Pular para o conteúdo

Tarefa qrdata_socsci.354

qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

What percentage increase in hourly wage can be expected for each additional year of education, based on the data described? Please use linear regression and take all provided variables into consideration. Please provide your answer to the nearest hundredth of a percent.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.educ = 0,04115. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

qrdata.gold.354

Fonte
QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
QRData.json item 354 (0-based), field 'answer'
Trecho
item 354 answer 4.11%
Valor como publicado
4.11%
Valor
0,04110.041100000000000005 fraction (eval.py divides a '%' gold by 100)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark
sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json
Licença
CC BY-NC 4.0
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: [0.03986700000000001,0.042333] · interval · [0.03986700000000001, 0.042333] ()

qrdata.eval_py

Fonte
QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
Tipo
software
Localização
benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py
Licença
CC BY-NC 4.0

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    0.0411 in (0.039867, 0.042333)?
    obrigatóriapassou[0.03986700000000001,0.042333]0,04110.0411interval · [0.03986700000000001, 0.042333] ()qrdata.gold.354call_eb7b0866

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred

    Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_eb7b0866)igual
    Argumentos da referência e do agente
    ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
    cluster——não fixado pela referência
    controls["IQ","exper","tenure","age","married","black","south","urban","sibs","brthord","meduc","feduc"]["IQ","exper","tenure","age","married","black","south","urban","sibs","brthord","meduc","feduc"]igual
    dataset"wage_hourly""wage_hourly"igual
    fe—[]não fixado pela referência
    intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
    level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
    se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
    subset——não fixado pela referência
    weights——não fixado pela referência
    x["educ"]["educ"]igual
    y"lhwage""lhwage"igual

    Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_spec:controls

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      What percentage increase in hourly wage can be expected for each additional year of education, based on the data described? Please use linear regression and take all provided variables into consideration. Please provide your answer to the nearest hundredth of a percent.

      wage (agent)

      To estimate the impact of an additional year of education on hourly wage, we look at a sample size representing individuals with varying levels of education and their hourly wages. The dataset wage.csv contains the necessary data for our analysis. The columns in this dataset include 'wage', representing the total income; 'hours', representing the total hours worked; and 'educ', representing the years of education; and other variables like the parents' education and the person's IQ score.

      file 3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970 · frame —
      wage_hourly (reference)
      file 3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970 · frame —
      1. derive {"args":{"left":"wage","right":"hours"},"name":"hwage","op":"ratio"}
      2. derive {"args":{"column":"hwage"},"name":"lhwage","op":"log"}
    2. 1Transformação
      wage_hourly · derive {"args":{"left":"wage","right":"hours"},"name":"hwage","op":"ratio"}
      935 → 935 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 5be148e1f4d2 → a0482fd036fd
    3. 2Transformação
      wage_hourly · derive {"args":{"column":"hwage"},"name":"lhwage","op":"log"}
      935 → 935 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: a0482fd036fd → c1a0def8ce69
    4. 3Turno do modelo
      call_f9651ac3referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Texto visível

      OLS of log hourly wage on education with every other column of wage.csv as a control, wage and hours excepted because they build the outcome (Brave and True, ch. 5).

      Chamadas pedidas
      • infer.ols
        {
          "controls": [
            "IQ",
            "exper",
            "tenure",
            "age",
            "married",
            "black",
            "south",
            "urban",
            "sibs",
            "brthord",
            "meduc",
            "feduc"
          ],
          "dataset": "wage_hourly",
          "x": [
            "educ"
          ],
          "y": "lhwage"
        }
    5. 4Ferramenta
      infer.olsv0.1.0call_eb7b0866decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

      Motivo: OLS of log hourly wage on education with every other column of wage.csv as a control, wage and hours excepted because they build the outcome (Brave and True, ch. 5).

