{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nO custo fiscal l\u00edquido \u00e9 de 14,7 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano, pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1tica.\nGanham 5,04 mil domic\u00edlios, 2,66% dos domic\u00edlios da jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o.\nA taxa de pobreza passa de 16,9% para 16,6%.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nO ganho m\u00e9dio entre os domic\u00edlios que ganham \u00e9 de 243,2 R$/m\u00eas por domic\u00edlio.\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nPor m\u00eas, 1,23 R$ milh\u00f5es/m\u00eas.\nPor pessoa que sai da pobreza, 11300 R$/ano por pessoa.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nO Gini passa de 0,46 para 0,458.\nA redu\u00e7\u00e3o da pobreza \u00e9 de 0,234 pontos percentuais (IC 90%: 0 a 0,702), pelo bootstrap de pesquisa.\nEfeitos agrupados e transportados da literatura: 0,805 (IC 90%: 0,746 a 0,863); 0,02 (IC 90%: 0,00684 a 0,0332); 0,0321 (IC 90%: 0,0143 a 0,05); 4,48 (IC 90%: 3,98 a 4,98); 0,784 (IC 90%: 0,748 a 0,82); 3,22 (IC 90%: 0,999 a 5,44); 35,7 (IC 90%: 26,0 a 45,3); 0,26 (IC 90%: 0,161 a 0,359).\nA nota geral \u00e9 0,0098.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nIncid\u00eancia est\u00e1tica sem resposta comportamental; sem efeitos de equil\u00edbrio geral; transfer\u00eancias subdeclaradas na pesquisa; elegibilidade pela renda da pesquisa, n\u00e3o pela renda declarada ao Cad\u00danico.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 117 figures resolve to one of 41 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 117 figures come from 8 registered tools, each call at its 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{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nO custo fiscal l\u00edquido \u00e9 de 14,7 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano, pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1tica.\nGanham 5,04 mil domic\u00edlios, 2,66% dos domic\u00edlios da jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o.\nA taxa de pobreza passa de 16,9% para 16,6%.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nO ganho m\u00e9dio entre os domic\u00edlios que ganham \u00e9 de 243,2 R$/m\u00eas por domic\u00edlio.\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nPor m\u00eas, 1,23 R$ milh\u00f5es/m\u00eas.\nPor pessoa que sai da pobreza, 11300 R$/ano por pessoa.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nO Gini passa de 0,46 para 0,458.\nA redu\u00e7\u00e3o da pobreza \u00e9 de 0,234 pontos percentuais (IC 90%: 0 a 0,702), pelo bootstrap de pesquisa.\nEfeitos agrupados e transportados da literatura: 0,805 (IC 90%: 0,746 a 0,863); 0,02 (IC 90%: 0,00684 a 0,0332); 0,0321 (IC 90%: 0,0143 a 0,05); 4,48 (IC 90%: 3,98 a 4,98); 0,784 (IC 90%: 0,748 a 0,82); 3,22 (IC 90%: 0,999 a 5,44); 35,7 (IC 90%: 26,0 a 45,3); 0,26 (IC 90%: 0,161 a 0,359).\nA nota geral \u00e9 0,0098.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nIncid\u00eancia est\u00e1tica sem resposta comportamental; sem efeitos de equil\u00edbrio geral; transfer\u00eancias subdeclaradas na pesquisa; elegibilidade pela renda da pesquisa, n\u00e3o pela renda declarada ao Cad\u00danico.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 128 figures resolve to one of 56 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 128 figures come from 12 registered tools, each call at its 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snapshot","bill":"londrina_brc_2026","checks_ms":37.8,"covers":"the planner on a Bolsa Fam\u00edlia change: the menu offers the inequality, progressivity and welfare stages (no budget step: the bill names no IRPF surcharge) and the fake planner includes all three; the inequality indices run on the simulation's own frames, Atkinson declining at \u03b5 = 1 on the frame's zero incomes; the progressivity block keeps Reynolds-Smolensky while Kakwani declines (the policy changes no tax); the welfare change declines on the zero incomes; every decline is stated in its