Pular para o conteúdo

Tarefa paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.agent

paper_reproagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Cheng and Hoekstra (NBER Working Paper 18134, 2012; published in the Journal of Human Resources, 2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', Table 5, Panel A, column (1): in the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate by ordinary least squares, weighted by the state's average population over the period (the paper's population weight), the effect of castle doctrine laws on the log homicide rate, with state fixed effects and year fixed effects and no other controls. As in the paper, the law is measured as the fraction of each year in which it was in effect. Report the coefficient on the castle doctrine law.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software

Fonte
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pa_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path
Tipo
software
Localização
cheng_hoekstra_2013: NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5, Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1) state and year fixed effects, row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Valor
0,08006350.08006351033824417 (se 0,03589850.03589849411715782)
Conferido por
execução de software · sm.WLS(l_homicide, add_constant(['cdl']), fe dummies ['sid', 'year'], weights=popwt; 61 independent columns).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=sid) on castle (the file pinned at sha256 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29); n_obs = 550. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
  • #7 figura da resposta próxima: 0,08006350.08006351033824417 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8
  • #8 figura da resposta próxima: 0,03589850.03589849411715782 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper

Fonte
Cheng, C. and Hoekstra, M. (2013). Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine. Journal of Human Resources 48(3): 821-854. Cells read from the NBER Working Paper 18134 (June 2012).
Tipo
paper
Localização
NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5 (the effect of castle doctrine on homicide), Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1), row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Página
38
Trecho
Panel A: Castle Doctrine Law 0.0801 (0.0342)
Valor como publicado
0.0801
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0342
Valor
0,08010.0801 (se 0,03420.0342) log points of the homicide rate per unit of the castle doctrine law variable
Conferido por
fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 18134 PDF (43 pages, created 2012-06-28) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Table 5 'The Effect of Castle Doctrine on Homicide' is on PDF page 40 (printed page 38). The published JHR version (48(3), 2013) could not be read without a subscription, so the cells are the authors' circulated working-paper version. The notes say 'Robust standard errors are clustered at the state level'; the unit is the state-year; 550 observations in every column. Panel A is weighted (by state population, 'OLS - Weighted'), Panel B unweighted. Column (1) has state and year fixed effects; column (2) adds region-by-year fixed effects.
sha256 da cópia lida
1283a9c1e37ea2114e36b6c48ffc7c3fc0f26b2334f08c1a60ffbe82f3005682 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Desvio conhecido
convenção de erro-padrão
Recorded before the software-reference run and before any dry run of this track, from the phase-B research probe (research-papers.md sections 2.4 and 3.9, 2026-10-14): infer.ols with state and year fixed effects as dummies, population weights and errors clustered by state gives the printed coefficients but SEs of 0.0359 and 0.0293 against the printed 0.0342 and 0.0279, a ratio of about sqrt((N-k)/(N-K)) (k: the regressors left after absorbing the state effects, as Stata xtreg, fe counts them; K: the full dummy count): the authors' clustered errors do not count the state effects, which are nested in the clusters, in K (Stata xtreg, fe), while the dummy-variable convention does.
Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18134/w18134.pdf
Licença
NBER working paper, copyright the authors; cited, not reproduced.
  • #9 figura da resposta próxima: 0,08010.0801 · published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005
  • #10 figura da resposta próxima: 0,03420.0342 · published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta escolhida
answer figure call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl (infer.ols)
obrigatóriapassou—"call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl"——call_6e86f3fa
2ferramenta chamada
answer call is infer.ols
obrigatóriapassou—"infer.ols"——call_6e86f3fa
3argumento igual
infer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
obrigatóriapassou"l_homicide""l_homicide"——call_6e86f3fa
4argumento igual
infer.ols.x = ['cdl']
obrigatóriapassou["cdl"]["cdl"]——call_6e86f3fa
5argumento igual
infer.ols.weights = 'popwt'
obrigatóriapassou"popwt""popwt"——call_6e86f3fa
6diagnóstico
550 vs 550
obrigatóriapassou550550550550default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6)—call_6e86f3fa
7figura da resposta próxima
0.08006351034 vs 0.08006351033824417
obrigatóriapassou0,08006350.080063510338244170,08006350.08006351033824458relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.softwarecall_6e86f3fa
8figura da resposta próxima
0.03589849412 vs 0.03589849411715782
registradapassou0,03589850.035898494117157820,03589850.0358984941171576relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.softwarecall_6e86f3fa
9figura da resposta próxima
0.08006351034 vs 0.0801
registradapassou0,08010.08010,08006350.08006351033824458published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.papercall_6e86f3fa
10figura da resposta próxima
0.03589849412 vs 0.0342
registradafalhou0,03420.03420,03589850.0358984941171576published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.papercall_6e86f3fa

