{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"dados":{"description_shown":"Uma linha por pessoa eleg\u00edvel. renda: renda mensal do trabalho um ano depois (R$ mil); oferta: 1 se a pessoa foi sorteada para receber a carta-convite do curso; participou: 1 se a pessoa frequentou o curso (s\u00f3 quem recebeu a carta podia se matricular).","file_sha256":null,"frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Os participantes do curso de qualifica\u00e7\u00e3o ganham mais do que os n\u00e3o participantes. Isso mede o efeito do curso? Estime o efeito de participar sobre a renda.","question_sha256":"e5955276f676a6de7b100331722f651a263e7697f42e94e56110a700dccc253d","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","task_sha256":"b66968b20afb8a268f2b0554092733bad9dfad2a6b190cb15fec61c63451757b","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.600313Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_9873b627","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"reference","model_requested":"reference","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["143c39ab9df59f078fd52ccd30d6b4dbb97d46c69747cdea052e4ed09d669b4d"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"6caf5c1a061f1f06bf4b0f427d1b753567f9e159168099be499b38cdb9b4f5b3","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Oferta sorteada com ades\u00e3o parcial: ITT dividido pela ades\u00e3o (LATE).","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"d":"participou","dataset":"dados","y":"renda","z":"oferta"},"llm_name":"infer__wald_late","tool_id":"infer.wald_late","vendor_id":"script_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":1,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.600313Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":null,"d":"participou","dataset":"dados","level":0.95,"same_sample":true,"y":"renda","z":"oferta"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_a2bba754","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"dados":"5ff7bd0ba9a324137ae52acfad8d383c12cfe502bd696711fa19d1fb94ae81c7"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":55.482625029981136,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"a8a386cec514af150b8e53af26bc72b00c4ca70c705120bb8c82b6583b3b28e9","llm_name":"infer__wald_late","output_digest":"4ac398b8361d58920cdaf72269b20bd4c5a3af1551ee370866f84be51174778c","rationale":"Oferta sorteada com ades\u00e3o parcial: ITT dividido pela ades\u00e3o (LATE).","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["the offer is randomly assigned","the offer affects the outcome only through take-up (exclusion)","no unit takes up the treatment because it was not offered (monotonicity)"],"call_id":"call_a2bba754","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"p1","note":"take-up among units offered (participou = 1 given oferta = 1)","value":0.6655189375307428},{"flag":false,"name":"p0","note":"take-up among units not offered (participou = 1 given oferta = 0)","value":0.0},{"flag":false,"name":"one_sided","note":"no one outside the offer took the treatment: the LATE is the effect on the treated (Bloom)","value":true},{"flag":false,"name":"first_stage_F","note":"squared t of the first stage","value":4043.0495227939555},{"flag":false,"name":"same_sample","note":"ITT, first stage and LATE use the same rows","value":true},{"flag":false,"name":"n_itt","note":"","value":4000},{"flag":false,"name":"n_first_stage","note":"","value":4000},{"flag":false,"name":"n_late","note":"","value":4000},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors (HC1)","value":"HC1"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"errors not clustered","value":null}],"figures":[{"ci_high":0.3590197302342796,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.19719589101733107,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"ITT = \u0233_1 \u2212 \u0233_0","result":0.2781078106258053,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"\u0233_1","unit":"","value":2.3186755851358085},{"note":"","symbol":"\u0233_0","unit":"","value":2.0405677745100035}],"text_pt":"Diferen\u00e7a das m\u00e9dias de renda entre quem recebeu a oferta e quem n\u00e3o recebeu.","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.04126985235056671,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.0017032007130375767}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = ITT \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"ITT","unit":"","value":0.2781078106258053},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9605575256525767},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.04126985235056671}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 3998 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"itt","label":"Intention-to-treat effect of the offer oferta on renda","se":0.04126985235056671,"unit":"","value":0.2781078106258053},{"ci_high":0.6860393212293067,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.6449985538321789,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"PE = p1 \u2212 p0","result":0.6655189375307428,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"p1","unit":"propor\u00e7\u00e3o","value":0.6655189375307428},{"note":"","symbol":"p0","unit":"propor\u00e7\u00e3o","value":0.0}],"text_pt":"Diferen\u00e7a das taxas de ades\u00e3o (participou = 1) entre ofertados e n\u00e3o ofertados.","unit":"propor\u00e7\u00e3o"},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.01046660627401567,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.00010954984689526417}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto \u00e0 heterocedasticidade (HC1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = PE \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"PE","unit":"","value":0.6655189375307428},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9605575256525767},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.01046660627401567}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 3998 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"first_stage","label":"Effect of the offer oferta on take-up participou (compliance)","se":0.01046660627401567,"unit":"share","value":0.6655189375307428},{"ci_high":0.5353695379724656,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.30039273697544594,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"LATE = ITT / PE","result":0.4178811374739558,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"ITT","unit":"","value":0.2781078106258053},{"note":"","symbol":"PE","unit":"propor\u00e7\u00e3o","value":0.6655189375307428}],"text_pt":"Estimador de Wald: o efeito da oferta sobre o desfecho dividido pelo efeito da oferta sobre a ades\u00e3o.","unit":""},{"formula":"","result":0.05992601541207188,"terms":[],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o do MQ2E exatamente identificado de renda sobre participou instrumentado por oferta.