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Tarefa crb_papers.q071

crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): iv (two-stage least squares)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Among registered Connecticut respondents who initially leaned toward a party but were unaffiliated, what is the causal effect of subsequently identifying with that party (i.e., post-survey self-reported party identification) on the alignment between their voting intentions and evaluations of parties and candidates (the Voting and Party Alignment index)? Report the local average treatment effect for the subgroup whose identification was changed by the study's intervention.

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.pt_id_with_lean = 3,823. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

crb_papers.q071.gold

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 71 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
causal_queries.json['71'].effect and .standard_error
Trecho
index 71: effect 3.82315, standard_error 2.57092
Valor como publicado
3.8231464882492836
Erro-padrão como publicado
2.5709218837878005
Valor
3,823153.8231464882492836 (se 2,570922.5709218837878005)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json
Licença
MIT
  • #2 figura da resposta próxima: 3,823153.8231464882492836 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000025709218837878005
  • #3 figura da resposta próxima: 2,570922.5709218837878005 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000025709218837878005

crb_papers.q071.script

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 71
Tipo
software
Localização
solutions/research_papers/IV/Gerber2010/question/estimation.py
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1429 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
4a5b82d7e36e3fb0cbfeb589049695e6e58c5ca4be6e801b01ce607c71935731 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/IV/Gerber2010/question/estimation.py
Licença
MIT

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    3.823146489 in [-1.215860404, 8.86215338]?
    obrigatóriapassou[-1.2158604039748053,8.862153380473373]3,823153.8231464888834554interval · [-1.2158604039748053, 8.862153380473373]—call_a97a5210
    2figura da resposta próxima
    3.823146489 vs 3.8231464882492836
    registradapassou3,823153.82314648824928363,823153.8231464888834554relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000025709218837878005crb_papers.q071.goldcall_a97a5210
    3figura da resposta próxima
    2.639231514 vs 2.5709218837878005
    registradafalhou2,570922.57092188378780052,639232.6392315144311067relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 0.0000025709218837878005crb_papers.q071.goldcall_a97a5210

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script

    Referência: infer.iv_2slsChamada do agente: infer.iv_2sls (call_a97a5210)igual
    Argumentos da referência e do agente
    ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
    cluster——não fixado pela referência
    dataset"ref_iv""ref_iv"igual
    endog["pt_id_with_lean"]["pt_id_with_lean"]igual
    exog["pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp"]["pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp"]igual
    instruments["treat"]["treat"]igual
    level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
    se"HC1""HC1"igual
    subset——não fixado pela referência
    y"pt_voteevalalignindex""pt_voteevalalignindex"igual

    Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_op:iv_se_hc0

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      Among registered Connecticut respondents who initially leaned toward a party but were unaffiliated, what is the causal effect of subsequently identifying with that party (i.e., post-survey self-reported party identification) on the alignment between their voting intentions and evaluations of parties and candidates (the Voting and Party Alignment index)? Report the local average treatment effect for the subgroup whose identification was changed by the study's intervention.

      ds_0041 (agent)

