{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"conley_inference_with_merit":{"description_shown":"Individual-level U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS) microdata pooled across states and years (late 1980s-2000). Each row is a person-year observation with demographics plus state and year identifiers suitable for fixed-effects analysis. The sample spans all 50 states plus DC.\n\nVariables:\ncoll: Whether the person is enrolled in college (1 = yes, 0 = no)\nmerit: Statewide merit-aid program in effect in that state-year (1 = yes, 0 = no)\nmale: Respondent's gender (1 = male, 0 = female)\nblack: Race indicator (1 = Black/African American, 0 = otherwise)\nasian: Race indicator (1 = Asian, 0 = otherwise)\nyear: CPS survey year (e.g., 1989-2000)\nstate: Numeric CPS state code identifying the respondent's state (includes DC)\nchst: \"\"Changer state\"\" flag (1 = state that adopts a merit program during the sample window, 0 = otherwise)","file_sha256":"ab17c09dc39124fed9d72a4c0801c5b7179696c2f1b894d8052ce8326f759ef1","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the effect of the Merit scholarship on college attendance ?","question_sha256":"43f0ccc55099b9302dcd5f067ccc6a2589cd1001f66326151c6362bc93555851","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","task_sha256":"51090725f86fc4f515e3933ceaad79b1a65318ab249bc84a545d166eef427437","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.475434Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_0a21d27d","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["070fd6eb00ee432b4b7a0e5c9dd229e4d157232ee35f4a764f8038cdcdb1e69e"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"4d9b96346884482b7e11af7778b36e25c60f39620c16341cc89a9fc1006424fd","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.475434Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_2bf308df","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.477807Z","turn_id":"call_0a21d27d","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.477912Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.477912Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.034,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q109","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q109","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.477912Z"}