{"attempt":1,"datasets":{},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"O or\u00e7amento permite acompanhar 600 fam\u00edlias, metade sorteada para o programa. Qual o efeito m\u00ednimo detect\u00e1vel, em desvios-padr\u00e3o, com poder de 90% e signific\u00e2ncia de 5%?","question_sha256":"c66c001ebdd5b9bcf0ad08ba7a8e02b254d7ff92b58824cc4dd1de504c5aff69","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","task_sha256":"0245959100f89142b1f0bf56a53758c13164a8ce20a85e1459045ad97933d2f2","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.664028Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_b7a0b6a4","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["299dcbdb377c17ccc0310c4bdb83503c95b16dd77e43601263080bf645ee9902"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"5ec81d84347bfcd291f77c36ebef99cc5836d341cbb25f78c669beedae0dcf8d","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Amostra fixa, efeito detect\u00e1vel: EMD.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"alpha":0.05,"n":600,"power":0.9},"llm_name":"infer__mde","tool_id":"infer.mde","vendor_id":"baseline_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":1,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.664028Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"alpha":0.05,"cluster_size":null,"icc":null,"n":600,"power":0.9,"sd":1.0,"share_treated":0.5},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_f0079735","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":0.25341613218188286,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"ae475cb8e0b3bfe8bb2f0f034aec86bb78ceeb6c011cc41e35e7671288f2989a","llm_name":"infer__mde","output_digest":"889b3378cc43cb8f334479e2a677ec55db70f28ea5486763ebff3f02a369d72e","rationale":"Amostra fixa, efeito detect\u00e1vel: EMD.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["two-sided test; normal approximation"],"call_id":"call_f0079735","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"design_effect","note":"","value":1.0}],"figures":[{"ci_high":null,"ci_level":null,"ci_low":null,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"MDE = (z_a + z_p) \u00d7 sd \u00d7 \u221a(DE / (p \u00d7 (1 \u2212 p) \u00d7 n))","result":0.26466863636681776,"terms":[{"note":"quantil 0.975 da normal","symbol":"z_a","unit":"","value":1.959963984540054},{"note":"quantil 0.9 da normal","symbol":"z_p","unit":"","value":1.2815515655446004},{"note":"","symbol":"sd","unit":"","value":1.0},{"note":"sem conglomerados","symbol":"DE","unit":"","value":1.0},{"note":"","symbol":"p","unit":"parcela tratada","value":0.5},{"note":"","symbol":"n","unit":"unidades","value":600.0}],"text_pt":"Efeito m\u00ednimo detect\u00e1vel de um teste bilateral (Duflo, Glennerster e Kremer 2007).","unit":""}]},"key":"mde","label":"Minimum detectable effect with 600 units (0.9 power, \u03b1 = 0.05)","se":null,"unit":"SD","value":0.26466863636681776}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{},"tool":"infer.mde","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"9fa1214a54c528a6db676ab7f41692b3c2ae2bf0d407c836a309b148d17bfa7c","result_sha256":"bbf697816b7859484b11ff513b308bf485803a67d5dc18d14fff31c90a9d5a8e","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.675383Z","tool_id":"infer.mde","turn_id":"call_b7a0b6a4"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_68eb98b9","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["299dcbdb377c17ccc0310c4bdb83503c95b16dd77e43601263080bf645ee9902","a8d8cb210f0cd865e28b419898c825c9d407c547a146605faf6af504e4ccfb8e","bd3d15bf78fabef556544510bf207c69cc5afd632e10ae164f142e1e1dd72da4"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"5ec81d84347bfcd291f77c36ebef99cc5836d341cbb25f78c669beedae0dcf8d","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.mde): mde = 0,2647.","caveats":[],"figure_refs":["call_f0079735:mde"]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":3,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.675701Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_850e3c3d","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":["0,2647"],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":4,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679101Z","turn_id":"call_68eb98b9","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.mde): mde = 0,2647.","answer_figure":null,"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_f0079735:mde"],"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":5,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679270Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"1 successful call(s) of infer.mde","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":1,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_f0079735","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":6,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679270Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"0.2646686364 vs 0.26466863636681776","expected":0.26466863636681776,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":0.26466863636681776,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":{"abs_tol":0.0026466863636681777,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":"call_f0079735","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":7,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679270Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":2,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":8,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679270Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":3,"detail":"answer_cites(infer.mde): ok","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.mde","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":["call_f0079735:mde"],"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_f0079735","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":9,"task_id":"tool_selection.power.test.s1001","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:02.679270Z"}