      | Variable Name | Description | |---------------|-------------| | twonames | Indicator from voter file for whether two registered people share the household name. | | strata | Sampling strata code used in the survey frame. | | treat | Randomly assigned mailing status: 1 if selected to be sent the January 22, 2008 nonpartisan letter explaining Connecticut's primary-registration rules, accompanied by a blank party-affiliation form; 0 if not sent this study mailing. This records mailing assignment, not confirmed reading or subsequent party identification. | | voted2006 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 2006. | | voted2004 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 2004. | | voted2002 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 2002. | | voted2000 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 2000. | | voted1998 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 1998. | | voted1996 | Voter-file indicator for whether the person voted in 1996. | | age | Respondent age in years at the time of survey. | | regyear | Year the person first registered to vote (from voter file). | | voted2008 | Administrative voter-file indicator of voting in the February 5, 2008 Connecticut presidential primary; unavailable for some respondents where town reporting was incomplete. | | pid7 | Baseline January 2008 party-identification scale: 1=strong Democrat, 2=weak Democrat, 3=independent leaning Democratic, 4=independent without a party lean, 5=independent leaning Republican, 6=weak Republican, 7=strong Republican. Only baseline values 3 and 5 appear in this extract. | | interest | Self‑reported interest in the election (survey item). | | votein2000 | Pre‑survey report of who the respondent voted for in the 2000 presidential race. | | vote2000bush | Indicator (pre‑survey) for reporting a vote for Bush in 2000. | | vote2000gore | Indicator (pre‑survey) for reporting a vote for Gore in 2000. | | econretro | Pre‑survey retrospective evaluation of the economy. | | unemployment | Pre‑survey view of unemployment / job market performance. | | bushapp | Pre‑survey approval rating for President Bush. | | congapp | Pre‑survey approval rating for Congress. | | pt_gotmail | Post‑survey indicator reporting whether the respondent received campaign mail. | | pt_gotphone | Post‑survey indicator reporting whether the respondent received campaign phone contact. | | pt_gotface | Post‑survey indicator reporting whether the respondent experienced face‑to‑face campaign contact. | | pt_gotmoney | Post‑survey indicator reporting whether the respondent received a fundraising request. | | pt_gotad | Post‑survey indicator reporting whether the respondent saw campaign advertising. | | pt_persuadeothers | Post‑survey report of attempts to persuade others about politics. | | pt_soughtinfo | Post‑survey report of seeking political information. | | pt_interest | Post‑survey reported interest in upcoming elections. | | pt_pid7 | June 2008 follow-up party-identification response, using the same 1–7 coding as pid7. | | pt_votein2000 | Post‑survey report of who the respondent said they voted for in 2000. | | pt_vote2000bush | Post‑survey indicator for reporting a vote for Bush in 2000. | | pt_vote2000gore | Post‑survey indicator for reporting a vote for Gore in 2000. | | pt_novvote | Post‑survey reported intended vote for the November election. | | pt_stayiniraq | Post‑survey attitude about whether to keep troops in Iraq. | | pt_taxrich | Post‑survey attitude about taxation of high‑income individuals. | | pt_evalreagan | Post‑survey evaluative rating of Ronald Reagan. | | pt_evalcarter | Post‑survey evaluative rating of Jimmy Carter. | | pt_evaldem | Post‑survey evaluative rating of the Democratic Party. | | pt_evalrep | Post‑survey evaluative rating of the Republican Party. | | pt_econretro | Post‑survey retrospective evaluation of the economy. | | pt_postunemployperf | Post‑survey perception of unemployment performance. | | pt_bushapp | Post‑survey approval rating for President Bush. | | pt_congapp | Post‑survey approval rating for Congress. | | pt_campaigndonation | Post‑survey indicator for whether the respondent donated to a campaign. | | pt_educ | Respondent education level as recorded in the postsurvey dataset. | | pt_black | Post‑survey indicator for self‑reported Black race. | | pt_hispanic | Post‑survey indicator for self‑reported Hispanic ethnicity. | | pt_church | Post‑survey measure related to church attendance or religiosity. | | pt_yob | Post‑survey year of birth field. | | pt_female | Post‑survey female indicator. | | townshowsnoturnoutinvoterfile | Town‑level flag indicating absence of turnout reporting in the voter file for certain towns. | | R_persondead | Administrative flag indicating the voter‑file record shows the person as deceased. | | R_movedpre | Administrative flag for a move detected prior to the study period. | | R_movedpost | Administrative flag for a move detected after the intervention period. | | R_badmailadddress | Administrative flag for a problematic mailing address. | | R_anybad | Any bad‑record flag summarizing address/person problems. | | R_STRATACOAFILTER | Administrative/sample filter flag used in constructing the analytic sample. | | SD_2 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_3 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_4 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_5 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_6 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_7 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_8 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SD_9 | Sample/design indicator (one of several strata/dummy indicators). | | SDA_1 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | SDA_2 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | SDA_3 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | SDA_5 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | SDA_6 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | SDA_7 | Auxiliary sample/design indicator used in weighting/stratification. | | stratactr | Numeric stratification or centering variable for sample design. | | altstrata | Alternative strata identifier used in some analyses. | | SI_2 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_3 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_4 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_5 