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Tarefa qrdata_socsci.398

qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

To explore if female politicians are more likely to support policies about drinking water, please estimate the average causal effects of the reservation policy on the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities since the reserve policy started. Please round to the nearest hundredth.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

qrdata.gold.398

Fonte
QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
QRData.json item 398 (0-based), field 'answer'
Trecho
item 398 answer 9.25
Valor como publicado
9.25
Valor
9,259.25
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark
sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json
Licença
CC BY-NC 4.0
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: [8.9725,9.5275] · interval · [8.9725, 9.5275] ()

qrdata.eval_py

Fonte
QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
Tipo
software
Localização
benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py
Licença
CC BY-NC 4.0

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    9.25 in (8.9725, 9.5275)?
    obrigatóriapassou[8.9725,9.5275]9,259.25interval · [8.9725, 9.5275] ()qrdata.gold.398call_c379304b

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred

    Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_c379304b)igual
    Argumentos da referência e do agente
    ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
    cluster——não fixado pela referência
    controls—[]não fixado pela referência
    dataset"women""women"igual
    fe—[]não fixado pela referência
    intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
    level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
    se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
    subset——não fixado pela referência
    weights——não fixado pela referência
    x["reserved"]["reserved"]igual
    y"water""water"igual

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      To explore if female politicians are more likely to support policies about drinking water, please estimate the average causal effects of the reservation policy on the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities since the reserve policy started. Please round to the nearest hundredth.

      women (agent)

      Researchers conducted randomized policy experiment in India where, since the mid-1990s, one-third of village council heads have been randomly reserved for female politicians. The CSV data set women.csv contains a subset of this data from West Bengal. The policy was implemented at the level of government called Gram Panchayat or GP. Each GP contains many villages. For this study, two villages were selected at random within each GP for detailed data collection. Each observation in the data set represents a village and there are two villages associated with each GP. Variable Description GP: identifier for the Gram Panchayat (GP) village: identifier for each village reserved: binary variable indicating whether the GP was reserved for women leaders or not female: binary variable indicating whether the GP had a female leader or not irrigation: variable measuring the number of new or repaired irrigation facilities in the village since the reserve policy started water: variable measuring the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities in the village since the reservation policy started

      file 3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970 · frame —
    2. 1Turno do modelo
      call_1bb22628referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Texto visível

      Difference in means of new drinking-water facilities between reserved and unreserved GPs (OLS on the randomised reservation indicator).

      Chamadas pedidas
      • infer.ols
        {
          "dataset": "women",
          "x": [
            "reserved"
          ],
          "y": "water"
        }
    3. 2Ferramenta
      infer.olsv0.1.0call_c379304bdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

      Motivo: Difference in means of new drinking-water facilities between reserved and unreserved GPs (OLS on the randomised reservation indicator).

      Argumentos
      {
        "cluster": null,
        "controls": [],
        "dataset": "women",
        "fe": [],
        "intercept": true,
        "level": 0.95,
        "se": "HC1",
        "subset": null,
        "weights": null,
        "x": [
          "reserved"
        ],
        "y": "water"
      }
      Figuras call_c379304b
      ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
      coef.reserved
      Coefficient on reserved in the regression of water
      9,25242 9.2524229837313945,093225.09321851662652-0,768 – 19,2728
      Diagnósticos
      • n_obs = 322322
      • k = 22
      • r2 = 0,01687610.016876051247779134
      • df_resid = 320320
      • se_type = "HC1"
      • n_clusters = —
      Tabelas (1)
      {
        "coefficients": [
          {
            "ci_high": 17.29452761817752,
            "ci_low": 12.182107895841172,
            "coef": 14.738317757009346,
            "p": 2.704123431146596e-25,
            "se": 1.2992799628327463,
            "t": 11.34345035605431,
            "term": "Intercept"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 19.272846425727472,
            "ci_low": -0.7680004582646855,
            "coef": 9.252422983731394,
            "p": 0.07021135844802597,
            "se": 5.09321851662652,
            "t": 1.8166161442960655,
            "term": "reserved"
          }
        ]
      }
      Digests dos dados
      women 8b9618b5541a641626f67ccf0b06acbb4c6846dba68360908110838370c225ca
      sha256 do resultado
      a27c32fda889c74c5a02ad34e13f10bebd88fc4c2ffcc7b4fe041c42d594bb44
    4. 3Turno do modelo
      call_cc0a5cc8referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": [
            "call_c379304b:coef.reserved"
          ]
        }
    5. 4Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      9,252
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    6. 5Resposta

      Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.

      Figuras citadas: call_c379304b:coef.reserved · Parada: answered
      Figura da resposta: call_c379304b:coef.reserved = 9,252429.252422983731394 (se 5,093225.09321851662652)
    7. 6Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    8. 7Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória9.25 in (8.9725, 9.5275)?

    Épocas × verificações

    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #01
    Época 1passoupassou

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