Tarefa crb_papers.q006
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1Veredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
How much did logged municipal property tax (IPTU) revenue change after municipalities that updated the cadastre in 2013, relative to municipalities that had not yet updated by 2013?
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q006.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 6 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['6'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 6: effect 0.0686574, standard_error 0.09471
- Valor como publicado
0.06865741478880348- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0947100376846976- Valor
- 0,0686574
0.06865741478880348(se 0,094710.0947100376846976) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0686574
0.06865741478880348· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.47100376846976e-8 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,09471
0.0947100376846976· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.47100376846976e-8
crb_papers.q006.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 6
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/DiD/Christensen_Garfias_2021/question_2/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 2428 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
7a91bbf2124d0beae97c4d9419bf0bbb85d99558ec57baf8f16e74549b9082f2(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Christensen_Garfias_2021/question_2/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | [-0.11697425907320382,0.2542890886508108] | — | interval · [-0.11697425907320382, 0.2542890886508108] | — | — |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,06865740.06865741478880348 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.47100376846976e-8 | crb_papers.q006.gold | — |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,094710.0947100376846976 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.47100376846976e-8 | crb_papers.q006.gold | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
How much did logged municipal property tax (IPTU) revenue change after municipalities that updated the cadastre in 2013, relative to municipalities that had not yet updated by 2013?
ds_0003(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | c6_ibge | Six-digit IBGE municipality identifier used in Brazilian statistical and administrative systems to uniquely identify each locality. | | codigouf | Numeric code of the state (Unidade da Federação) in which the municipality is located. | | year | Calendar year of observation (primarily 2004–2015). | | term | Start year of the mayoral electoral term associated with the record when available (four-year cycles in Brazil). | | cad_update | Indicator equal to 1 in and after years when the municipality reports having completed a comprehensive cadastre (land-parcel register) update; 0 otherwise. | | planta_update | Indicator equal to 1 in years when the municipality reports revising the generic land valuation schedule (Planta Genérica de Valores) used to assess property values for taxation; 0 otherwise. | | iptu_law_update | Indicator equal to 1 in years when the municipality reports reforming or updating its local property tax (IPTU) law or regulations; 0 otherwise. | | logiptu | Natural log of annual IPTU (urban property tax) revenue collected by the municipality, in Brazilian reais (R$). | | logissqn | Natural log of annual ISSQN (services tax) revenue collected by the municipality, in Brazilian reais (R$). | | Llogtransfers | One-year lag of the natural log of total intergovernmental transfers received by the municipality (federal and state transfers), in Brazilian reais (R$). | | pre_2004_cad_update_yr | Year of the last comprehensive municipal cadastre update reported prior to 2004. | | t | Integer index for years relative to the last pre-2004 cadastre update (e.g., 0 in the update year, positive thereafter, negative before). | | switchcadaster | Binary flag tied to cadastre timing that marks the reference update year used to construct relative-year indicators. | | F3switchcadaster | Indicator equal to 1 three years before the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | F2switchcadaster | Indicator equal to 1 two years before the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | Lswitchcadaster | Indicator equal to 1 one year after the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | L2switchcadaster | Indicator equal to 1 two years after the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | L3cad_update | Indicator equal to 1 three years after the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | F4cad_update | Indicator equal to 1 four years before the referenced cadastre update; 0 otherwise. | | anyswitch_period | Municipality-level flag equal to 1 for places that experience a change in cadastre-update status within the analysis window; 0 for those that remain in the same status throughout. | | loggdppc | Natural log of municipal GDP per capita, in Brazilian reais (R$), based on national accounts statistics. | | logdespobras | Natural log of annual municipal expenditures on public works (obras), in Brazilian reais (R$). | | id_c6_electoral_term | Concatenated identifier for municipality-by-electoral-term (c6_ibge + term start year), allowing records to be grouped by mayoral administration. | | yr_adm | Year index within the current mayoral administration (typically 1–4), counting elapsed years since the start of the term; resets at the beginning of a new administration. | Dataset Context: This municipality–year panel brings together administrative and survey-based information to follow local public finance and land administration practices across Brazil during the mid-2000s to mid-2010s. Fiscal data on locally collected taxes and expenditures are drawn from Brazil’s Treasury systems—FINBRA for earlier years and SICONFI for later years—harmonized to annual totals and recorded in Brazilian reais. These sources capture the main municipal own-revenue streams, notably the urban property tax (IPTU) and the services tax (ISSQN), as well as the flows of intergovernmental transfers from federal and state governments. Continuous variables appearing in logarithms are natural logs of annual amounts. Information on land administration comes from IBGE’s Pesquisa de Informações Básicas Municipais (MUNIC), an institutional survey fielded to all municipalities. MUNIC asks local governments about the status and timing of their real estate cadastre—an official register of parcels, ownership, and fiscal valuation—and related legal or administrative changes. The dataset records whether and when municipalities report: conducting a comprehensive cadastre update; revising the generic valuation schedule (Planta Genérica de Valores) used to appraise taxable values; and reforming local property tax rules. Because the cadastre underpins assessment and billing for the IPTU, these administrative markers help track when municipalities refresh the underlying property records and valuation parameters. Socioeconomic indicators such as GDP per capita are taken from IBGE national accounts and municipal statistics, allowing fiscal figures to be interpreted in light of local economic conditions. Additional budget aggregates, like spending on public works, come from the same Treasury systems as revenue data, providing a view of how local governments allocate resources. The panel further includes identifiers that align fiscal and administrative observations with mayoral terms. Brazil’s municipalities elect mayors to four-year administrations; the dataset includes a composite municipality-by-term key and an index of years elapsed within each administration to facilitate analyses organized by political cycles. Finally, a small set of variables encodes the calendar position of observations relative to reported cadastre updates (e.g., indicators for specific years before or after an update). These timing markers are constructed from MUNIC responses on the last update year and allow users to describe patterns around the moments when registers are overhauled. Overall, the dataset enables longitudinal tracking of land administration practices, revenue collection, and budgetary activity across thousands of municipalities under a common institutional framework.
