{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"sabia_are_minimum":{"description_shown":"This dataset is an annual, state-by-year panel for U.S. states combining fatal crash counts, alcohol-related crash measures for young drivers, minimum wage measures, alcohol policy/tax variables, price indices, and population and income controls, assembled to study alcohol-involved traffic outcomes in relation to policy and economic conditions. The crash measures align with the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) conventions on alcohol involvement and timing characteristics, while policy and macro controls capture state minimum wages, beer excise taxes, inflation indexes, and demographic scale and income levels at the state-year level.\n\nVariables:\ntot_acc_all: Total fatal traffic accidents in the state-year, as counted in FARS aggregates for all crash circumstances.\nDUI_1620: Alcohol-involved fatal accidents or fatalities involving drivers aged 16\u201320, consistent with FARS alcohol-impaired measures and age-specific tallies; FARS imputes BAC where missing using established methods.\nnonDUI_1620: Fatal accidents or fatalities for ages 16\u201320 that are not classified as alcohol-involved under FARS definitions for the same state-year.\ntot_acc_nt / tot_acc_dt: Fatal accidents occurring at night versus daytime, matching FARS time-of-day categorizations commonly used in alcohol-impaired crash reporting.\ntot_acc_we / tot_acc_wd: Fatal accidents occurring on weekends versus weekdays, consistent with FARS day-of-week splits used to describe alcohol-involved crash patterns.\nur1620_r: Unemployment rate for ages 16\u201320 in the state-year, expressed as a rate; captures youth labor market conditions relevant to the age group used in the alcohol-involved outcomes.\npop: Total state population, annual.\npop1620: State population ages 16\u201320, annual.\nlpop: Log of total state population, facilitating scale normalization in regression specifications and descriptive summaries.\npc_perinc: Per capita personal income (nominal) at the state-year level.\nlpc_perinc: Log of per capita personal income, providing a scaled income control.\ncpi: Consumer Price Index level used to convert nominal variables; precise index definition follows the replication package documentation.\ncpi2006: CPI re-based to a 2006 index (e.g., 2006=100) to align deflation across series within the dataset.\nmw2: State minimum wage level (nominal), defined as the binding minimum in the state-year (state or federal), consistent with standard minimum wage series used in policy analyses.\nmwdef: Deflated or standardized minimum wage measure (e.g., real minimum wage using the included CPI), enabling comparisons over time within states.\nbeertax: Nominal beer excise tax per unit (e.g., per gallon) at the state-year level, capturing alcohol price policy.realbeertax: Beer tax adjusted for inflation using the included CPI series for real comparisons across years.\nbac: Indicator for the state per se blood alcohol concentration (BAC) legal limit regime (e.g., .08 per se), reflecting contemporaneous legal environment for impaired driving enforcement.\"","file_sha256":"0d9a4af36a05239b8ea0d51a0377cea6749a51873e6544b689c4b84f41c0bc53","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the effect of the minimum wage on alcohol\u2011related fatal accidents involving drivers ages 16\u201320?","question_sha256":"e6b48eed6e1d458958f9936f80307b55ce3d2bebb5f4f3933711da95344cbb84","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","task_sha256":"0c13cd6d3665d27f76f6be39716feacab76618326e0324e4df8ee9e4b53f0e70","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.622711Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_4f690f5e","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["6f1b3b9f0f28025643c11b915fab87445d6c9b4a3af01ea079f797df6e6153ba"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"7fd4f29aa8c2a78387bcf24ac5a5b8632b201cc9de72ba6e315a44291a126e75","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.622711Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_44ded3aa","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.625188Z","turn_id":"call_4f690f5e","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.625313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.625313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.012,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q052","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q052","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.625313Z"}