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Tarefa paper_repro.card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.design

paper_reproagentT3designépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): did (two-group two-period difference-in-differences)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Did New Jersey's April 1992 rise in its minimum wage, from $4.25 to $5.05 per hour, reduce employment at fast-food restaurants? Using the restaurants surveyed in New Jersey and in neighbouring eastern Pennsylvania, where the minimum wage did not change, before and after the rise, estimate the effect of the rise on full-time-equivalent employment per restaurant.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.did_2x2): did = 2,754.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.software

Fonte
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of card_krueger_1994 tab3_r3_ciii (infer.did_2x2, figure 'did') on an independent code path
Tipo
software
Localização
card_krueger_1994: Table 3, row 3 'Change in mean FTE employment' (all available observations), column (iii) 'Difference, NJ-PA'
Valor
2,753612.7536057829805793 (se 1,306611.3066070124191145)
Conferido por
execução de software · sm.OLS(fte, [const, nj, wave2, nj·wave2]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=store) on the stacked rows on njmin_long (public.dat of the file pinned at sha256 41a29aec6b489658b20030d044a2b20a5f5a04b871cde41df057afd6013ba587, after its 10 declared transforms); n_obs = 794. The tool infer.did_2x2 (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Note: not a balanced two-wave panel by the cluster column: stacked rows. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
  • #10 figura da resposta próxima: 2,753612.7536057829805793 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000013066070124191144
  • #11 figura da resposta próxima: 1,306611.3066070124191145 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000013066070124191144

card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.paper

Fonte
Card, D. and Krueger, A. B. (1994). Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. American Economic Review 84(4): 772-793.
Tipo
paper
Localização
Table 3 (average employment per store before and after the rise in the New Jersey minimum wage), row 3 'Change in mean FTE employment', column (iii) 'Difference, NJ-PA'
Página
780
Trecho
3. Change in mean FTE employment 2.76 (1.36)
Valor como publicado
2.76
Erro-padrão como publicado
1.36
Valor
2,762.76 (se 1,361.36) full-time-equivalent employees per restaurant
Conferido por
fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the copy on David Card's page (26-page JSTOR scan, the table is an image): Table 3 is on PDF page 9 (printed page 780), read from the page rendered at 220 dpi. The notes say 'Standard errors are shown in parentheses' and that employment at six closed stores is set to zero and at four temporarily closed stores treated as missing (the public file has zero employment for the status2 = 3 stores and missing employment for the four temporarily closed ones). FTE counts each part-time worker as half a full-time worker (check.sas: EMPTOT = EMPPT*.5 + EMPFT + NMGRS). Row 3 is row 2 minus row 1 over all available observations: PA -2.16 (1.25), NJ 0.59 (0.54), difference 2.76 (1.36). Data facts checked before any estimate: 77 Pennsylvania and 321 New Jersey restaurants with FTE employment in wave 1, 77 and 319 in wave 2 (794 restaurant-waves).
sha256 da cópia lida
6f9b9f1b6da9834c2a68bf86fc6078c83acdd7507db0d37b8b4814dfd2b3462e (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Desvio conhecido
versão dos dados
Recorded before the software-reference run and before any dry run of this track, from the phase-B research probe (research-papers.md section 3.7, 2026-10-14): the four group means of the public file match rows 1 and 2 to two decimals and give 2.754, while the paper prints 2.76 (its own rounded row-3 entries give 0.59 - (-2.16) = 2.75, and its rounded rows 1 and 2 give 2.75 too, so no rounding of the paper's inputs produces 2.76: the printed value comes from data that differ from the public file, or a typo; relabelled data_version, it was paper_rounding, at the B-join review). The printed SE uses a convention the paper does not state.
Endereço
https://davidcard.berkeley.edu/papers/njmin-aer.pdf
Licença
Copyright American Economic Association; cited, not reproduced.
  • #12 figura da resposta próxima: 2,762.76 · published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000276
  • #13 figura da resposta próxima: 1,361.36 · published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000136

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta escolhida
answer figure call_94536eae:did (infer.did_2x2)
obrigatóriapassou—"call_94536eae:did"——call_94536eae
2ferramenta chamada
answer call is infer.did_2x2
obrigatóriapassou—"infer.did_2x2"——call_94536eae
3argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.y = 'fte'
obrigatóriapassou"fte""fte"——call_94536eae
4argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.treated = 'nj'
obrigatóriapassou"nj""nj"——call_94536eae
5argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.post = 'wave2'
obrigatóriapassou"wave2""wave2"——call_94536eae
6argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.y = 'fte'
registradapassou"fte""fte"——call_94536eae
7argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.treated = 'nj'
registradapassou"nj""nj"——call_94536eae
8argumento igual
infer.did_2x2.post = 'wave2'
registradapassou"wave2""wave2"——call_94536eae
9diagnóstico
794 vs 794
registradapassou794794794794default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6)—call_94536eae
10figura da resposta próxima
2.753605783 vs 2.7536057829805793
registradapassou2,753612.75360578298057932,753612.7536057829805816relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000013066070124191144card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.softwarecall_94536eae
11figura da resposta próxima
1.306607012 vs 1.3066070124191145
registradapassou1,306611.30660701241911451,306611.3066070124191203relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000013066070124191144card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.softwarecall_94536eae
12figura da resposta próxima
2.753605783 vs 2.76
registradafalhou2,762.762,753612.7536057829805816published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000276card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.papercall_94536eae
13figura da resposta próxima
1.306607012 vs 1.36
registradafalhou1,361.361,306611.3066070124191203published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000136card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.papercall_94536eae

