Tarefa paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.tool
paper_reprotoolT1publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165911Z-suite-paper_repro-baseline-8b4f85Veredito
Pergunta feita ao analista
Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.software
- Fonte
- statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of fujiwara_2015 tab2_pb_valid94_c3 (infer.rdd, figure 'effect') on an independent code path
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- fujiwara_2015: Table II, Panel B (placebo tests), row 'Valid Votes/Turnout (1994 Election)', column (3), bandwidth 5,000
- Valor
- 0,00637018
0.006370183782644062(se 0,03278670.03278673393864601) - Conferido por
- execução de software · sm.OLS(r_util94, [const, treat, d·(1-treat), d·treat]).fit(cov_type='HC1') with d = voters96 - 40500, rows |d| <= 5000, treat = d >= 0 on munic (munic.dta of the file pinned at sha256 5cd5b8796355e025807dc303263b1fbb16f442c3c7551f14ee3557768a310894); n_obs = 4809, n_left = 75, n_right = 41. The tool infer.rdd (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Note: the strict rule (|d| < h, treated when d > 0) selects the same rows and treatment. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
- #0 figura próxima: 0,00637018
0.006370183782644062· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.2786733938646005e-8 - #1 figura próxima: 0,0327867
0.03278673393864601· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.2786733938646005e-8
fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.paper
- Fonte
- Fujiwara, T. (2015). Voting Technology, Political Responsiveness, and Infant Health: Evidence From Brazil. Econometrica 83(2): 423-464.
- Tipo
- paper
- Localização
- Table II (treatment effects of electronic voting), Panel B (placebo tests), row 'Valid Votes/Turnout (1994 Election)', column (3), bandwidth 5000, linear
- Página
- 436
- Trecho
Valid Votes/Turnout (1994 Election) 0.006 (0.032)
- Valor como publicado
0.006- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.032- Valor
- 0,006
0.006(se 0,0320.032) share of turnout (valid votes / turnout) - Conferido por
- fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the published Econometrica version on the author's Princeton page (43-page PDF; Table II on PDF page 15) from the rendered page image; pdftotext drops this PDF's decimal-point glyph. Table II notes: robust standard errors; each cell a separate local linear regression. Data check made before any estimate: voters96 is integer-valued, no municipality has exactly 40,500 voters and none sits on a bandwidth edge, so munic.do's strict inequalities (treat if dep>0, bw<h) select the rows the tool's (running >= cutoff, |running - cutoff| <= h) select. N row: 116.
- sha256 da cópia lida
e2d693b96b22ea0dec46893e9b1f1a3a5399a23d844bcd0ec58e9e1c410a0600(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Desvio conhecido
- arredondamento do artigoFound in a dry run (scripted run 20261015T062205Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-7d3f08, T1 task failed on the printed SE): on the 116 municipalities the printed N names (75 below, 41 above the threshold), the tool's HC1 SE is 0.03279 and the statsmodels reference 0.03279, which round to 0.033, not the printed 0.032; the coefficient (0.0064) matches the printed 0.006, and the other eight Table II cells of this suite match value and SE. The cause is not established: the label paper_rounding is provisional (cutting 0.03279 to three decimals, rather than rounding it, would give the printed 0.032, one possibility among others), as noted at the B-join review.
- Endereço
https://www.princeton.edu/~fujiwara/papers/elecvote_site.pdf- Licença
- Copyright The Econometric Society; cited, not reproduced.
- #2 figura próxima: 0,006
0.006· published_cell d=3 · absoluta 0.000500001 - #3 figura próxima: 0,032
0.032· published_cell d=3 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000500001
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | figura próxima 0.006370183783 vs 0.006370183782644062 | obrigatória | passou | 0,006370180.006370183782644062 | 0,006370180.006370183782647448 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.2786733938646005e-8 | fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.software | — |
| 1 | figura próxima 0.03278673394 vs 0.03278673393864601 | obrigatória | passou | 0,03278670.03278673393864601 | 0,03278670.03278673393865989 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.2786733938646005e-8 | fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.software | — |
| 2 | figura próxima 0.006370183783 vs 0.006 | obrigatória | passou | 0,0060.006 | 0,006370180.006370183782647448 | published_cell d=3 · absoluta 0.000500001 | fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.paper | — |
| 3 | figura próxima 0.03278673394 vs 0.032 | registrada | falhou | 0,0320.032 | 0,03278670.03278673393865989 | published_cell d=3 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000500001 | fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.paper | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
a própria especificação da tarefa
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| bandwidth | 5.0005000 | 5.0005000 | igual |
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| cutoff | 40.50040500 | 40.50040500 | igual |
| dataset | "munic" | "munic" | igual |
| kernel | "uniform" | "uniform" | igual |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| polynomial | 11 | 11 | igual |
| running | "voters96" | "voters96" | igual |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| y | "r_util94" | "r_util94" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.
