{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"dados":{"description_shown":"Uma linha por loja e per\u00edodo. loja: c\u00f3digo da loja; nj: 1 se a loja fica no munic\u00edpio que adotou o piso salarial, 0 se fica no munic\u00edpio vizinho; depois: 1 no per\u00edodo ap\u00f3s a lei, 0 antes; empregados: n\u00famero de empregados em tempo integral equivalente.","file_sha256":null,"frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Quanto o emprego mudou por causa da lei do piso? Observamos cada loja uma vez antes e uma vez depois da lei, no nosso munic\u00edpio e no vizinho, que n\u00e3o adotou o piso.","question_sha256":"865a35b1ab450ffd066e8e52ca9980da1096bef1b53cfdad1e84f9fe2f6075b9","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","task_sha256":"3bb3bfa1bc72d653262b69867da5a1220015394e0d5fdda916126ddebc98c4f7","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.969746Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_0569cb84","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"reference","model_requested":"reference","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["2f45fced8768ef0f6a115e0bb1da4ed80e740eccda4c9d7a087386b9b3608336"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"94640bdaf1842f840c0b40c2944a5ede47ca88f9a6a17a5dd3da8b76ed2b79b7","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Dois grupos, antes e depois de uma data: diferen\u00e7as em diferen\u00e7as 2\u00d72.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"cluster":"loja","dataset":"dados","post":"depois","treated":"nj","y":"empregados"},"llm_name":"infer__did_2x2","tool_id":"infer.did_2x2","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":1,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.969746Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":"loja","controls":[],"dataset":"dados","level":0.95,"post":"depois","treated":"nj","y":"empregados"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_0f9e9569","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"dados":"efe0dced1dce9e07468eae730303d93e6b4436f5304da4e72145b9564100c412"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":39.14900007657707,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"877cd72920d1f034e7052ce65ad78c9375e3d32b79ed200684ba551c3d49c34b","llm_name":"infer__did_2x2","output_digest":"21d08319c561774f97da929a4c7a9471d4a63ef7cd39c1b6517ab5c54c9641b1","rationale":"Dois grupos, antes e depois de uma data: diferen\u00e7as em diferen\u00e7as 2\u00d72.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["without the policy the treated group's outcome would have changed as much as the comparison group's (parallel trends)","no other change hit one group and not the other between the two periods"],"call_id":"call_0f9e9569","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"design","note":"balanced panel of units in 'loja': estimated in first differences, HC1 errors across units","value":"panel_first_difference"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_obs","note":"","value":800},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"parallel_trends","note":"with two periods parallel trends cannot be tested; the estimate rests on assuming them","value":"untestable"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_units","note":"","value":400}],"figures":[{"ci_high":2.4026966605938473,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":1.820152516247728,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"DiD = (\u0233_T1 \u2212 \u0233_T0) \u2212 (\u0233_C1 \u2212 \u0233_C0)","result":2.1114245884207876,"terms":[{"note":"tratado, depois","symbol":"\u0233_T1","unit":"","value":4.487524889870923},{"note":"tratado, antes","symbol":"\u0233_T0","unit":"","value":1.5994329561163374},{"note":"compara\u00e7\u00e3o, depois","symbol":"\u0233_C1","unit":"","value":0.8837118730647995},{"note":"compara\u00e7\u00e3o, antes","symbol":"\u0233_C0","unit":"","value":0.1070445277310008}],"text_pt":"Varia\u00e7\u00e3o da m\u00e9dia do grupo tratado menos a varia\u00e7\u00e3o da m\u00e9dia do grupo de compara\u00e7\u00e3o.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.1481590119001762,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.02195109280723655}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = DiD \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"DiD","unit":"","value":2.1114245884207876},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9659423239762661},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.1481590119001762}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 398 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"did","label":"Difference-in-differences effect on empregados","se":0.1481590119001762,"unit":"","value":2.1114245884207876}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{"means":[{"group":"treated","mean":1.5994329561163374,"n":200,"period":"before"},{"group":"treated","mean":4.487524889870923,"n":200,"period":"after"},{"group":"comparison","mean":0.1070445277310008,"n":200,"period":"before"},{"group":"comparison","mean":0.8837118730647995,"n":200,"period":"after"}]},"tool":"infer.did_2x2","version":"0.1.0","warnings":["with two periods parallel trends cannot be tested"]},"result_for_model_ref":"4170dbca8aa6b91f6362b20b3a75da7b70458dda8474193aac520ac77e0c529f","result_sha256":"64db7a10558a69cd72042e784571dabf71fd6bc45cdefecce186f5fa15c5de42","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.975229Z","tool_id":"infer.did_2x2","turn_id":"call_0569cb84"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_9ebac638","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"reference","model_requested":"reference","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["2f45fced8768ef0f6a115e0bb1da4ed80e740eccda4c9d7a087386b9b3608336","875a1a014aa55f13285840be40454ab29ab4af265cd2e10ea623a899aff7d184","ec12e9b12da335c4e194182a6d9c0825f4e3033a0b2d41af1c42d131f1d5696a"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"94640bdaf1842f840c0b40c2944a5ede47ca88f9a6a17a5dd3da8b76ed2b79b7","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.did_2x2): did = 2,111.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":["call_0f9e9569:did"]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"script_2"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":3,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.014512Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_5532c076","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":["2,111"],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":4,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016114Z","turn_id":"call_9ebac638","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.did_2x2): did = 2,111.","answer_figure":{"call_id":"call_0f9e9569","ci_high":2.4026966605938473,"ci_low":1.820152516247728,"formatted":2.1114245884207876,"key":"did","ref":"call_0f9e9569:did","se":0.1481590119001762,"tool_id":"infer.did_2x2","unit":"","value":2.1114245884207876},"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_0f9e9569:did"],"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":5,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"1 successful call(s) of infer.did_2x2","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":1,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_0f9e9569","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":6,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"2.111424588 vs 2.04","expected":2.04,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":2.1114245884207876,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":{"abs_tol":0.5930072571877468,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":"call_0f9e9569","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":7,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":2,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":8,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":3,"detail":"answer_cites(infer.did_2x2): ok","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.did_2x2","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":["call_0f9e9569:did"],"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_0f9e9569","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":9,"task_id":"tool_selection.did_2x2.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:51.016313Z"}
