Tarefa paper_repro.angrist_evans_1998.tab7_c5_weeks.design

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Pergunta feita ao analista

Do children reduce their mothers' labour supply? Among married women aged 21-35 with two or more children in the 1980 Census, estimate the causal effect of having a third child on the number of weeks the mother worked in the year before the census, using a source of variation in family size that the mother's labour-market prospects do not drive.

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Trajetória

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1. 0Início

   Do children reduce their mothers' labour supply? Among married women aged 21-35 with two or more children in the 1980 Census, estimate the causal effect of having a third child on the number of weeks the mother worked in the year before the census, using a source of variation in family size that the mother's labour-market prospects do not drive.

   fertility (agent)

   The 1980 Census sample of Angrist and Evans (1998), 'Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply', as distributed in the R package AER (data set Fertility, served by Rdatasets): married women aged 21-35 with two or more children, one row per woman (254,654 rows). Columns: gender1 and gender2, the sex of the first and the second child ('male' or 'female'); boy1st and boy2nd, 1 if the first (second) child is a boy; samesex, 1 if the first two children are of the same sex (two boys or two girls); morekids, 1 if the mother has more than 2 children; agem1, the mother's age in years; blackm, hispm and othracem, 1 if the mother is Black, Hispanic, or of another race (white is the reference); weeksm1, the number of weeks the mother worked in 1979. The file has no age at first birth.

   file ca9be592b79dddbc2f49ff80f45d0dbe31aac4afb57ff88dec57376c3f3e3452 · frame —

   1. derive {"args":{"column":"morekids","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"morekids","op":"map"}
   2. derive {"args":{"column":"afam","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"blackm","op":"map"}
   3. derive {"args":{"column":"hispanic","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"hispm","op":"map"}
   4. derive {"args":{"column":"other","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"othracem","op":"map"}
   5. derive {"args":{"column":"gender1","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy1st","op":"map"}
   6. derive {"args":{"column":"gender2","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy2nd","op":"map"}
   7. derive {"args":{"left":"boy1st","right":"boy2nd"},"name":"sex_gap","op":"diff"}
   8. derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"sex_gap","value":0},"name":"samesex","op":"indicator"}
   9. rename {"map":{"age":"agem1","work":"weeksm1"}}
   10. select {"columns":["gender1","gender2","boy1st","boy2nd","samesex","morekids","agem1","blackm","hispm","othracem","weeksm1"]}
2. 1Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"morekids","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"morekids","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 14e3e85c163d → 5a972366e3e8
3. 2Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"afam","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"blackm","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 5a972366e3e8 → 18ccebde6b6d
4. 3Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"hispanic","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"hispm","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 18ccebde6b6d → 904f43a67031
5. 4Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"other","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"yes","target":1},{"source":"no","target":0}]},"name":"othracem","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 904f43a67031 → 8aaea27cf87b
6. 5Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"gender1","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy1st","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 8aaea27cf87b → 666ccf9c0cdf
7. 6Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"column":"gender2","default":null,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":"male","target":1},{"source":"female","target":0}]},"name":"boy2nd","op":"map"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 666ccf9c0cdf → b2ccbd1a7c9a
8. 7Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"left":"boy1st","right":"boy2nd"},"name":"sex_gap","op":"diff"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: b2ccbd1a7c9a → b25bee20ec5a
9. 8Transformação
   fertility · derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"sex_gap","value":0},"name":"samesex","op":"indicator"}

   254654 → 254654 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: b25bee20ec5a → 935084af856b
10. 9Transformação
    fertility · rename {"map":{"age":"agem1","work":"weeksm1"}}

    254654 → 254654 linhas

    Frame antes → depois: 935084af856b → ccc82e5f5788
11. 10Transformação
    fertility · select {"columns":["gender1","gender2","boy1st","boy2nd","samesex","morekids","agem1","blackm","hispm","othracem","weeksm1"]}

    254654 → 254654 linhas

    Frame antes → depois: ccc82e5f5788 → c7a28c42496c
12. 11Turno do modelo
    call_34c9e5b3referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

    Texto visível

    Table 7, column (5): 2SLS of the mother's weeks worked on having more than 2 children, instrumented by the same-sex indicator, with age, boy first, boy second and race indicators (the file has no age at first birth).

    Chamadas pedidas

    • infer.iv_2sls

      {
        "dataset": "fertility",
        "endog": [
          "morekids"
        ],
        "exog": [
          "agem1",
          "boy1st",
          "boy2nd",
          "blackm",
          "hispm",
          "othracem"
        ],
        "instruments": [
          "samesex"
        ],
        "se": "classical",
        "y": "weeksm1"
      }

    Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
13. 12Ferramenta
    infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_844cd22bdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Table 7, column (5): 2SLS of the mother's weeks worked on having more than 2 children, instrumented by the same-sex indicator, with age, boy first, boy second and race indicators (the file has no age at first birth).

