{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"malesky_impact_of_recentralization":{"description_shown":"This dataset is a commune\u2013year panel for rural Vietnam built from the 2006, 2008, and 2010 Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) commune questionnaires and merged with district\u2013 and province\u2013level identifiers for the District People\u2019s Council (DPC) abolition pilot. Each observation corresponds to a rural commune in a given survey year, with variables describing geography, survey timing, infrastructure, public services, agriculture, nonfarm activity, migration, credit access, health and education facilities, land use, sectoral structure, and treatment status in the recentralization experiment.\n\nVariables:\ntinh: Province code identifying the province in which the commune is located, used to link communes to provincial characteristics and the treatment assignment strata.\nhuyen: District code indicating the district (second\u2011tier unit) in which the commune resides, which is the level at which District People\u2019s Councils were abolished in treated areas.\nxa: Commune code identifying the basic local administrative unit observed in the VHLSS commune survey.\nmadt: Survey or commune identifier from the VHLSS used to uniquely index communes within survey waves and to merge across questionnaire modules.\nngaydt / thangdt: Day and month of the commune interview date, recording when the VHLSS commune questionnaire was administered in the field.\nngayct / thangct: Day and month of completion for the commune questionnaire or related verification, capturing timing of finalization of commune\u2011level data.\nm1c1\u2013m1c10, m1c11a\u2013m1c11c, m1c12a\u2013m1c12c, m1c13\u2013m1c15: Original VHLSS module\u20111 commune checklist items capturing basic commune characteristics and public services (e.g., infrastructure, social programs, local projects), coded as binary indicators or shares and later combined into sector\u2011specific indices (infrastructure, agricultural services, health, education, communications, household business support).\nm3c1\u2013m3c5, m3c2, m3c2a1\u2013m3c2a3, m3c3, m3c4a\u2013m3c4c, m3c4a1\u2013m3c4a3, m3c5: Original VHLSS module\u20113 items on nonfarm employment, local economic activity, and social problems, providing commune\u2011level indicators of nonfarm jobs, business conditions, and related constraints used in constructing household\u2011business development outcomes.\nroadvmonth: Measure of road or transport\u2013related investment or maintenance at the commune level (e.g., months with road work or road access), capturing intensity of road service over the year.\ntotalhh: Total number of households in the commune, used to construct household shares for service coverage (e.g., share of households receiving agricultural extension or health fee support).\nimprove: Indicator summarizing whether overall living standards or socio\u2011economic conditions in the commune have improved over a recent period as reported by local authorities.\npoorhh: Number or share of poor households in the commune according to official poverty classification, providing a commune\u2011level poverty rate.\ngeogra: Categorical or coded measure of the commune\u2019s geographic type (e.g., lowland, highland, coastal, remote), used as a control for structural conditions in service delivery.\npro135: Indicator for whether the commune is covered by Vietnam\u2019s Program 135 or other national poverty\u2011targeted programs, capturing exposure to special development support.\nremotecom: Indicator for whether the commune is classified as remote or especially difficult, reflecting geographic disadvantage and higher costs of service provision.\ncredithh: Number or share of households receiving formal or semi\u2011formal credit support, used as an outcome in the household\u2011business development index.\npovrate: Commune\u2011level poverty rate constructed from poor households over total households or from official statistics, summarizing local deprivation.\npro1\u2013pro6: Set of indicators capturing the presence or implementation of different centrally funded socio\u2011economic projects or programs in the commune (e.g., transport, health, education, poverty alleviation), used to characterize local project activity.\nagrext / dagrext: Indicators for the presence of agricultural extension services in the commune and changes over time (e.g., availability of extension staff or centers), feeding into the agricultural services index.\nroadv / goodroadv / droadv: Measures of village\u2011level road access and quality, including whether villages are connected by all\u2011weather roads, the share of \u201cgood\u201d roads, and changes in road conditions across years.\ntransport: Indicator for whether the commune has public transport services (e.g., bus or other collective transport), one of the treated infrastructure outcomes.