block.","evidence_seeded":{"citable":66,"estimates":374,"mechanisms":47,"studies":74},"figures":128,"golden":"packages/magi_bench/src/magi_bench/suites/golden/londrina_brc_2026.planned.json","ledger_calls":56,"memo_id":"memo_d699344d73","planned":true,"population":{"households":600,"persons":1767,"persons_weighted":555936.76},"protocol_ms":120.3,"sections":{"analyses":"done","evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","plan":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"model":"fake","n_estimator_calls_before_answer":null,"native":{},"provider":"fake","reason":"","score":1.0,"split":"public","status":"passed","stopped":null,"suite":"e2e_memo","tags":["golden","planner","transfer","evidence"],"target":"protocol","task_id":"e2e_memo.londrina_brc_2026.planned","task_sha256":"678efba2ab604d6e460b7d96af1b4c363a7fb5837ca723b229c7b19f7b9dbc21","tools_called":["magi_evidence.schema.search","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_sim.summarize.compare_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","core.theil","core.theil","core.atkinson","core.atkinson","core.palma","core.palma","core.quantile_shares","core.quantile_shares","sim.pair_frames","core.kakwani","core.reynolds_smolensky","core.welfare_change","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_infer.design.evaluation_design","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_score.graph.Synthesizer.run","magi_score.score.overall_score","magi_score.score.cost_per_point","magi_score.score.welfare_per_real"],"trace":null,"trace_file":null,"trajectory":null,"unbacked":[],"usage":{}}
{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nO custo fiscal l\u00edquido \u00e9 de 28,8 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano, pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1tica.\nGanham 2,09 mil domic\u00edlios, 1,10% dos domic\u00edlios da jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o.\nA taxa de pobreza passa de 16,7% para 16,7%.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\nS\u00e3o preenchidas 2,00 mil vagas entre 35,7 mil crian\u00e7as.\nA cobertura de creche passa de 35,9% para 44,3%.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nO ganho m\u00e9dio entre os domic\u00edlios que ganham \u00e9 de 74,6 R$/m\u00eas por domic\u00edlio.\nA renda do trabalho adicionada aos cuidadores \u00e9 de 155,6 R$ mil/m\u00eas.\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nPor m\u00eas, 2,40 R$ milh\u00f5es/m\u00eas.\nO custo anual das vagas \u00e9 de 28,8 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nO Gini passa de 0,459 para 0,459.\nEfeitos agrupados e transportados da literatura: 0,048 (IC 90%: 0,0217 a 0,0743); 0,131 (IC 90%: 0,0329 a 0,23); 55,6 (IC 90%: 22,6 a 88,5); 0,0294 (IC 90%: -0,01 a 0,0689).\nA nota geral \u00e9 0,12.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nIncid\u00eancia est\u00e1tica sem resposta comportamental; sem efeitos de equil\u00edbrio geral; transfer\u00eancias subdeclaradas na pesquisa; elegibilidade pela renda da pesquisa, n\u00e3o pela renda declarada ao Cad\u00danico.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 89 figures resolve to one of 32 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 89 figures come from 8 registered tools, each call at its card's version","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":["design.evaluation","evidence.search","evidence.transport","score.axes","score.cost_per_point","score.overall","score.welfare_per_real","sim.compare_static"],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":2,"detail":"no_auditor_blockers: no blocker from the axis auditor (0 flag(s) in all)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":3,"detail":"sections: every section as expected","expected":{"reasons":{},"statuses":{"evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"failure_class":null,"kind":"status","observed":{"reasons":{},"statuses":{"evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":4,"detail":"arithmetic: 206 assignments recomputed and equal, 0 different (4 lenient, 5 undefined, 222 asserted)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"different":[],"followable":{"asserted only":1,"end to end":18,"partly":70},"tally":{"asserted":222,"lenient":4,"pass":206,"undefined":5,"unit":1}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":5,"detail":"interval_levels: 6 intervals, 4 re-derived, none labelled at a level it is not","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_caregiver_employment","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_child_anthropometrics","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514722},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_household_income","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_household_member_employment","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":null,"derivation_claims":null,"how":"not re-derivable from the trace","key":"axis_food_delta","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90},{"actual":null,"derivation_claims":null,"how":"not re-derivable from the