Tarefa qrdata_socsci.362
qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): iv (two-stage least squares)
Pergunta feita ao analista
What is the average additional percentage wage increase associated with each additional year of education based on the instrumental variable of whether the individual is born in the last quarter q4? Please adjust for all the other variables, and round your answer to the nearest hundredth of a percent.
Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.years_of_schooling = 0,08530. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
qrdata.gold.362
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- QRData.json item 362 (0-based), field 'answer'
- Trecho
item 362 answer 8.53%
- Valor como publicado
8.53%- Valor
- 0,0853
0.08529999999999999fraction (eval.py divides a '%' gold by 100) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark
- sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
- #1 figura da resposta próxima:
[0.08274099999999998,0.08785899999999999]· interval · [0.08274099999999998, 0.08785899999999999] ()
qrdata.eval_py
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima 0.0853 in (0.082741, 0.087859)? | obrigatória | passou | [0.08274099999999998,0.08785899999999999] | 0,08530.0853 | interval · [0.08274099999999998, 0.08785899999999999] () | qrdata.gold.362 | call_f3d49934 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| dataset | "ak91_iv" | "ak91_iv" | igual |
| endog | ["years_of_schooling"] | ["years_of_schooling"] | igual |
| exog | ["yob_31","yob_32","yob_33","yob_34","yob_35","yob_36","yob_37","yob_38","yob_39","sob_2","sob_4","sob_5","sob_6","sob_8","sob_9","sob_10","sob_11","sob_12","sob_13","sob_15","sob_16","sob_17","sob_18","sob_19","sob_20","sob_21","sob_22","sob_23","sob_24","sob_25","sob_26","sob_27","sob_28","sob_29","sob_30","sob_31","sob_32","sob_33","sob_34","sob_35","sob_36","sob_37","sob_38","sob_39","sob_40","sob_41","sob_42","sob_44","sob_45","sob_46","sob_47","sob_48","sob_49","sob_50","sob_51","sob_53","sob_54","sob_55","sob_56"] | ["yob_31","yob_32","yob_33","yob_34","yob_35","yob_36","yob_37","yob_38","yob_39","sob_2","sob_4","sob_5","sob_6","sob_8","sob_9","sob_10","sob_11","sob_12","sob_13","sob_15","sob_16","sob_17","sob_18","sob_19","sob_20","sob_21","sob_22","sob_23","sob_24","sob_25","sob_26","sob_27","sob_28","sob_29","sob_30","sob_31","sob_32","sob_33","sob_34","sob_35","sob_36","sob_37","sob_38","sob_39","sob_40","sob_41","sob_42","sob_44","sob_45","sob_46","sob_47","sob_48","sob_49","sob_50","sob_51","sob_53","sob_54","sob_55","sob_56"] | igual |
| instruments | ["q4"] | ["q4"] | igual |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| y | "log_wage" | "log_wage" | igual |
Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_spec:control_coding
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
What is the average additional percentage wage increase associated with each additional year of education based on the instrumental variable of whether the individual is born in the last quarter q4? Please adjust for all the other variables, and round your answer to the nearest hundredth of a percent.
ak91(agent)The dataset provided, ak91.csv, contains information on individuals' log wages, years of schooling, year of birth, quarter of birth, and state of birth. The purpose of the analysis is to estimate the effect of education on wage, using linear regression and quarter of birth as an instrumental variable (IV). This idea takes advantage of US compulsory attendance law. Usually, they state that a kid must have turned 6 years by January 1 of the year they enter school. For this reason, kids that are born at the beginning of the year will enter school at an older age. Compulsory attendance law also requires students to be in school until they turn 16, at which point they are legally allowed to drop out. The result is that people born later in the year have, on average, more years of education than those born in the beginning of the year.
