,"ci_low":0.6023134445500342,"coef":0.6060588618984959,"p":0.0,"se":0.001910926918961774,"t":317.154390303829,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":0.00019367897894448052,"ci_low":0.00012164600019789915,"coef":0.00015766248957118983,"p":9.698346515378045e-18,"se":1.8375757002938615e-05,"t":8.579918070639307,"term":"days"}]},"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"ddaa884486cd5c5d369e01366b5662abdf31fb3de973c45133efd1538091e057","result_sha256":"f364a150d8efd14bb94a437d52104e4d058b0f1d735955cda9ea1577b38a428c","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"crb_papers.q095","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.088653Z","tool_id":"infer.ols","turn_id":"call_2e73917a"}
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{"answer":"Estimativa ing\u00eanua (infer.ols): coef.days = 0,0001577.","answer_figure":{"call_id":"call_e57e6616","ci_high":0.00019367897894448052,"ci_low":0.00012164600019789915,"formatted":0.00015766248957118983,"key":"coef.days","ref":"call_e57e6616:coef.days","se":1.8375757002938615e-05,"tool_id":"infer.ols","unit":"","value":0.00015766248957118983},"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_e57e6616:coef.days"],"run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":5,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"crb_papers.q095","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.099751Z"}
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