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.tool)

Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_6e86f3fa)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster"sid""sid"igual
controls[][]igual
dataset"castle""castle"igual
fe["sid","year"]["sid","year"]igual
intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
subset——não fixado pela referência
weights"popwt""popwt"igual
x["cdl"]["cdl"]igual
y"l_homicide""l_homicide"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Cheng and Hoekstra (NBER Working Paper 18134, 2012; published in the Journal of Human Resources, 2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', Table 5, Panel A, column (1): in the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate by ordinary least squares, weighted by the state's average population over the period (the paper's population weight), the effect of castle doctrine laws on the log homicide rate, with state fixed effects and year fixed effects and no other controls. As in the paper, the law is measured as the fraction of each year in which it was in effect. Report the coefficient on the castle doctrine law.

    castle (agent)

    The state-year panel of Cheng and Hoekstra (2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', as distributed with Cunningham's Causal Inference: The Mixtape: one row per U.S. state and year, 2000-2010 (550 rows: 50 states, 11 years). Columns used most: state, the state's name; sid, a numeric state id; year; cdl, the castle doctrine law variable as the paper codes it: the fraction of the year in which the state's castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) law was in effect, 0 before adoption and 1 in full years after it; post, 1 in every year from the adoption year on (any part of the year); effyear and treatment_date, the year the law took effect (missing for states that never adopted one); homicide, the homicide rate per 100,000 residents (FBI Uniform Crime Reports), and l_homicide its natural log; murder and l_murder, the murder rate and its log; population; popwt, the state's average population over 2000-2010 (constant within a state), the weight the paper's weighted regressions use; northeast, midwest, south, west, census region indicators; r20001 to r20104, region-by-year indicators named r20<two-digit year><region 1-4> (for example r20063 is region 3 in 2006); trend_1 to trend_51, state-specific linear trends; lead1 to lead9 and lag0 to lag5, event-time indicators relative to adoption; other crime rates (robbery, assault, burglary, larceny, motor) and their logs (l_robbery and so on); and the time-varying controls of the paper (police, unemployrt, income, poverty, prisoner, lagprisoner, exp_subsidy, exp_pubwelfare, and the shares of black and white men aged 15-24 and 25-44).

    file 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_ce8ec9cereferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Table 5, Panel A, column (1): log homicide rate on the castle doctrine law variable (the fraction of the year in effect) with state and year fixed effects, weighted by population, errors clustered by state.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.ols
      {
        "cluster": "sid",
        "controls": [],
        "dataset": "castle",
        "fe": [
          "sid",
          "year"
        ],
        "weights": "popwt",
        "x": [
          "cdl"
        ],
        "y": "l_homicide"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.olsv0.1.0call_6e86f3fadecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Table 5, Panel A, column (1): log homicide rate on the castle doctrine law variable (the fraction of the year in effect) with state and year fixed effects, weighted by population, errors clustered by state.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": "sid",
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "castle",
      "fe": [
        "sid",
        "year"
      ],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": "popwt",
      "x": [
        "cdl"
      ],
      "y": "l_homicide"
    }
    Figuras call_6e86f3fa
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.cdl
    Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide
    0,0800635 0.080063510338244580,03589850.03589849411715760,00792279 – 0,152204
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 550550
    • k = 6161
    • r2 = 0,9341670.9341667643844439
    • df_resid = 489489
    • se_type = "cluster"
    • n_clusters = 5050
    • fixed_effects = "sid (50 levels), year (11 levels)"
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 2.0246397884543303,
          "ci_low": 1.9368211431033613,
          "coef": 1.9807304657788458,
          "p": 3.0984228479904365e-56,
          "se": 0.021850051624944748,
          "t": 90.65106571728086,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.15220423516631415,
          "ci_low": 0.007922785510174987,
          "coef": 0.08006351033824458,
          "p": 0.030341540853612167,
          "se": 0.0358984941171576,
          "t": 2.2302748989122194,
          "term": "cdl"
        }
      ]
    }
    Digests dos dados
    castle 6a9af2b4a14b985d82e0f3aea93c535c24cfc2497c4d9f07242bac5f84ae11c1
    sha256 do resultado
    ded38c2380f9b375e6b2aed585e79881ac0dca015e577e8c24addfcbfbe5a607
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_44a79161referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    0,08006
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.