file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame —ak91_iv(reference)file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame —derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"quarter_of_birth","value":4},"name":"q4","op":"indicator"}cast{"columns":["year_of_birth","state_of_birth"],"to":"int"}dummies{"column":"year_of_birth","drop_first":true,"prefix":"yob"}dummies{"column":"state_of_birth","drop_first":true,"prefix":"sob"}
- 1Transformação
ak91_iv·derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"quarter_of_birth","value":4},"name":"q4","op":"indicator"}329509 → 329509 linhasFrame antes → depois:af6529c7b49b→ce8d66b6716e - 2Transformação
ak91_iv·cast{"columns":["year_of_birth","state_of_birth"],"to":"int"}329509 → 329509 linhasFrame antes → depois:ce8d66b6716e→ec1c6797fcab - 3Transformação
ak91_iv·dummies{"column":"year_of_birth","drop_first":true,"prefix":"yob"}329509 → 329509 linhasFrame antes → depois:ec1c6797fcab→c138d8254047 - 4Transformação
ak91_iv·dummies{"column":"state_of_birth","drop_first":true,"prefix":"sob"}329509 → 329509 linhasFrame antes → depois:c138d8254047→bde6e4a59971 - 5Turno do modelo
call_9fe06b70referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visível2SLS of log wage on years of schooling instrumented by the fourth-quarter indicator, with year-of-birth and state-of-birth dummies as exogenous controls (Brave and True, ch. 8).
Chamadas pedidasinfer.iv_2sls{ "dataset": "ak91_iv", "endog": [ "years_of_schooling" ], "exog": [ "yob_31", "yob_32", "yob_33", "yob_34", "yob_35", "yob_36", "yob_37", "yob_38", "yob_39", "sob_2", "sob_4", "sob_5", "sob_6", "sob_8", "sob_9", "sob_10", "sob_11", "sob_12", "sob_13", "sob_15", "sob_16", "sob_17", "sob_18", "sob_19", "sob_20", "sob_21", "sob_22", "sob_23", "sob_24", "sob_25", "sob_26", "sob_27", "sob_28", "sob_29", "sob_30", "sob_31", "sob_32", "sob_33", "sob_34", "sob_35", "sob_36", "sob_37", "sob_38", "sob_39", "sob_40", "sob_41", "sob_42", "sob_44", "sob_45", "sob_46", "sob_47", "sob_48", "sob_49", "sob_50", "sob_51", "sob_53", "sob_54", "sob_55", "sob_56" ], "instruments": [ "q4" ], "y": "log_wage" }
- 6Ferramenta
infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_f3d49934decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: 2SLS of log wage on years of schooling instrumented by the fourth-quarter indicator, with year-of-birth and state-of-birth dummies as exogenous controls (Brave and True, ch. 8).
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "dataset": "ak91_iv", "endog": [ "years_of_schooling" ], "exog": [ "yob_31", "yob_32", "yob_33", "yob_34", "yob_35", "yob_36", "yob_37", "yob_38", "yob_39", "sob_2", "sob_4", "sob_5", "sob_6", "sob_8", "sob_9", "sob_10", "sob_11", "sob_12", "sob_13", "sob_15", "sob_16", "sob_17", "sob_18", "sob_19", "sob_20", "sob_21", "sob_22", "sob_23", "sob_24", "sob_25", "sob_26", "sob_27", "sob_28", "sob_29", "sob_30", "sob_31", "sob_32", "sob_33", "sob_34", "sob_35", "sob_36", "sob_37", "sob_38", "sob_39", "sob_40", "sob_41", "sob_42", "sob_44", "sob_45", "sob_46", "sob_47", "sob_48", "sob_49", "sob_50", "sob_51", "sob_53", "sob_54", "sob_55", "sob_56" ], "instruments": [ "q4" ], "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "y": "log_wage" }Figuras call_f3d49934 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.years_of_schooling 2SLS effect of years_of_schooling on log_wage0,0853029 0.085302864920888140,0255432 0.0255431772504459840,035239 – 0,135367 Diagnósticosfirst_stage_F.years_of_schooling= 61,782761.782739389417884partial_r2.years_of_schooling= 0,0001854010.0001854009158526182weak_instrument=falsen_obs= 329.509329509se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —
