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Tarefa crb_papers.q041

crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): did (OLS on the interaction of a group indicator and a period indicator (2x2 difference in differences))

Pergunta feita ao analista

By how much did the proportion of report text devoted to gender-equality topics increase in Italian company-years after the 2011 quota versus Greek company-years, using 2012 as the post period and 2010 as the baseline?

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post_ever = 0,01705. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

crb_papers.q041.gold

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 41 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
causal_queries.json['41'].effect and .standard_error
Trecho
index 41: effect 0.0170529, standard_error 0.0146217
Valor como publicado
0.017052902229742505
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.014621659250378366
Valor
0,01705290.017052902229742505 (se 0,01462170.014621659250378366)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json
Licença
MIT
  • #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,01705290.017052902229742505 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4621659250378366e-8
  • #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,01462170.014621659250378366 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4621659250378366e-8

crb_papers.q041.script

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 41
Tipo
software
Localização
solutions/research_papers/DiD/Latura_Weeks_2023/question_2/estimation.py
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1624 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
ac4044af35d6e66d03f806f74437558a2a0b43bbecfdc4a06eb79a34a8cc615b (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Latura_Weeks_2023/question_2/estimation.py
Licença
MIT

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    0.01705290223 in [-0.0116055499, 0.04571135436]?
    obrigatóriapassou[-0.011605549900999091,0.0457113543604841]0,01705290.01705290222974256interval · [-0.011605549900999091, 0.0457113543604841]—call_a8cfc47f
    2figura da resposta próxima
    0.01705290223 vs 0.017052902229742505
    registradapassou0,01705290.0170529022297425050,01705290.01705290222974256relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4621659250378366e-8crb_papers.q041.goldcall_a8cfc47f
    3figura da resposta próxima
    0.01462165925 vs 0.014621659250378366
    registradapassou0,01462170.0146216592503783660,01462170.014621659250378335relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4621659250378366e-8crb_papers.q041.goldcall_a8cfc47f

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script

    Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_a8cfc47f)igual
    Argumentos da referência e do agente
    ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
    cluster"companyid""companyid"igual
    controls["post","ever_treated","sustain","pct_rev_change"]["post","ever_treated","sustain","pct_rev_change"]igual
    dataset"ref_panel""ref_panel"igual
    fe—[]não fixado pela referência
    intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
    level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
    se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
    subset——não fixado pela referência
    weights——não fixado pela referência
    x["post_ever"]["post_ever"]igual
    y"prop_attn""prop_attn"igual

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      By how much did the proportion of report text devoted to gender-equality topics increase in Italian company-years after the 2011 quota versus Greek company-years, using 2012 as the post period and 2010 as the baseline?

      ds_0021 (agent)

      | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | year_f | Four-digit calendar year covered by the company report (e.g., 2007–2017). | | company | Numeric company identifier originating from external listings used to build the sampling frame (e.g., Orbis or stock exchange records). Stable within firm across years but not necessarily consecutive. | | quota | Policy-period indicator: equals 1 for Italian firm-years from 2011 onward (the year a national law regulating the gender composition of boards was enacted); equals 0 for Italian firm-years before 2011 and for all Greek firm-years in 2007–2017. Reflects the adoption date, not firm-specific compliance dates. | | sustain | Report type flag: 1 if the document is a sustainability/social responsibility report; 0 if it is an annual/financial report. When both report types existed for a firm-year, the sustainability report was retained. | | pct_rev_change | Year-over-year percentage change in the firm’s year-end revenue, computed as 100 × [(Revenue_t − Revenue_{t−1}) / Revenue_{t−1}]. May be missing where consecutive-year revenue figures were unavailable. | | prop_attn | Proportion of a report’s text devoted to gender-equality themes, measured as the share of tokens matching a curated dictionary (e.g., leadership representation, pay gaps, family-care policies, discrimination/harassment) divided by total tokens. Values range from 0 to 1. Texts were standardized to English (machine translation used when needed) before tokenization. | | companyid | Study-assigned numeric identifier for each company, providing a consistent panel unit across years (distinct from the source “company” code). | | year | Integer time index for analysis (1 = 2007, …, 11 = 2017), aligned to the study period and uniform across firms. | Dataset Context: This firm-year panel assembles corporate reporting from large publicly listed companies in Italy and Greece during 2007–2017, a period that spans a major corporate governance reform in Italy affecting the gender composition of boards (enacted in 2011 with a phased compliance schedule and sanctions). Greece did not introduce an equivalent requirement for private listed firms within this window. The two-country setting provides multiple years of corporate disclosures before and after the reform’s introduction in Italy. Sampling began with high-revenue listed firms on the Italian and Greek exchanges, identified through commercial listings. For each firm-year, publicly posted annual reports and sustainability/social responsibility reports were downloaded from company websites. When both report types were available, the sustainability report was retained because it typically includes more detail on workforce practices and social initiatives. This process yielded 962 reports for 96 firms (52 in Italy and 44 in Greece), with most companies observed repeatedly over the 11-year span. PDFs were converted to text and, where necessary, machine-translated to English to maintain a consistent analysis language. A dictionary-based approach quantified how much of each report focused on workplace gender-equality topics by counting dictionary token matches and dividing by the total number of tokens in the document. The dictionary was built from relevant policy and workplace terminology and includes terms related to leadership representation, pay equity, family-care and work–life balance provisions, and discrimination/harassment. Because report length and formatting vary, the measure is constructed as a proportion to facilitate comparisons across documents and years. Financial information extracted from reports or public filings was used to compute year-over-year revenue changes. Identifiers enable linkage across years: companyid provides a stable panel key, year is an internal time index, and year_f records the calendar year. Users should be aware that measurement can be influenced by factors such as document length, translation quality, and differences between annual and sustainability reporting formats; the sustain flag indicates report type to help account for such variation. Overall, the dataset offers a structured view of how major listed firms in two Southern European economies communicated about workplace gender-equality topics across a decade that included a salient corporate governance reform in one country.