\npost / market / electricity / culture / broadcast / irrigation: Binary or categorical indicators for the presence of key public facilities in the commune\u2014post offices, markets, electricity grid connections, cultural houses, broadcast stations, and irrigation systems\u2014used as inputs to infrastructure and communications indices.\nprischool / lseschool / useschool / kgarten: Indicators for the existence or accessibility of primary, lower\u2011secondary, upper\u2011secondary schools, and kindergartens in the commune, forming the base of the education services index.\nnonfarm / nonfarme: Measures of nonfarm employment and nonfarm enterprises in the commune, capturing diversification of local livelihoods away from agriculture.\nemproblem: Indicator summarizing key employment problems in the commune (e.g., underemployment, lack of local jobs) as reported by commune leaders.\nmigration_in / migration_out: Commune\u2011level counts or indicators for in\u2011migration and out\u2011migration, reflecting population flows and labor mobility.\npopulation: Total population of the commune, used to scale services and to construct population density.\nrm2c7a\u2013rm2c7g (rm2c7a\u2013rm2c7f, rm2c7g): Group of items capturing specific social or economic problems reported by commune authorities (e.g., crime, environmental issues, social evils), providing contextual information on local challenges.\nvillbusi / numbusi: Indicators for whether the commune has village\u2011level household businesses and the total number of household businesses, used in the household business development index.\nagrrise: Indicator for whether agricultural production in the commune has recently risen, reflecting local economic trends in farming.\ncleanwater / tapwater: Indicators for access to clean water sources and piped or tap water in the commune, often used as complementary infrastructure or health\u2011related outcomes.\nagrvisit / plant_s / animal_s: Measures of agricultural extension intensity\u2014such as the number of extension visits (agrvisit) and the presence of plant and animal husbandry support services\u2014capturing the depth of agricultural support.\npolluted: Indicator for whether the commune reports pollution problems, capturing environmental conditions that may co\u2011vary with infrastructure and industrialization.\nnfworkers: Number of nonfarm workers in the commune workforce, summarizing structural change in local employment.\nhecenter1\u2013hecenter5, hecenter: Indicators for the existence of different types of local health centers or facilities and an aggregate indicator summarizing whether any such health center is present, feeding into the health services index.\nd_hecenter1\u2013d_hecenter5: Change indicators tracking whether specific types of health centers have appeared or disappeared between survey waves, capturing dynamics of health infrastructure.\nlender1\u2013lender7, lender1a\u2013lender6a: Indicators for the presence or use of multiple types of credit providers in the commune (e.g., different institutional or informal lenders) and their activity, providing a detailed picture of local credit markets for households and small firms.\nd_lender1\u2013d_lender7, d_lender1a\u2013d_lender6a: Change variables indicating expansions or contractions in access to the corresponding lender types over time, used to study evolution of credit access.\nland1\u2013land5: Areas or shares of different categories of agricultural land in the commune (e.g., by land type or use class), summarizing the structure of local land resources.\nland1_irr / land2_irr: Portions of specific land categories under irrigation, measuring the intensity of irrigation infrastructure across agricultural land.\nland1_cer\u2013land5_cer: Areas of specific land categories devoted to cereal or staple crops, characterizing local cropping patterns.\nvmarket1\u2013vmarket3: Indicators for the existence of various kinds of markets within commune villages (e.g., daily, periodic, or wholesale), used in the household business development index.\nvpeocom / vpost / vbank: Indicators for the presence of people\u2019s committees, post offices, and bank or credit institutions within villages, capturing intra\u2011commune spatial distribution of administrative and financial services.\ndmarket1\u2013dmarket3 / dpeocom / dpost / dbank: Change indicators for village\u2011level markets, administrative offices, post offices, and banks, reflecting expansions or contractions in local service coverage over time.\ndtown: Indicator for proximity to or inclusion of a district town within the commune, capturing centrality in the district\u2019s spatial hierarchy.\ntimemarket1\u2013timemarket3: Travel time measures from the commune or villages to different market types, providing continuous measures of market access.