Tabelas (3)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 5.315898594278442, "ci_low": 4.177629399485408, "coef": 4.746763996881925, "p": 4.8426057751719305e-60, "se": 0.2903790635605813, "t": 16.346784574197155, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 0.004546659725242786, "ci_low": -0.02014899153819063, "coef": -0.007801165906473921, "p": 0.21561329348538055, "se": 0.006300003655285049, "t": -1.23827958416017, "term": "yob_31" }, { "ci_high": -0.00007111629874588521, "ci_low": -0.028843419723120947, "coef": -0.014457268010933416, "p": 0.048878177544792435, "se": 0.00733998123033635, "t": -1.9696600791267858, "term": "yob_32" }, { "ci_high": -0.0006554671077250267, "ci_low": -0.03420526536578866, "coef": -0.017430366236756846, "p": 0.04169538906337667, "se": 0.008558747829940452, "t": -2.03655564845379, "term": "yob_33" }, { "ci_high": -0.0032123076698963512, "ci_low": -0.040138154008912304, "coef": -0.021675230839404327, "p": 0.021393349404883858, "se": 0.009419997246833157, "t": -2.3009805917609127, "term": "yob_34" }, { "ci_high": -0.013208526332850221, "ci_low": -0.05558344589758296, "coef": -0.03439598611521659, "p": 0.0014635538543801196, "se": 0.010810087383502785, "t": -3.18184163503693, "term": "yob_35" }, { "ci_high": -0.011492833704452372, "ci_low": -0.05790677251915096, "coef": -0.034699803111801666, "p": 0.003383186524140447, "se": 0.011840464585023643, "t": -2.930611621075372, "term": "yob_36" }, { "ci_high": -0.015057087621178026, "ci_low": -0.06695350349298683, "coef": -0.041005295557082426, "p": 0.0019531327157528405, "se": 0.013239076232530716, "t": -3.097292804789905, "term": "yob_37" }, { "ci_high": -0.013526637959811495, "ci_low": -0.07298402002575227, "coef": -0.04325532899278189, "p": 0.004348012660808795, "se": 0.015167922495882738, "t": -2.851763582291731, "term": "yob_38" }, { "ci_high": -0.02306414396027861, "ci_low": -0.0863568546250717, "coef": -0.05471049929267516, "p": 0.0007030590215531625, "se": 0.01614633703268688, "t": -3.3884155385780947, "term": "yob_39" }, { "ci_high": 0.4350471566111351, "ci_low": 0.019412980307373706, "coef": 0.2272300684592544, "p": 0.0321090505800597, "se": 0.10603068540461077, "t": 2.1430595076524255, "term": "sob_2" }, { "ci_high": 0.20073654074533173, "ci_low": 0.04234602780287669, "coef": 0.12154128427410421, "p": 0.0026301392708818145, "se": 0.040406337126142625, "t": 3.0079758007925896, "term": "sob_4" }, { "ci_high": 0.06709778182181278, "ci_low": 0.01901351499182987, "coef": 0.04305564840682132, "p": 0.0004481705560768453, "se": 0.012266574934961957, "t": 3.509997585724189, "term": "sob_5" }, { "ci_high": 0.24425702285876905, "ci_low": 0.025980069275713558, "coef": 0.1351185460672413, "p": 0.01524426533679295, "se": 0.055683714949194225, "t": 2.426536128031748, "term": "sob_6" }, { "ci_high": 0.17737469267428033, "ci_low": 0.006711367140046998, "coef": 0.09204302990716366, "p": 0.03450545690277291, "se": 