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Tarefa paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.design

paper_reproagentT3designépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Did the castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) laws that U.S. states adopted between 2000 and 2010, which widened the right to use lethal force in self-defence, deter crime or escalate violence? Using the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate the effect of these laws on the log homicide rate faced by the average U.S. resident.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software

Fonte
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pa_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path
Tipo
software
Localização
cheng_hoekstra_2013: NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5, Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1) state and year fixed effects, row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Valor
0,08006350.08006351033824417 (se 0,03589850.03589849411715782)
Conferido por
execução de software · sm.WLS(l_homicide, add_constant(['cdl']), fe dummies ['sid', 'year'], weights=popwt; 61 independent columns).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=sid) on castle (the file pinned at sha256 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29); n_obs = 550. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
  • #11 figura da resposta próxima: 0,08006350.08006351033824417 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8
  • #12 figura da resposta próxima: 0,03589850.03589849411715782 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper

Fonte
Cheng, C. and Hoekstra, M. (2013). Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine. Journal of Human Resources 48(3): 821-854. Cells read from the NBER Working Paper 18134 (June 2012).
Tipo
paper
Localização
NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5 (the effect of castle doctrine on homicide), Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1), row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Página
38
Trecho
Panel A: Castle Doctrine Law 0.0801 (0.0342)
Valor como publicado
0.0801
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0342
Valor
0,08010.0801 (se 0,03420.0342) log points of the homicide rate per unit of the castle doctrine law variable
Conferido por
fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 18134 PDF (43 pages, created 2012-06-28) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Table 5 'The Effect of Castle Doctrine on Homicide' is on PDF page 40 (printed page 38). The published JHR version (48(3), 2013) could not be read without a subscription, so the cells are the authors' circulated working-paper version. The notes say 'Robust standard errors are clustered at the state level'; the unit is the state-year; 550 observations in every column. Panel A is weighted (by state population, 'OLS - Weighted'), Panel B unweighted. Column (1) has state and year fixed effects; column (2) adds region-by-year fixed effects.
sha256 da cópia lida
1283a9c1e37ea2114e36b6c48ffc7c3fc0f26b2334f08c1a60ffbe82f3005682 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Desvio conhecido
convenção de erro-padrão
Recorded before the software-reference run and before any dry run of this track, from the phase-B research probe (research-papers.md sections 2.4 and 3.9, 2026-10-14): infer.ols with state and year fixed effects as dummies, population weights and errors clustered by state gives the printed coefficients but SEs of 0.0359 and 0.0293 against the printed 0.0342 and 0.0279, a ratio of about sqrt((N-k)/(N-K)) (k: the regressors left after absorbing the state effects, as Stata xtreg, fe counts them; K: the full dummy count): the authors' clustered errors do not count the state effects, which are nested in the clusters, in K (Stata xtreg, fe), while the dummy-variable convention does.
Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18134/w18134.pdf
Licença
NBER working paper, copyright the authors; cited, not reproduced.
  • #13 figura da resposta próxima: 0,08010.0801 · published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005
  • #14 figura da resposta próxima: 0,03420.0342 · published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta escolhida
answer figure call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl (infer.ols)
obrigatóriapassou—"call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl"——call_1eee45eb
2uma entre
tool_called(infer.ols): ok | tool_called(infer.twfe): answer call is infer.ols
obrigatóriapassou[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ols","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.twfe","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null}]"infer.ols"——call_1eee45eb
3argumento igual
infer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
obrigatóriapassou"l_homicide""l_homicide"——call_1eee45eb
4argumento igual
infer.ols.x[0] = 'cdl'
obrigatóriapassou"cdl""cdl"——call_1eee45eb
5argumento igual
not applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
obrigatóriapassou"l_homicide"———call_1eee45eb
6argumento igual
not applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
obrigatóriapassou"post"———call_1eee45eb
7argumento igual
infer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
registradapassou"l_homicide""l_homicide"——call_1eee45eb
8argumento igual
infer.ols.x = ['cdl']
registradapassou["cdl"]["cdl"]——call_1eee45eb
9argumento igual
infer.ols.weights = 'popwt'
registradapassou"popwt""popwt"——call_1eee45eb
10diagnóstico
550 vs 550
registradapassou550550550550default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6)—call_1eee45eb
11figura da resposta próxima
0.08006351034 vs 0.08006351033824417
registradapassou0,08006350.080063510338244170,08006350.08006351033824458relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.softwarecall_1eee45eb
12figura da resposta próxima
0.03589849412 vs 0.03589849411715782
registradapassou0,03589850.035898494117157820,03589850.0358984941171576relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.softwarecall_1eee45eb
13figura da resposta próxima
0.08006351034 vs 0.0801
registradapassou0,08010.08010,08006350.08006351033824458published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.papercall_1eee45eb
14figura da resposta próxima
0.03589849412 vs 0.0342
registradafalhou0,03420.03420,03589850.0358984941171576published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.papercall_1eee45eb

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.tool)

Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_1eee45eb)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster"sid""sid"igual
controls[][]igual
dataset"castle""castle"igual
fe["sid","year"]["sid","year"]igual
intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
subset——não fixado pela referência
weights"popwt""popwt"igual
x["cdl"]["cdl"]igual
y"l_homicide""l_homicide"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Did the castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) laws that U.S. states adopted between 2000 and 2010, which widened the right to use lethal force in self-defence, deter crime or escalate violence? Using the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate the effect of these laws on the log homicide rate faced by the average U.S. resident.

    castle (agent)

    The state-year panel of Cheng and Hoekstra (2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', as distributed with Cunningham's Causal Inference: The Mixtape: one row per U.S. state and year, 2000-2010 (550 rows: 50 states, 11 years). Columns used most: state, the state's name; sid, a numeric state id; year; cdl, the castle doctrine law variable as the paper codes it: the fraction of the year in which the state's castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) law was in effect, 0 before adoption and 1 in full years after it; post, 1 in every year from the adoption year on (any part of the year); effyear and treatment_date, the year the law took effect (missing for states that never adopted one); homicide, the homicide rate per 100,000 residents (FBI Uniform Crime Reports), and l_homicide its natural log; murder and l_murder, the murder rate and its log; population; popwt, the state's average population over 2000-2010 (constant within a state), the weight the paper's weighted regressions use; northeast, midwest, south, west, census region indicators; r20001 to r20104, region-by-year indicators named r20<two-digit year><region 1-4> (for example r20063 is region 3 in 2006); trend_1 to trend_51, state-specific linear trends; lead1 to lead9 and lag0 to lag5, event-time indicators relative to adoption; other crime rates (robbery, assault, burglary, larceny, motor) and their logs (l_robbery and so on); and the time-varying controls of the paper (police, unemployrt, income, poverty, prisoner, lagprisoner, exp_subsidy, exp_pubwelfare, and the shares of black and white men aged 15-24 and 25-44).

    file 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_249c4560referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Table 5, Panel A, column (1): log homicide rate on the castle doctrine law variable (the fraction of the year in effect) with state and year fixed effects, weighted by population, errors clustered by state.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.ols
      {
        "cluster": "sid",
        "controls": [],
        "dataset": "castle",
        "fe": [
          "sid",
          "year"
        ],
        "weights": "popwt",
        "x": [
          "cdl"
        ],
        "y": "l_homicide"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.olsv0.1.0call_1eee45ebdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Table 5, Panel A, column (1): log homicide rate on the castle doctrine law variable (the fraction of the year in effect) with state and year fixed effects, weighted by population, errors clustered by state.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": "sid",
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "castle",
      "fe": [
        "sid",
        "year"
      ],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": "popwt",
      "x": [
        "cdl"
      ],
      "y": "l_homicide"
    }
    Figuras call_1eee45eb
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.cdl
    Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide
    0,0800635 0.080063510338244580,03589850.03589849411715760,00792279 – 0,152204
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 550550
    • k = 6161
    • r2 = 0,9341670.9341667643844439
    • df_resid = 489489
    • se_type = "cluster"
    • n_clusters = 5050
    • fixed_effects = "sid (50 levels), year (11 levels)"
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 2.0246397884543303,
          "ci_low": 1.9368211431033613,
          "coef": 1.9807304657788458,
          "p": 3.0984228479904365e-56,
          "se": 0.021850051624944748,
          "t": 90.65106571728086,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.15220423516631415,
          "ci_low": 0.007922785510174987,
          "coef": 0.08006351033824458,
          "p": 0.030341540853612167,
          "se": 0.0358984941171576,
          "t": 2.2302748989122194,
          "term": "cdl"
        }
      ]
    }
    Digests dos dados
    castle 6a9af2b4a14b985d82e0f3aea93c535c24cfc2497c4d9f07242bac5f84ae11c1
    sha256 do resultado
    3540fa80248a046b519fbf92841d79616e4d2e6b0d314c558871db2e2229d37a
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_265e7bfcreferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    0,08006
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.cdl = 0,08006.

    Figuras citadas: call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl = 0,08006350.08006351033824458 (se 0,03589850.0358984941171576)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_1eee45eb:coef.cdl (infer.ols)
  9. 8Pontuação
    #2uma entrepassouobrigatóriatool_called(infer.ols): ok | tool_called(infer.twfe): answer call is infer.ols
  10. 9Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
  11. 10Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.x[0] = 'cdl'
  12. 11Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatórianot applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
  13. 12Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouobrigatórianot applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
  14. 13Pontuação
    #7argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.y = 'l_homicide'
  15. 14Pontuação
    #8argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.x = ['cdl']
  16. 15Pontuação
    #9argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.weights = 'popwt'
  17. 16Pontuação
    #10diagnósticopassouregistrada550 vs 550
  18. 17Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.08006351034 vs 0.08006351033824417
  19. 18Pontuação
    #12figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.03589849412 vs 0.03589849411715782
  20. 19Pontuação
    #13figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.08006351034 vs 0.0801
  21. 20Pontuação
    #14figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada0.03589849412 vs 0.0342

Épocas × verificações

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#01234567891011121314
Época 1passoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoufalhou

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