Tarefa paper_repro.goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.agent
paper_reproagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9dfVeredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)
Pergunta feita ao analista
Goodman-Bacon (2018, NBER Working Paper 25018; published in the Journal of Econometrics, 2021), 'Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing', Figure 5 (a replication of Stevenson and Wolfers 2006): estimate the two-way fixed effects difference-in-differences coefficient of unilateral (no-fault) divorce on the age-adjusted female suicide rate (suicides per million women), by ordinary least squares with state fixed effects and year fixed effects, the unilateral-divorce indicator as the only regressor, no population weights and no other controls, and heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors with the usual small-sample correction (HC1, Stata's robust). Report the difference-in-differences coefficient.
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.software
- Fonte
- statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of goodman_bacon_2021 fig5_dd (infer.ols, figure 'coef.post') on an independent code path
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- goodman_bacon_2021: NBER Working Paper 25018, Figure 5 (event-study and difference-in-differences estimates of the effect of no-fault divorce on female suicide), the printed 'DD Coefficient'
- Valor
- -3,07993
-3.0799257655399144(se 1,26771.267704945311894) - Conferido por
- execução de software · sm.OLS(asmrs, add_constant(['post']), fe dummies ['stfips', 'year']; 82 independent columns).fit(cov_type='HC1') on bacon_example (the file pinned at sha256 5a555448e605f75603160be20f56ca343600ec81863f3060994bac1285c29094); n_obs = 1617. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
- #7 figura da resposta próxima: -3,07993
-3.0799257655399144· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894 - #8 figura da resposta próxima: 1,2677
1.267704945311894· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894
goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.paper
- Fonte
- Goodman-Bacon, A. (2021). Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing. Journal of Econometrics 225(2): 254-277. Cell read from the NBER Working Paper 25018 (revised September 2018).
- Tipo
- paper
- Localização
- NBER Working Paper 25018, Figure 5 (event-study and difference-in-differences estimates of the effect of no-fault divorce on female suicide: replication of Stevenson and Wolfers 2006), the printed DD coefficient
- Página
- 35
- Trecho
DD Coefficient = -3.08 (s.e. = 1.27)
- Valor como publicado
-3.08- Erro-padrão como publicado
1.27- Valor
- -3,08
-3.08(se 1,271.27) suicides per million women - Conferido por
- fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 25018 PDF (48 pages, created 2018-09-06) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Figure 5 is on PDF page 37 (printed page 35). Its notes say the specification has no other controls, does not weight by population, and that standard errors are robust to heteroskedasticity. The text of section 4 (PDF page 22) states the same coefficient with 's.e. = 1.13'; the figure, whose note states the SE convention, is the cell used, and the working paper's Table 2 column (1) also prints [1.27]. The text's 1.13 matches no standard convention on this file (classical 1.11, HC2 1.27, HC3 1.30, clustered by state 2.49; B-join review). Which SE the Journal of Econometrics version prints is unverified. The published Journal of Econometrics version could not be read without a subscription. Data facts checked before any estimate: bacon_example.dta has 1,617 state-year rows (49 states, 1964-1996) with no missing outcome or reform indicator.
- sha256 da cópia lida
4f877146cba18f2d19781e2e5ea0be9275d698ef1295f166f7d1778bfc1e17fc(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w25018/w25018.pdf- Licença
- NBER working paper, copyright the author; cited, not reproduced.
- #9 figura da resposta próxima: -3,08
-3.08· published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000308 - #10 figura da resposta próxima: 1,27
1.27· published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000127
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta escolhida answer figure call_39242cc9:coef.post (infer.ols) | obrigatória | passou | — | "call_39242cc9:coef.post" | — | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 2 | ferramenta chamada answer call is infer.ols | obrigatória | passou | — | "infer.ols" | — | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 3 | argumento igual infer.ols.y = 'asmrs' | obrigatória | passou | "asmrs" | "asmrs" | — | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 4 | argumento igual infer.ols.x = ['post'] | obrigatória | passou | ["post"] | ["post"] | — | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 5 | argumento igual infer.ols.weights = None | obrigatória | passou | — | — | — | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 6 | diagnóstico 1617 vs 1617 | obrigatória | passou | 1.6171617 | 1.6171617 | default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6) | — | call_39242cc9 |
| 7 | figura da resposta próxima -3.079925766 vs -3.0799257655399144 | obrigatória | passou | -3,07993-3.0799257655399144 | -3,07993-3.079925765539901 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894 | goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.software | call_39242cc9 |
| 8 | figura da resposta próxima 1.267704945 vs 1.267704945311894 | obrigatória | passou | 1,26771.267704945311894 | 1,26771.2677049453118925 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894 | goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.software | call_39242cc9 |
| 9 | figura da resposta próxima -3.079925766 vs -3.08 | registrada | passou | -3,08-3.08 | -3,07993-3.079925765539901 | published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000308 | goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.paper | call_39242cc9 |
| 10 | figura da resposta próxima 1.267704945 vs 1.27 | registrada | passou | 1,271.27 | 1,26771.2677049453118925 | published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000127 | goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.paper | call_39242cc9 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.tool)
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| controls | [] | [] | igual |
| dataset | "bacon_example" | "bacon_example" | igual |
| fe | ["stfips","year"] | ["stfips","year"] | igual |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | "HC1" | "HC1" | igual |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | igual |
| x | ["post"] | ["post"] | igual |
| y | "asmrs" | "asmrs" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Goodman-Bacon (2018, NBER Working Paper 25018; published in the Journal of Econometrics, 2021), 'Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing', Figure 5 (a replication of Stevenson and Wolfers 2006): estimate the two-way fixed effects difference-in-differences coefficient of unilateral (no-fault) divorce on the age-adjusted female suicide rate (suicides per million women), by ordinary least squares with state fixed effects and year fixed effects, the unilateral-divorce indicator as the only regressor, no population weights and no other controls, and heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors with the usual small-sample correction (HC1, Stata's robust). Report the difference-in-differences coefficient.