0.04353720269287974, "t": 2.1141236509027435, "term": "sob_8" }, { "ci_high": 0.18914047920798355, "ci_low": 0.02104915164429433, "coef": 0.10509481542613894, "p": 0.01425268695221718, "se": 0.04288107111558434, "t": 2.4508439899474466, "term": "sob_9" }, { "ci_high": 0.13457270712245234, "ci_low": 0.024685823609266064, "coef": 0.07962926536585921, "p": 0.004503478932639642, "se": 0.028032780363481204, "t": 2.8405767937879487, "term": "sob_10" }, { "ci_high": 0.22823145204405088, "ci_low": 0.004092985779976757, "coef": 0.11616221891201382, "p": 0.04219971614168689, "se": 0.057179020779439545, "t": 2.031553134848078, "term": "sob_11" }, { "ci_high": 0.038753516381874756, "ci_low": -0.07014788778211954, "coef": -0.015697185700122396, "p": 0.5720568483581701, "se": 0.027781378874373267, "t": -0.5650254356021959, "term": "sob_12" }, { "ci_high": 0.007870306978340114, "ci_low": -0.03889045902887449, "coef": -0.015510076025267185, "p": 0.19353146274559033, "se": 0.011928942210387523, "t": -1.3002054793895532, "term": "sob_13" }, { "ci_high": 0.23821339576217443, "ci_low": 0.01296004758154938, "coef": 0.1255867216718619, "p": 0.028852413687147416, "se": 0.05746343361287966, "t": 2.185506743608745, "term": "sob_15" }, { "ci_high": 0.16929456938807064, "ci_low": -0.025610838497139396, "coef": 0.07184186544546561, "p": 0.1484910375040201, "se": 0.0497214982918791, "t": 1.4448853697797635, "term": "sob_16" }, { "ci_high": 0.26027785939632087, "ci_low": 0.09212554756144514, "coef": 0.176201703478883, "p": 0.00003999077977006447, "se": 0.042896628556337434, "t": 4.107588624301139, "term": "sob_17" }, { "ci_high": 0.19057917478541006, "ci_low": 0.07754151451722599, "coef": 0.13406034465131803, "p": 0.0000033372383855349286, "se": 0.02883656176052679, "t": 4.64897118334086, "term": "sob_18" }, { "ci_high": 0.1482854106743441, "ci_low": -0.0013394416383843283, "coef": 0.07347298451797987, "p": 0.05424524980075849, "se": 0.038170166335618254, "t": 1.9248798622451644, "term": "sob_19" }, { "ci_high": 0.13263023202135077, "ci_low": -0.048645007008910786, "coef": 0.04199261250621999, "p": 0.36384768944074514, "se": 0.04624436328165669, "t": 0.9080590482013794, "term": "sob_20" }, { "ci_high": 0.14948536087636177, "ci_low": 0.08934346193028057, "coef": 0.11941441140332117, "p": 7.090532123190034e-15, "se": 0.015342546716195336, "t": 7.783219670908306, "term": "sob_21" }, { "ci_high": 0.11763954260275168, "ci_low": 0.05893388120744315, "coef": 0.08828671190509742, "p": 3.7469839052596315e-9, "se": 0.014976154199423643, "t": 5.895152435629645, "term": "sob_22" }, { "ci_high": 0.019334584550068777, "ci_low": -0.06657883177953572, "coef": -0.023622123614733467, "p": 0.28112441596593496, "se": 0.021917010049294174, "t": -1.0777986395774002, "term": "sob_23" }, { "ci_high": 0.1489110434330549, "ci_low": 0.060784427619800435, "coef": 0.10484773552642766, "p": 0.000003106787982713231, "se": 0.022481610054701413, "t": 4.663711151973372, "term": "sob_24" }, { "ci_high": 0.16910355283188416, "ci_low": -0.012436239674988248, "coef": 0.07833365657844796, 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"ci_low": 0.05314280972249129, "coef": 0.15333846373060664, "p": 0.0027042466194744674, "se": 0.05112098318536452, "t": 2.9995210220155952, "term": "sob_53" }, { "ci_high": 