Tarefa crb_papers.q087
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1Veredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
Among voters in U.S. House districts decided at an infinitesimally small margin, what is the average effect of being represented by a copartisan, compared to an outpartisan, on the probability of reporting contact with the representative?
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q087.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 87 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['87'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 87: effect 0.256129, standard_error 0.00220367
- Valor como publicado
0.2561292663559078- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0022036723506216947- Valor
- 0,256129
0.2561292663559078(se 0,002203670.0022036723506216947) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Catalog value, read at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py. It is rdrobust's res.tau_bc[0], the left-side bias-corrected intercept, not the jump the question asks for (B-join review: an independent WLS gives 0.2561292663559082); scored as CRB scores it, tagged gold_defect.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,256129
0.2561292663559078· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,00220367
0.0022036723506216947· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9
crb_papers.q087.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 87
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/RDD/broockman_ryan_2016/question_1/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1718 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
6d51bb5b5a72fa39e945b30d1018c35064f6e0b20ee9b113e430f568040c77ea(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/RDD/broockman_ryan_2016/question_1/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | [0.2518100685486893,0.26044846416312634] | — | interval · [0.2518100685486893, 0.26044846416312634] | — | — |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,2561290.2561292663559078 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9 | crb_papers.q087.gold | — |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,002203670.0022036723506216947 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9 | crb_papers.q087.gold | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
Nenhum caminho de referência registrado para esta tarefa.
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Among voters in U.S. House districts decided at an infinitesimally small margin, what is the average effect of being represented by a copartisan, compared to an outpartisan, on the probability of reporting contact with the representative?
ds_0056(agent)| Variable Name | Description | |-----------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Unnamed: 0 | Row index carried over from the source file. | | contact | Indicator that the respondent (or someone in the household) reported contacting their U.S. House office. | | rspartywon | Indicator that the party the respondent identifies with currently holds the district’s House seat. | | rspartywinperc | Vote-share margin for the respondent’s party in the most recent U.S. House general election (negative if loss). | | distname | Congressional district name (e.g., “StateNumber,” such as “Alabama1”). | | distencoded | Numeric code for the congressional district. | | margin | District vote margin from the most recent U.S. House election (same coding as rspartywinperc). | | pknowl | Political knowledge score based on correct responses to a knowledge battery (scaled 0–1). | | church | Self-reported frequency of attending religious services (scaled). | | churchmr | Mean-replaced version of church (original missing values filled with the sample mean). | | churchmiss | Missingness flag for church (1 if church was missing in the raw data, 0 otherwise). | | dempidstr | Strength of Democratic Party identification (scaled). | | dempidstrmr | Mean-replaced version of dempidstr. | | dempidstrmiss | Missingness flag for dempidstr. | | reppidstr | Strength of Republican Party identification (scaled). | | reppidstrmr | Mean-replaced version of reppidstr. | | reppidstrmiss | Missingness flag for reppidstr. | | age | Respondent age in years. | | agemr | Mean-replaced version of age. | | actscale | Composite scale of political activity/engagement (scaled). | | actscalemr | Mean-replaced version of actscale. | | actscalemiss | Missingness flag for actscale. | | followpol | Self-reported attention to or following of politics (scaled). | | followpolmr | Mean-replaced version of followpol. | | followpolmiss | Missingness flag for followpol. | | incomecat | Household income category (ordered category, scaled for analysis). | | incomecatmr | Mean-replaced version of incomecat. | | incomecatmiss | Missingness flag for incomecat. | | donategen | Indicator for having made a political/campaign donation. | | donategenmr | Mean-replaced version of donategen. | | donategenmiss | Missingness flag for donategen. | Data Description: The dataset consists of respondent-level records from the 2008 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), fielded online by YouGov/Polimetrix in October–November 2008, matched to U.S. House district identifiers and district-level general election returns from the most recent contest at the time (the 2006 U.S. House elections, compiled from CQ Press). Each record links a survey respondent to their congressional district and includes whether they reported contacting their current U.S. House member’s office, their party identification strength, political knowledge, religious attendance, age, political engagement, attention to politics, income category, and whether they report having made political donations. To provide district context, the file includes the district name/code and the party-aligned vote margin from the prior House election. Variables are typically scaled to 0–1 for analysis. For several measures the dataset includes a trio of columns: the original variable, a mean-replaced version used when handling missing survey responses, and a corresponding missingness indicator. The data support analyses of patterns in citizen communication with congressional offices alongside individual characteristics and district electoral context.
filec1f14f16b11509dc4d8acf60197a5e836b849f3231553c39c4f0aaf9e5124868· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_d40aba3crules-1Fim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 6Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 7Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou | falhou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
f18a80334daea5541e8d94f7a14fb0ee162ee4ff725fecac394fd10e1da59a7aO hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
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| attachments/c930d083fecda30be70000614f2afa1f96d07e06c941410979d134e199ea7943.json | 6,4 KB | c930d083fecda30be70000614f2afa1f96d07e06c941410979d134e199ea7943 |
| native/crb_papers/crb_papers.q087.e1.a1.json | 2,7 KB | 575a3baf9a33f4187a0b03b32d74e9bd23abeb9d93e94470605dfc2a4750d469 |
| sources/crb_papers.q087.gold.json | 1,2 KB | 77875c13edbfa2057fb6ac2364cd06c75555b467ccc70542871f18df183d0591 |
| sources/crb_papers.q087.script.json | 1,1 KB | 75e095d27837cee06a4d4740bc1667c744f213e906fef8bd27010d68d4f22996 |
| specs/crb_papers.q087.json | 10,1 KB | 39260b45636873f688a67648805cee40577d6e5c4b1106edf5e259a02f24bfd3 |
| traces/crb_papers.q087.e1.a1.jsonl | 12,1 KB | 7c799fe0a3c5d6106b963045934ad5bd635aaebd9406a4236a16b1cc0a718621 |
| trajectories/crb_papers.q087.e1.a1.jsonl | 10,1 KB | d54a78c44eb9963837d3d23457833c20fd899c7815a109e95f5b825c13d52c05 |