Tarefa crb_papers.q119
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170957Z-suite-crb_papers-baseline-dae0c1Veredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
What is the average effect, at the 50% two-party vote threshold, of a Democrat narrowly winning a House seat on that representative's probability of signing a civil-rights discharge petition in the 88th Congress?
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q119.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 119 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['119'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 119: effect 0.786956, standard_error 0.17273
- Valor como publicado
0.7869557257379252- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.17272958682164383- Valor
- 0,786956
0.7869557257379252(se 0,172730.17272958682164383) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,786956
0.7869557257379252· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.7272958682164382e-7 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,17273
0.17272958682164383· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.7272958682164382e-7
crb_papers.q119.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 119
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/RDD/schickler_etal_2009d/question_1/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1074 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
e1f558d3199e479b8448c965eb5eebab444e3fa093d0bc27e387915fae0b87c0(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/RDD/schickler_etal_2009d/question_1/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | [0.44840573556750324,1.125505715908347] | — | interval · [0.44840573556750324, 1.125505715908347] | — | — |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,7869560.7869557257379252 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.7272958682164382e-7 | crb_papers.q119.gold | — |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,172730.17272958682164383 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 1.7272958682164382e-7 | crb_papers.q119.gold | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
Nenhum caminho de referência registrado para esta tarefa.
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
What is the average effect, at the 50% two-party vote threshold, of a Democrat narrowly winning a House seat on that representative's probability of signing a civil-rights discharge petition in the 88th Congress?
ds_0084(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | Unnamed: 0 | Row index from the source CSV; not a substantive data field. | | petpooled | Outcome indicator for the **88th U.S. Congress (1963–1964)**: equals 1 if the House member signed **at least one** pro–civil-rights discharge petition during the 88th Congress (as coded from archival discharge-petition signature records); 0 otherwise. | | Dvotespercent | Democratic candidate’s share of the **two-party** vote in the member’s U.S. House district in the **immediately preceding House general election** (Democratic votes ÷ (Democratic + Republican votes)); recorded on a 0–1 scale (e.g., 0.50 = 50%). For the 88th Congress, this corresponds to the election held just before the 1963–1964 term. | | icpsr | ICPSR numeric identifier for the legislator (member-level ID used to link to other historical congressional datasets). | Dataset Context: This file is a member-level snapshot drawn from a larger project on congressional civil rights politics in the mid‑twentieth century. **This particular extract contains one record per U.S. House member serving in the 88th Congress (1963–1964) only**; accordingly, there is no separate “Congress”/session identifier column in this file. The included fields capture (i) whether the member signed any pro–civil-rights discharge petition during the 88th Congress, (ii) the district’s Democratic two‑party vote share from the immediately prior House election, and (iii) the member’s ICPSR identifier. The underlying study assembled archival evidence on discharge petition signatures from the National Archives (covering 1933–1976) and linked those signatures to legislators. Election returns were matched using standard historical House election datasets, and member identifiers come from ICPSR. The broader research situates these data within an effort to trace how members advanced civil rights outside of roll‑call votes—particularly through discharge petitions that could bring bills to the floor despite committee gatekeeping—providing insight into party coalitions and legislative activity during 1933–1972.
file1957f1d9ad54c70564313ef23af30a8bdcec0443bc6e9ded12db6b4d8d24c9ea· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_64e318farules-1Fim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 6Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 7Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou | falhou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
e0d9a0248ed3706c4457c8267741d78772d88431f01262e3c66c4b55d5cc6674O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/92e8bdcc044aec1f7595e44ed2450f8dea35b3324ad6a1f81ccbe3fd2873136a.json | 2,4 KB | 92e8bdcc044aec1f7595e44ed2450f8dea35b3324ad6a1f81ccbe3fd2873136a |
| attachments/c587ce91f4ae9c28e363fc161ab0f86b13037d64786bba9b05879937d6e8532c.json | 237 B | c587ce91f4ae9c28e363fc161ab0f86b13037d64786bba9b05879937d6e8532c |
| native/crb_papers/crb_papers.q119.e1.a1.json | 2,7 KB | 1a3b9debf92bc2a86ec0b45e25f81c8ff09b170cfe437ac236172478ea2a2efd |
| sources/crb_papers.q119.gold.json | 1,1 KB | 85c4ff76eac663f0fab9c9165baa81282ed880d6db336af978a7240e094de1b9 |
| sources/crb_papers.q119.script.json | 1,1 KB | 2f23154d5d1f138eef8648ddbc6690976546e2d9b56faf4e300ee430fad7555f |
| specs/crb_papers.q119.json | 6,4 KB | 5eeb46d011b9bd614351ca7ee4b45fbb7151156507e772a3e91c7e711cb0fa55 |
| traces/crb_papers.q119.e1.a1.jsonl | 8,0 KB | b033aa991c62a6128a9759746a11f6e08001a3e3409b0c474d962d0b01fa815b |
| trajectories/crb_papers.q119.e1.a1.jsonl | 6,9 KB | d97566748dadaf4d8c2a25568d2bc3046ccd73d9656def14a0f09f883e9f953e |