Tarefa qrdata_socsci.356
qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)
Pergunta feita ao analista
What is the average treatment effect (ATE) on payments from sending the email reminder to late-paying customers? Please choose the variables to adjust for, conduct linear regression, and round your answer to the nearest hundredth.
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.email = 4,430. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
qrdata.gold.356
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- QRData.json item 356 (0-based), field 'answer'
- Trecho
item 356 answer 4.43
- Valor como publicado
4.43- Valor
- 4,43
4.43 - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark
- sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
- #1 figura da resposta próxima:
[4.2970999999999995,4.5629]· interval · [4.2970999999999995, 4.5629] ()
qrdata.eval_py
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima 4.43 in (4.2971, 4.5629)? | obrigatória | passou | [4.2970999999999995,4.5629] | 4,434.43 | interval · [4.2970999999999995, 4.5629] () | qrdata.gold.356 | call_4731e412 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| controls | ["credit_limit","risk_score"] | ["credit_limit","risk_score"] | igual |
| dataset | "collections_email" | "collections_email" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["email"] | ["email"] | igual |
| y | "payments" | "payments" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
What is the average treatment effect (ATE) on payments from sending the email reminder to late-paying customers? Please choose the variables to adjust for, conduct linear regression, and round your answer to the nearest hundredth.
collections_email(agent)In a study to determine the causal effect of sending an email reminder on the repayment of debts, a fintech company conducted a random test involving 5000 customers who were late on their payments. Each customer was randomly assigned to either receive an email about negotiating their debt or to be part of a control group that did not receive the email. Data was collected on the amounts paid by the late customers after this intervention. The dataset collections_email.csv contains variables including the amount paid (`payments`), whether the email was sent (`email`), whether the email was opened (`opened`), whether the customer contacted the collections department to negotiate their debt after having received the email (`agreement`), the customer's credit limit before being late (`credit_limit`), and the customer's risk score prior to the delivery of the email (`risk_score`).
file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_2df2acfcreferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelOLS of payments on the randomised email with the pre-treatment covariates that predict the outcome; opened and agreement are post-treatment and left out.
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "controls": [ "credit_limit", "risk_score" ], "dataset": "collections_email", "x": [ "email" ], "y": "payments" }
- 2Ferramenta
infer.olsv0.1.0call_4731e412decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: OLS of payments on the randomised email with the pre-treatment covariates that predict the outcome; opened and agreement are post-treatment and left out.
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "controls": [ "credit_limit", "risk_score" ], "dataset": "collections_email", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "email" ], "y": "payments" }Figuras call_4731e412 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.email Coefficient on email in the regression of payments4,43036 4.4303556769508732,12636 2.12636159355099740,261754 – 8,59896 Diagnósticosn_obs= 5.0005000k= 44r2= 0,4774460.47744586495314767df_resid= 4.9964996se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 510.85476126193964, "ci_low": 470.87576322409336, "coef": 490.8652622430165, "p": 0, "se": 10.196440549684151, "t": 48.14084482238478, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 8.59895772793622, "ci_low": 0.2617536259655253, "coef": 4.430355676950873, "p": 0.03725289982327135, "se": 2.1263615935509974, "t": 2.0835382328140315, "term": "email" }, { "ci_high": 0.16771395890570517, "ci_low": 0.1344232809018731, "coef": 0.15106861990378914, "p": 1.0266483629908994e-68, "se": 0.008490618469312632, "t": 17.792416471166568, "term": "credit_limit" }, { "ci_high": 71.32185570717414, "ci_low": -87.42501083520682, "coef": -8.051577564016345, "p": 0.8423761617049624, "se": 40.48758264566128, "t": -0.19886535668187555, "term": "risk_score" } ] }- Digests dos dados
collections_emaila87e53659c327a36822b548e6c2de14c0e3818c8173a93b3a13dacdc5e30958d- sha256 do resultado
8fece86199fcd74a115d9e1389f10e26e505c8852838328c68024beeee62ff9e
- 3Turno do modelo
call_a3662851referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.email = 4,430. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_4731e412:coef.email" ] }
- 4Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- 4,430
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 5Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.email = 4,430. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Figuras citadas:call_4731e412:coef.email· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_4731e412:coef.email= 4,430364.430355676950873(se 2,126362.1263615935509974) - 6Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 7Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
4.43 in (4.2971, 4.5629)?
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
37332cb944c89907a01165083e41de099cb7db5904893a9be53b3a208e016d28O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
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