{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"conley_inference_with_hope":{"description_shown":"Individual-level U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS) microdata pooled across states and years (late 1980s-2000). Each row is a person-year observation with demographics plus state and year identifiers suitable for fixed-effects analysis. The sample spans all 50 states plus DC.\n\nVariables:\ncollegeAttendance: Whether the person is enrolled in college (1 = yes, 0 = no)\nhopeScholarship: Statewide Hope Scholarship program in effect in that state-year (1 = yes, 0 = no)\nmale: Respondent's gender (1 = male, 0 = female)\nblack: Race indicator (1 = Black/African American, 0 = otherwise)\nasian: Race indicator (1 = Asian, 0 = otherwise)\nyear: CPS survey year (e.g., 1989-2000)\nstate: Numeric CPS state code identifying the respondent's state (includes DC)","file_sha256":"8c646a88e3c045b7ba1c179b5012dedcc34f8e64d901159ce4f2eca89e77f330","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"What is the effect of the HOPE scholarship on college attendance?","question_sha256":"a24cadd39f5143706061b9a3664bcd4bcdf3b8af5b21c3dd9ff6653d3018f5be","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","task_sha256":"deb0c1da422c34494f7ef38368180bc0c0fe21aaceb7c0cfbc9d71fbec90b3c8","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.493913Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_6d56885f","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["432c0f881d92c5472bce3f0de9bfa2fd485bac5ce126979e5203bebf1042bbb0"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"a217a8308baa7ca1afd21f799559846449ec9ed5b32e4de83e10bd89976dd1c1","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.493913Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_ec35612c","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.496676Z","turn_id":"call_6d56885f","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.496780Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.496780Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.072,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q110","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q110","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.496780Z"}