0.14756678930468498, "ci_low": 0.10368904406552427, "coef": 0.12562791668510462, "p": 3.171203287244251e-29, "se": 0.01119346691624551, "t": 11.223324964920028, "term": "sob_54" }, { "ci_high": 0.1710830974006074, "ci_low": 0.039090483526227376, "coef": 0.10508679046341739, "p": 0.001803221793095058, "se": 0.03367208019779965, "t": 3.1208879833412975, "term": "sob_55" }, { "ci_high": 0.2174301684997997, "ci_low": 0.002651921607762231, "coef": 0.11004104505378097, "p": 0.04460462137490501, "se": 0.054791174610530596, "t": 2.0083717101518683, "term": "sob_56" }, { "ci_high": 0.1353667563130701, "ci_low": 0.03523897352870618, "coef": 0.08530286492088814, "p": 0.0008392180558554179, "se": 0.025543177250445984, "t": 3.3395557680436463, "term": "years_of_schooling" } ], "first_stage": [ { "ci_high": 0.12600744808677325, "ci_low": 0.07570873736896201, "coef": 0.10085809272786762, "endog": "years_of_schooling", "instrument": "q4", "p": 3.846696918374697e-15, "se": 0.012831492395081716, "t": 7.860199704168965 } ], "reduced_form": [ { "ci_high": 0.013911242370463133, "ci_low": 0.003295726149817331, "coef": 0.008603484260140232, "instrument": "q4", "p": 0.0014883683423645975, "se": 0.002708079664691067, "t": 3.1769686735274467 } ] }- Digests dos dados
ak91_ivbde6e4a5997113d378703b104e7cbce2209be4aa4c18126fa1755f5365803fef- sha256 do resultado
85a1b8917183d194477e9a8e5e09283c6a0ad7ef5bff25d86d24439278596e92
- 7Turno do modelo
call_22971485referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.years_of_schooling = 0,08530. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_f3d49934:coef.years_of_schooling" ] }
- 8Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- 0,08530
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 9Resposta
Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.years_of_schooling = 0,08530. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Figuras citadas:call_f3d49934:coef.years_of_schooling· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_f3d49934:coef.years_of_schooling= 0,08530290.08530286492088814(se 0,02554320.025543177250445984) - 10Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 11Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
0.0853 in (0.082741, 0.087859)?
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
f92d48f6e1dfb71faf52f0a44c441362a1b0f189154039bd718a0427a6091995O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
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| attachments/cdc77f9dcedc846777c016ca4165fa1fe147481a447c53a53d422bb67b772e62.json | 327 B | cdc77f9dcedc846777c016ca4165fa1fe147481a447c53a53d422bb67b772e62 |
| native/qrdata_socsci/qrdata_socsci.362.e1.a1.json | 491 B | a1ff12cb1dd72007c71379787c33456ef825ada344b458d81e5f230ddf75b0fa |
| sources/qrdata.eval_py.json | 1,3 KB | d610b61f390d29ce767e08ce850eab5cb0dc4d13c1edb62d8cf3b0e49a3a291a |
| sources/qrdata.gold.362.json | 1,2 KB | 6489b04acd85744cbc98b42ed61d6a5f2996e8a617c2c0f9daa782000504fb23 |
| specs/qrdata_socsci.362.json | 6,9 KB | 6df53221c15d66faa806d3af8aa490ac0616f7a39cb53c20cb168dcd554f5cb6 |
| traces/qrdata_socsci.362.e1.a1.jsonl | 31,1 KB | 9b076fdd737845479b20a4741aadf441f3aa334bf1f10a4edceeb157b2a797dc |
| trajectories/qrdata_socsci.362.e1.a1.jsonl | 24,9 KB | edda8ec9514a6ce9eda7cf41ff3a9f8af511e3de8d93d8d1571afb51a54034c6 |