{"attempt":1,"datasets":{"dados":{"description_shown":"Uma linha por aluno. escola: c\u00f3digo da escola do aluno; nota: nota padronizada na prova municipal ao fim do ano; tratado: 1 se a escola do aluno entrou no programa; nota_base: nota padronizada no in\u00edcio do ano.","file_sha256":null,"frame_sha256":null,"role":"agent","transforms":[]}},"epoch":1,"event":"sample_init","question":"Temos as notas de 2.000 alunos de 100 escolas; o programa foi atribu\u00eddo aleatoriamente \u00e0s escolas. Qual foi o impacto sobre a nota?","question_sha256":"e50ab544218099b1d807ee19cd26633df3ba7c8f3704d908fdc5905243471f35","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":0,"skills":[],"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","task_sha256":"51197baf244a380559d4d9579b757e4844eb6b4ce5c61b212481529387ffe5de","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.900920Z"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_9525da00","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["aceb31622919f1435d5ab10f057a5c76b42517982be62dd297fc9f35291cdbb0"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"2dbe4695cac08d5f30a1ad6b395e67ddd810325504841c924354f51c6ad12bd1","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"Atribui\u00e7\u00e3o sorteada: diferen\u00e7a de m\u00e9dias entre os grupos.","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"cluster":"escola","dataset":"dados","treatment":"tratado","y":"nota"},"llm_name":"infer__ate","tool_id":"infer.ate","vendor_id":"baseline_1"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":1,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.900920Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"arguments":{"cluster":"escola","covariates":[],"dataset":"dados","level":0.95,"treatment":"tratado","weights":null,"y":"nota"},"attempt":1,"cached":false,"call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","card_version":"0.1.0","code_version":"2925aeab2262","dataset_digests":{"dados":"437768434a1f064b23dfc4f59c78263cec4fc4c636a2163d35039af9f305ec25"},"decided_by":"model","duration_ms":24.730500066652894,"epoch":1,"error":null,"event":"tool","informed_by":[],"input_digest":"58c0511bd831274d617061d3e3f386c1e138278fa6e6f785fa188bc9d95bcfdd","llm_name":"infer__ate","output_digest":"4bb5857f0e9fa2e67a6c1bba6c63055591eeb5e8f0681a2adb2173d921c98e72","rationale":"Atribui\u00e7\u00e3o sorteada: diferen\u00e7a de m\u00e9dias entre os grupos.","replay_class":"replayed","result":{"assumptions":["assignment was random and every assigned unit received its arm"],"call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","datasets":{},"diagnostics":[{"flag":false,"name":"n_treated","note":"","value":1000},{"flag":false,"name":"n_control","note":"","value":1000},{"flag":false,"name":"se_type","note":"cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'escola'","value":"cluster"},{"flag":false,"name":"n_clusters","note":"100 clusters of 'escola'","value":100}],"figures":[{"ci_high":0.8026651263274931,"ci_level":0.95,"ci_low":0.5088880282770469,"derivation":{"note_pt":"","steps":[{"formula":"ATE = \u0233_1 \u2212 \u0233_0","result":0.65577657730227,"terms":[{"note":"1000 tratados","symbol":"\u0233_1","unit":"","value":1.5692234700055885},{"note":"1000 controles","symbol":"\u0233_0","unit":"","value":0.9134468927033181}],"text_pt":"Diferen\u00e7a das m\u00e9dias do desfecho entre tratados e controles (o coeficiente da regress\u00e3o no indicador de tratamento).","unit":""},{"formula":"ep = \u221aV_jj","result":0.07494451438080556,"terms":[{"note":"diagonal da matriz de covari\u00e2ncia","symbol":"V_jj","unit":"","value":0.005616680235774771}],"text_pt":"Erro-padr\u00e3o robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da vari\u00e2ncia estimada do coeficiente.","unit":""},{"formula":"IC = ATE \u00b1 c \u00b7 ep","result":null,"terms":[{"note":"","symbol":"ATE","unit":"","value":0.65577657730227},{"note":"quantil 0.975","symbol":"c","unit":"","value":1.959963984540054},{"note":"","symbol":"ep","unit":"","value":0.07494451438080556}],"text_pt":"Intervalo de 95% de confian\u00e7a: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor cr\u00edtico da distribui\u00e7\u00e3o normal vezes o erro-padr\u00e3o.","unit":""}]},"key":"ate","label":"Average effect of tratado on nota","se":0.07494451438080556,"unit":"","value":0.65577657730227}],"notes":"","reason":"","status":"ok","tables":{},"tool":"infer.ate","version":"0.1.0","warnings":[]},"result_for_model_ref":"b8316bc815308a86f0e74eaaa7a7d8651a6da96890f7ed3fd710f78f1323c2cf","result_sha256":"13f3223ac7d5ffff6c9f9e02afa64e0a5b7bee321d412b73d1bbf07aefb623f7","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":2,"synthetic":false,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.903956Z","tool_id":"infer.ate","turn_id":"call_9525da00"}