      file e7a25901cae1d1a00a86567bbc1c285ed2ab23166c1bfdc4423b3134e05ea474 · frame —
      ref_ever (reference)
      file e7a25901cae1d1a00a86567bbc1c285ed2ab23166c1bfdc4423b3134e05ea474 · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year_f"]}
      2. rename {"map":{"year_f":"year"}}
      3. dropna {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year"]}
      4. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"quota","fn":"max","name":"ever_treated"}],"by":["companyid"]}
      ref_panel (reference)
      file e7a25901cae1d1a00a86567bbc1c285ed2ab23166c1bfdc4423b3134e05ea474 · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year_f"]}
      2. rename {"map":{"year_f":"year"}}
      3. dropna {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year"]}
      4. merge {"how":"inner","on":["companyid"],"with":"ref_ever"}
      5. filter {"query":"year in [2010, 2012]"}
      6. derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2012},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}
      7. derive {"args":{"columns":["ever_treated","post"]},"name":"post_ever","op":"interaction"}
    2. 1Transformação
      ref_ever · select {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year_f"]}
      962 → 962 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 7b70b12a64c7 → 75fb3c24a6a7
    3. 2Transformação
      ref_ever · rename {"map":{"year_f":"year"}}
      962 → 962 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 75fb3c24a6a7 → 0a7613513c61
    4. 3Transformação
      ref_ever · dropna {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year"]}
      962 → 761 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 0a7613513c61 → 0f8049ca2440
    5. 4Transformação
      ref_ever · collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"quota","fn":"max","name":"ever_treated"}],"by":["companyid"]}
      761 → 90 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 0f8049ca2440 → d7a807572b0e
    6. 5Transformação
      ref_panel · select {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year_f"]}
      962 → 962 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 7b70b12a64c7 → 75fb3c24a6a7
    7. 6Transformação
      ref_panel · rename {"map":{"year_f":"year"}}
      962 → 962 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 75fb3c24a6a7 → 0a7613513c61
    8. 7Transformação
      ref_panel · dropna {"columns":["quota","prop_attn","companyid","sustain","pct_rev_change","year"]}
      962 → 761 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 0a7613513c61 → 0f8049ca2440
    9. 8Transformação
      ref_panel · merge {"how":"inner","on":["companyid"],"with":"ref_ever"}
      761 → 761 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 0f8049ca2440 → a23521f6e054
    10. 9Transformação
      ref_panel · filter {"query":"year in [2010, 2012]"}
      761 → 161 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: a23521f6e054 → 328c6b5b4f9e
    11. 10Transformação
      ref_panel · derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2012},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}
      161 → 161 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 328c6b5b4f9e → 146dce1932f2
    12. 11Transformação
      ref_panel · derive {"args":{"columns":["ever_treated","post"]},"name":"post_ever","op":"interaction"}
      161 → 161 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 146dce1932f2 → f55f90288da8
    13. 12Turno do modelo
      call_fe3b7e44referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Texto visível

      smf.ols('prop_attn ~ post*ever_treated + sustain + pct_rev_change').fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=companyid) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)