    Argumentos

    {
      "cluster": null,
      "dataset": "fertility",
      "endog": [
        "morekids"
      ],
      "exog": [
        "agem1",
        "boy1st",
        "boy2nd",
        "blackm",
        "hispm",
        "othracem"
      ],
      "instruments": [
        "samesex"
      ],
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "classical",
      "subset": null,
      "y": "weeksm1"
    }

    Figuras call_844cd22b

    Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
    coef.morekids 2SLS effect of morekids on weeksm1	-5,74641	-5.746409761250555	1,237251.2372527665239512	-8,17139 – -3,32143

    Diagnósticos

    • first_stage_F.morekids = 1.298,941298.942196093575
    • partial_r2.morekids = 0,005075080.0050750844496005865
    • weak_instrument = false
    • n_obs = 254.654254654
    • se_type = "classical"
    • n_clusters = —

    Tabelas (3)

    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": -3.894651510371974,
          "ci_low": -5.491977005383414,
          "coef": -4.693314257877694,
          "p": 1.0932058054319445e-30,
          "se": 0.4074865444776059,
          "t": -11.51771591352662,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.875148243667443,
          "ci_low": 0.7858626101564906,
          "coef": 0.8305054269119668,
          "p": 2.5050309446894502e-290,
          "se": 0.02277725759996795,
          "t": 36.462046550904155,
          "term": "agem1"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.15518801551433226,
          "ci_low": -0.18002344638465373,
          "coef": -0.012417715435160728,
          "p": 0.8845434780405558,
          "se": 0.08551429292595505,
          "t": -0.14521216290606478,
          "term": "boy1st"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -0.00032404877909639196,
          "ci_low": -0.3349607069276821,
          "coef": -0.16764237785338926,
          "p": 0.04955794736073631,
          "se": 0.08536765731866344,
          "t": -1.9637692203220218,
          "term": "boy2nd"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 12.062028946268919,
          "ci_low": 11.166822394341962,
          "coef": 11.61442567030544,
          "p": 0,
          "se": 0.2283721292733859,
          "t": 50.85745667502941,
          "term": "blackm"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.8986363842058386,
          "ci_low": -0.11579272307197519,
          "coef": 0.3914218305669317,
          "p": 0.13040077454447038,
          "se": 0.258786460764015,
          "t": 1.512528242054617,
          "term": "hispm"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 2.5330211340198474,
          "ci_low": 1.7261705227176998,
          "coef": 2.1295958283687737,
          "p": 4.40078106016244e-25,
          "se": 0.2058320414567736,
          "t": 10.346279487375176,
          "term": "othracem"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -3.321427372843427,
          "ci_low": -8.171392149657683,
          "coef": -5.746409761250555,
          "p": 0.0000034108531610220233,
          "se": 1.2372527665239512,
          "t": -4.64449134140555,
          "term": "morekids"
        }
      ],
      "first_stage": [
        {
          "ci_high": 0.0722833255575446,
          "ci_low": 0.06482699115994814,
          "coef": 0.06855515835874637,
          "endog": "morekids",
          "instrument": "samesex",
          "p": 1.0026728179589989e-283,
          "se": 0.0019021520332800665,
          "t": 36.040840668519024
        }
      ],
      "reduced_form": [
        {
          "ci_high": -0.2260938175644005,
          "ci_low": -0.5617982447890114,
          "coef": -0.39394603117670596,
          "instrument": "samesex",
          "p": 0.000004226513983905047,
          "se": 0.08564005109967326,
          "t": -4.600020972876427
        }
      ]
    }

    Digests dos dados

    fertility c7a28c42496c51fa4ea223123cad6242aaa393634242d66e383c351dd0f471ef

    sha256 do resultado

    3543ef2caf619bd3d0249a98a860e355d4523d1b484fcca494123c8692ca2462

    Resultado mostrado ao modelo
14. 13Turno do modelo
    call_642b06a8referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

    Chamadas pedidas

    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.morekids = -5,746.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_844cd22b:coef.morekids"
        ]
      }

    Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
15. 14Guarda
    resposta aceita

    Números encontrados

    -5,746

    Sem lastro

    —

    Não citados

    —

    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
16. 15Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.morekids = -5,746.

    Figuras citadas: call_844cd22b:coef.morekids · Parada: answered

    Figura da resposta: call_844cd22b:coef.morekids = -5,74641-5.746409761250555 (se 1,237251.2372527665239512)
17. 16Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
18. 17Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_844cd22b:coef.morekids (infer.iv_2sls)
19. 18Pontuação
    #2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatóriaanswer call is infer.iv_2sls
20. 19Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.y = 'weeksm1'
21. 20Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.endog[0] = 'morekids'
22. 21Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.iv_2sls.instruments = ['samesex']
23. 22Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.iv_2sls.y = 'weeksm1'
24. 23Pontuação
    #7argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.iv_2sls.endog = ['morekids']
25. 24Pontuação
    #8argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.iv_2sls.instruments = ['samesex']
26. 25Pontuação
    #9argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.iv_2sls.exog = ['agem1', 'boy1st', 'boy2nd', 'blackm', 'hispm', 'othracem']
27. 26Pontuação
    #10diagnósticopassouregistrada254654 vs 254654
28. 27Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada-5.746409761 vs -5.746409761252153
29. 28Pontuação
    #12figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada1.237252767 vs 1.2372527665238475
30. 29Pontuação
    #13figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada-5.746409761 vs -5.4
31. 30Pontuação
    #14figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada1.237252767 vs 1.2

Épocas × verificações

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Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)

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