{"attempt":1,"attempts":[],"call_id":"call_32ab33ca","epoch":1,"event":"model","finish_reason":"tool_use","latency_ms":0.0,"model_reported":"rules-1","model_requested":"rules-1","provider":"baseline","request":{"config":{},"contents_refs":[],"messages_refs":["aceb31622919f1435d5ab10f057a5c76b42517982be62dd297fc9f35291cdbb0","19e143e5a1d8e0ae92504e183f965e68315d4e4796119d209ef5ab847ecee8f5","52b19add5f84457b3eea737d474667953994bcb2f01a78a06817761d5af8ec8d"],"system_stable_ref":"433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420","system_task_ref":"2dbe4695cac08d5f30a1ad6b395e67ddd810325504841c924354f51c6ad12bd1","tools_ref":"52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b"},"response":{"text":"","thoughts":null,"tool_calls":[{"args":{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.ate): ate = 0,6558 (IC 95%: 0,5089 a 0,8027).","caveats":[],"figure_refs":["call_b47c0b4c:ate"]},"llm_name":"submit_answer","tool_id":null,"vendor_id":"baseline_answer"}]},"response_id":null,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":3,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.928759Z","usage":{"cached":0,"input":0,"output":0,"thoughts":0},"vendor":false}
{"attempt":1,"call_id":"call_f6699771","epoch":1,"event":"guard","numbers_found":["0,6558","95%","0,5089","0,8027"],"retries_left":1,"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":4,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930045Z","turn_id":"call_32ab33ca","unbacked":[],"uncited":[],"verdict":"accepted"}
{"answer":"Estimativa (infer.ate): ate = 0,6558 (IC 95%: 0,5089 a 0,8027).","answer_figure":{"call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","ci_high":0.8026651263274931,"ci_low":0.5088880282770469,"formatted":0.65577657730227,"key":"ate","ref":"call_b47c0b4c:ate","se":0.07494451438080556,"tool_id":"infer.ate","unit":"","value":0.65577657730227},"attempt":1,"caveats":[],"epoch":1,"event":"answer","figure_refs":["call_b47c0b4c:ate"],"run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":5,"stopped":"answered","task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":0,"detail":"1 successful call(s) of infer.ate","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"tool_called","observed":1,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":6,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":1,"detail":"infer.ate.cluster = ['escola']","expected":"escola","failure_class":null,"kind":"arg_equals","observed":["escola"],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":7,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":2,"detail":"0.6557765773 vs 0.53","expected":0.53,"failure_class":null,"kind":"figure_close","observed":0.65577657730227,"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":{"abs_tol":0.29977805752322223,"interval":null,"min_lre":null,"open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"rule":null},"trace_call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":8,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":3,"detail":"every number backed","expected":null,"failure_class":null,"kind":"answer_backed","observed":[],"passed":true,"required":true,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":null,"weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":9,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}
{"attempt":1,"check":{"check_index":4,"detail":"answer_cites(infer.ate): ok","expected":[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"any","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"answer_cites","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ate","value":null,"weight":1.0,"where":null}],"failure_class":null,"kind":"any_of","observed":["call_b47c0b4c:ate"],"passed":true,"required":false,"source_id":null,"tolerance":null,"trace_call_id":"call_b47c0b4c","weight":1.0},"epoch":1,"event":"score","run_id":"20261015T171401Z-suite-tool_selection-baseline-a1426d","seq":10,"task_id":"tool_selection.rct_cluster.test.s1002","timestamp":"2026-10-15T17:14:01.930180Z"}