trace","key":"axis_food_grade","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90}],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":6,"detail":"golden_keys: the same 89 figure keys and section statuses","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"missing":[],"new":[],"sections":{}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":7,"detail":"golden_values: 89 figures equal to rel 1e-09","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":8,"detail":"golden_units: 89 units equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":9,"detail":"golden_derivations: 89 derivations and provenance tools equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":10,"detail":"golden_ledger: the same 32 ledger calls in the same order","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":32,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0}],"decided_by_check":null,"diagnosed_class":null,"duration_ms":304.1961248964071,"epoch":1,"error_kind":null,"failure_class":null,"figure_refs":[],"finished_at":"2026-10-15T17:13:35.011723Z","first_estimate":null,"isolation":"pass","meta":{"audit":"golden snapshot","bill":"londrina_creche_2027","checks_ms":7.6,"covers":"service_expansion (childcare places): places assigned by income rank, the evidence-linked caregiver channel pooled from the seeded rows and transported, twelve citable rows over four pooled edges, the coverage-scored education axis and the declined health axis.","evidence_seeded":{"citable":66,"estimates":374,"mechanisms":47,"studies":74},"figures":89,"golden":"packages/magi_bench/src/magi_bench/suites/golden/londrina_creche_2027.json","ledger_calls":32,"memo_id":"memo_62d0c81ab9","planned":false,"population":{"households":600,"persons":1767,"persons_weighted":555936.76},"protocol_ms":92.0,"sections":{"evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"model":"fake","n_estimator_calls_before_answer":null,"native":{},"provider":"fake","reason":"","score":1.0,"split":"public","status":"passed","stopped":null,"suite":"e2e_memo","tags":["golden","service","evidence"],"target":"protocol","task_id":"e2e_memo.londrina_creche_2027","task_sha256":"1cba98aa2f982d0757c3603298c867f443da79663edf78ca0155e0018d1c2fe0","tools_called":["magi_evidence.schema.search","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_sim.summarize.compare_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_infer.design.evaluation_design","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_score.graph.Synthesizer.run","magi_score.score.overall_score","magi_score.score.cost_per_point","magi_score.score.welfare_per_real"],"trace":null,"trace_file":null,"trajectory":null,"unbacked":[],"usage":{}}
{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nO custo fiscal l\u00edquido \u00e9 de 28,8 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano, pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1tica.\nGanham 2,09 mil domic\u00edlios, 1,10% dos domic\u00edlios da jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o.\nA taxa de pobreza passa de 16,7% para 16,7%.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\nS\u00e3o preenchidas 2,00 mil vagas entre 35,7 mil crian\u00e7as.\nA cobertura de creche passa de 35,9% para 44,3%.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nO ganho m\u00e9dio entre os domic\u00edlios que ganham \u00e9 de 74,6 R$/m\u00eas por domic\u00edlio.\nA renda do trabalho adicionada aos cuidadores \u00e9 de 155,6 R$ mil/m\u00eas.\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nPor m\u00eas, 2,40 R$ milh\u00f5es/m\u00eas.\nO custo anual das vagas \u00e9 de 28,8 R$ milh\u00f5es/ano.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nO Gini passa de 0,459 para 0,459.\nEfeitos agrupados e transportados da literatura: 0,048 (IC 90%: 0,0217 a 0,0743); 0,131 (IC 90%: 0,0329 a 0,23); 55,6 (IC 90%: 22,6 a 88,5); 0,0294 (IC 90%: -0,01 a 0,0689).\nA nota geral \u00e9 0,12.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nIncid\u00eancia est\u00e1tica sem resposta comportamental; sem efeitos de equil\u00edbrio geral; transfer\u00eancias subdeclaradas na pesquisa; elegibilidade pela renda da pesquisa, n\u00e3o pela renda declarada ao Cad\u00danico.