Tarefa paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pa_valid98_c3.agent

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Pergunta feita ao analista

Fujiwara, T. (2015), 'Voting Technology, Political Responsiveness, and Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil', Table II, Panel A, column (3): estimate the jump in valid votes as a share of turnout in the 1998 state legislature elections at the threshold of 40,500 registered voters in 1996, above which municipalities voted electronically in the 1998 elections, as a sharp regression discontinuity. Use a local linear regression on each side of the threshold with a rectangular kernel (unweighted observations), a bandwidth of 5,000 registered voters, and heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors. Report the jump at the threshold.

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1. 0Início

   Fujiwara, T. (2015), 'Voting Technology, Political Responsiveness, and Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil', Table II, Panel A, column (3): estimate the jump in valid votes as a share of turnout in the 1998 state legislature elections at the threshold of 40,500 registered voters in 1996, above which municipalities voted electronically in the 1998 elections, as a sharp regression discontinuity. Use a local linear regression on each side of the threshold with a rectangular kernel (unweighted observations), a bandwidth of 5,000 registered voters, and heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors. Report the jump at the threshold.

   munic (agent)

   The author's municipality file for Fujiwara (2015), 'Voting Technology, Political Responsiveness, and Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil': one row per Brazilian municipality (5,281 rows). In the 1998 elections, municipalities with more than 40,500 registered voters in 1996 used electronic voting and the others paper ballots; in 1994 every municipality used paper ballots and in 2002 every one voted electronically. Columns: uf, state; voters96, number of registered voters in 1996; r_util98, r_util94, r_util02, valid votes as a share of turnout in the state legislature elections of 1998, 1994 and 2002; attend, turnout as a share of registered voters (1998); regist, registered voters as a share of population (1998); null_est_share and blank_est_share, null and blank votes as a share of turnout (state legislature, 1998); util_pres_share, util_gov_share, util_fed_share, util_sen_share, valid votes as a share of turnout in the presidential, gubernatorial, federal lower chamber and senate elections (1998); right, vote-weighted party ideology; right_meas, votes for parties with measured ideology over total valid votes; right_state, state average of right; illiter, illiteracy rate (percent); less4 and less8, shares without 4 and without 8 years of schooling; gini, Gini index; income, monthly income; latitude; longitude; urbanization, share of urban population; population91 and population00, population in 1991 and 2000 (thousands). The schooling, income, inequality and urbanization variables come from the 1991 census.

   file 5cd5b8796355e025807dc303263b1fbb16f442c3c7551f14ee3557768a310894 · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_9e4d3a75referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   Table II, Panel A, column (3): local linear RD at 40,500 voters, rectangular kernel, bandwidth 5,000, robust errors (munic.do: reg y treat dep deptreat if bw<h, rob).

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.rdd

     {
       "bandwidth": 5000,
       "cutoff": 40500,
       "dataset": "munic",
       "kernel": "uniform",
       "polynomial": 1,
       "running": "voters96",
       "y": "r_util98"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.rddv0.1.0call_3429ac89decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: Table II, Panel A, column (3): local linear RD at 40,500 voters, rectangular kernel, bandwidth 5,000, robust errors (munic.do: reg y treat dep deptreat if bw<h, rob).

   Argumentos

   {
     "bandwidth": 5000,
     "cluster": null,
     "cutoff": 40500,
     "dataset": "munic",
     "kernel": "uniform",
     "level": 0.95,
     "polynomial": 1,
     "running": "voters96",
     "subset": null,
     "y": "r_util98"
   }

   Figuras call_3429ac89

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   effect Jump in r_util98 at the cutoff of voters96	0,123594	0.123594259807128	0,02524280.02524280249504361	0,0741193 – 0,173069

   Diagnósticos

   • bandwidth = 5.0005000
   • bandwidth_method = "user"
   • n_left = 7575
   • n_right = 4141
   • kernel = "uniform"
   • polynomial = 11
   • bandwidth_sensitive = false
   • n_obs = 5.2815281
   • se_type = "HC1"

   Tabelas (1)

   {
     "sensitivity": [
       {
         "bandwidth": 2500,
         "ci_high": 0.14330266780001413,
         "ci_low": 0.014330400314621461,
         "estimate": 0.0788165340573178,
         "multiplier": 0.5,
         "n_left": 43,
         "n_right": 18,
         "se": 0.03290169322056667
       },
       {
         "bandwidth": 5000,
         "ci_high": 0.1730692435662713,
         "ci_low": 0.07411927604798471,
         "estimate": 0.123594259807128,
         "multiplier": 1,
         "n_left": 75,
         "n_right": 41,
         "se": 0.02524280249504361
       },
       {
         "bandwidth": 10000,
         "ci_high": 0.15258772704985024,
         "ci_low": 0.08997542205096845,
         "estimate": 0.12128157455040935,
         "multiplier": 2,
         "n_left": 151,
         "n_right": 78,
         "se": 0.015972820289750132
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   munic 4849fb53b02d5e1e529b6e802d6e90e871843cf5f89da8ad229cd022bbd01f2e

   sha256 do resultado

   4c555afd50d1e16517448e8c84ced90e5f4bf1b76f8441b4ca3cd3ecde35595a

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_2b99821ereferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa (infer.rdd): effect = 0,1236.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_3429ac89:effect"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   0,1236

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa (infer.rdd): effect = 0,1236.

   Figuras citadas: call_3429ac89:effect · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_3429ac89:effect = 0,1235940.123594259807128 (se 0,02524280.02524280249504361)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_3429ac89:effect (infer.rdd)
9. 8Pontuação
   #2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatóriaanswer call is infer.rdd
10. 9Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.y = 'r_util98'
11. 10Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.running = 'voters96'
12. 11Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.cutoff = 40500.0
13. 12Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.bandwidth = 5000.0
14. 13Pontuação
    #7argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.kernel = 'uniform'
15. 14Pontuação
    #8argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.rdd.polynomial = 1
16. 15Pontuação
    #9diagnósticopassouobrigatória75 vs 75
17. 16Pontuação
    #10diagnósticopassouobrigatória41 vs 41
18. 17Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.1235942598 vs 0.12359425980707289
19. 18Pontuação
    #12figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.0252428025 vs 0.025242802495030723
20. 19Pontuação
    #13figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.1235942598 vs 0.124
21. 20Pontuação
    #14figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.0252428025 vs 0.025

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Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)

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