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{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_a2369adc","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"naive-ols","model_requested":"naive-ols","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["27ddba724083b23e1b4ef601220c868c372ff57d8a95ca0c4f155f227323e6e2"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"c7690f89414d427bff9b2fc212dedeecf51d82a71f7e782dc524c070bbe17714","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"dataset":"lee_do_voters","x":["democrat"],"y":"score"},"llm_name":"infer__ols","tool_id":"infer.ols","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":1,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q022","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:43.192377Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"controls":[],"dataset":"lee_do_voters","fe":[],"intercept":true,"level":0.95,"se":"HC1","subset":null,"weights":null,"x":["democrat"],"y":"score"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_05b1b12a","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"lee_do_voters":"4736dd24ef756d8688297bf924dd17c7367e5e6d2a5eb23cf41140965280d20b"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":9.518584003672004,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"4b4b582049b796146131bf7cfdd46dadeb07f73329e700d7c58bf6324b352870","llm_name":"infer__ols","output_digest":"6aa8810b6005700dad703ca9b44776a7c889ca19366b58165080d7d00b56dc49","rationale":"Linha de base ing\u00eanua: regress\u00e3o do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors","errors are independent across observations; their variance may differ"],"call_id":"call_05b1b12a","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"observations used","value":13588},{"flag":false,"name":"k","note":"parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included","value":2},{"flag":false,"name":"r2","note":"","value":0.37559213696869564},{"flag":false,"name":"df_resid","note":"","value":13586},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":41.582322768771476,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":39.94299473218402,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"","result":40.76265875047775,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"observa\u00e7\u00f5es","value":13588.0},{"note":"","symbol":"k","unit":"par\u00e2metros","value":2.0}],"text_pt":"Coeficiente de democrat na regress\u00e3o por m\u00ednimos quadrados ordin\u00e1rios de score.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.41816635495752896,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.17486310041846612}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = \u03b2 \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u03b2","unit":"","value":40.76265875047775},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9601386112877848},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.41816635495752896}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 13586 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"coef.democrat","label":"Coefficient on democrat in the regression of score","se":0.41816635495752896,"unit":"","value":40.76265875047775}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"coefficients":[{"ci_high":18.09022496949319,"ci_low":17.060972209489503,"coef":17.575598589491346,"p":0.0,"se":0.26254591233409713,"t":66.94295269440683,"term":"Intercept"},{"ci_high":41.582322768771476,"ci_low":39.94299473218402,"coef":40.76265875047775,"p":0.0,"se":0.41816635495752896,"t":97.47952762631466,"term":"democrat"}]},"tool":"infer.ols","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"bac5207950e8ff48b5957ce33606422d7b2429d88f7d6a636349b4f04e7604cf","result_sha256":"6a57d6fa703adb82b27cd48d494a4f205d91e354c66885bb0fec16e46eb5955c","run_id":"20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"causcibench_real.q022","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:11:43.201073Z","tool_id":"infer.ols","turn_id":"call_a2369adc"}
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