Tarefa qrdata_socsci.398
qrdata_socsciagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170010Z-suite-qrdata_socsci-scripted-7912b3Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)
Pergunta feita ao analista
To explore if female politicians are more likely to support policies about drinking water, please estimate the average causal effects of the reservation policy on the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities since the reserve policy started. Please round to the nearest hundredth.
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
qrdata.gold.398
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/QRData.json at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- QRData.json item 398 (0-based), field 'answer'
- Trecho
item 398 answer 9.25
- Valor como publicado
9.25- Valor
- 9,25
9.25 - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark
- sha256 da cópia lida
e076d960f19434adf728aab70480ce34808c06066fcea48eaa38b145d1a111a1(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/QRData.json- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
- #1 figura da resposta próxima:
[8.9725,9.5275]· interval · [8.9725, 9.5275] ()
qrdata.eval_py
- Fonte
- QRData benchmark/eval.py at de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed (Xiao Liu, Zirui Wu, Xueqing Wu, Pan Lu, Kai-Wei Chang, Yansong Feng. Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024, pages 9215-9235.)
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- benchmark/eval.py: extract_first_number, calc_acc
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Vendored byte for byte as suites/data/qrdata_socsci/vendor/benchmark_eval.py.txt; a parity test runs its functions against MAGI's port and the answer_figure_close check.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
d6e5c1f7535ac9413951996c15544beb6f184244acb2da56e1fcd0942837e33d(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/xxxiaol/QRData/de450af45ff7101b328bb064c6b475f73414a7ed/benchmark/eval.py- Licença
- CC BY-NC 4.0
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima 9.25 in (8.9725, 9.5275)? | obrigatória | passou | [8.9725,9.5275] | 9,259.25 | interval · [8.9725, 9.5275] () | qrdata.gold.398 | call_c379304b |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · hand_inferred
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| controls | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| dataset | "women" | "women" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["reserved"] | ["reserved"] | igual |
| y | "water" | "water" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
To explore if female politicians are more likely to support policies about drinking water, please estimate the average causal effects of the reservation policy on the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities since the reserve policy started. Please round to the nearest hundredth.
women(agent)Researchers conducted randomized policy experiment in India where, since the mid-1990s, one-third of village council heads have been randomly reserved for female politicians. The CSV data set women.csv contains a subset of this data from West Bengal. The policy was implemented at the level of government called Gram Panchayat or GP. Each GP contains many villages. For this study, two villages were selected at random within each GP for detailed data collection. Each observation in the data set represents a village and there are two villages associated with each GP. Variable Description GP: identifier for the Gram Panchayat (GP) village: identifier for each village reserved: binary variable indicating whether the GP was reserved for women leaders or not female: binary variable indicating whether the GP had a female leader or not irrigation: variable measuring the number of new or repaired irrigation facilities in the village since the reserve policy started water: variable measuring the number of new or repaired drinking water facilities in the village since the reservation policy started
file3c3a97cca6fdd96f6856f7856b5f8bc786a31d1a9be78c9f610ef3070783e970· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_1bb22628referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelDifference in means of new drinking-water facilities between reserved and unreserved GPs (OLS on the randomised reservation indicator).
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "dataset": "women", "x": [ "reserved" ], "y": "water" }
- 2Ferramenta
infer.olsv0.1.0call_c379304bdecidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: Difference in means of new drinking-water facilities between reserved and unreserved GPs (OLS on the randomised reservation indicator).
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "controls": [], "dataset": "women", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "reserved" ], "y": "water" }Figuras call_c379304b Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.reserved Coefficient on reserved in the regression of water9,25242 9.2524229837313945,09322 5.09321851662652-0,768 – 19,2728 Diagnósticosn_obs= 322322k= 22r2= 0,01687610.016876051247779134df_resid= 320320se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 17.29452761817752, "ci_low": 12.182107895841172, "coef": 14.738317757009346, "p": 2.704123431146596e-25, "se": 1.2992799628327463, "t": 11.34345035605431, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 19.272846425727472, "ci_low": -0.7680004582646855, "coef": 9.252422983731394, "p": 0.07021135844802597, "se": 5.09321851662652, "t": 1.8166161442960655, "term": "reserved" } ] }- Digests dos dados
women8b9618b5541a641626f67ccf0b06acbb4c6846dba68360908110838370c225ca- sha256 do resultado
a27c32fda889c74c5a02ad34e13f10bebd88fc4c2ffcc7b4fe041c42d594bb44
- 3Turno do modelo
call_cc0a5cc8referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_c379304b:coef.reserved" ] }
- 4Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- 9,252
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 5Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.reserved = 9,252. Caminho de referência inferido à mão.
Figuras citadas:call_c379304b:coef.reserved· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_c379304b:coef.reserved= 9,252429.252422983731394(se 5,093225.09321851662652) - 6Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 7Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
9.25 in (8.9725, 9.5275)?
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
15dd3e7910e36cda9fd151430f24ec159eb1c663eedb1b1f1596d75ce5815b79O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
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| native/qrdata_socsci/qrdata_socsci.398.e1.a1.json | 459 B | 95f58838de0c7d050bbe7352b7f07e9de968ef40ed9f5591d53c9ca66a00be15 |
| sources/qrdata.eval_py.json | 1,3 KB | d610b61f390d29ce767e08ce850eab5cb0dc4d13c1edb62d8cf3b0e49a3a291a |
| sources/qrdata.gold.398.json | 1,1 KB | c1d0d69e9457a6bc0fff879ab49bc44491fc629a4d07158701cabbc47f7d5640 |
| specs/qrdata_socsci.398.json | 4,6 KB | 7db62017594e2564c7ad7420229bddacc4da84dc8e3c64e9bdda5dd6a6ee709a |
| traces/qrdata_socsci.398.e1.a1.jsonl | 12,5 KB | ed724e05f8b2b1671d19d3e2ecbca67324920ac0e79b6ba9830fc469dc362274 |
| trajectories/qrdata_socsci.398.e1.a1.jsonl | 9,8 KB | a70d77c1f35ba9ae5f27822e4094c2fa05ed839a50464714a9710076a359bc0f |