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Tarefa crb_papers.q059

crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, nenhuma estimativa citada.
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Pergunta feita ao analista

Did cities whose first Fair Housing Act lawsuit decision occurred in 1997 experience a greater decline in the share of non-Hispanic White residents from 1996 to 1998 than cities without such a decision by 1998?

Resposta

Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

crb_papers.q059.gold

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 59 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
causal_queries.json['59'].effect and .standard_error
Trecho
index 59: effect -0.00323652, standard_error 0.00487652
Valor como publicado
-0.003236520046317505
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.004876518769263402
Valor
-0,00323652-0.003236520046317505 (se 0,004876520.004876518769263402)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json
Licença
MIT
  • #2 figura da resposta próxima: -0,00323652-0.003236520046317505 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.876518769263402e-9
  • #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,004876520.004876518769263402 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.876518769263402e-9

crb_papers.q059.script

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 59
Tipo
software
Localização
solutions/research_papers/DiD/Trounstine_2020/question_1/estimation.py
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1833 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
6418c9da8d1afce537c77a5e7829b2d57d83ba9e80b55fbe912a85b37ccda64f (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Trounstine_2020/question_1/estimation.py
Licença
MIT

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    obrigatóriafalhou[-0.012794496834073773,0.006321456741438762]—interval · [-0.012794496834073773, 0.006321456741438762]——
    2figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou-0,00323652-0.003236520046317505—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.876518769263402e-9crb_papers.q059.gold—
    3figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou0,004876520.004876518769263402—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.876518769263402e-9crb_papers.q059.gold—

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script

    Referência: infer.olsO agente não fez uma chamada de estimação que a resposta cite.

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      Did cities whose first Fair Housing Act lawsuit decision occurred in 1997 experience a greater decline in the share of non-Hispanic White residents from 1996 to 1998 than cities without such a decision by 1998?

      ds_0031 (agent)

      | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | geo_id2 | Numeric identifier for each incorporated place, based on Census place/GeoID conventions, used to link the same city across years. | | year | Calendar year of the observation. The released panel covers 1969–2011. Census-derived measures are interpolated between decennial observations. | | pctnhwht_cityi | Share of the city’s population that is non-Hispanic White (0–1). Built from U.S. Census counts with intercensal interpolation to provide annualized series. | | pctrenter_cityi | Share of households in the city that are renters (0–1). Compiled from Census housing tenure tabulations with interpolation between decennial enumerations. | | pctwlth_city2i | Share of city residents classified as “wealthy” (0–1). In the replication data, this flags residents in the top end of the income distribution (e.g., at or above the 90th percentile), based on harmonized Census measures. | | fairhousingimp_v1 | Indicator equal to 1 beginning in the year of the first recorded court decision in a Fair Housing Act lawsuit involving the municipality, and 0 before that decision or if no such decision is recorded. Once 1, it remains 1. It does not separately establish that injunctive relief was awarded, implemented, or still operative. | | logpop | Natural logarithm (base e) of total city population. Population counts derive from the Census with values interpolated between decennial years. | | homevali | Average value of owner-occupied housing units in the city, expressed in constant dollars as provided in the replication files. Constructed from Census housing value data with inflation adjustment for comparability over time. | | pct_vacanti | Share of housing units that are vacant (0–1). Derived from Census housing stock and vacancy tabulations, interpolated between decennial measurements. | | minyear | City-specific year field retained from the source data. Its construction is not documented in the available materials. It is constant within each city and must not be interpreted as the first observed year of this released panel. | Dataset Context: This dataset is a city–year panel for incorporated places in U.S. metropolitan areas from the late 1960s through 2011. It integrates demographic and housing indicators from the U.S. Census of Population and Housing, with values smoothed to annual frequency via interpolation between decennial enumerations. The panel uses stable Census geographic identifiers to consistently track places over time. Housing-related measures include tenure (owner vs. renter shares), vacancy rates, and inflation-adjusted home values, providing a view of local housing market conditions across multiple decades of suburbanization, population growth, and changing development patterns. Demographic composition is recorded in a manner consistent with Census definitions for race and ethnicity used during the period. The legal-event records identify court decisions in Fair Housing Act cases involving municipal governments. Cases were collected from a legal database using housing-law and injunctive-relief search terms, then screened for municipal involvement. The recorded date of a city's first decision determines when fairhousingimp_v1 changes from 0 to 1. Case outcomes were established for only a subset, so the indicator does not identify the date when a remedy was implemented. These records are linked to demographic and housing measures from the U.S. Census of Population and Housing for incorporated cities in metropolitan areas. Together, these sources produce a large, harmonized panel suitable for studying long-run patterns in city demographics and housing markets within the broader policy environment shaped by mid-century federal housing reforms, evolving local land-use processes, and metropolitan growth. The combination of standardized Census measures, consistent geographic linkages, and legally sourced policy indicators facilitates comparisons across places and years.

