{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"gerber_social_pressure":{"description_shown":"The randomized experiment aims to analyze the effect of different types of social pressures on voter behavior. A field experiment was conducted in Michigan ahead of the August 2006 primary election. Households were randomly assigned to a control group or one of four treatment groups: Civic Duty, Hawthorne, Self, Neighbors. Eleven days before the election, each treatment group received a different mailing: Civic Duty: Emphasized the recipient's responsibility as a citizen to vote. Hawthorne: Notified recipients that their voting behavior would be studied using public records, introducing mild social pressure. Self: Listed the voting history of all registered voters in the household and noted that an updated chart would be mailed after the election. Neighbors: Included both the household's and neighbors' voting records, implying public exposure of voting behavior. Control Group: Received no mailing.\nVariables in the Dataset:\nsex: Participant's sex (male or female)\ng2000, g2002, g2004: Voted in the 2000, 2002, and 2004 gubernatorial elections\np2000, p2002, p2004: Voted in the 2000, 2002, and 2004 primary elections\ntreatment: Assigned group (Civic Duty, Hawthorne, Neighbors, Self, or Control)\ncluster: Cluster identifier for the unit\nvoted: Indicator for voting in the 2006 primary election\nhh_id: Household ID\nhh_size: Number of individuals in the household\nyob: Year of birth of the participant","file_sha256":"bac3dfd61a4d09fd0e2256db8bac088ae6054b9e05990609b86665dceec9b6e8","frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"How effective is the Neighbors treatment scheme in increasing voter turnout?","question_sha256":"c2d7398e27aa45580e0ee305aa09f295ae57881fafc464be664ea221f9f916cf","run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","task_sha256":"0672d14b17b87184cd9957dbede05844d782a519371407270402c221a65feae6","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.809177Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_214a3f71","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"naive-ols","model_requested":"naive-ols","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["73b6ed5a526d56821ef7934933c32f7c8200f50749e310f197840144d55684e2"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"3e34d208cd6057b5606f21399a57164b5108da58c73f079667764a817293af73","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: o item n\u00e3o declara o resultado e o tratamento, ent\u00e3o n\u00e3o h\u00e1 regress\u00e3o ing\u00eanua a fazer e nenhuma estimativa \u00e9 citada.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":[]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.809177Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_6f7e21ed","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":[],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":2,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.823850Z","turn_id":"call_214a3f71","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: o item n\u00e3o declara o resultado e o tratamento, ent\u00e3o n\u00e3o h\u00e1 regress\u00e3o ing\u00eanua a fazer e nenhuma estimativa \u00e9 citada.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":[],"run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":3,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.823944Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":4,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.823944Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call","expected":0.081,"failure_class":"no_estimate_cited","kind":"answer_figure_close","observed":null,"passed":false,"required":true,"source_id":"causcibench_real.gold.q003","tolerance":{"abs_tol":null,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":0.05,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":5,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q003","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:42.823944Z"}