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 97 figures resolve to one of 44 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 97 figures come from 11 registered tools, each call at its card's version","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":["core.palma","core.quantile_shares","core.theil","design.evaluation","evidence.search","evidence.transport","score.axes","score.cost_per_point","score.overall","score.welfare_per_real","sim.compare_static"],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":2,"detail":"no_auditor_blockers: no blocker from the axis auditor (0 flag(s) in all)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":3,"detail":"sections: every section as expected","expected":{"reasons":{},"statuses":{"analyses":"done","evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","plan":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"failure_class":null,"kind":"status","observed":{"reasons":{},"statuses":{"analyses":"done","evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","plan":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":4,"detail":"arithmetic: 228 assignments recomputed and equal, 0 different (4 lenient, 5 undefined, 222 asserted)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"different":[],"followable":{"asserted only":1,"end to end":26,"partly":70},"tally":{"asserted":222,"lenient":4,"pass":228,"undefined":5,"unit":1}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":5,"detail":"interval_levels: 6 intervals, 4 re-derived, none labelled at a level it is not","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_caregiver_employment","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_child_anthropometrics","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514722},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_household_income","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":90,"derivation_claims":90,"how":"half-width over the transported standard error: z = 1.644854","key":"ev_pooled_childcare_to_household_member_employment","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90,"z":1.6448536269514724},{"actual":null,"derivation_claims":null,"how":"not re-derivable from the trace","key":"axis_food_delta","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90},{"actual":null,"derivation_claims":null,"how":"not re-derivable from the trace","key":"axis_food_grade","mismatch":false,"published":false,"recorded":90,"table_claims":90}],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":6,"detail":"golden_keys: the same 97 figure keys and section 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44 ledger calls in the same order","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":44,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0}],"decided_by_check":null,"diagnosed_class":null,"duration_ms":309.5279161352664,"epoch":1,"error_kind":null,"failure_class":null,"figure_refs":[],"finished_at":"2026-10-15T17:13:35.933193Z","first_estimate":null,"isolation":"pass","meta":{"audit":"golden snapshot","bill":"londrina_creche_2027","checks_ms":8.0,"covers":"the planner on childcare places: the inequality block runs; pairing the frames declines, since the caregiver's labour income moves and they are not one population run twice, so the progressivity and welfare blocks are not applicable with that reason.","evidence_seeded":{"citable":66,"estimates":374,"mechanisms":47,"studies":74},"figures":97,"golden":"packages/magi_bench/src/magi_bench/suites/golden/londrina_creche_2027.planned.json","ledger_calls":44,"memo_id":"memo_f87870e8f2","planned":true,"population":{"households":600,"persons":1767,"persons_weighted":555936.76},"protocol_ms":96.4,"sections":{"analyses":"done","evaluation_design":"done","evidence":"done","memo":"done","plan":"done","policy":"done","score":"done","simulation":"done","theory":"done"}},"model":"fake","n_estimator_calls_before_answer":null,"native":{},"provider":"fake","reason":"","score":1.0,"split":"public","status":"passed","stopped":null,"suite":"e2e_memo","tags":["golden","planner","service","evidence"],"target":"protocol","task_id":"e2e_memo.londrina_creche_2027.planned","task_sha256":"43eda12f8ba50cbe36c4611e285975e5fad5f7f3437ee74a170d9ee8553dd03f","tools_called":["magi_evidence.schema.search","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_score.tools.transfer.pool","magi_score.tools.transfer.transport","magi_sim.summarize.compare_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","core.theil","core.theil","core.atkinson","core.atkinson","core.palma","core.palma","core.quantile_shares","core.quantile_shares","sim.pair_frames","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_infer.design.evaluation_design","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_sim.static.run_static","magi_score.graph.Synthesizer.run","magi_score.score.overall_score","magi_score.score.cost_per_point","magi_score.score.welfare_per_real"],"trace":null,"trace_file":null,"trajectory":null,"unbacked":[],"usage":{}}