      file 9cf2b539f2ae691db6984fdc60436eb5ca81449a8dbfcc8103d00549db014b66 · frame —
      ref_adopt (reference)
      file 9cf2b539f2ae691db6984fdc60436eb5ca81449a8dbfcc8103d00549db014b66 · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["geo_id2","year","pctnhwht_cityi","fairhousingimp_v1"]}
      2. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"pctnhwht_cityi","fn":"mean","name":"pctnhwht_cityi"},{"column":"fairhousingimp_v1","fn":"max","name":"fairhousingimp_v1"}],"by":["geo_id2","year"]}
      3. filter {"query":"fairhousingimp_v1 == 1"}
      4. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"adoption_year"}],"by":["geo_id2"]}
      ref_panel (reference)
      file 9cf2b539f2ae691db6984fdc60436eb5ca81449a8dbfcc8103d00549db014b66 · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["geo_id2","year","pctnhwht_cityi","fairhousingimp_v1"]}
      2. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"pctnhwht_cityi","fn":"mean","name":"pctnhwht_cityi"},{"column":"fairhousingimp_v1","fn":"max","name":"fairhousingimp_v1"}],"by":["geo_id2","year"]}
      3. filter {"query":"year == 1996"}
      4. dropna {"columns":["pctnhwht_cityi"]}
      5. rename {"map":{"pctnhwht_cityi":"y_pre"}}
      6. select {"columns":["geo_id2","y_pre"]}
      7. merge {"how":"inner","on":["geo_id2"],"with":"ref_post"}
      8. merge {"how":"left","on":["geo_id2"],"with":"ref_adopt"}
      9. filter {"query":"adoption_year == 1997 or adoption_year != adoption_year or adoption_year > 1998"}
      10. derive {"args":{"column":"adoption_year","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1997,"target":1}]},"name":"treated","op":"map"}
      11. derive {"args":{"left":"y_post","right":"y_pre"},"name":"d","op":"diff"}
      ref_post (reference)
      file 9cf2b539f2ae691db6984fdc60436eb5ca81449a8dbfcc8103d00549db014b66 · frame —
      1. select {"columns":["geo_id2","year","pctnhwht_cityi","fairhousingimp_v1"]}
      2. collapse {"aggs":[{"column":"pctnhwht_cityi","fn":"mean","name":"pctnhwht_cityi"},{"column":"fairhousingimp_v1","fn":"max","name":"fairhousingimp_v1"}],"by":["geo_id2","year"]}
      3. filter {"query":"year == 1998"}
      4. dropna {"columns":["pctnhwht_cityi"]}
      5. rename {"map":{"pctnhwht_cityi":"y_post"}}
      6. select {"columns":["geo_id2","y_post"]}
    2. 1Turno do modelo
      call_82c86f3drules-1Fim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": []
        }
    3. 2Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      —
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    4. 3Resposta

      Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

      Figuras citadas: — · Parada: answered
    5. 4Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    6. 5Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatóriano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    7. 6Pontuação
      #2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    8. 7Pontuação
      #3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

    Épocas × verificações

    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #0123
    Época 1passoufalhoufalhoufalhou

    Tentativas

    Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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