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Tarefa crb_papers.q037

crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, nenhuma estimativa citada.
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Pergunta feita ao analista

Did designation as fully exempt from short-sale price restrictions alter the probability that firms reported any federal lobbying activity between 2002 and 2006?

Resposta

Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

crb_papers.q037.gold

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 37 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
causal_queries.json['37'].effect and .standard_error
Trecho
index 37: effect 0.031416, standard_error 0.0141338
Valor como publicado
0.0314159748362815
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.014133833889299082
Valor
0,0314160.0314159748362815 (se 0,01413380.014133833889299082)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json
Licença
MIT
  • #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0314160.0314159748362815 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4133833889299081e-8
  • #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,01413380.014133833889299082 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4133833889299081e-8

crb_papers.q037.script

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 37
Tipo
software
Localização
solutions/research_papers/DiD/Kroeger_Silfa_2023/question_2/estimation.py
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1687 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
c833fccb4d1faf1c5b46272f460870d4ac8d125aa40ec07fb1860bf6648360f7 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Kroeger_Silfa_2023/question_2/estimation.py
Licença
MIT

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    obrigatóriafalhou[0.003713660413255302,0.059118289259307705]—interval · [0.003713660413255302, 0.059118289259307705]——
    2figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou0,0314160.0314159748362815—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4133833889299081e-8crb_papers.q037.gold—
    3figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou0,01413380.014133833889299082—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.4133833889299081e-8crb_papers.q037.gold—

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script

    Referência: infer.olsO agente não fez uma chamada de estimação que a resposta cite.

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      Did designation as fully exempt from short-sale price restrictions alter the probability that firms reported any federal lobbying activity between 2002 and 2006?

      ds_0019 (agent)

      | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | treated | Binary indicator (0/1) for whether the company’s security was listed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as fully exempt from short-sale price tests under the Regulation SHO pilot in that calendar year. Based on official SEC pilot rosters first released in 2004 and updated in April 2005. Values are 1 in years when the exemption applied (primarily 2005–2007) and 0 otherwise (pre-pilot years are coded 0). | | lobby | Binary indicator (0/1) for whether the company reported any federally registered lobbying activity during the calendar year, as recorded in LobbyView from Lobbying Disclosure Act (LDA) filings. This captures participation (any filing recorded) rather than amounts or targets. | | ticker | Stock ticker symbol used to identify the firm across years. Tickers reflect exchange-listed identifiers for Russell 3000 companies in the early-to-mid 2000s; symbols may change over time due to corporate actions. | | year | Calendar year of the observation (2002–2007). | Dataset Context: This panel links two administrative sources for U.S. publicly traded firms in the Russell 3000 around the mid-2000s. One source is the SEC’s Regulation SHO pilot, adopted in 2004 to study market effects of relaxing short-sale price tests. The pilot began on May 2, 2005, and concluded on August 6, 2007. To populate the pilot roster, the SEC sorted securities by exchange, ranked them using prior-year average daily dollar volume, and selected every third stock for full exemption from short-sale price tests. The Commission released an initial list in 2004 and an updated list in April 2005 to reflect mergers, delistings, and other corporate changes during implementation. The second source is LobbyView, which compiles federal lobbying registrations and periodic activity reports mandated by the Lobbying Disclosure Act. During 2002–2007, filings were made on a semiannual schedule and include the registrant, clients, and issues lobbied. For this dataset, those filings are harmonized to a firm-year indicator that flags whether a company is observed to have any registered federal lobbying activity in a given calendar year. Each row in the file represents a ticker–year pairing from 2002 through 2007, spanning pre-pilot and pilot periods. Because the composition of exchange-listed firms evolves, the panel reflects contemporaneous Russell 3000 constituents and incorporates SEC updates to pilot participation where securities were added or removed due to corporate events. The resulting structure enables researchers to observe, for each firm and year, its exemption status under the SEC pilot and whether it engaged in registered federal lobbying, alongside stable identifiers and a consistent annual time scale.

      file df584143267596bb0072e20d3c0d280681eb8d7110ec9f356bc1ad8a1108570d · frame —
      ref_ever (reference)
      file df584143267596bb0072e20d3c0d280681eb8d7110ec9f356bc1ad8a1108570d · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["treated","lobby","ticker","year"]}
      2. dropna {"columns":["year","treated","lobby","ticker"]}
      3. filter {"query":"year in [2002, 2006]"}
      4. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"treated","fn":"max","name":"ever_treated"}],"by":["ticker"]}
      ref_panel (reference)
      file df584143267596bb0072e20d3c0d280681eb8d7110ec9f356bc1ad8a1108570d · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["treated","lobby","ticker","year"]}
      2. dropna {"columns":["year","treated","lobby","ticker"]}
      3. filter {"query":"year in [2002, 2006]"}
      4. merge {"how":"left","on":["ticker"],"with":"ref_years"}
      5. filter {"query":"nyears == 2"}
      6. merge {"how":"inner","on":["ticker"],"with":"ref_ever"}
      7. derive {"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2006},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}
      ref_years (reference)
      file df584143267596bb0072e20d3c0d280681eb8d7110ec9f356bc1ad8a1108570d · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["treated","lobby","ticker","year"]}
      2. dropna {"columns":["year","treated","lobby","ticker"]}
      3. filter {"query":"year in [2002, 2006]"}
      4. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"lobby","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["ticker","year"]}
      5. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"n","fn":"count","name":"nyears"}],"by":["ticker"]}
    2. 1Turno do modelo
      call_3e7761aerules-1Fim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": []
        }
    3. 2Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      —
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    4. 3Resposta

      Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

      Figuras citadas: — · Parada: answered
    5. 4Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    6. 5Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatóriano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    7. 6Pontuação
      #2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    8. 7Pontuação
      #3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

    Épocas × verificações

    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #0123
    Época 1passoufalhoufalhoufalhou

    Tentativas

    Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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