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = LATE \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"LATE","unit":"","value":0.4178811374739558},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.9605575256525767},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.05992601541207188}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o t de Student com 3998 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"late","label":"Local average effect of participou on renda for compliers","se":0.05992601541207188,"unit":"","value":0.4178811374739558}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{},"tool":"infer.wald_late","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"9ec2b93e5f2d6425048e28877bacd0cc2db861836a2ce50723d8084a4c23aa20","result_sha256":"bd7caef10f24a10b3f6e82cc53e9de0440652000671e64354aa0b6653844f9ee","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.603808Z","tool_id":"infer.wald_late","turn_id":"call_9873b627"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_d662b666","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"reference","model_requested":"reference","provider":"scripted","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["143c39ab9df59f078fd52ccd30d6b4dbb97d46c69747cdea052e4ed09d669b4d","d69f32ca5ed70677684c15cd5c0af09b70db25e5d7faab1e2598b4d078d0918d","8b999005a159bcb87c6d53849fd5186e5f886966f9aa54749a6f820ca03b3d36"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"6caf5c1a061f1f06bf4b0f427d1b753567f9e159168099be499b38cdb9b4f5b3","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.wald_late): late = 0,4179.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":["call_a2bba754:late"]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"script_2"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":3,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.659489Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_cfeb4bd4","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":["0,4179"],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":4,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661222Z","turn_id":"call_d662b666","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.wald_late): late = 0,4179.","answer_figure":{"call_id":"call_a2bba754","ci_high":0.5353695379724656,"ci_low":0.30039273697544594,"formatted":0.4178811374739558,"key":"late","ref":"call_a2bba754:late","se":0.05992601541207188,"tool_id":"infer.wald_late","unit":"","value":0.4178811374739558},"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_a2bba754:late"],"run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":5,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"1 successful call(s) of infer.wald_late","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":1,"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_a2bba754","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":6,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"tool_called(infer.wald_late): ok | tool_called(infer.iv_2sls): 0 successful call(s) of infer.iv_2sls","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":1,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_a2bba754","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":7,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":2,"detail":"0 call(s) of infer.ate","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_not_called","observed":0,"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":8,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":3,"detail":"tool_not_called(infer.ate): ok | answer_cites(infer.wald_late): ok | answer_cites(infer.iv_2sls): cited ['call_a2bba754:late']","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_not_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ate","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":0,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":9,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":4,"detail":"0 call(s) of infer.ols","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_not_called","observed":0,"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":10,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":5,"detail":"tool_not_called(infer.ols): ok | answer_cites(infer.wald_late): ok | answer_cites(infer.iv_2sls): cited ['call_a2bba754:late']","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_not_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ols","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":0,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":11,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":6,"detail":"arg_equals(infer.wald_late:z): ok | arg_equals(infer.iv_2sls:instruments): infer.iv_2sls.instruments = []","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":"z","kind":"arg_equals","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":"oferta","weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":"instruments","kind":"arg_equals","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":["oferta"],"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":["oferta"],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_a2bba754","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":12,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":7,"detail":"figure_close(infer.wald_late:late): ok | figure_close(infer.iv_2sls:coef.participou): no successful call of infer.iv_2sls","expected":[{"abs_tol":0.2396441281402444,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":"late","kind":"figure_close","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":0.55,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":0.2396441281402444,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":"coef.participou","kind":"figure_close","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":0.55,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":0.4178811374739558,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_a2bba754","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":13,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":8,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":14,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":9,"detail":"answer_cites(infer.wald_late): ok | answer_cites(infer.iv_2sls): cited ['call_a2bba754:late']","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.wald_late","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.iv_2sls","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":["call_a2bba754:late"],"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_a2bba754","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171350Z-suite-tool_selection-scripted-900f27","seq":15,"task_id":"tool_selection.encouragement.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:13:50.661506Z"}