munic(agent)The author's municipality file for Fujiwara (2015), 'Voting Technology, Political Responsiveness, and Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil': one row per Brazilian municipality (5,281 rows). In the 1998 elections, municipalities with more than 40,500 registered voters in 1996 used electronic voting and the others paper ballots; in 1994 every municipality used paper ballots and in 2002 every one voted electronically. Columns: uf, state; voters96, number of registered voters in 1996; r_util98, r_util94, r_util02, valid votes as a share of turnout in the state legislature elections of 1998, 1994 and 2002; attend, turnout as a share of registered voters (1998); regist, registered voters as a share of population (1998); null_est_share and blank_est_share, null and blank votes as a share of turnout (state legislature, 1998); util_pres_share, util_gov_share, util_fed_share, util_sen_share, valid votes as a share of turnout in the presidential, gubernatorial, federal lower chamber and senate elections (1998); right, vote-weighted party ideology; right_meas, votes for parties with measured ideology over total valid votes; right_state, state average of right; illiter, illiteracy rate (percent); less4 and less8, shares without 4 and without 8 years of schooling; gini, Gini index; income, monthly income; latitude; longitude; urbanization, share of urban population; population91 and population00, population in 1991 and 2000 (thousands). The schooling, income, inequality and urbanization variables come from the 1991 census.
file5cd5b8796355e025807dc303263b1fbb16f442c3c7551f14ee3557768a310894· frame — - 1Ferramenta
infer.rddv0.1.0call_8b7b5b0ddecidido pelo códigoreexecutávelArgumentos
{ "bandwidth": 5000, "cluster": null, "cutoff": 40500, "dataset": "munic", "kernel": "uniform", "level": 0.95, "polynomial": 1, "running": "voters96", "subset": null, "y": "r_util94" }Figuras call_8b7b5b0d Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC effect Jump in r_util94 at the cutoff of voters960,00637018 0.0063701837826474480,0327867 0.03278673393865989-0,0578906 – 0,070631 Diagnósticosbandwidth= 5.0005000bandwidth_method="user"n_left= 7575n_right= 4141kernel="uniform"polynomial= 11bandwidth_sensitive=falsen_obs= 4.8094809se_type="HC1"
Tabelas (1)
{ "sensitivity": [ { "bandwidth": 2500, "ci_high": 0.0766836341726126, "ci_low": -0.086128892501157, "estimate": -0.004722629164272202, "multiplier": 0.5, "n_left": 43, "n_right": 18, "se": 0.04153457103243071 }, { "bandwidth": 5000, "ci_high": 0.0706310014731179, "ci_low": -0.05789063390782301, "estimate": 0.006370183782647448, "multiplier": 1, "n_left": 75, "n_right": 41, "se": 0.03278673393865989 }, { "bandwidth": 10000, "ci_high": 0.03834531606704883, "ci_low": -0.05375226421337077, "estimate": -0.007703474073160969, "multiplier": 2, "n_left": 151, "n_right": 78, "se": 0.02349471240463436 } ] }- 472 rows were dropped because one of 'r_util94', 'voters96' was missing
- Digests dos dados
munic4849fb53b02d5e1e529b6e802d6e90e871843cf5f89da8ad229cd022bbd01f2e- sha256 do resultado
2abdd1a5cabbf12311eb1f73cadf8489517ea398b5381b44c4dbdeb469ed8dfe
- 2Pontuação#0figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.006370183783 vs 0.006370183782644062 - 3Pontuação#1figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.03278673394 vs 0.03278673393864601 - 4Pontuação#2figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.006370183783 vs 0.006 - 5Pontuação#3figura próximafalhouregistrada
0.03278673394 vs 0.032
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
167d1d9026f55abd5d5cc041178afc170e67342735149257ad2f82a71831edf7O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| sources/fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.paper.json | 2,4 KB | b17cb3a64f05fa905cf36ca25fc777bcdbf072114a3a40cc1b59781f27e4c76d |
| sources/fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.software.json | 1,4 KB | ed59780d39b7862f33b49639b2866ff1fe00099815299ea4554643857180bead |
| specs/paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.tool.json | 6,0 KB | af59fe5485c1a9700c2a20f1795c439055d461c713fbfbb8ab79f7998f6703a2 |
| traces/paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.tool.e1.a1.jsonl | 4,1 KB | 40bf88f32d062967a121a32d8efcc3a9c9a54a3c446e5fa4d3cd214739c320cc |
| trajectories/paper_repro.fujiwara_2015.tab2_pb_valid94_c3.tool.e1.a1.jsonl | 8,8 KB | ca2ce960ee07f04207e75ab0466a61cd7ae52e8176cef059bd6c67c06a6a4f05 |