Tarefa crb_papers.q013
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1Veredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
From 2010 to 2011, how did factories that became compliant (per the sourcing agent's annual compliance indicator) change in logged annual order value (natural log of estimated annual order value in constant 2012 USD) relative to factories that remained noncompliant over the same period?
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q013.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 13 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['13'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 13: effect 0.231642, standard_error 0.117828
- Valor como publicado
0.231641758856158- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.11782750089182911- Valor
- 0,231642
0.231641758856158(se 0,1178280.11782750089182911) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,231642
0.231641758856158· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.178275008918291e-7 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,117828
0.11782750089182911· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.178275008918291e-7
crb_papers.q013.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 13
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/DiD/Distelhorst_Locke_2018/question_2/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1729 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
b59be2d85f2b87a13a58e383a22b9d3827db5f2721f473b3a1882bcf6b50b2bf(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Distelhorst_Locke_2018/question_2/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | [0.000699857108172941,0.4625836606041431] | — | interval · [0.000699857108172941, 0.4625836606041431] | — | — |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,2316420.231641758856158 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.178275008918291e-7 | crb_papers.q013.gold | — |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,1178280.11782750089182911 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.178275008918291e-7 | crb_papers.q013.gold | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
From 2010 to 2011, how did factories that became compliant (per the sourcing agent's annual compliance indicator) change in logged annual order value (natural log of estimated annual order value in constant 2012 USD) relative to factories that remained noncompliant over the same period?
ds_0007(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | (index) | Sequential row number from the CSV export; has no substantive meaning. | | fcode | Anonymous manufacturing establishment identifier. Stable across years within this file but masked to prevent reidentification or linkage to external sources. | | year | Calendar year of record (2009–2012). Reflects the period over which audits, orders, and operational performance were summarized. | | compyr | Annual indicator for whether the establishment was deemed compliant with the sourcing agent’s code of conduct in that year (1 = compliant, 0 = not compliant). Compliance is determined from social and environmental audits; values may be missing in years without an audit. | | gradeyr | Audit grade for the year mapped to a numeric scale (A = 3, B = 2, C = 1, D = 0). Grades summarize findings from factory audits that assess labor, health and safety, environmental, and legal practices. May be blank in years without an audit. | | lestspend_dall | Natural log of the estimated total value of customer orders routed through the sourcing agent to the factory in that calendar year, expressed in thousands of constant 2012 USD. Underlying nominal values were originally reported in annual bins; midpoints were used and deflated to 2012 dollars before logging. | | inspyr | Share of quality inspections passed during the year (0–1), calculated from the agent’s inspection records for orders it handled at the factory. Represents the fraction of checks that met specified quality criteria. | | ontimeyr | On-time delivery rate during the year (0–1), computed from order-tracking data for shipments coordinated by the agent, where “on time” indicates delivery on or before the scheduled date. | | factoryobs_perf | Count of underlying observations used to compute the year’s performance rates (e.g., number of inspections or orders contributing to inspyr and ontimeyr). Larger values imply more stable rate estimates. | | factorytt | Panel time index for convenience in longitudinal analyses (1 = 2009, 2 = 2010, 3 = 2011, 4 = 2012). | Dataset Context: This panel assembles administrative records from a multinational sourcing intermediary that connects buyers—primarily retailers and brand owners in advanced economies—with manufacturing suppliers across 36 countries. The intermediary maintains a supply-chain responsibility program with a written code of conduct covering labor conditions, environmental practices, health and safety, and compliance with local law. Factories are periodically audited by trained assessors, typically during one- to two-day site visits that review documents, conduct walkthroughs, and interview personnel. Audits produce letter grades (A–D), with the intermediary treating A/B as meeting its standard and C/D as not meeting it. For each calendar year, the data retain a factory’s grade and a binary indicator derived from these audits; some factories are visited multiple times in a year, while others may go a year without a recorded audit. The same intermediary aggregates commercial activity by factory and year from its order-management systems. Because customers provided annual purchasing in value bands, the dataset converts those bands to midpoints, deflates them to constant 2012 U.S. dollars using import price indices for consumer goods, and applies a natural log transformation. Operational performance metrics—on-time delivery and quality inspection pass rates—are calculated from order- and shipment-level tracking for business transacted through the agent; these rates are only observed in years when the intermediary coordinated orders at the factory, and their precision varies with the number of underlying events. Coverage spans 2009–2012 and a mix of product categories with a substantial share of apparel. Factory identities and any corporate names were anonymized under a data access agreement. Users should note common features of this type of administrative data: audit results reflect conditions at the time of inspection rather than continuous monitoring; performance rates pertain to the subset of a factory’s portfolio handled by the intermediary; and annual purchasing values are estimates derived from reported bins rather than exact ledgers. Despite these limits, the dataset offers rare, harmonized, multi-country visibility into auditing outcomes, order flows, and supplier performance within global manufacturing supply chains during the early 2010s.