    Figuras citadas: call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl = 0,08006350.08006351033824458 (se 0,03589850.0358984941171576)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_6e86f3fa:coef.cdl (infer.ols)
  9. 8Pontuação
    #2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatóriaanswer call is infer.ols
  10. 9Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
  11. 10Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.x = ['cdl']
  12. 11Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.weights = 'popwt'
  13. 12Pontuação
    #6diagnósticopassouobrigatória550 vs 550
  14. 13Pontuação
    #7figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.08006351034 vs 0.08006351033824417
  15. 14Pontuação
    #8figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.03589849412 vs 0.03589849411715782
  16. 15Pontuação
    #9figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.08006351034 vs 0.0801
  17. 16Pontuação
    #10figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada0.03589849412 vs 0.0342

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#012345678910
Época 1passoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

Downloads desta tarefa

Pacote da tarefa (.zip)
89,7 KB · sha256 2b89ca2e6579b900cf892d74d0ca78642fe9cf56279d4d9dbb7bf0dd056eb743

O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.

Downloads desta tarefa
ArquivoTamanhosha256
attachments/3e405409ff9b234c71b55f899412215931f375d5086600a3fde8b9f48588338f.json7,1 KB3e405409ff9b234c71b55f899412215931f375d5086600a3fde8b9f48588338f
attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json2,4 KB433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420
attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json64,0 KB52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b
attachments/59bdeba656ed59163c9477f231695ec079f6c9f722dd583523546fcb0af7b00e.json414 B59bdeba656ed59163c9477f231695ec079f6c9f722dd583523546fcb0af7b00e
attachments/5e754ba10ae037416a969da014dd4bde1d54373e2783bfd0ded0b44bf32990d4.json1003 B5e754ba10ae037416a969da014dd4bde1d54373e2783bfd0ded0b44bf32990d4
attachments/9b258af6ab42e2b5e3c1bfa2f663ee6c943d23a2988a670efbf17b27321e6448.json713 B9b258af6ab42e2b5e3c1bfa2f663ee6c943d23a2988a670efbf17b27321e6448
attachments/a605e9144e973cf1bad0aaedf00875da37ffe1ff17e3fb998542985bf8f0468f.json1,1 KBa605e9144e973cf1bad0aaedf00875da37ffe1ff17e3fb998542985bf8f0468f
native/paper_repro/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.agent.e1.a1.json36 B39a1ffcef98d10bf196fee2aa93ee0343ff9c7c2b32629831f61ccb9c4e8fdd7
sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper.json2,7 KB1383de820bdad85e0e0601037b9ed1dea63192f75a8ff89a3e79630839ded116
sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software.json1,3 KBe678095abc0a684318b3acd9e9b7c362319bed8e817c16368ee244e4f0884827
specs/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.agent.json10,5 KB83175386b3bad7ab2a5c988bb2f96d5ce2118deeb671031a7ec1a29d50c6badf
traces/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.agent.e1.a1.jsonl19,2 KB9ecf195a9315a7185331447988fe7e6c35d522d468f7b21fe9305a33ed53b69a
trajectories/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.agent.e1.a1.jsonl16,1 KB904968f674ccde238df292839890d30545612b9155970e952f73180015fd319d