      Chamadas pedidas
      • infer.ols
        {
          "cluster": "companyid",
          "controls": [
            "post",
            "ever_treated",
            "sustain",
            "pct_rev_change"
          ],
          "dataset": "ref_panel",
          "x": [
            "post_ever"
          ],
          "y": "prop_attn"
        }
    14. 13Ferramenta
      infer.olsv0.1.0call_a8cfc47fdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

      Motivo: smf.ols('prop_attn ~ post*ever_treated + sustain + pct_rev_change').fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=companyid) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)

      Argumentos
      {
        "cluster": "companyid",
        "controls": [
          "post",
          "ever_treated",
          "sustain",
          "pct_rev_change"
        ],
        "dataset": "ref_panel",
        "fe": [],
        "intercept": true,
        "level": 0.95,
        "se": "HC1",
        "subset": null,
        "weights": null,
        "x": [
          "post_ever"
        ],
        "y": "prop_attn"
      }
      Figuras call_a8cfc47f
      ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
      coef.post_ever
      Coefficient on post_ever in the regression of prop_attn
      0,0170529 0.017052902229742560,01462170.014621659250378335-0,012014 – 0,0461198
      Diagnósticos
      • n_obs = 161161
      • k = 66
      • r2 = 0,5799920.5799920068676372
      • df_resid = 155155
      • se_type = "cluster"
      • n_clusters = 8787
      Tabelas (1)
      {
        "coefficients": [
          {
            "ci_high": 0.018301987064108793,
            "ci_low": -0.008218679526343923,
            "coef": 0.005041653768882434,
            "p": 0.45182011648060005,
            "se": 0.00667040853445227,
            "t": 0.7558238364026113,
            "term": "Intercept"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.04611979880554084,
            "ci_low": -0.012013994346055719,
            "coef": 0.01705290222974256,
            "p": 0.2467266495239688,
            "se": 0.014621659250378335,
            "t": 1.1662768183645995,
            "term": "post_ever"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.03377554115845134,
            "ci_low": -0.015429614670867984,
            "coef": 0.009172963243791677,
            "p": 0.4605958445191094,
            "se": 0.012375951798327053,
            "t": 0.7411925477143223,
            "term": "post"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.011483312003752934,
            "ci_low": -0.024058792066082187,
            "coef": -0.006287740031164626,
            "p": 0.4837254979864579,
            "se": 0.008939456838734457,
            "t": -0.7033693595252898,
            "term": "ever_treated"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.1539349727249569,
            "ci_low": 0.09861657348061195,
            "coef": 0.12627577310278443,
            "p": 3.449885974401354e-14,
            "se": 0.013913538755641728,
            "t": 9.075748112720895,
            "term": "sustain"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.0000384507462216764,
            "ci_low": -0.000027159839778104283,
            "coef": 0.000005645453221786059,
            "p": 0.7331079926004844,
            "se": 0.00001650220258645018,
            "t": 0.34210301274700705,
            "term": "pct_rev_change"
          }
        ]
      }
      Digests dos dados
      ref_panel f55f90288da8f8cdd8aad8769df67f88793f8837aa56abb0870bfe09ba5c7506
      sha256 do resultado
      e76fc983b80ec0ada32f99646371fd97e262c0427b05b8659ff06f0b527eac91
    15. 14Turno do modelo
      call_637bac04referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post_ever = 0,01705. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": [
            "call_a8cfc47f:coef.post_ever"
          ]
        }
    16. 15Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      0,01705
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    17. 16Resposta

      Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.post_ever = 0,01705. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.

      Figuras citadas: call_a8cfc47f:coef.post_ever · Parada: answered
      Figura da resposta: call_a8cfc47f:coef.post_ever = 0,01705290.01705290222974256 (se 0,01462170.014621659250378335)
    18. 17Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    19. 18Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.01705290223 in [-0.0116055499, 0.04571135436]?
    20. 19Pontuação
      #2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.01705290223 vs 0.017052902229742505
    21. 20Pontuação
      #3figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.01462165925 vs 0.014621659250378366

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    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #0123
    Época 1passoupassoupassoupassou

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