\nv_prischool / v_lseschool / v_useschool: Indicators for the presence of primary, lower\u2011secondary, and upper\u2011secondary schools at the village level, refining the education access measures beyond commune\u2011level presence.\ns_prischool / s_lseschool / s_useschool: Measures of schooling capacity or scale (e.g., number of classrooms or students) for primary, lower\u2011secondary, and upper\u2011secondary schools in the commune.\nd_prischool / d_lseschool / d_useschool: Change indicators showing whether different school levels have opened or closed between survey waves.\nyear: Calendar year of the VHLSS commune survey (2006, 2008, 2010), forming the time dimension of the panel.\nreg8: Eight\u2011region stratification code (e.g., Northern Mountains, Red River Delta, Central Coast, etc.) used to control for macro\u2011regional differences and to mirror the stratified design of the DPC abolition pilot.\ncommune: String or numeric identifier for the commune, harmonized to track the same locality across survey years.\nprovince_name / district_name / tentinh / tinh_new: Text and alternative numeric codes for provinces and districts, allowing transparent labeling of administrative units and alignment with official administrative changes.\ntreatment: Indicator equal to 1 for communes in districts where District People\u2019s Councils were abolished in the national pilot and 0 for communes in control districts, serving as the main treatment variable in the difference\u2011in\u2011differences design.\nnongnghiep / congnghiep / dichvu: Province\u2011 or district\u2011level measures of agricultural, industrial, and service output or employment linked to communes, summarizing sectoral structure of the local economy.\nlaodong: Total labor force in the province or district associated with the commune, used to compute labor\u2011force\u2011based ratios.\ndanso: Total population at the higher administrative level, complementing the commune\u2011level population measure and providing a basis for relative shares.\ntime: Analysis time variable (e.g., coded 0/1 for pre\u2011 and post\u2011treatment) used in constructing interaction terms for difference\u2011in\u2011differences estimation.\ntotalland / sland1\u2013sland5: Total agricultural land area in the commune and corresponding areas allocated to the same land categories as land1\u2013land5, often expressed in standardized units to compare across communes.\narea / lnarea: Commune land area in physical units and its natural logarithm, used to control for size and to compute densities.\npopden / lnpopden: Population density (population per area) and its logarithm, capturing how densely settled the commune is.\nlnnongnghiep / lncongnghiep / lndichvu: Natural logs of agricultural, industrial, and service output at the province or district level, used as covariates summarizing economic scale by sector.\nlnlaodong / lndanso: Natural logs of labor force and population for the higher\u2011level administrative unit, providing scale controls in regressions.\nrnongnghiep / rcongnghiep / rdichvu / rlaodong: Relative or share measures (e.g., ratios) of agriculture, industry, services, and labor force in the province or district, capturing economic structure rather than levels.\nsteering: Indicator for whether the commune lies in a province directly overseen by the national steering committee for the DPC removal pilot, allowing sensitivity checks for central oversight.\nsurveyed: Indicator for whether the province containing the commune was additionally visited and surveyed by the Ministry of Home Affairs evaluation teams, used to test for Hawthorne\u2011type monitoring effects.","file_sha256":"5565ce8bca2be787ed656ffbcfe7e687c2cb261d782415ed56204fca110eff25","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the effect of the 2009 recentralization on whether a commune has public transport?","question_sha256":"96137c084bea8f132391be8901fc180e6f14e1b1b47277199611d503412a4113","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","task_sha256":"5ed868a07c08ee99bff05ed0b7d296c0e359e4210bef981416e54deba0752d83","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.298375Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_7b2288f3","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["c203d3e0e16405b1d2e7450308b1a4ed206a1266d62f72980da21378fd1362cf"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"7765be290d5a7455e41cd6b245d1f2460b3af13abefd88248092ac102160761e","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.298375Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_17136845","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.302507Z","turn_id":"call_7b2288f3","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.302646Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.302646Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.104,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q093","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q093","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.302646Z"}