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.card_krueger_1994.tab3_r3_ciii.tool)

Referência: infer.did_2x2Chamada do agente: infer.did_2x2 (call_94536eae)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster"store""store"igual
controls[][]igual
dataset"njmin_long""njmin_long"igual
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
post"wave2""wave2"igual
treated"nj""nj"igual
y"fte""fte"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Did New Jersey's April 1992 rise in its minimum wage, from $4.25 to $5.05 per hour, reduce employment at fast-food restaurants? Using the restaurants surveyed in New Jersey and in neighbouring eastern Pennsylvania, where the minimum wage did not change, before and after the rise, estimate the effect of the rise on full-time-equivalent employment per restaurant.

    njmin_long (agent)

    The survey of fast-food restaurants (Burger King, KFC, Roy Rogers, Wendy's) in New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania used by Card and Krueger (1994), 'Minimum Wages and Employment': New Jersey's minimum wage rose from $4.25 to $5.05 per hour on April 1, 1992; Pennsylvania's did not change. Each restaurant was interviewed in February-March 1992 (wave 1, before the rise) and again in November-December 1992 (wave 2, after it). One row per restaurant and wave (410 restaurants, two rows each); the employment of a wave is missing when the restaurant gave no employment data in that wave. Columns: store, a unique restaurant id (the sheet number, plus 1000 for New Jersey restaurants, because one sheet number is used by one restaurant in each state); sheet, the survey's sheet number; wave, 1 or 2; wave2, 1 for the second wave (after the rise) and 0 for the first; nj, 1 for a restaurant in New Jersey and 0 for one in Pennsylvania; fte, full-time-equivalent employment in that wave (full-time employees plus managers and assistant managers plus half the part-time employees, the authors' definition; restaurants closed for good in wave 2 report zero employees); chain, 1 Burger King, 2 KFC, 3 Roy Rogers, 4 Wendy's; co_owned, 1 if company-owned; southj, centralj, northj, 1 for southern, central and northern New Jersey; pa1, pa2, 1 for the northeast suburbs of Philadelphia and for Easton and nearby areas; shore, 1 on the New Jersey shore; wage_st, starting wage in wave 1 ($ per hour); status2, status of the second interview (0 refused, 1 answered, 2 closed for renovations, 3 closed permanently, 4 closed for highway construction, 5 closed by a mall fire).

