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Tarefa paper_repro.goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.design

paper_reproagentT3designépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Did the unilateral (no-fault) divorce laws that U.S. states adopted at different times reduce female suicide? Using the state panel for 1964-1996, estimate the effect of unilateral divorce on the age-adjusted female suicide rate.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.software

Fonte
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of goodman_bacon_2021 fig5_dd (infer.ols, figure 'coef.post') on an independent code path
Tipo
software
Localização
goodman_bacon_2021: NBER Working Paper 25018, Figure 5 (event-study and difference-in-differences estimates of the effect of no-fault divorce on female suicide), the printed 'DD Coefficient'
Valor
-3,07993-3.0799257655399144 (se 1,26771.267704945311894)
Conferido por
execução de software · sm.OLS(asmrs, add_constant(['post']), fe dummies ['stfips', 'year']; 82 independent columns).fit(cov_type='HC1') on bacon_example (the file pinned at sha256 5a555448e605f75603160be20f56ca343600ec81863f3060994bac1285c29094); n_obs = 1617. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
  • #11 figura da resposta próxima: -3,07993-3.0799257655399144 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894
  • #12 figura da resposta próxima: 1,26771.267704945311894 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894

goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.paper

Fonte
Goodman-Bacon, A. (2021). Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing. Journal of Econometrics 225(2): 254-277. Cell read from the NBER Working Paper 25018 (revised September 2018).
Tipo
paper
Localização
NBER Working Paper 25018, Figure 5 (event-study and difference-in-differences estimates of the effect of no-fault divorce on female suicide: replication of Stevenson and Wolfers 2006), the printed DD coefficient
Página
35
Trecho
DD Coefficient = -3.08 (s.e. = 1.27)
Valor como publicado
-3.08
Erro-padrão como publicado
1.27
Valor
-3,08-3.08 (se 1,271.27) suicides per million women
Conferido por
fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 25018 PDF (48 pages, created 2018-09-06) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Figure 5 is on PDF page 37 (printed page 35). Its notes say the specification has no other controls, does not weight by population, and that standard errors are robust to heteroskedasticity. The text of section 4 (PDF page 22) states the same coefficient with 's.e. = 1.13'; the figure, whose note states the SE convention, is the cell used, and the working paper's Table 2 column (1) also prints [1.27]. The text's 1.13 matches no standard convention on this file (classical 1.11, HC2 1.27, HC3 1.30, clustered by state 2.49; B-join review). Which SE the Journal of Econometrics version prints is unverified. The published Journal of Econometrics version could not be read without a subscription. Data facts checked before any estimate: bacon_example.dta has 1,617 state-year rows (49 states, 1964-1996) with no missing outcome or reform indicator.
sha256 da cópia lida
4f877146cba18f2d19781e2e5ea0be9275d698ef1295f166f7d1778bfc1e17fc (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w25018/w25018.pdf
Licença
NBER working paper, copyright the author; cited, not reproduced.
  • #13 figura da resposta próxima: -3,08-3.08 · published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000308
  • #14 figura da resposta próxima: 1,271.27 · published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000127

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta escolhida
answer figure call_bd71b042:coef.post (infer.ols)
obrigatóriapassou—"call_bd71b042:coef.post"——call_bd71b042
2uma entre
tool_called(infer.ols): ok | tool_called(infer.twfe): answer call is infer.ols
obrigatóriapassou[{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ols","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.twfe","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null}]"infer.ols"——call_bd71b042
3argumento igual
infer.ols.y = 'asmrs'
obrigatóriapassou"asmrs""asmrs"——call_bd71b042
4argumento igual
infer.ols.x[0] = 'post'
obrigatóriapassou"post""post"——call_bd71b042
5argumento igual
not applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
obrigatóriapassou"asmrs"———call_bd71b042
6argumento igual
not applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
obrigatóriapassou"post"———call_bd71b042
7argumento igual
infer.ols.y = 'asmrs'
registradapassou"asmrs""asmrs"——call_bd71b042
8argumento igual
infer.ols.x = ['post']
registradapassou["post"]["post"]——call_bd71b042
9argumento igual
infer.ols.weights = None
registradapassou————call_bd71b042
10diagnóstico
1617 vs 1617
registradapassou1.61716171.6171617default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6)—call_bd71b042
11figura da resposta próxima
-3.079925766 vs -3.0799257655399144
registradapassou-3,07993-3.0799257655399144-3,07993-3.079925765539901relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.softwarecall_bd71b042
12figura da resposta próxima
1.267704945 vs 1.267704945311894
registradapassou1,26771.2677049453118941,26771.2677049453118925relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.000001267704945311894goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.softwarecall_bd71b042
13figura da resposta próxima
-3.079925766 vs -3.08
registradapassou-3,08-3.08-3,07993-3.079925765539901published_cell d=2 · absoluta 0.00500000308goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.papercall_bd71b042
14figura da resposta próxima
1.267704945 vs 1.27
registradapassou1,271.271,26771.2677049453118925published_cell d=2 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.00500000127goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.papercall_bd71b042

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.goodman_bacon_2021.fig5_dd.tool)

Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_bd71b042)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster——não fixado pela referência
controls[][]igual
dataset"bacon_example""bacon_example"igual
fe["stfips","year"]["stfips","year"]igual
intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se"HC1""HC1"igual
subset——não fixado pela referência
weights——igual
x["post"]["post"]igual
y"asmrs""asmrs"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Did the unilateral (no-fault) divorce laws that U.S. states adopted at different times reduce female suicide? Using the state panel for 1964-1996, estimate the effect of unilateral divorce on the age-adjusted female suicide rate.

    bacon_example (agent)

    The state-year panel Goodman-Bacon (2021), 'Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing', uses to replicate Stevenson and Wolfers (2006) on unilateral (no-fault) divorce and female suicide: one row per U.S. state and year, 1964-1996 (1,617 rows: 49 states, 33 years). Columns: stfips, the state's FIPS code; year; _nfd, the year the state adopted unilateral (no-fault) divorce, for the 36 states that adopted it between 1969 and 1985 (missing for the states that adopted it before 1964 and for those that never adopted it in the window); post, the unilateral-divorce indicator: 1 in the years in which the state had unilateral divorce (from _nfd on, and in every year for the states that adopted it before 1964) and 0 otherwise; asmrs, the age-adjusted suicide mortality of women (suicides per million women); pcinc, personal income per capita (BEA); asmrh, the age-adjusted homicide mortality of women; cases, AFDC (welfare) cases; weight, a population weight; copop, the state's population.

    file 5a555448e605f75603160be20f56ca343600ec81863f3060994bac1285c29094 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_78d20a62referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Figure 5: two-way fixed effects DD of the female suicide rate on the unilateral-divorce indicator with state and year fixed effects, unweighted, no controls, heteroskedasticity-robust errors.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.ols
      {
        "controls": [],
        "dataset": "bacon_example",
        "fe": [
          "stfips",
          "year"
        ],
        "se": "HC1",
        "weights": null,
        "x": [
          "post"
        ],
        "y": "asmrs"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.olsv0.1.0call_bd71b042decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Figure 5: two-way fixed effects DD of the female suicide rate on the unilateral-divorce indicator with state and year fixed effects, unweighted, no controls, heteroskedasticity-robust errors.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": null,
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "bacon_example",
      "fe": [
        "stfips",
        "year"
      ],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": null,
      "x": [
        "post"
      ],
      "y": "asmrs"
    }
    Figuras call_bd71b042
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.post
    Coefficient on post in the regression of asmrs
    -3,07993 -3.0799257655399011,26771.2677049453118925-5,56654 – -0,593309
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 1.6171617
    • k = 8282
    • r2 = 0,7007060.7007060114875596
    • df_resid = 1.5351535
    • se_type = "HC1"
    • n_clusters = —
    • fixed_effects = "stfips (49 levels), year (33 levels)"
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 47.23363613833365,
          "ci_low": 37.77100689642269,
          "coef": 42.50232151737817,
          "p": 1.9611748414667094e-63,
          "se": 2.4120769637515935,
          "t": 17.62063240771253,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -0.5933090311041358,
          "ci_low": -5.566542499975666,
          "coef": -3.079925765539901,
          "p": 0.015232525598551252,
          "se": 1.2677049453118925,
          "t": -2.4295288717850267,
          "term": "post"
        }
      ]
    }
    Digests dos dados
    bacon_example 2e60642b02d0d3cb7932bb330f7cd97434f0eb86b21224a60ef6f440e4bf2374
    sha256 do resultado
    b284d3fc2cc45c3bd3093e01df1a672832c09a212f01de69693d3d5e6948c665
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_1b38074creferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_bd71b042:coef.post"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    -3,080
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post = -3,080.

    Figuras citadas: call_bd71b042:coef.post · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_bd71b042:coef.post = -3,07993-3.079925765539901 (se 1,26771.2677049453118925)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta escolhidapassouobrigatóriaanswer figure call_bd71b042:coef.post (infer.ols)
  9. 8Pontuação
    #2uma entrepassouobrigatóriatool_called(infer.ols): ok | tool_called(infer.twfe): answer call is infer.ols
  10. 9Pontuação
    #3argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.y = 'asmrs'
  11. 10Pontuação
    #4argumento igualpassouobrigatóriainfer.ols.x[0] = 'post'
  12. 11Pontuação
    #5argumento igualpassouobrigatórianot applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
  13. 12Pontuação
    #6argumento igualpassouobrigatórianot applicable: the answer call is infer.ols, not infer.twfe
  14. 13Pontuação
    #7argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.y = 'asmrs'
  15. 14Pontuação
    #8argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.x = ['post']
  16. 15Pontuação
    #9argumento igualpassouregistradainfer.ols.weights = None
  17. 16Pontuação
    #10diagnósticopassouregistrada1617 vs 1617
  18. 17Pontuação
    #11figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada-3.079925766 vs -3.0799257655399144
  19. 18Pontuação
    #12figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada1.267704945 vs 1.267704945311894
  20. 19Pontuação
    #13figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada-3.079925766 vs -3.08
  21. 20Pontuação
    #14figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada1.267704945 vs 1.27

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01234567891011121314
Época 1passoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassoupassou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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