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_6 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_7 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_8 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | SI_9 | Additional sample/indicator variable (survey instrumentation or strata). | | STI_1 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_2 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_3 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_4 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_5 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_6 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_7 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_8 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | STI_9 | Set of indicator variables used for survey/strata adjustments (STI series). | | post_unif | Post‑survey indicator related to unaffiliated registration status. | | post_affil | Post‑survey indicator for any party affiliation in administrative records. | | post_dem | Post‑survey indicator for Democratic registration in administrative records. | | post_rep | Post‑survey indicator for Republican registration in administrative records. | | post_DUR | Administrative/post variable capturing duration or timing of post‑registration changes. | | vffemale | Gender as recorded in the voter file (female indicator). | | vfgendermissing | Flag for missing gender in the voter file. | | age2 | Age squared (for use in models). | | twophones | Indicator for whether two phone numbers were associated with the record. | | regyearmissing | Indicator that the registration‑year field was missing. | | combined_female | Combined female indicator (harmonized across survey/voter file). | | pre_direct_bushap | Pre‑survey direct question on approval of President Bush. | | pt_direct_bushap | Post‑survey direct question on approval of President Bush. | | pre_direct_congapp | Pre‑survey direct question on approval of Congress. | | pt_direct_congapp | Post‑survey direct question on approval of Congress. | | pt_direct_bin_novvote | Post‑survey binary indicator of intended November vote (binary encoding). | | pre_aligned_vh | Pre‑survey measure of alignment between partisan leanings and vote/party views (baseline index). | | post_aligned_vh | Post‑survey measure of alignment between partisan leanings and vote/party views (follow‑up index). | | pre_direct_econ | Pre‑survey direct evaluation of the economy. | | pre_direct_unemp | Pre‑survey direct evaluation of unemployment. | | post_direct_econ | Post‑survey direct evaluation of the economy. | | post_direct_unemp | Post‑survey direct evaluation of unemployment. | | post_aligned_iraq | Post‑survey alignment index for Iraq policy position relative to partisan leaning. | | post_aligned_taxrich | Post‑survey alignment index for taxation policy relative to partisan leaning. | | post_aligned_reagan | Post‑survey alignment index for Reagan evaluation relative to partisan leaning. | | post_aligned_carter | Post‑survey alignment index for Carter evaluation relative to partisan leaning. | | post_aligned_rep | Post‑survey alignment index for Republican party evaluations. | | post_aligned_dem | Post‑survey alignment index for Democratic party evaluations. | | pre_lean_dem | Baseline leaning indicator: 1 for Democratic leaners (pid7=3), 0 for Republican leaners (pid7=5) in this extract. | | pt_voteevalalignindex | Additive follow-up alignment score combining reported 2000 presidential vote choice, intended November 2008 vote, and evaluations of the Democratic and Republican parties, oriented toward the respondent's baseline party lean. Larger values indicate greater alignment; this is an index score, not a probability. | | abspid7 | Absolute value or intensity measure derived from the seven‑point party identification scale. | | pt_id_with_lean | Follow-up self-identification with the party leaned toward at baseline: 1 for a baseline Democratic leaner reporting weak or strong Democratic identification in June, or a baseline Republican leaner reporting weak or strong Republican identification; 0 otherwise. This is a survey measure, distinct from administrative party registration. | | pt_direct_pid7 | Post‑survey direct 7‑point party identification item. | | post_reg_lean | Post‑registration indicator of party lean in administrative records. | | pt_voteevalalignindexwithcb | Variant of the vote/evaluation alignment index that includes additional control adjustments. | | pt_voteevalalignindexwitcbhist | Historical/alternative variant of the vote/evaluation alignment index. | | pt_policyevalalignindex | Composite index measuring alignment between policy positions and partisan leanings (post‑survey). | Data Description: This person-level extract links telephone interviews with Connecticut administrative voter-file records around the 2008 presidential primary. The sampling frame consisted of registered voters who were not formally affiliated with a party. The study targeted ages 18–49 and recent voters, with an additional eligibility route for younger recent registrants, and screened contact records for telephone and mailing availability. The baseline survey was conducted January 11–16, 2008. This released analytic extract contains 411 respondents who initially described themselves as independents leaning toward either the Democratic or Republican Party: 265 Democratic leaners and 146 Republican leaners. A randomly selected half of the experimental participants were sent a nonpartisan letter on January 22, 2008, with a blank party-affiliation form. The letter explained that participation in a party's February 5 presidential primary required registration with that party. The remaining participants were not sent this study mailing. Mailing assignment is recorded by treat; becoming a party identifier or changing administrative registration was not itself assigned. A follow-up telephone survey in June 2008 measured party identification, intended November voting, recalled earlier voting, party evaluations, policy attitudes, and campaign contacts. A voter-file update supplied registration changes and primary turnout. The file therefore distinguishes mailing assignment, subsequent self-reported party identity, administrative party registration, and follow-up political attitudes. Respondents were not all reinterviewed in the original study; the released analytic subset should not be interpreted as the entire originally sampled population.

