Tarefa qrdata_socsci.381
qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3Veredito
0.031 in (0.03104, 0.03296)?Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)
Pergunta feita ao analista
We would like to reduce the confounding bias due to different fast-food chains and the location of restaurants. We only consider Burger King restaurants, and focus on the Burger King restaurants located in northern and southern NJ that are near PA, while excluding those in the Jersey shore and central New Jersey. What is the difference in the proportion of full-time Burger King employees in NJ (northern and southern only) and PA? Please round to the nearest thousandth.
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.nj = 0,03150. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
qrdata.gold.381
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- QRData.json item 381 (0-based), field 'answer'
- Trecho
item 381 answer 0.032
- Valor
- 0,032
0.032 - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · The printed gold is in the excerpt and index.json. It has fewer than 3 significant digits, so it is not set as value_as_published: the isolation gate searches that field verbatim, and a string this short can occur anywhere in a prompt (the gate does not search such numbers either).
- sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Desvio conhecido
- não conferidoFound in the scripted dry run 20261015T062545Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-0ae88c, after the spec was committed: the reference path gives 0.0314985 (infer.ols, n = 120), which rounds to 0.031 at the nearest thousandth the question asks for, outside eval.py's open interval (0.03104, 0.03296) around the gold 0.032; the unrounded value would fall inside. The rounding and the interval are left as frozen. Kind unverified (it was paper_rounding): no printed QSS figure shows the source rounding 0.0315 up, so the cause is not shown (B-join review).
- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
- #1 figura da resposta próxima:
[0.031039999999999998,0.03296]· interval · [0.031039999999999998, 0.03296] ()
qrdata.eval_py
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima 0.031 in (0.03104, 0.03296)? | obrigatória | falhou | [0.031039999999999998,0.03296] | 0,0310.031 | interval · [0.031039999999999998, 0.03296] () | qrdata.gold.381 | call_45a3c1f1 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| controls | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| dataset | "minwage_props" | "minwage_props" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | "chain == 'burgerking' and location in ['northNJ', 'southNJ', 'PA']" | "chain == 'burgerking' and location in ['northNJ', 'southNJ', 'PA']" | igual |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["nj"] | ["nj"] | igual |
| y | "fullPropAfter" | "fullPropAfter" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
We would like to reduce the confounding bias due to different fast-food chains and the location of restaurants. We only consider Burger King restaurants, and focus on the Burger King restaurants located in northern and southern NJ that are near PA, while excluding those in the Jersey shore and central New Jersey. What is the difference in the proportion of full-time Burger King employees in NJ (northern and southern only) and PA? Please round to the nearest thousandth.
minwage(agent)Two social science researchers examined the impact of raising the minimum wage on employment in the fast-food industry. In 1992, the state of New Jersey (NJ) in the United States raised the minimum wage from $4.25 to $5.05 per hour. Did such an increase in the minimum wage reduce employment as economic theory predicts? As discussed above, answering this question requires inference about the NJ employment rate in the absence of such a raise in the minimum wage. Since this counterfactual outcome is not observable, we must somehow estimate it using observed data. One possible strategy is to look at another state in which the minimum wage did not increase. For example, the researchers of this study chose the neighboring state, Pennsylvania (PA), on the grounds that NJ’s economy resembles that of Pennsylvania, and hence the fast-food restaurants in the two states are comparable. Under this cross-section comparison design, therefore, the fast-food restaurants in NJ serve as the treatment group receiving the treatment (i.e., the increase in the minimum wage), whereas those in PA represent the control group, which did not receive such a treatment. To collect pretreatment and outcome measures, the researchers surveyed the fast-food restaurants before and after the minimum wage increase. Specifically, they gathered information about the number of full-time employees, the number of part-time employees, and their hourly wages, for each restaurant. The CSV file minwage.csv contains this data set. Variable Description chain: name of the fast-food restaurant chain location: location of the restaurants (centralNJ, northNJ, PA, shoreNJ, southNJ) wageBefore: wage before the minimum-wage increase wageAfter: wage after the minimum-wage increase fullBefore: number of full-time employees before the minimum-wage increase fullAfter: number of full-time employees after the minimum-wage increase partBefore: number of part-time employees before the minimum-wage increase partAfter: number of part-time employees after the minimum-wage increase
file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame —minwage_props(reference)file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame —derive{"args":{"columns":["fullAfter","partAfter"]},"name":"totalAfter","op":"sum"}derive{"args":{"left":"fullAfter","right":"totalAfter"},"name":"fullPropAfter","op":"ratio"}derive{"args":{"columns":["fullBefore","partBefore"]},"name":"totalBefore","op":"sum"}derive{"args":{"left":"fullBefore","right":"totalBefore"},"name":"fullPropBefore","op":"ratio"}derive{"args":{"left":"fullPropAfter","right":"fullPropBefore"},"name":"fullPropChange","op":"diff"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"ne","column":"location","value":"PA"},"name":"nj","op":"indicator"}
- 1Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"columns":["fullAfter","partAfter"]},"name":"totalAfter","op":"sum"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:55dec890a044→808a12f40fca - 2Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"left":"fullAfter","right":"totalAfter"},"name":"fullPropAfter","op":"ratio"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:808a12f40fca→891fe31e6dd3 - 3Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"columns":["fullBefore","partBefore"]},"name":"totalBefore","op":"sum"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:891fe31e6dd3→fc02f54744c1 - 4Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"left":"fullBefore","right":"totalBefore"},"name":"fullPropBefore","op":"ratio"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:fc02f54744c1→590bda545f53 - 5Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"left":"fullPropAfter","right":"fullPropBefore"},"name":"fullPropChange","op":"diff"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:590bda545f53→3ab27676376a - 6Transformação
minwage_props·derive{"args":{"cmp":"ne","column":"location","value":"PA"},"name":"nj","op":"indicator"}358 → 358 linhasFrame antes → depois:3ab27676376a→67fcfadd313b - 7Turno do modelo
call_45d51969referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelThe same difference over Burger King restaurants in northern NJ, southern NJ and PA.