{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nO custo em valor presente \u00e9 de 18448106 R$, uma conta do c\u00f3digo sobre os dados.\nPara empatar, a obra precisaria entregar 1716607 R$/ano em benef\u00edcios; o empate n\u00e3o \u00e9 estimativa.\n\n## Pergunta e m\u00e9todo\nA pergunta e o m\u00e9todo est\u00e3o no enquadramento.\n\n## Custo e impacto or\u00e7ament\u00e1rio\nValor informado por voc\u00ea: 12000000 R$.\nValor informado por voc\u00ea: 600000 R$/ano.\nNo or\u00e7amento: 6666667 R$.\nNo or\u00e7amento: 5533333 R$.\nNo or\u00e7amento: 600000 R$.\nO custo anual equivalente \u00e9 de 1716607 R$/ano.\nParcela: 8,22 %.\nParcela: 3,56 %.\nParcela: 0,411 %.\n\n## Empate: o que a obra precisa entregar\nO benef\u00edcio anual necess\u00e1rio est\u00e1 acima.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nQuem ganha e quem paga est\u00e3o no enquadramento.\n\n## O que falta\nOs benef\u00edcios n\u00e3o foram quantificados.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nOs benef\u00edcios n\u00e3o foram quantificados, os valores informados pelo leitor n\u00e3o foram conferidos com uma fonte e a despesa da fun\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 a classifica\u00e7\u00e3o funcional, n\u00e3o o or\u00e7amento de uma secretaria.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 30 figures resolve to one of 24 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 30 figures come from 8 registered tools, each call at its card's version","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":["calc.annuity","calc.breakeven","calc.combine","calc.discount","calc.fiscal_impact","data.cite","data.siconfi","input.elicited"],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":2,"detail":"no_auditor_blockers: no blocker from the axis auditor (0 flag(s) in all)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":3,"detail":"sections: every section as expected; not applicable with its reason: ['evidence', 'simulation', 'evaluation_design', 'score']","expected":{"reasons":{"evaluation_design":"ITBI","score":"sem indicador do eixo","simulation":"n\u00e3o usa a microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o"},"statuses":{"appraisal":"done","evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","framing":"done","inputs":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"failure_class":null,"kind":"status","observed":{"reasons":{"evaluation_design":"o desenho de avalia\u00e7\u00e3o de um investimento (diferen\u00e7as em diferen\u00e7as sobre as transa\u00e7\u00f5es do ITBI por faixa de dist\u00e2ncia da obra) pede os microdados georreferenciados do ITBI, que a prefeitura teria de fornecer; nesta vers\u00e3o ele n\u00e3o \u00e9 feito, e o parecer lista o que acompanhar","evidence":"nenhuma estimativa do tratamento desta pol\u00edtica com cita\u00e7\u00e3o verificada na base para os canais selecionados; 10 estimativa(s) de outro tratamento listada(s) e n\u00e3o transportada(s)","score":"sem indicador do eixo: a pontua\u00e7\u00e3o do donut l\u00ea os efeitos da microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o, e o m\u00e9todo Custo-benef\u00edcio com empate n\u00e3o produz um indicador para os eixos","simulation":"o m\u00e9todo escolhido no enquadramento, Custo-benef\u00edcio com empate, n\u00e3o usa a microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o; a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o do m\u00e9todo"},"statuses":{"appraisal":"done","evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","framing":"done","inputs":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":4,"detail":"arithmetic: 53 assignments recomputed and equal, 0 different (0 lenient, 3 undefined, 35 asserted)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"different":[],"followable":{"asserted only":0,"end to end":11,"partly":19},"tally":{"asserted":35,"pass":53,"undefined":3}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":5,"detail":"interval_levels: 0 intervals, 0 re-derived, none labelled at a level it is not","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":6,"detail":"golden_keys: the same 30 figure keys and section statuses","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"missing":[],"new":[],"sections":{}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":7,"detail":"golden_values: 30 figures equal to rel 1e-09","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":8,"detail":"golden_units: 30 units equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":9,"detail":"golden_derivations: 30 derivations and provenance tools equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":10,"detail":"golden_ledger: