{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"broockman_do_female":{"description_shown":"The dataset aims to study the influence of electing women officials on women's participation in subsequent elections. It uses data from US districts with close election races between men and women candidates. In the contests, candidates with more than 50% of the vote win.\n\nVariable description:\nYear: Election Year\nState: US state abbreviation\nChamber: Whether the election is for the House (H) or the Senate (S)\nName: Name of the candidate contesting the current election\nPty: Political party (R = republican, D = democrat, IP = independent) of the female candidate\nSeat: Status of the contesting seat (I: incumbent, O = Open, etc.)\nGE_Win: Outcome of the election (Won or lost)\nwomanwon: Binary variable indicating whether a woman won the election or not (1 = Won, 0 = Lost)\nfemalecand_margin_of_victory: Margin of victory for the candidates (negative values if the candidate lost)\nfem_v_c_p_2: Margin of victory squared\nfem_v_c_p_3: Margin of victory cubed\nfem_v_c_p_4: Margin of victory raised to the fourth power\nfemaleonballotnextyear: Share of women on the next election, i.e., women's voter turnout\nwinXfem_v_c_p: Interaction between womanwon and femalecand_margin_of_victory\nwinXfem_v_c_p_2: Interaction between womanwon and fem_v_c_p_2\nwinXfem_v_c_p_3: Interaction between womanwon and fem_v_c_p_3\nwinXfem_v_c_p_4: Interaction between womanwon and fem_v_c_p_4\nabsolute_margin: absolute margin of victory of one candidate over the other in the last election, i.e., abs(femalecand_margin_of_victory)\nfemaleonballotnextyear: Binary variable indicating if a female is on the ballot of the next year's elections (1 = yes, 0 = no)\nfemaleturnout_thiscycle: Fraction of females that turned out to vote in the reference election\nfemaleturnout_nextcycle: Fraction of females that turned out to vote in the next election\nfemale_percentageofelectorate_th: Fraction of females in the voter electorate for the reference election\nfemale_percentageofelectorate_ne: Fraction of females in the voter electorate for the next election\noverall_voterturnout_thiscycle: Overall voter turnout in the reference election cycle\noverall_voterturnout_nextcycle: Overall voter turnout in the next election cycle","file_sha256":"79817fe2c223e23f2266493fa1deb84301c0cfa51da6444ae4ba7b40465cb2a8","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Does electing women in districts with close races empower other women to vote at the next election?","question_sha256":"cb5819913602995b869333ea2b05e7b91ea98e912676d5c72cdf7727cc4e2556","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","task_sha256":"d5b54e4509812e5afa50f08326b5a1ebb1cefd49870f120127c72360c0c5aed6","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.934282Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_4d88e4b5","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["d30a0a39f03923c54196069689b5fae832aa5b27a7a12ef3869396d424edb9e2"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"693ffc3a799611ae249204597b725f742b85a8d216977efa8b4ed42728768b43","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.934282Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_54979281","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.938885Z","turn_id":"call_4d88e4b5","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Pelas regras deste roteador n\u00e3o identifiquei um desenho que responda \u00e0 pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.938990Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.938990Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.431,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q145","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q145","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:25.938990Z"}