Tarefa paper_repro.angrist_evans_1998.tab7_c5_weeks.agent

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Pergunta feita ao analista

Angrist and Evans (1998), 'Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply', Table 7, column (5): in the 1980 Census sample of married women aged 21-35 with two or more children, estimate by two-stage least squares the effect of having more than 2 children on the mother's weeks worked in 1979, using as the instrument the indicator that the first two children are of the same sex. Include as covariates the mother's age and indicators for a first-born boy, a second-born boy, and Black, Hispanic and other race; the paper also includes the age at first birth, which this file does not have. Report the coefficient on having more than 2 children.

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Verificações

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Trajetória

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1. 0Início

   Angrist and Evans (1998), 'Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply', Table 7, column (5): in the 1980 Census sample of married women aged 21-35 with two or more children, estimate by two-stage least squares the effect of having more than 2 children on the mother's weeks worked in 1979, using as the instrument the indicator that the first two children are of the same sex. Include as covariates the mother's age and indicators for a first-born boy, a second-born boy, and Black, Hispanic and other race; the paper also includes the age at first birth, which this file does not have. Report the coefficient on having more than 2 children.

   fertility (agent)

   The 1980 Census sample of Angrist and Evans (1998), 'Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply', as distributed in the R package AER (data set Fertility, served by Rdatasets): married women aged 21-35 with two or more children, one row per woman (254,654 rows). Columns: gender1 and gender2, the sex of the first and the second child ('male' or 'female'); boy1st and boy2nd, 1 if the first (second) child is a boy; samesex, 1 if the first two children are of the same sex (two boys or two girls); morekids, 1 if the mother has more than 2 children; agem1, the mother's age in years; blackm, hispm and othracem, 1 if the mother is Black, Hispanic, or of another race (white is the reference); weeksm1, the number of weeks the mother worked in 1979. The file has no age at first birth.

   file ca9be592b79dddbc2f49ff80f45d0dbe31aac4afb57ff88dec57376c3f3e3452 · frame —

   1. derive {"args":{"column":"morekids","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"morekids","op":"map"}
   2. derive {"args":{"column":"afam","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"blackm","op":"map"}
   3. derive {"args":{"column":"hispanic","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"hispm","op":"map"}
   4. derive {"args":{"column":"other","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"othracem","op":"map"}
   5. derive {"args":{"column":"gender1","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy1st","op":"map"}
   6. derive {"args":{"column":"gender2","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy2nd","op":"map"}
   7. derive {"args":{"left":"boy1st","right":"boy2nd"},"name":"sex_gap","op":"diff"}
   8. derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"sex_gap","value":0},"name":"samesex","op":"indicator"}
   9. rename {"map":{"age":"agem1","work":"weeksm1"}}
   10. select {"columns":["gender1","gender2","boy1st","boy2nd","samesex","morekids","agem1","blackm","hispm","othracem","weeksm1"]}
2. 1Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"morekids","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"morekids","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 14e3e85c163d → 5a972366e3e8
3. 2Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"afam","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"blackm","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 5a972366e3e8 → 18ccebde6b6d
4. 3Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"hispanic","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"hispm","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 18ccebde6b6d → 904f43a67031
5. 4Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"other","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"othracem","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 904f43a67031 → 8aaea27cf87b
6. 5Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"gender1","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy1st","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 8aaea27cf87b → 666ccf9c0cdf
7. 6Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"gender2","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy2nd","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 666ccf9c0cdf → b2ccbd1a7c9a
8. 7Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"left":"boy1st","right":"boy2nd"},"name":"sex_gap","op":"diff"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: b2ccbd1a7c9a → b25bee20ec5a
9. 8Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"sex_gap","value":0},"name":"samesex","op":"indicator"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: b25bee20ec5a → 935084af856b
10. 9Transformação
    fertility · rename {"map":{"age":"agem1","work":"weeksm1"}}

    254654 → 254654 linhas

    Frame antes → depois: 935084af856b → ccc82e5f5788
11. 10Transformação
    fertility · select {"columns":["gender1","gender2","boy1st","boy2nd","samesex","morekids","agem1","blackm","hispm","othracem","weeksm1"]}

    254654 → 254654 linhas

    Frame antes → depois: ccc82e5f5788 → c7a28c42496c
12. 11Turno do modelo
    call_17cf55abreferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

    Texto visível

    Table 7, column (5): 2SLS of the mother's weeks worked on having more than 2 children, instrumented by the same-sex indicator, with age, boy first, boy second and race indicators (the file has no age at first birth).

    Chamadas pedidas

    • infer.iv_2sls

      {
        "dataset": "fertility",
        "endog": [
          "morekids"
        ],
        "exog": [
          "agem1",
          "boy1st",
          "boy2nd",
          "blackm",
          "hispm",
          "othracem"
        ],
        "instruments": [
          "samesex"
        ],
        "se": "classical",
        "y": "weeksm1"
      }

    Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
13. 12Ferramenta
    infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_b0f4b4b2decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Table 7, column (5): 2SLS of the mother's weeks worked on having more than 2 children, instrumented by the same-sex indicator, with age, boy first, boy second and race indicators (the file has no age at first birth).

