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Tarefa crb_papers.q087

crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, nenhuma estimativa citada.
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Pergunta feita ao analista

Among voters in U.S. House districts decided at an infinitesimally small margin, what is the average effect of being represented by a copartisan, compared to an outpartisan, on the probability of reporting contact with the representative?

Resposta

Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

crb_papers.q087.gold

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 87 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
causal_queries.json['87'].effect and .standard_error
Trecho
index 87: effect 0.256129, standard_error 0.00220367
Valor como publicado
0.2561292663559078
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0022036723506216947
Valor
0,2561290.2561292663559078 (se 0,002203670.0022036723506216947)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Catalog value, read at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py. It is rdrobust's res.tau_bc[0], the left-side bias-corrected intercept, not the jump the question asks for (B-join review: an independent WLS gives 0.2561292663559082); scored as CRB scores it, tagged gold_defect.
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json
Licença
MIT
  • #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,2561290.2561292663559078 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9
  • #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,002203670.0022036723506216947 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9

crb_papers.q087.script

Fonte
CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 87
Tipo
software
Localização
solutions/research_papers/RDD/broockman_ryan_2016/question_1/estimation.py
Valor
—
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1718 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
sha256 da cópia lida
6d51bb5b5a72fa39e945b30d1018c35064f6e0b20ee9b113e430f568040c77ea (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/RDD/broockman_ryan_2016/question_1/estimation.py
Licença
MIT

    Verificações

    Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
    #VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
    0resposta com lastro
    every number backed
    obrigatóriapassou—[]———
    1figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    obrigatóriafalhou[0.2518100685486893,0.26044846416312634]—interval · [0.2518100685486893, 0.26044846416312634]——
    2figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou0,2561290.2561292663559078—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9crb_papers.q087.gold—
    3figura da resposta próxima
    no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    registradafalhou0,002203670.0022036723506216947—relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 2.2036723506216945e-9crb_papers.q087.gold—

    Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

    A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

    Nenhum caminho de referência registrado para esta tarefa.

    Trajetória

    Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

    1. 0Início

      Among voters in U.S. House districts decided at an infinitesimally small margin, what is the average effect of being represented by a copartisan, compared to an outpartisan, on the probability of reporting contact with the representative?

      ds_0056 (agent)

      | Variable Name | Description | |-----------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Unnamed: 0 | Row index carried over from the source file. | | contact | Indicator that the respondent (or someone in the household) reported contacting their U.S. House office. | | rspartywon | Indicator that the party the respondent identifies with currently holds the district’s House seat. | | rspartywinperc | Vote-share margin for the respondent’s party in the most recent U.S. House general election (negative if loss). | | distname | Congressional district name (e.g., “StateNumber,” such as “Alabama1”). | | distencoded | Numeric code for the congressional district. | | margin | District vote margin from the most recent U.S. House election (same coding as rspartywinperc). | | pknowl | Political knowledge score based on correct responses to a knowledge battery (scaled 0–1). | | church | Self-reported frequency of attending religious services (scaled). | | churchmr | Mean-replaced version of church (original missing values filled with the sample mean). | | churchmiss | Missingness flag for church (1 if church was missing in the raw data, 0 otherwise). | | dempidstr | Strength of Democratic Party identification (scaled). | | dempidstrmr | Mean-replaced version of dempidstr. | | dempidstrmiss | Missingness flag for dempidstr. | | reppidstr | Strength of Republican Party identification (scaled). | | reppidstrmr | Mean-replaced version of reppidstr. | | reppidstrmiss | Missingness flag for reppidstr. | | age | Respondent age in years. | | agemr | Mean-replaced version of age. | | actscale | Composite scale of political activity/engagement (scaled). | | actscalemr | Mean-replaced version of actscale. | | actscalemiss | Missingness flag for actscale. | | followpol | Self-reported attention to or following of politics (scaled). | | followpolmr | Mean-replaced version of followpol. | | followpolmiss | Missingness flag for followpol. | | incomecat | Household income category (ordered category, scaled for analysis). | | incomecatmr | Mean-replaced version of incomecat. | | incomecatmiss | Missingness flag for incomecat. | | donategen | Indicator for having made a political/campaign donation. | | donategenmr | Mean-replaced version of donategen. | | donategenmiss | Missingness flag for donategen. | Data Description: The dataset consists of respondent-level records from the 2008 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), fielded online by YouGov/Polimetrix in October–November 2008, matched to U.S. House district identifiers and district-level general election returns from the most recent contest at the time (the 2006 U.S. House elections, compiled from CQ Press). Each record links a survey respondent to their congressional district and includes whether they reported contacting their current U.S. House member’s office, their party identification strength, political knowledge, religious attendance, age, political engagement, attention to politics, income category, and whether they report having made political donations. To provide district context, the file includes the district name/code and the party-aligned vote margin from the prior House election. Variables are typically scaled to 0–1 for analysis. For several measures the dataset includes a trio of columns: the original variable, a mean-replaced version used when handling missing survey responses, and a corresponding missingness indicator. The data support analyses of patterns in citizen communication with congressional offices alongside individual characteristics and district electoral context.

      file c1f14f16b11509dc4d8acf60197a5e836b849f3231553c39c4f0aaf9e5124868 · frame —
    2. 1Turno do modelo
      call_d40aba3crules-1Fim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
      Chamadas pedidas
      • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
        {
          "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.",
          "caveats": [],
          "figure_refs": []
        }
    3. 2Guarda
      resposta aceita
      Números encontrados
      —
      Sem lastro
      —
      Não citados
      —
      1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
    4. 3Resposta

      Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

      Figuras citadas: — · Parada: answered
    5. 4Pontuação
      #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
    6. 5Pontuação
      #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatóriano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    7. 6Pontuação
      #2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
    8. 7Pontuação
      #3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistradano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

    Épocas × verificações

    Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
    #0123
    Época 1passoufalhoufalhoufalhou

    Tentativas

    Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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