file4bfe0955b959c2258c32c26060e79131a2397e9c8d2e7a2fb405e9d3d14ebb4e· frame —ref_panel(reference)file4bfe0955b959c2258c32c26060e79131a2397e9c8d2e7a2fb405e9d3d14ebb4e· frame —select{"columns":["fcode","year","compyr","lestspend_dall"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"compyr","value":0},"name":"compyr","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"compyr","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"compyr","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["fcode","year","lestspend_dall"]}filter{"query":"year in [2010, 2011]"}merge{"how":"left","on":["fcode"],"with":"ref_years"}merge{"how":"left","on":["fcode"],"with":"ref_wpre"}merge{"how":"left","on":["fcode"],"with":"ref_wpost"}filter{"query":"nyears == 2 and w2010 == 0 and (w2011 == 1 or w2011 == 0)"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"w2011","value":1},"name":"treat","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2011},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"columns":["treat","post"]},"name":"treat_post","op":"interaction"}
ref_wpost(reference)file4bfe0955b959c2258c32c26060e79131a2397e9c8d2e7a2fb405e9d3d14ebb4e· frame —select{"columns":["fcode","year","compyr","lestspend_dall"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"compyr","value":0},"name":"compyr","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"compyr","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"compyr","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["fcode","year","lestspend_dall"]}filter{"query":"year == 2011"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"compyr","fn":"max","name":"w2011"}],"by":["fcode"]}
ref_wpre(reference)file4bfe0955b959c2258c32c26060e79131a2397e9c8d2e7a2fb405e9d3d14ebb4e· frame —select{"columns":["fcode","year","compyr","lestspend_dall"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"compyr","value":0},"name":"compyr","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"compyr","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"compyr","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["fcode","year","lestspend_dall"]}filter{"query":"year == 2010"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"compyr","fn":"max","name":"w2010"}],"by":["fcode"]}
ref_years(reference)file4bfe0955b959c2258c32c26060e79131a2397e9c8d2e7a2fb405e9d3d14ebb4e· frame —select{"columns":["fcode","year","compyr","lestspend_dall"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"compyr","value":0},"name":"compyr","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"compyr","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"compyr","op":"map"}dropna{"columns":["fcode","year","lestspend_dall"]}filter{"query":"year in [2010, 2011]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"lestspend_dall","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["fcode","year"]}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"n","fn":"count","name":"nyears"}],"by":["fcode"]}
- 1Turno do modelo
call_44d0ba44rules-1Fim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 6Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 7Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou | falhou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
b88e724984317232b0fbbd978092154417e3ac15f2a9ee286492236023bfcde8O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/574e2c6c98bd8974af12a403c83b5d599695b9e6d35a7d9230c96dd1b2651ac7.json | 312 B | 574e2c6c98bd8974af12a403c83b5d599695b9e6d35a7d9230c96dd1b2651ac7 |
| attachments/fb5d61b9e5992a0d87c1d3a971cde751775d284a2b1297acbbfbadc4cec5044a.json | 4,9 KB | fb5d61b9e5992a0d87c1d3a971cde751775d284a2b1297acbbfbadc4cec5044a |
| native/crb_papers/crb_papers.q013.e1.a1.json | 2,7 KB | 1479ea792639a668e57eba360b4fd04c8bdf1eb5c42d417686862088bb5b5d4e |
| sources/crb_papers.q013.gold.json | 1,1 KB | e183eac6bf1cb3ff0b1e05de07b3653921ef6b17b8660a41d7b9f72f6ab4c9b8 |
| sources/crb_papers.q013.script.json | 1,1 KB | 157be95e1638ef5e6e6b5588c22f98180aebbd7fed9ddd249882c3ea914c0375 |
| specs/crb_papers.q013.json | 17,3 KB | 99e3cc74617519edf15e247f4dc828ffe3656a41750c0abd9be7666a380e3c09 |
| traces/crb_papers.q013.e1.a1.jsonl | 10,6 KB | 08e8df319f7e986441c24cdc1a74ccabfb58ca91e511571c68ce7fad402e5cb7 |
| trajectories/crb_papers.q013.e1.a1.jsonl | 12,7 KB | 95c5537d6d8f3e7ca5c9c96f3e31a072f7e0fc08ca6b32b1ff378c3698befc43 |