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "dataset": "minwage_props", "subset": "chain == 'burgerking' and location in ['northNJ', 'southNJ', 'PA']", "x": [ "nj" ], "y": "fullPropAfter" }
- 8Ferramenta
infer.olsv0.1.0call_45a3c1f1decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: The same difference over Burger King restaurants in northern NJ, southern NJ and PA.
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "controls": [], "dataset": "minwage_props", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": "chain == 'burgerking' and location in ['northNJ', 'southNJ', 'PA']", "weights": null, "x": [ "nj" ], "y": "fullPropAfter" }Figuras call_45a3c1f1 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.nj Coefficient on nj in the regression of fullPropAfter0,0314985 0.031498534750908580,0540767 0.05407670844470241-0,0755881 – 0,138585 Diagnósticosn_obs= 120120k= 22r2= 0,002823980.002823975749484564df_resid= 118118se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 0.4131433610366152, "ci_low": 0.229452334200419, "coef": 0.3212978476185171, "p": 2.411459821685738e-10, "se": 0.046380245671683654, "t": 6.927471878715765, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 0.13858513981597825, "ci_low": -0.0755880703141611, "coef": 0.03149853475090858, "p": 0.5613555973312575, "se": 0.05407670844470241, "t": 0.582478772411199, "term": "nj" } ] }- Digests dos dados
minwage_props67fcfadd313ba1d19f472b3dfda49f69f3c7884474526b8969637c189accc2da- sha256 do resultado
38c5bdd018ba0427747e9a114b52734c912e1a9e1ad6eccbeba295fa178408f2
- 9Turno do modelo
call_565c9e4dreferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.nj = 0,03150. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_45a3c1f1:coef.nj" ] }
- 10Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- 0,03150
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 11Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.nj = 0,03150. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Figuras citadas:call_45a3c1f1:coef.nj· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_45a3c1f1:coef.nj= 0,03149850.03149853475090858(se 0,05407670.05407670844470241) - 12Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 13Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
0.031 in (0.03104, 0.03296)?
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
a770e55ac436d2ba6f2d33fceabc41bcb09e96d3980f6f6d6a4e6ad44fa7a51cO hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/0eb68e77fd8102d208d6e8822a9e047426e1a006206a2e305e81a2c2b1463c38.json | 311 B | 0eb68e77fd8102d208d6e8822a9e047426e1a006206a2e305e81a2c2b1463c38 |
| attachments/26fd7a0d94fd7da889ec8651abf11b28d4dae3c46cfe05eb87302d4895c1a351.json | 3,1 KB | 26fd7a0d94fd7da889ec8651abf11b28d4dae3c46cfe05eb87302d4895c1a351 |
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/9cb730664a96efdd2f0cec6b70f16425453ce5bc1550f87e702e9f811f2d8983.json | 977 B | 9cb730664a96efdd2f0cec6b70f16425453ce5bc1550f87e702e9f811f2d8983 |
| attachments/bdb1c7b00f51fdb7455395d337d29438e57fb7b6841b0cfdc9d9cf0fe7df9241.json | 498 B | bdb1c7b00f51fdb7455395d337d29438e57fb7b6841b0cfdc9d9cf0fe7df9241 |
| attachments/d4fa8f41f9cb7daa79d2ab2ee02ca69df38d47d5427adfffc34556b567e65c8d.json | 871 B | d4fa8f41f9cb7daa79d2ab2ee02ca69df38d47d5427adfffc34556b567e65c8d |
| native/qrdata_socsci/qrdata_socsci.381.e1.a1.json | 454 B | f8681cd94be7c39936658b9271631cac9519e0e1dc9d3a61b133b5a1a2acecf7 |
| sources/qrdata.eval_py.json | 1,3 KB | d610b61f390d29ce767e08ce850eab5cb0dc4d13c1edb62d8cf3b0e49a3a291a |
| sources/qrdata.gold.381.json | 2,0 KB | 97cd47a43de090a5a0ec153415b9d63b7f7bb94a40d215e19bd1dda5b5023cee |
| specs/qrdata_socsci.381.json | 7,7 KB | 890f73c09816a90a2ce241d75f4cf6f04027cf6e03625826ad52c539edb21173 |
| traces/qrdata_socsci.381.e1.a1.jsonl | 20,0 KB | 592f20e81685ad61817159a66515e0f2f2a70b05780683da1d3773e9f99a9aaa |
| trajectories/qrdata_socsci.381.e1.a1.jsonl | 15,2 KB | 4ca2d06186836d4afe466f7965bde53e22587e20cba1e0c8278bf76992721cdb |