file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —ref_f0(reference)file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —select{"columns":["c6_ibge","year","cad_update","logiptu"]}derive{"args":{"column":"cad_update","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":0,"target":0},{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"cad_update","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["logiptu"]}filter{"query":"cad_update == 0"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"f0"}],"by":["c6_ibge"]}
ref_f1(reference)file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —select{"columns":["c6_ibge","year","cad_update","logiptu"]}derive{"args":{"column":"cad_update","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":0,"target":0},{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"cad_update","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["logiptu"]}filter{"query":"cad_update == 1"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"f1"}],"by":["c6_ibge"]}
ref_panel(reference)file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —select{"columns":["c6_ibge","year","cad_update","logiptu"]}derive{"args":{"column":"cad_update","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":0,"target":0},{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"cad_update","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["logiptu"]}filter{"query":"year in [2012, 2014]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"cad_update","fn":"max","name":"cad_update"},{"column":"logiptu","fn":"mean","name":"logiptu"}],"by":["c6_ibge","year"]}merge{"how":"left","on":["c6_ibge"],"with":"ref_f1"}merge{"how":"left","on":["c6_ibge"],"with":"ref_f0"}merge{"how":"left","on":["c6_ibge"],"with":"ref_wpre"}merge{"how":"left","on":["c6_ibge"],"with":"ref_wpost"}filter{"query":"(f1 == 2013 and f0 < f1 and w2012 == 0 and w2014 == 1) or ((f1 != f1 or f0 != f0 or f0 > f1 or f1 > 2014) and w2012 == 0 and w2014 == 0)"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"w2014","value":1},"name":"G","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2014},"name":"Post","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"columns":["G","Post"]},"name":"DiD","op":"interaction"}
ref_wpost(reference)file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —select{"columns":["c6_ibge","year","cad_update","logiptu"]}derive{"args":{"column":"cad_update","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":0,"target":0},{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"cad_update","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["logiptu"]}filter{"query":"year == 2014"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"cad_update","fn":"max","name":"w2014"}],"by":["c6_ibge"]}
ref_wpre(reference)file782907b47602fe74cee05183b860ba35e3892024f5ffcd11841e2e4b706fa49e· frame —select{"columns":["c6_ibge","year","cad_update","logiptu"]}derive{"args":{"column":"cad_update","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":0,"target":0},{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"cad_update","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["logiptu"]}filter{"query":"year == 2012"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"cad_update","fn":"max","name":"w2012"}],"by":["c6_ibge"]}
- 1Turno do modelo
call_0d97aac2rules-1Fim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 6Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 7Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou | falhou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
2a9fb264b2b80f44574a1b536e09b80db247e9470625e0251529d5a5a2c1c5c0O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/39f90f06de88aef5f6abc486c70c1888cbe2afff052be8d2d96cbb0aae948b06.json | 206 B | 39f90f06de88aef5f6abc486c70c1888cbe2afff052be8d2d96cbb0aae948b06 |
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/8d32808e89f6f38fc059d9f2e257e74c549e57300c0885d9a2659aa612a3096e.json | 7,0 KB | 8d32808e89f6f38fc059d9f2e257e74c549e57300c0885d9a2659aa612a3096e |
| native/crb_papers/crb_papers.q006.e1.a1.json | 2,7 KB | 5a06423b240bc4142e5a4697f00f85bb7547789df959c7d6db134d3abc358200 |
| sources/crb_papers.q006.gold.json | 1,1 KB | 3e13acdcceeb84eaa86e3d8f54f657cdfc7b4e5bac516a6b1b1ab9ffac035a4a |
| sources/crb_papers.q006.script.json | 1,1 KB | 3504dc4fcc3ff9d3484737d2a287ea2dbb212d394d23e490fe55f1896d7b9029 |
| specs/crb_papers.q006.json | 19,1 KB | f8a3a1463b9cc50e44e42e1de03d7a365fa02ecfaac5ee31dc5c8a4ef8659299 |
| traces/crb_papers.q006.e1.a1.jsonl | 12,6 KB | 71fb8a120ca0427248bc8897d0567c6fcac2ab72f65a61afe8db34b64ff10b64 |
| trajectories/crb_papers.q006.e1.a1.jsonl | 14,6 KB | b5c40988004dc0c0c91c14f2a09d73a3e5dcfb9de92c1ba4aad18aa3e5fefd99 |