      Argumentos
      {
        "cluster": null,
        "controls": [
          "IQ",
          "exper",
          "tenure",
          "age",
          "married",
          "black",
          "south",
          "urban",
          "sibs",
          "brthord",
          "meduc",
          "feduc"
        ],
        "dataset": "wage_hourly",
        "fe": [],
        "intercept": true,
        "level": 0.95,
        "se": "HC1",
        "subset": null,
        "weights": null,
        "x": [
          "educ"
        ],
        "y": "lhwage"
      }
      Figuras call_eb7b0866
      ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
      coef.educ
      Coefficient on educ in the regression of lhwage
      0,0411472 0.0411471910100617840,01030390.0103038917443811460,0209142 – 0,0613802
      Diagnósticos
      • n_obs = 663663
      • k = 1414
      • r2 = 0,2148270.21482651654538643
      • df_resid = 649649
      • se_type = "HC1"
      • n_clusters = —
      Tabelas (1)
      {
        "coefficients": [
          {
            "ci_high": 1.5658123159420887,
            "ci_low": 0.6653960456946,
            "coef": 1.1156041808183443,
            "p": 0.000001432408492699988,
            "se": 0.22927387537211072,
            "t": 4.865814646381855,
            "term": "Intercept"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.06138018039546764,
            "ci_low": 0.020914201624655928,
            "coef": 0.041147191010061784,
            "p": 0.00007259125842923753,
            "se": 0.010303891744381146,
            "t": 3.993364063874207,
            "term": "educ"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.006326918318431711,
            "ci_low": 0.0012550854520398578,
            "coef": 0.003791001885235784,
            "p": 0.003448202409667812,
            "se": 0.001291445762300233,
            "t": 2.935471233792673,
            "term": "IQ"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.025479234574025345,
            "ci_low": 0.005203097823462425,
            "coef": 0.015341166198743886,
            "p": 0.0030740542288399714,
            "se": 0.0051629325279725,
            "t": 2.97140551723778,
            "term": "exper"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.01583520274403824,
            "ci_low": 0.002874311672040478,
            "coef": 0.00935475720803936,
            "p": 0.004731559768830736,
            "se": 0.0033002443675700624,
            "t": 2.834565009780526,
            "term": "tenure"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.02123155244030525,
            "ci_low": -0.004125857370451387,
            "coef": 0.008552847534926933,
            "p": 0.1857601203481472,
            "se": 0.006456782056051669,
            "t": 1.3246300495632668,
            "term": "age"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.2869270179234046,
            "ci_low": 0.0720838440613439,
            "coef": 0.17950543099237423,
            "p": 0.001088679708979609,
            "se": 0.05470572744655065,
            "t": 3.281291363281059,
            "term": "married"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.03499977609755121,
            "ci_low": -0.1951314183070978,
            "coef": -0.08006582110477328,
            "p": 0.17230384751117273,
            "se": 0.058598531066818685,
            "t": -1.3663451906921675,
            "term": "black"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.03344181443942246,
            "ci_low": -0.11279639964073321,
            "coef": -0.039677292600655376,
            "p": 0.28702770022486096,
            "se": 0.037236779451395266,
            "t": -1.0655403927304101,
            "term": "south"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.26081653315208203,
            "ci_low": 0.12428639483381722,
            "coef": 0.19255146399294962,
            "p": 4.4307299595909305e-8,
            "se": 0.03476480262702826,
            "t": 5.53868998074646,
            "term": "urban"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.023485626806684833,
            "ci_low": -0.010540079099261595,
            "coef": 0.006472773853711618,
            "p": 0.4552807121676291,
            "se": 0.008663998767130018,
            "t": 0.7470885012436063,
            "term": "sibs"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.019911436388694637,
            "ci_low": -0.03587024455674613,
            "coef": -0.007979404084025749,
            "p": 0.5744586784552015,
            "se": 0.014203743965684409,
            "t": -0.5617817459469575,
            "term": "brthord"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.022540383372813493,
            "ci_low": -0.0047176346831491155,
            "coef": 0.008911374344832189,
            "p": 0.19962687172504123,
            "se": 0.006940735792052892,
            "t": 1.2839235798365454,
            "term": "meduc"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.01958326098731464,
            "ci_low": -0.005840178783439715,
            "coef": 0.006871541101937463,
            "p": 0.28887022243311333,
            "se": 0.006473595329333792,
            "t": 1.061472142195923,
            "term": "feduc"
          }
        ]
      }
      • 272 rows were dropped because one of 'lhwage', 'educ', 'IQ', 'exper', 'tenure', 'age', 'married', 'black', 'south', 'urban', 'sibs', 'brthord', 'meduc', 'feduc' was missing
      Digests dos dados
      wage_hourly c1a0def8ce69bb798f171f0eb617ba47263fc2daeacb114fbb1c4320538600ba
      sha256 do resultado
      c54f22f34779d8d67e16e3c82daaa4306a235b45498816dc84af5d60cfdcd915
    6. 5Turno do modelo
      call_8b5ebe7ereferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.educ = 0,04115. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": [
            "call_eb7b0866:coef.educ"
          ]
        }
    7. 6Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      0,04115
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    8. 7Resposta

      Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.educ = 0,04115. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.

      Figuras citadas: call_eb7b0866:coef.educ · Parada: answered
      Figura da resposta: call_eb7b0866:coef.educ = 0,04114720.041147191010061784 (se 0,01030390.010303891744381146)
    9. 8Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    10. 9Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.0411 in (0.039867, 0.042333)?

    Épocas × verificações

    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #01
    Época 1passoupassou

    Tentativas

    Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

    Downloads desta tarefa

    Pacote da tarefa (.zip)
    55,1 KB · sha256 0489728b4f435f32e172d26b335cd16374657e4511ee05196a6454337cc69bdf

    O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.

    Downloads desta tarefa
    ArquivoTamanhosha256
    attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json2,4 KB433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420
    attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json64,0 KB52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b
    attachments/53b7501a1927021d1e9da429e429a23695aea8c4ae567604e0e4a7e09b50e9fb.json415 B53b7501a1927021d1e9da429e429a23695aea8c4ae567604e0e4a7e09b50e9fb
    attachments/9dd52258335700878583d974f61c48eae081b300c8f2f16f1034286a80daafd1.json2,2 KB9dd52258335700878583d974f61c48eae081b300c8f2f16f1034286a80daafd1
    attachments/a50984f909f43b54490092d5c7819729d3c23aa903f09fa33bd149ccc0db0c91.json295 Ba50984f909f43b54490092d5c7819729d3c23aa903f09fa33bd149ccc0db0c91
    attachments/d9b30826ae73532cb4a7282ca0878dfc5bf6dff7fcf2e976bdcebec8d8f54a42.json1,6 KBd9b30826ae73532cb4a7282ca0878dfc5bf6dff7fcf2e976bdcebec8d8f54a42
    attachments/e298765d8b8d3b6dc90adebe4e276c7364af19db2129b4fd82cfe4427e7ca6ce.json2,3 KBe298765d8b8d3b6dc90adebe4e276c7364af19db2129b4fd82cfe4427e7ca6ce
    native/qrdata_socsci/qrdata_socsci.354.e1.a1.json460 Be4157252d622073aaef410bd98e0dc9ddce2bcebf4c39037649cb7f7c2cef755
    sources/qrdata.eval_py.json1,3 KBd610b61f390d29ce767e08ce850eab5cb0dc4d13c1edb62d8cf3b0e49a3a291a
    sources/qrdata.gold.354.json1,2 KB38e7cdaba625904c1da5d853f651805a42113d27713c7531eb6b4b6a3fd1db2f
    specs/qrdata_socsci.354.json5,2 KB80dcd0051d0070467a700f8e30e1a7c676972c495dcca8de56ca9079d03bc42d
    traces/qrdata_socsci.354.e1.a1.jsonl17,2 KBf9e7a728fc30c20d05cb417fd5dd7ea3ebe474caf269910b997aa96f6743ffc5
    trajectories/qrdata_socsci.354.e1.a1.jsonl13,2 KB2118da538f672629fe6ae58cb6fb2b59e31b98249d1d3dba8272945b7a8d839a