{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"oswald_computational":{"description_shown":"This dataset contains country-year observations compiled from V-Dem, PEMA, World Bank, and UNHCR sources. It includes measures of democracy, democracy assistance, foreign aid, socioeconomic indicators, and country identifiers, with key variables lagged to reflect temporal relationships.\n\nData variables\n\nv2x_polarchy: Democracy index, from 0 (least), 1 (most democratic)\nipema_any_demo_assist_dum_2l: Dummy indicator for any democracy assistance, lagged by 2 years\nipema_any_demo_assdiv_2l: Measures exogenous variation in democracy assistance, lagged by 2 years\niany_demo_all_max_dum_2l: Dummy indicator for maximum democracy assistance, lagged 2 years\niany_demo_all_maxdiv_2l: Measures exogenous variation in democracy assistance (max), lagged 2 years\niwdi_pop_3l: Population, lagged by 3 years\niwdi_oda_3l: Official development assistance (any foreign aid), lagged by 3 years\niwdi_gdppc_3l: GDP per capita, lagged by 3 years\niunhcr_ref_idp_3l: Number of refugees/internally displaced persons, lagged by 3 years\niwdi_literacy_3l: Literacy rate, lagged by 3 years\niwdi_fuel_3l: Access to fuel, lagged by 3 years\ncountry: Country identifier ","file_sha256":"62eba7a6255f94d594b8652e718bf7feae28b5228729ce0205ee7351eed9b52e","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the effect of receiving any (not max) democracy assistance (vs. none) on democracy outcomes?","question_sha256":"761b1b5a11b3d4dd57cb5c3307b2fa02a0a01221429b6d4f34b813ea4683c986","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","task_sha256":"ec3c203ee30bfd9f7e77b4052ca85bc26ebd8b927cb1436373388c1ebf4b136e","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.964208Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_1a0e3f61","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["01a285b66d7a35bf592b0f455457b014bc920a52f89d739b97ff5140d3d25137"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"0bb25401e281d49c0e94ad3525657346f05cb5ddec12ee3af2e8936d6dad2130","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.964208Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_f591a854","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.966363Z","turn_id":"call_1a0e3f61","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.966474Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.966474Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":1.317,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q081","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q081","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:23.966474Z"}