the same 24 ledger calls in the same order","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":24,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0}],"decided_by_check":null,"diagnosed_class":null,"duration_ms":725.1597079448402,"epoch":1,"error_kind":null,"failure_class":null,"figure_refs":[],"finished_at":"2026-10-15T17:13:36.953103Z","first_estimate":null,"isolation":"pass","meta":{"audit":"golden snapshot","bill":"londrina_parque_2027","checks_ms":2.4,"covers":"the park one-liner framed: the scripted framing chooses public investment in the environment and the cost-benefit method; the inputs stage fetches Londrina's Urbanismo spending and this year's appropriation from SICONFI (committed fixtures), cites the pinned social discount rate and horizon, and asks the rest, answered by a scripted reader (the works' budget, the upkeep, the funding, the start and the construction time); the minimal cost-benefit runner builds the LRF table, the present value, the equivalent annual cost, the break-even and the shares, every number by reference.","evidence_seeded":{"citable":66,"estimates":374,"mechanisms":47,"studies":74},"figures":30,"framed":true,"golden":"packages/magi_bench/src/magi_bench/suites/golden/londrina_parque_2027.framed.json","ledger_calls":24,"memo_id":"memo_fb68cb7c1d","population":null,"protocol_ms":523.8,"sections":{"appraisal":"done","evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","framing":"done","inputs":"done","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"model":"fake","n_estimator_calls_before_answer":null,"native":{},"provider":"fake","reason":"","score":1.0,"split":"public","status":"passed","stopped":null,"suite":"e2e_memo","tags":["golden","framed","framing","appraisal"],"target":"protocol","task_id":"e2e_memo.londrina_parque_2027.framed","task_sha256":"c3773390aa0459dc5cc80b9801c54384bfd4a664ad0a8713905521b2ca8a0cba","tools_called":["data.siconfi","data.siconfi","data.cite","data.cite","input.elicited","input.elicited","input.elicited","magi_evidence.schema.search","calc.fiscal_impact","calc.discount","calc.annuity","calc.breakeven","calc.combine","calc.combine","calc.combine"],"trace":null,"trace_file":null,"trajectory":null,"unbacked":[],"usage":{}}
{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nA microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o foi executada: o motor est\u00e1tico n\u00e3o simula o instrumento desta pol\u00edtica, e n\u00e3o h\u00e1 custo fiscal, incid\u00eancia, pobreza nem desigualdade estimados.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nO custo fiscal n\u00e3o foi calculado pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nPobreza e desigualdade n\u00e3o foram estimadas.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nO que n\u00e3o foi simulado: o custo fiscal, a incid\u00eancia por decil, a pobreza e a desigualdade. N\u00e3o h\u00e1 limita\u00e7\u00f5es de uma simula\u00e7\u00e3o que n\u00e3o ocorreu.","attempt":1,"attempts":[{"attempt":1,"error":null,"error_kind":null,"trace":null,"usage":{}}],"caveats":[],"checks":[{"check_index":0,"detail":"ledger_resolves: all 0 figures resolve to one of 6 ledger calls","expected":[],"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":1,"detail":"provenance_registered: all 0 figures come from 0 registered tools, each call at its card's version","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":2,"detail":"no_auditor_blockers: no blocker from the axis auditor (0 flag(s) in all)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":3,"detail":"sections: every section as expected; not applicable with its reason: ['evidence', 'simulation', 'evaluation_design', 'score']","expected":{"reasons":{"evaluation_design":"sem simula\u00e7\u00e3o","evidence":"de outro tratamento listada(s) e n\u00e3o transportada(s)","score":"a simula\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o produziu figuras","simulation":"gasto p\u00fablico setorial"},"statuses":{"evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"failure_class":null,"kind":"status","observed":{"reasons":{"evaluation_design":"sem simula\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o h\u00e1 efeito simulado para calibrar um desenho de avalia\u00e7\u00e3o","evidence":"nenhuma estimativa do tratamento desta pol\u00edtica com cita\u00e7\u00e3o verificada na base para os canais selecionados; 10 estimativa(s) de outro tratamento listada(s) e n\u00e3o transportada(s)","score":"a simula\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o produziu figuras","simulation":"o motor est\u00e1tico