      file 567d4130760d86a5a30d59ec7df9f8ca003ac24411fdeb6ae3e2c1f1538868ac · frame —
      ref_iv (reference)
      file 567d4130760d86a5a30d59ec7df9f8ca003ac24411fdeb6ae3e2c1f1538868ac · frame —
      1. filter {"query":"R_STRATACOAFILTER == 0 and pid7 in [3, 5]"}
      2. dropna {"columns":["pt_voteevalalignindex","pt_id_with_lean","treat","pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp","R_STRATACOAFILTER","pid7"]}
      3. select {"columns":["pt_voteevalalignindex","pt_id_with_lean","treat","pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp"]}
    2. 1Transformação
      ref_iv · filter {"query":"R_STRATACOAFILTER == 0 and pid7 in [3, 5]"}
      411 → 411 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 3106b50bfe61 → 3106b50bfe61
    3. 2Transformação
      ref_iv · dropna {"columns":["pt_voteevalalignindex","pt_id_with_lean","treat","pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp","R_STRATACOAFILTER","pid7"]}
      411 → 411 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 3106b50bfe61 → 3106b50bfe61
    4. 3Transformação
      ref_iv · select {"columns":["pt_voteevalalignindex","pt_id_with_lean","treat","pre_lean_dem","age","age2","regyear","regyearmissing","twonames","combined_female","voted2006","voted2004","voted2002","voted2000","voted1998","voted1996","interest","pre_aligned_vh","pre_direct_unemp","pre_direct_econ","pre_direct_bushap","pre_direct_congapp"]}
      411 → 411 linhas
      Frame antes → depois: 3106b50bfe61 → f2e0e4afeccd
    5. 4Turno do modelo
      call_4c4313ffreferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Texto visível

