{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"ds_0064":{"description_shown":"| Variable Name | Description                                                                                   |\n|---------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|\n| Unnamed: 0    | Row index from the original CSV export (not an analytic variable).                            |\n| voted         | Indicator that the parent cast a ballot in the 2015 Danish national election (1=yes, 0=no), based on validated administrative voting records. |\n| days          | Child\u2019s age in days relative to the voting-age threshold at the election date (0 = the day the child reaches voting eligibility; negative values = days before, positive = days after). |\n\nData Description: \nThis dataset contains parent-level records linked to a child near the Danish voting-age threshold at the time of the 2015 national election. Voting behavior is drawn from validated official polling-place records that Danish municipalities linked to the central administrative registers. The linkage leverages Denmark\u2019s civil registration system, which uniquely identifies residents and enables parent\u2013child matching.\n\nThe file included here is a focused extract used for analyses around the voting-age threshold and includes: a validated turnout indicator for the parent (\u201cvoted\u201d) and the child\u2019s relative age in days with respect to the eligibility date (\u201cdays\u201d). Observations are restricted to parents whose child was close to the eligibility date on election day. The broader study context is Danish elections conducted with high-quality administrative data and precise demographic linkages; this extract provides the minimum variables required to relate parents\u2019 validated turnout to their child\u2019s proximity to the voting-age threshold.","file_sha256":"b11121e7a90e41b2233f376157121255bb27e04fa4d6274b3abf2409a19c75e5","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Among Danish parents whose child's age lies just around the voting-eligibility threshold in 2015, what is the average effect of the child being newly eligible to vote on the parent's probability of voting?","question_sha256":"e42dff9981889ac0e4c31dba9a3bd38a3520261ed578217b295ba5ceacc8857b","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"crb_papers.q096","task_sha256":"dfff9bb8a89d97c0e6d1643614ab60cdebe53ad151d2fa8076c33695b8686e46","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.115826Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_4513d2f0","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"naive-ols","model_requested":"naive-ols","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["9051bbf90436c42ac80862127a81289590bbc15aa33aea3b919dc4623769d605"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"468234647f810b9a5ab410e4d03778a6b538a56eb995f88e470e8b3374934482","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"dataset":"ds_0064","x":["days"],"y":"voted"},"llm_name":"infer__ols","tool_id":"infer.ols","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":1,"task_id":"crb_papers.q096","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.115826Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"controls":[],"dataset":"ds_0064","fe":[],"intercept":true,"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"weights":null,"x":["days"],"y":"voted"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_1b5a7e91","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"ds_0064":"6532568b5dd96a135459608971696ddf0a98dc542650b626da9dd78a2e78649d"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":10.63791592605412,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"e28735e702b265c7cf3a5a9424b40b7e553d97915b282ca7d7e25b02636a62ab","llm_name":"infer__ols","output_digest":"cd5ba7111b24aa39d76add73197ee023197285ac2dc0209ee7a19b6a471e9b2b","rationale":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across observations; their variance may differ"],"call_id":"call_1b5a7e91","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"observations used","value":88282},{"flag":false,"name":"k","note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included","value":2},{"flag":false,"name":"r2","note":"","value":0.00019782101015741738},{"flag":false,"name":"df_resid","note":"","value":88280},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":6.243848080037944e-05,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":2.2329000687268418e-05,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"","result":4.238374074382393e-05,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"observa\u00e7\u00f5es","value":88282.0},{"note":"","symbol":"k","unit":"par\u00e2metros","value":2.0}],"text_pt":"Coeficiente de days na regress\u00e3o por m\u00ednimos quadrados ordin\u00e1rios de voted.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":1.0232057963254496e-05,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":1.0469501016339975e-10}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":4.238374074382393e-05},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9599908570276245},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":1.0232057963254496e-05}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 88280 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.days","label":"Coefficient on days in the regression of voted","se":1.0232057963254496e-05,"unit":"","value":4.238374074382393e-05}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":0.8938596170548276,"ci_low":0.8897605677493863,"coef":0.891810092402107,"p":0.0,"se":0.001045680721097267,"t":852.8512330860432,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":6.243848080037944e-05,"ci_low":2.2329000687268418e-05,"coef":4.238374074382393e-05,"p":3.442349636296032e-05,"se":1.0232057963254496e-05,"t":4.1422498676251625,"term":"days"}]},"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"8d4e280527810cee5a0aa6f301f3dc3228b431e2473e40dead8209ca5824d223","result_sha256":"f6d2bfa0e23aac612a9c21202c27633eceba4398828ba462dad28c74bc4588a9","run_id":"20261015T171027Z-suite-crb_papers-naive-54c3f2","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"crb_papers.q096","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:10:30.118466Z","tool_id":"infer.ols","turn_id":"call_4513d2f0"}
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