    Argumentos

    {
      "cluster": null,
      "dataset": "fertility",
      "endog": [
        "morekids"
      ],
      "exog": [
        "agem1",
        "boy1st",
        "boy2nd",
        "blackm",
        "hispm",
        "othracem"
      ],
      "instruments": [
        "samesex"
      ],
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "classical",
      "subset": null,
      "y": "weeksm1"
    }

    Figuras call_b0f4b4b2

    Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
    coef.morekids 2SLS effect of morekids on weeksm1	-5,74641	-5.746409761250555	1,237251.2372527665239512	-8,17139 – -3,32143

    Diagnósticos

    • first_stage_F.morekids = 1.298,941298.942196093575
    • partial_r2.morekids = 0,005075080.0050750844496005865
    • weak_instrument = false
    • n_obs = 254.654254654
    • se_type = "classical"
    • n_clusters = —

    Tabelas (3)

    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": -3.894651510371974,
          "ci_low": -5.491977005383414,
          "coef": -4.693314257877694,
          "p": 1.0932058054319445e-30,
          "se": 0.4074865444776059,
          "t": -11.51771591352662,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.875148243667443,
          "ci_low": 0.7858626101564906,
          "coef": 0.8305054269119668,
          "p": 2.5050309446894502e-290,
          "se": 0.02277725759996795,
          "t": 36.462046550904155,
          "term": "agem1"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.15518801551433226,
          "ci_low": -0.18002344638465373,
          "coef": -0.012417715435160728,
          "p": 0.8845434780405558,
          "se": 0.08551429292595505,
          "t": -0.14521216290606478,
          "term": "boy1st"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -0.00032404877909639196,
          "ci_low": -0.3349607069276821,
          "coef": -0.16764237785338926,
          "p": 0.04955794736073631,
          "se": 0.08536765731866344,
          "t": -1.9637692203220218,
          "term": "boy2nd"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 12.062028946268919,
          "ci_low": 11.166822394341962,
          "coef": 11.61442567030544,
          "p": 0,
          "se": 0.2283721292733859,
          "t": 50.85745667502941,
          "term": "blackm"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.8986363842058386,
          "ci_low": -0.11579272307197519,
          "coef": 0.3914218305669317,
          "p": 0.13040077454447038,
          "se": 0.258786460764015,
          "t": 1.512528242054617,
          "term": "hispm"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 2.5330211340198474,
          "ci_low": 1.7261705227176998,
          "coef": 2.1295958283687737,
          "p": 4.40078106016244e-25,
          "se": 0.2058320414567736,
          "t": 10.346279487375176,
          "term": "othracem"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -3.321427372843427,
          "ci_low": -8.171392149657683,
          "coef": -5.746409761250555,
          "p": 0.0000034108531610220233,
          "se": 1.2372527665239512,
          "t": -4.64449134140555,
          "term": "morekids"
        }
      ],
      "first_stage": [
        {
          "ci_high": 0.0722833255575446,
          "ci_low": 0.06482699115994814,
          "coef": 0.06855515835874637,
          "endog": "morekids",
          "instrument": "samesex",
          "p": 1.0026728179589989e-283,
          "se": 0.0019021520332800665,
          "t": 36.040840668519024
        }
      ],
      "reduced_form": [
        {
          "ci_high": -0.2260938175644005,
          "ci_low": -0.5617982447890114,
          "coef": -0.39394603117670596,
          "instrument": "samesex",
          "p": 0.000004226513983905047,
          "se": 0.08564005109967326,
          "t": -4.600020972876427
        }
      ]
    }

    Digests dos dados

    fertility c7a28c42496c51fa4ea223123cad6242aaa393634242d66e383c351dd0f471ef

    sha256 do resultado

    85979bffd55ae499705f92ec835a5c8aaaf7185c732032e32c6ed9d9186719d8

    Resultado mostrado ao modelo
14. 13Turno do modelo
    call_8f9f3140referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

    Chamadas pedidas

    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.morekids = -5,746.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_b0f4b4b2:coef.morekids"
        ]
      }

    Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
15. 14Guarda
    resposta aceita

    Números encontrados

    -5,746

    Sem lastro

    —

    Não citados

    —

    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
16. 15Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.morekids = -5,746.

    Figuras citadas: call_b0f4b4b2:coef.morekids · Parada: answered

    Figura da resposta: call_b0f4b4b2:coef.morekids = -5,74641-5.746409761250555 (se 1,237251.2372527665239512)
17. 16Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
18. 17Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_b0f4b4b2:coef.morekids (infer.iv_2sls)
19. 18Pontuação
    #2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatóriaanswer call is infer.iv_2sls
20. 19Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.y = 'weeksm1'
21. 20Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.endog = ['morekids']
22. 21Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.instruments = ['samesex']
23. 22Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.exog = ['agem1', 'boy1st', 'boy2nd', 'blackm', 'hispm', 'othracem']
24. 23Pontuação
    #7diagnósticopassouobrigatória254654 vs 254654
25. 24Pontuação
    #8figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória-5.746409761 vs -5.746409761252153
26. 25Pontuação
    #9figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada1.237252767 vs 1.2372527665238475
27. 26Pontuação
    #10figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada-5.746409761 vs -5.4
28. 27Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada1.237252767 vs 1.2

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• época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)

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