bacon_example(agent)The state-year panel Goodman-Bacon (2021), 'Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing', uses to replicate Stevenson and Wolfers (2006) on unilateral (no-fault) divorce and female suicide: one row per U.S. state and year, 1964-1996 (1,617 rows: 49 states, 33 years). Columns: stfips, the state's FIPS code; year; _nfd, the year the state adopted unilateral (no-fault) divorce, for the 36 states that adopted it between 1969 and 1985 (missing for the states that adopted it before 1964 and for those that never adopted it in the window); post, the unilateral-divorce indicator: 1 in the years in which the state had unilateral divorce (from _nfd on, and in every year for the states that adopted it before 1964) and 0 otherwise; asmrs, the age-adjusted suicide mortality of women (suicides per million women); pcinc, personal income per capita (BEA); asmrh, the age-adjusted homicide mortality of women; cases, AFDC (welfare) cases; weight, a population weight; copop, the state's population.
file5a555448e605f75603160be20f56ca343600ec81863f3060994bac1285c29094· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_1606efeareferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelFigure 5: two-way fixed effects DD of the female suicide rate on the unilateral-divorce indicator with state and year fixed effects, unweighted, no controls, heteroskedasticity-robust errors.
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "controls": [], "dataset": "bacon_example", "fe": [ "stfips", "year" ], "se": "HC1", "weights": null, "x": [ "post" ], "y": "asmrs" }
- 2Ferramenta
infer.olsv0.1.0call_39242cc9decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: Figure 5: two-way fixed effects DD of the female suicide rate on the unilateral-divorce indicator with state and year fixed effects, unweighted, no controls, heteroskedasticity-robust errors.
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "controls": [], "dataset": "bacon_example", "fe": [ "stfips", "year" ], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "post" ], "y": "asmrs" }Figuras call_39242cc9 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.post Coefficient on post in the regression of asmrs-3,07993 -3.0799257655399011,2677 1.2677049453118925-5,56654 – -0,593309 Diagnósticosn_obs= 1.6171617k= 8282r2= 0,7007060.7007060114875596df_resid= 1.5351535se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —fixed_effects="stfips (49 levels), year (33 levels)"
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 47.23363613833365, "ci_low": 37.77100689642269, "coef": 42.50232151737817, "p": 1.9611748414667094e-63, "se": 2.4120769637515935, "t": 17.62063240771253, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": -0.5933090311041358, "ci_low": -5.566542499975666, "coef": -3.079925765539901, "p": 0.015232525598551252, "se": 1.2677049453118925, "t": -2.4295288717850267, "term": "post" } ] }- Digests dos dados
bacon_example2e60642b02d0d3cb7932bb330f7cd97434f0eb86b21224a60ef6f440e4bf2374- sha256 do resultado
943351e32bfb28c4105d06de30108204da6e495d5600a9199d9e92d07b58e614
- 3Turno do modelo
call_bd8183c2referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_39242cc9:coef.post" ] }
- 4Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- -3,080
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 5Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.
Figuras citadas:call_39242cc9:coef.post· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_39242cc9:coef.post= -3,07993-3.079925765539901(se 1,26771.2677049453118925) - 6Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 7Pontuação#1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatória
answer figure call_39242cc9:coef.post (infer.ols) - 8Pontuação#2ferramenta chamadapassouobrigatória
answer call is infer.ols - 9Pontuação#3argumento igualpassouobrigatória
infer.ols.y = 'asmrs' - 10Pontuação#4argumento igualpassouobrigatória
infer.ols.x = ['post'] - 11Pontuação#5argumento igualpassouobrigatória
infer.ols.weights = None - 12Pontuação#6diagnósticopassouobrigatória
1617 vs 1617 - 13Pontuação#7figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
-3.079925766 vs -3.0799257655399144 - 14Pontuação#8figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
1.267704945 vs 1.267704945311894 - 15Pontuação#9figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
-3.079925766 vs -3.08 - 16Pontuação#10figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
1.267704945 vs 1.27
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
c822b8e4f0c512d03a39d045f700fc162307935b052aa74d56f78697373a3e05O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
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|---|---|---|
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| native/paper_repro/paper_repro.goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.agent.e1.a1.json | 36 B | 39a1ffcef98d10bf196fee2aa93ee0343ff9c7c2b32629831f61ccb9c4e8fdd7 |
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| sources/goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.software.json | 1,3 KB | 21818b3b4a8c993abd7208f9e0dd260e7b5f9d8695da488b887d3539c1b9119c |
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