{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"taddeo_causal":{"description_shown":"This data analyzes the demographic impacts of the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreak. The virus was first detected in 2015; the state of Pernambuco (PE) was strongly affected by the epidemic, while the southernmost state of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) had no reported case. The data consists of a time series of annual births and birth rates extracted from administrative databases on 682 municipalities (185 in PE and 497 in RS) during the period from 2008 to 2016.\n\nDataset variables:\n- StudyYear: The year of data collection\n- Code: Municipality code\n- Births: Overall number of births in a year\n- BirthSchool: Births among mothers >= 8 years of schooling\n- Rate: Birth rate\n- trt: Whether a municipality experienced the Zika epidemic or not (1 = state of Pernambuco, 0 = Rio Grande do Sul )\n- year: Indicator for study year (1 = After 2015, the year when virus was detected; 0 = Before 2015)\n- interaction: Interaction between trt and year\n- Pop: Total population count for each municipality","file_sha256":"993a5c5eb299039f6a093885c9befad4b9084a6f4aebe615c5b7a64b7057fe29","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Does the presence of a Zika epidemic in a municipality lead to lower birth rates?","question_sha256":"e6b14afea51ecd14233c539f680f7cc538a37561222d3d1543e35cb26a10926b","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","task_sha256":"fa9c8920792b22bbcc5c8cdc86f36cd648d5911c5907791511e7183eeeba7d7c","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.529431Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_02f8c339","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["162c228584a62d5319315c92f6a67fbb8b996ee9e84bbbc84182ef68d1500d1c"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"60d16cd5cadff1af1aea8e1901ebc7dbd5e2e705a5b76e69fbc9a508eb9379bf","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.529431Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_cb4cd192","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.531719Z","turn_id":"call_02f8c339","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.531817Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.531817Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":-1.207,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q115","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q115","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:24.531817Z"}