      2SLS by matrices: X = [1, D, controls], Z = [1, treat, controls]

      Chamadas pedidas
      • infer.iv_2sls
        {
          "dataset": "ref_iv",
          "endog": [
            "pt_id_with_lean"
          ],
          "exog": [
            "pre_lean_dem",
            "age",
            "age2",
            "regyear",
            "regyearmissing",
            "twonames",
            "combined_female",
            "voted2006",
            "voted2004",
            "voted2002",
            "voted2000",
            "voted1998",
            "voted1996",
            "interest",
            "pre_aligned_vh",
            "pre_direct_unemp",
            "pre_direct_econ",
            "pre_direct_bushap",
            "pre_direct_congapp"
          ],
          "instruments": [
            "treat"
          ],
          "se": "HC1",
          "y": "pt_voteevalalignindex"
        }
    6. 5Ferramenta
      infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_a97a5210decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

      Motivo: 2SLS by matrices: X = [1, D, controls], Z = [1, treat, controls]

      Argumentos
      {
        "cluster": null,
        "dataset": "ref_iv",
        "endog": [
          "pt_id_with_lean"
        ],
        "exog": [
          "pre_lean_dem",
          "age",
          "age2",
          "regyear",
          "regyearmissing",
          "twonames",
          "combined_female",
          "voted2006",
          "voted2004",
          "voted2002",
          "voted2000",
          "voted1998",
          "voted1996",
          "interest",
          "pre_aligned_vh",
          "pre_direct_unemp",
          "pre_direct_econ",
          "pre_direct_bushap",
          "pre_direct_congapp"
        ],
        "instruments": [
          "treat"
        ],
        "level": 0.95,
        "se": "HC1",
        "subset": null,
        "y": "pt_voteevalalignindex"
      }
      Figuras call_a97a5210
      ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
      coef.pt_id_with_lean
      2SLS effect of pt_id_with_lean on pt_voteevalalignindex
      3,82315 3.82314648888345542,639232.6392315144311067-1,36576 – 9,01205
      Diagnósticos
      • first_stage_F.pt_id_with_lean = 3,156343.1563449613669112
      • partial_r2.pt_id_with_lean = 0,007614890.007614892195867418
      • weak_instrument = true
      • n_obs = 411411
      • se_type = "HC1"
      • n_clusters = —
      Tabelas (3)
      {
        "coefficients": [
          {
            "ci_high": 164.32257222469147,
            "ci_low": -75.85857094040216,
            "coef": 44.23200064214465,
            "p": 0.4694107987577169,
            "se": 61.08167906255339,
            "t": 0.7241451335489143,
            "term": "Intercept"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.5325343412056964,
            "ci_low": -1.151533161238759,
            "coef": -0.30949941001653125,
            "p": 0.47032778951116105,
            "se": 0.42828370848947606,
            "t": -0.722650439140242,
            "term": "pre_lean_dem"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.15630853797447117,
            "ci_low": -0.2294446203631708,
            "coef": -0.0365680411943498,
            "p": 0.7095354182067729,
            "se": 0.09810283315518252,
            "t": -0.37275214199476975,
            "term": "age"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.0031700472928266024,
            "ci_low": -0.0021364259604231806,
            "coef": 0.000516810666201711,
            "p": 0.701958053651638,
            "se": 0.001349516002537428,
            "t": 0.3829600132417678,
            "term": "age2"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.03837274613122248,
            "ci_low": -0.08149857753341741,
            "coef": -0.02156291570109747,
            "p": 0.479785840853738,
            "se": 0.03048508148641004,
            "t": -0.7073268185525439,
            "term": "regyear"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 1.5256287859417483,
            "ci_low": -0.8315086567775647,
            "coef": 0.3470600645820918,
            "p": 0.5629511788387676,
            "se": 0.5994555229656086,
            "t": 0.5789588239426448,
            "term": "regyearmissing"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": -0.058885591818673144,
            "ci_low": -1.194972682804524,
            "coef": -0.6269291373115985,
            "p": 0.030619429507920796,
            "se": 0.288924043595746,
            "t": -2.169875270708793,
            "term": "twonames"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.7186055100469773,
            "ci_low": -0.14902578096455993,
            "coef": 0.2847898645412087,
            "p": 0.19758063017549812,
            "se": 0.2206516938166432,
            "t": 1.2906760859849231,
            "term": "combined_female"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 1.0967816160471566,
            "ci_low": -0.24203972569782445,
            "coef": 0.42737094517466606,
            "p": 0.21016049436604836,
            "se": 0.3404824144015027,
            "t": 1.2551924184568986,
            "term": "voted2006"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.5130144729306391,
            "ci_low": -1.0548516797512475,
