{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"dorussen_the_influence":{"description_shown":"This dataset contains individual-level survey responses from adults in England merged with local NHS performance measures on emergency and cancer referral waits covering July 2022 to July 2023. Each row corresponds to a respondent observation with institutional trust ratings, demographics, constituency-level context, and area-level waiting-time indicators linked via postcode outcodes to NHS Integrated Care Boards (ICBs) and ICB sub-units.\nVariable descriptions:\nid: Anonymous respondent identifier that uniquely indexes each survey record within the merged file\ntrustGov: Self-reported trust in \"\"the Government in Westminster\"\" on a 1-7 scale where 1 = Not at all and 7 = Completely\ntrustPM: Self-reported trust in the Prime Minister on the same 1-7 scale\ntrustParl: Self-reported trust in the UK Parliament on the 1-7 scale\ntrustMP: Self-reported trust in the respondent's local Member of Parliament on the 1-7 scale\ntrustNHS: Self-reported trust in the National Health Service on the 1-7 scale\ntrustPolice: Self-reported trust in the police on the 1-7 scale\ntrustCourts: Self-reported trust in the courts on the 1-7 scale\ntrustTradNews: Self-reported trust in news from traditional media on the 1-7 scale\ntrustSocNews: Self-reported trust in news shared on social media on the 1-7 scale\nincome: Personal annual income category with 14 brackets (under 5,000; 5,000-9,999; ...; 100,000+)\nemergencyDelay: Proportion of patients waiting more than 4 hours from decision to admit to admission across all A&E types in the respondent's ICB\ncancerDelay: Proportion of GP-to-specialist cancer referrals breaching the two-week wait standard in the respondent's ICB sub-unit over July 2022-June 2023\nethnicity: Indicator for membership in an ethnic minority group, derived from survey responses/profile variables\nlondon: Indicator for residence in the London region as defined in the nine-region classification used in the survey\nconVote19: Indicator for whether the respondent reported voting Conservative in the 2019 UK General Election\nwomen: Indicator for respondent's sex coded as female based on survey demographics\nhigherEd: Indicator for completion of higher education as reported in the survey\nregion: Categorical variable for the nine regions of England used to locate respondents\nconShare: Conservative Party vote share (%) in the respondent's parliamentary constituency at the 2019 General Election\nunemploymentRate: Constituency-level unemployment rate (%) matched to each respondent's parliamentary constituency\nage: Respondent age in years (real-valued), spanning 18-98 across waves\nW8: Respondent-level survey weight provided by the survey vendor for national representativeness across pooled monthly waves","file_sha256":"08184bd4fe64bbecf97d1896551a9f9adcb9b55fc6999acbcf130e7653e69ec9","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"How does the local proportion of GP\u2011to\u2011specialist cancer referrals that breach the two\u2011week wait standard affect individuals' reported trust in the NHS on a 1\u20137 scale?","question_sha256":"78c2efc22843fd98d9a4c713231b7aaa3ca41a014a713e7e6b7c462469c19536","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","task_sha256":"19aa56b12b1efd7c62488be0efe1926d3d189801f59b8823c0e592127448cd68","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.170653Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_f952518e","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["33c940486d024f959093ae32b689c9fa822d4908807bfabe8789b4e78be698cc"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"50e6b8dcbe90497699d67798ebf9297dc84488939e39a6a40333d123bcc8122e","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.170653Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_95d64e37","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.172985Z","turn_id":"call_f952518e","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.173100Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.173100Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.222,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q089","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q089","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.173100Z"}