    file 41a29aec6b489658b20030d044a2b20a5f5a04b871cde41df057afd6013ba587 · frame —
    1. derive {"args":{"column":"emppt","factor":0.5},"name":"pt_half1","op":"scale"}
    2. derive {"args":{"columns":["empft","nmgrs","pt_half1"]},"name":"fte1","op":"sum"}
    3. derive {"args":{"column":"emppt2","factor":0.5},"name":"pt_half2","op":"scale"}
    4. derive {"args":{"columns":["empft2","nmgrs2","pt_half2"]},"name":"fte2","op":"sum"}
    5. derive {"args":{"column":"state","factor":1000},"name":"state_k","op":"scale"}
    6. derive {"args":{"columns":["sheet","state_k"]},"name":"store","op":"sum"}
    7. rename {"map":{"state":"nj"}}
    8. select {"columns":["store","sheet","chain","co_owned","nj","southj","centralj","northj","pa1","pa2","shore","wage_st","status2","fte1","fte2"]}
    9. reshape_long {"id":["store"],"j":"wave","stubs":["fte"]}
    10. derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"wave","value":2},"name":"wave2","op":"indicator"}
  2. 1Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"column":"emppt","factor":0.5},"name":"pt_half1","op":"scale"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: 23992890fd66 → 8509ad26d6da
  3. 2Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"columns":["empft","nmgrs","pt_half1"]},"name":"fte1","op":"sum"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: 8509ad26d6da → a007c15bc5d2
  4. 3Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"column":"emppt2","factor":0.5},"name":"pt_half2","op":"scale"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: a007c15bc5d2 → d9ae72d01975
  5. 4Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"columns":["empft2","nmgrs2","pt_half2"]},"name":"fte2","op":"sum"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: d9ae72d01975 → 6328c90ff4e6
  6. 5Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"column":"state","factor":1000},"name":"state_k","op":"scale"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: 6328c90ff4e6 → d497fb988f6b
  7. 6Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"columns":["sheet","state_k"]},"name":"store","op":"sum"}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: d497fb988f6b → b4da454f129f
  8. 7Transformação
    njmin_long · rename {"map":{"state":"nj"}}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: b4da454f129f → 1398628b36ae
  9. 8Transformação
    njmin_long · select {"columns":["store","sheet","chain","co_owned","nj","southj","centralj","northj","pa1","pa2","shore","wage_st","status2","fte1","fte2"]}
    410 → 410 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: 1398628b36ae → 5da0564e9bdb
  10. 9Transformação
    njmin_long · reshape_long {"id":["store"],"j":"wave","stubs":["fte"]}
    410 → 820 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: 5da0564e9bdb → e431f1f5da32
  11. 10Transformação
    njmin_long · derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"wave","value":2},"name":"wave2","op":"indicator"}
    820 → 820 linhas
    Frame antes → depois: e431f1f5da32 → 1400ae8f1887
  12. 11Turno do modelo
    call_3e195b0areferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Table 3, row 3, column (iii): the New Jersey minus Pennsylvania change in mean FTE employment over all available observations of each wave (the difference of the four group means; check.sas: EMPTOT = EMPPT*.5 + EMPFT + NMGRS), errors clustered by restaurant.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.did_2x2
      {
        "cluster": "store",
        "controls": [],
        "dataset": "njmin_long",
        "post": "wave2",
        "treated": "nj",
        "y": "fte"
      }
  13. 12Ferramenta
    infer.did_2x2v0.1.0call_94536eaedecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Table 3, row 3, column (iii): the New Jersey minus Pennsylvania change in mean FTE employment over all available observations of each wave (the difference of the four group means; check.sas: EMPTOT = EMPPT*.5 + EMPFT + NMGRS), errors clustered by restaurant.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": "store",
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "njmin_long",
      "level": 0.95,
      "post": "wave2",
      "treated": "nj",
      "y": "fte"
    }
    Figuras call_94536eae
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    did
    Difference-in-differences effect on fte
    2,75361 2.75360578298058161,306611.30660701241912030,185102 – 5,32211
    Diagnósticos
    • design = "stacked"
    • n_obs = 794794
    • se_type = "cluster"
    • parallel_trends = "untestable"
    • n_clusters = 410410
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "means": [
        {
          "group": "treated",
          "mean": 20.439408099688475,
          "n": 321,
          "period": "before"
        },
        {
          "group": "treated",
          "mean": 21.02742946708464,
          "n": 319,
          "period": "after"
        },
        {
          "group": "comparison",
          "mean": 23.33116883116883,
          "n": 77,
          "period": "before"
        },
        {
          "group": "comparison",
          "mean": 21.165584415584416,
          "n": 77,
          "period": "after"
        }
      ]
    }
    • 26 rows were dropped because one of 'fte', 'nj', 'wave2', 'store' was missing
    • with two periods parallel trends cannot be tested
    Digests dos dados
    njmin_long 1400ae8f1887d40b00dd9de85c9853d6ae2c0ce54e44bee458c94220f44a4803
    sha256 do resultado
    84d39332d505d6bebaf18a70e8e021e01759b118552669c238689304966aa3d1
  14. 13Turno do modelo
    call_ce3e3536referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.did_2x2): did = 2,754.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_94536eae:did"
        ]
      }
  15. 14Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    2,754
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  16. 15Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.did_2x2): did = 2,754.

    Figuras citadas: call_94536eae:did · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_94536eae:did = 2,753612.7536057829805816 (se 1,306611.3066070124191203)
  17. 16Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  18. 17Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_94536eae:did (infer.did_2x2)
  19. 18Pontuação
    #2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatóriaanswer call is infer.did_2x2
  20. 19Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.did_2x2.y = 'fte'
  21. 20Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.did_2x2.treated = 'nj'
  22. 21Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.did_2x2.post = 'wave2'
  23. 22Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.did_2x2.y = 'fte'
  24. 23Pontuação
    #7argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.did_2x2.treated = 'nj'
  25. 24Pontuação
    #8argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.did_2x2.post = 'wave2'
  26. 25Pontuação
    #9diagnósticopassouregistrada794 vs 794
  27. 26Pontuação
    #10figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada2.753605783 vs 2.7536057829805793
  28. 27Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada1.306607012 vs 1.3066070124191145
  29. 28Pontuação
    #12figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada2.753605783 vs 2.76
  30. 29Pontuação
    #13figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada1.306607012 vs 1.36

Épocas × verificações

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Época 1passoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoufalhoufalhou

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