            "coef": -0.27091860341030427,
            "p": 0.4972555541394452,
            "se": 0.39873195659380817,
            "t": -0.6794504401519327,
            "term": "voted2004"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.50177135200948,
            "ci_low": -0.6881166920644834,
            "coef": -0.09317267002750172,
            "p": 0.758322423393208,
            "se": 0.30260643558739675,
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            "ci_high": 0.6459479781966863,
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            "p": 0.8917824228869066,
            "se": 0.3072718825735299,
            "t": 0.13613800987871003,
            "term": "voted2000"
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          {
            "ci_high": 0.4524404362121056,
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            "coef": -0.24923197817733403,
            "p": 0.48538038100014264,
            "se": 0.35689170813316057,
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            "term": "voted1998"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 1.177887534939067,
            "ci_low": -0.714693423012819,
            "coef": 0.23159705596312394,
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          },
          {
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            "coef": 0.05320317737320416,
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            "t": 0.25832641181501026,
            "term": "interest"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 1.3425549213185928,
            "ci_low": 0.36886952502215,
            "coef": 0.8557122231703713,
            "p": 0.0006091847189968152,
            "se": 0.2476228487412664,
            "t": 3.4557078537791925,
            "term": "pre_aligned_vh"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.35394644213045623,
            "ci_low": -0.11351301191824761,
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          {
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            "t": 2.1260731652890708,
            "term": "pre_direct_econ"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.5976161481041684,
            "ci_low": 0.017311165216446656,
            "coef": 0.30746365666030756,
            "p": 0.03786868322238874,
            "se": 0.14758028984308647,
            "t": 2.0833653124493505,
            "term": "pre_direct_bushap"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 0.2959153206435474,
            "ci_low": -0.10055575229342695,
            "coef": 0.09767978417506024,
            "p": 0.33325985830170707,
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            "t": 0.9687709916031577,
            "term": "pre_direct_congapp"
          },
          {
            "ci_high": 9.012048070683766,
            "ci_low": -1.365755092916856,
            "coef": 3.8231464888834554,
            "p": 0.14825751025929962,
            "se": 2.6392315144311067,
            "t": 1.4485832212819514,
            "term": "pt_id_with_lean"
          }
        ],
        "first_stage": [
          {
            "ci_high": 0.15109896267655296,
            "ci_low": -0.007648651829425368,
            "coef": 0.0717251554235638,
            "endog": "pt_id_with_lean",
            "instrument": "treat",
            "p": 0.07641179648820813,
            "se": 0.040371907275563966,
            "t": 1.7766105260768077
          }
        ],
        "reduced_form": [
          {
            "ci_high": 0.5552551969540667,
            "ci_low": -0.006823644709630428,
            "coef": 0.2742157761222181,
            "instrument": "treat",
            "p": 0.055799091992200935,
            "se": 0.14294510785450953,
            "t": 1.918329212086899
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        ]
      }
      Digests dos dados
      ref_iv f2e0e4afeccdce756884c94c9302a5eeaee61fd2b05b8acb8f3e23784bcc5635
      sha256 do resultado
      1f7e5f2aec9a5edb3281c59b5046b0cc3abac53ebabdb0c13d2771cc77ad20cc
    7. 6Turno do modelo
      call_6231c36creferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.pt_id_with_lean = 3,823. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": [
            "call_a97a5210:coef.pt_id_with_lean"
          ]
        }
    8. 7Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      3,823
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    9. 8Resposta

      Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.pt_id_with_lean = 3,823. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.

      Figuras citadas: call_a97a5210:coef.pt_id_with_lean · Parada: answered
      Figura da resposta: call_a97a5210:coef.pt_id_with_lean = 3,823153.8231464888834554 (se 2,639232.6392315144311067)
    10. 9Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    11. 10Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória3.823146489 in [-1.215860404, 8.86215338]?
    12. 11Pontuação
      #2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada3.823146489 vs 3.8231464882492836
    13. 12Pontuação
      #3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada2.639231514 vs 2.5709218837878005

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