n\u00e3o simula gasto p\u00fablico setorial; os eixos ficam sem nota em vez de registrar efeito zero"},"statuses":{"evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":4,"detail":"arithmetic: 0 assignments recomputed and equal, 0 different (0 lenient, 0 undefined, 0 asserted)","expected":0,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"different":[],"followable":{"asserted only":0,"end to end":0,"partly":0},"tally":{}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":5,"detail":"interval_levels: 0 intervals, 0 re-derived, none labelled at a level it is not","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":6,"detail":"golden_keys: the same 0 figure keys and section statuses","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":{"missing":[],"new":[],"sections":{}},"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":7,"detail":"golden_values: 0 figures equal to rel 1e-09","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":8,"detail":"golden_units: 0 units equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":9,"detail":"golden_derivations: 0 derivations and provenance tools equal","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"diagnostic","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},{"check_index":10,"detail":"golden_ledger: the same 6 ledger calls in the same order","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":6,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0}],"decided_by_check":null,"diagnosed_class":null,"duration_ms":222.31279080733657,"epoch":1,"error_kind":null,"failure_class":null,"figure_refs":[],"finished_at":"2026-10-15T17:13:35.234118Z","first_estimate":null,"isolation":"pass","meta":{"audit":"golden snapshot","bill":"londrina_saneamento_2026","checks_ms":0.7,"covers":"public_spending, which the engine cannot price: the unsupported-instrument guard, the memo told that nothing was simulated, the candidate screen by sector (a sanitation bill is not offered the childcare channel) and the treatment filter: the 10 citable rows on the channels it is offered evaluated other treatments (transfer multipliers, Minha Casa Minha Vida, Luz para Todos, a cash transfer study's primary-care row), so they are listed and none is pooled or transported; the base has no citable sanitation row, and the memo cites no number.","evidence_seeded":{"citable":66,"estimates":374,"mechanisms":47,"studies":74},"figures":0,"golden":"packages/magi_bench/src/magi_bench/suites/golden/londrina_saneamento_2026.json","ledger_calls":6,"memo_id":"memo_8c5fd7b2bc","planned":false,"population":{"households":600,"persons":1767,"persons_weighted":555936.76},"protocol_ms":14.3,"sections":{"evaluation_design":"not_applicable","evidence":"not_applicable","memo":"done","policy":"done","score":"not_applicable","simulation":"not_applicable","theory":"done"}},"model":"fake","n_estimator_calls_before_answer":null,"native":{},"provider":"fake","reason":"","score":1.0,"split":"public","status":"passed","stopped":null,"suite":"e2e_memo","tags":["golden","spending","guard"],"target":"protocol","task_id":"e2e_memo.londrina_saneamento_2026","task_sha256":"9a4625ca6b859a490fa3a75609960f8855876d66962613defdebfe50c4d8c612","tools_called":["magi_evidence.schema.search"],"trace":null,"trace_file":null,"trajectory":null,"unbacked":[],"usage":{}}
{"answer":"## Resumo executivo\nA microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o foi executada: o motor est\u00e1tico n\u00e3o simula o instrumento desta pol\u00edtica, e n\u00e3o h\u00e1 custo fiscal, incid\u00eancia, pobreza nem desigualdade estimados.\n\n## O que a pol\u00edtica faz\nA leitura confirmada do projeto est\u00e1 na se\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica; os n\u00fameros abaixo v\u00eam das figuras.\n\n## Quem ganha e quem paga\nA fonte de financiamento \u00e9 a que o projeto declara.\n\n## Custo fiscal\nO custo fiscal n\u00e3o foi calculado pela microssimula\u00e7\u00e3o.\nOrdens de grandeza transcritas de fontes oficiais, n\u00e3o simuladas: 3,00 exerc\u00edcios; 12000000 R$/ano; 0,01 % dos domic\u00edlios; 552090 pessoas; 209379 domic\u00edlios; 0,0122 desvios-padr\u00e3o; 0,01 % dos domic\u00edlios; 0,22 % dos domic\u00edlios; 555965 pessoas; 36000000 R$; 0,07 % dos domic\u00edlios; 4,12 % dos domic\u00edlios; 2,80 % dos domic\u00edlios; 92,8 % dos domic\u00edlios.\n\n## Pobreza e desigualdade\nPobreza e desigualdade n\u00e3o foram estimadas.\n\n## Limita\u00e7\u00f5es\nO que n\u00e3o foi simulado: o custo fiscal, a incid\u00eancia por decil, a pobreza e a desigualdade. 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